Def Mon (Twitter)

Bakhmut-south
I don't have any new info in this area since yesterday, rumors are AFU might have evacuated Kurdyumivka and Zelenopillya, but I have not yet seen any confirmation.

Def Mon (Twitter)

Donetsk
The RU side has started to talk a lot about Marinka, it might be because of the last few weeks astounding progress of several blocks in the town. But it might also be "hyping" a future RU offensive which I believe is coming.

Def Mon (Twitter)

The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Mar'inka, Pervomais'ke and Nevel's'ke.

Def Mon (Twitter)

I'm keeping the remaining frontline as is, I have no credible information of change in this area.

Def Mon (Twitter)

The offensive units from Kherson have not made an appearance on the battlefield yet. It does not seems like the Donetsk-Bakhmut area as gotten significant reinforcements. This makes me draw the conclusions the AFU is accumulating forces for further offensive actions.

Def Mon (Twitter)

I see two options for the AFU.

1. Svatove-Kreminna front, high risk and high reward. Try to advance enough to get within HIMARS range of Luhansk and RU railway logistics

Def Mon (Twitter)

Polohy-Tokmak, lower risk and lower reward. Try to capture Polohy and surroundings and get barrel artillery range on the Railroad. This would leave 200km of frontline without a railroad connection for the Russians and more or less divide the southern front with HIMARS control.

Def Mon (Twitter)

Some bridges etc could possibly be reached by the road along the coast line too.

No need to comment about HIMARS range, I'm not trying to give suggestions of firing locations, this is to give a rough idea of coverage.

Def Mon (Twitter)

RT @bradyafr: Damage to a site used by Russian forces in occupied Polohy, Zaporizhzhia Oblast is visible in recent satellite imagery. This site is near the front lines in Ukraine and has been damaged repeatedly in recent months. https://twitter.com/bradyafr/status/1598029096092520448/photo/1

‌Dan (Twitter)

Interesting thread.
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@shashj:
RUSI has a new report out today on lessons from the first phase of the Ukraine war The authors include a Ukrainian lieutenant-general & @Jack_Watling. The paper is full of rich data & implications for other armed forces. I wrote up some highlights here: https://t.co/WbC8Y4NZnL

Def Mon (Twitter)

@fridays_freedom Looks like a video from the first days of the war.

Def Mon (Twitter)

@fridays_freedom
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@pmesii_insider:
!!KYIV. Ukrainian air defense works. They say a plane or a missile of the Russian Federation was destroyed

#russia #kyiv #war https://t.co/C7VAkWL5uZ

🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (Twitter)

#Ukraine: The Ukrainian 79th Air Assault Brigade destroyed a Russian T-72B tank in the East with a Stugna-P ATGM strike; it was presumably trying to recover another damaged T-72B.

Dan (Twitter)

RT @Archer83Able: Ukrainian artillerymen fire a US-made M101 105mm howitzer as their brothers-in-arms nearby play the jury.

The unknown number of M101 guns were delivered to Ukraine by Lithuania in September. The first artillery piece of this type was produced in 1941.

(music alert) https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status/1597989350834573312/video/1