Def Mon (Twitter)
After yesterdays flood of rumors it seems to have calmed down a bit. RU forces still hold the left bank of the Dnipro. I suspect they are scaling down the troop presence in the area within 155mm range.
After yesterdays flood of rumors it seems to have calmed down a bit. RU forces still hold the left bank of the Dnipro. I suspect they are scaling down the troop presence in the area within 155mm range.
Def Mon (Twitter)
I would have smaller recon teams close to the river and have rapid response forces just out of artillery range. Ukraine will not launch a river crossing operation in a few hours time, the Russians will have time to respond even if they are 20-30km away.
I would have smaller recon teams close to the river and have rapid response forces just out of artillery range. Ukraine will not launch a river crossing operation in a few hours time, the Russians will have time to respond even if they are 20-30km away.
Def Mon (Twitter)
To clarify, AFU presence in
Kiburn peninsula: Myth
Hola Prystan': Myth
Nova Kakhovka: Myth
Oleshky: Myth
Did I miss one? If so it will be: Myth
I'm not even sure SOF are operating in the area. It is possible, but in very small teams I would think.
To clarify, AFU presence in
Kiburn peninsula: Myth
Hola Prystan': Myth
Nova Kakhovka: Myth
Oleshky: Myth
Did I miss one? If so it will be: Myth
I'm not even sure SOF are operating in the area. It is possible, but in very small teams I would think.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
And ofc article 5 would not automatically mean nuclear war. But I see no reason to call for A5 as I don't think an offensive military response will be on the table.
I do think there will be discussions about how to strengthen Poland's defense.
And ofc article 5 would not automatically mean nuclear war. But I see no reason to call for A5 as I don't think an offensive military response will be on the table.
I do think there will be discussions about how to strengthen Poland's defense.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
While I was buys writing this, Information emerged about Russian missiles killing two people in Poland.
I do not think article 5 will be invoked, this is most likely unintentional and no one will risk a nuclear war over 2 stray missiles.
Article 4 is very likely.
While I was buys writing this, Information emerged about Russian missiles killing two people in Poland.
I do not think article 5 will be invoked, this is most likely unintentional and no one will risk a nuclear war over 2 stray missiles.
Article 4 is very likely.
Def Mon (Twitter)
And ofc article 5 would not automatically mean nuclear war. But I see no reason to call for A5 as I don't think an offensive military response will be on the table.
I do think there will be discussions about how to strengthen Poland's defense.
And ofc article 5 would not automatically mean nuclear war. But I see no reason to call for A5 as I don't think an offensive military response will be on the table.
I do think there will be discussions about how to strengthen Poland's defense.
The Lookout (Twitter)
I'll hold off with commenting on the developing situation in Poland, and it's potential implications, until we get official statements from Warzaw.
I'll hold off with commenting on the developing situation in Poland, and it's potential implications, until we get official statements from Warzaw.
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
Polish media report that two missiles fell on the territory of Poland: there are fatalities.
@wolski_jaros published a photo of the consequences of a missile hit near Przewodów, Lublin Voivodeship.
1/2
Polish media report that two missiles fell on the territory of Poland: there are fatalities.
@wolski_jaros published a photo of the consequences of a missile hit near Przewodów, Lublin Voivodeship.
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MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
It also became known that the Prime Minister of Poland, as agreed with the President, called an urgent meeting at the National Security Bureau.
An official representative of the local fire commandant’s office stated that the causes of the incident are still unknown.
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It also became known that the Prime Minister of Poland, as agreed with the President, called an urgent meeting at the National Security Bureau.
An official representative of the local fire commandant’s office stated that the causes of the incident are still unknown.
2/2
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MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
The Belarusian Hajun has not registered missile launches from the territory or airspace of Belarus today.
According to our information, the last missile launch using the Belarusian airspace was registered on October 6.
The Belarusian Hajun has not registered missile launches from the territory or airspace of Belarus today.
According to our information, the last missile launch using the Belarusian airspace was registered on October 6.
Status-6 (Twitter)
RT @MFAestonia: Latest news from Poland is most concerning. We are consulting closely with Poland and other Allies. Estonia is ready to defend every inch of NATO territory. We’re in full solidarity with our close ally Poland 🇵🇱
RT @MFAestonia: Latest news from Poland is most concerning. We are consulting closely with Poland and other Allies. Estonia is ready to defend every inch of NATO territory. We’re in full solidarity with our close ally Poland 🇵🇱
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Dan (Twitter)
3. As described.
-----------
@osint_east:
After observing the information space re: #Kinburn and #Oleshky it can be determined that no substantive proof of AFU operations releasing the settlement/extended area exists.
Timeline covers events from 11/12 - 11/15. Sources included & timestamped.
#UkraineRussianWar https://t.co/PTGn4HocAL
3. As described.
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@osint_east:
After observing the information space re: #Kinburn and #Oleshky it can be determined that no substantive proof of AFU operations releasing the settlement/extended area exists.
Timeline covers events from 11/12 - 11/15. Sources included & timestamped.
#UkraineRussianWar https://t.co/PTGn4HocAL
Twitter
After observing the information space re: #Kinburn and #Oleshky it can be determined that no substantive proof of AFU operations releasing the settlement/extended area exists.
Timeline covers events from 11/12 - 11/15. Sources included & timestamped.
…
Timeline covers events from 11/12 - 11/15. Sources included & timestamped.
…
Status-6 (Twitter)
RT @idreesali114: The Pentagon says it cannot at this time corroborate reports of Russian missiles crossing into Poland.
RT @idreesali114: The Pentagon says it cannot at this time corroborate reports of Russian missiles crossing into Poland.
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Status-6 (Twitter)
RT @jseldin: NEW: No confirmation yet from @DeptofDefense on reports #Russia|n missiles hit #Poland
"We do not have any information at this time to corroborate these reports" per @PentagonPresSec BrigGen Patrick Ryder, briefing reporters
RT @jseldin: NEW: No confirmation yet from @DeptofDefense on reports #Russia|n missiles hit #Poland
"We do not have any information at this time to corroborate these reports" per @PentagonPresSec BrigGen Patrick Ryder, briefing reporters
Status-6 (Twitter)
Sources told RADIO ZET journalist that what fell near Hrubieszów in eastern Poland today were likely the remains of a Russian missile, that was shot down by the Ukrainian air defenses.
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@MariuszGierszew:
Moje źródła w służbach twierdzą, że to co uderzyło w Przewodowo to najprawdopodobniej szczątki rakiety zestrzelonej przez Siły Zbrojne Ukrainy.
Sources told RADIO ZET journalist that what fell near Hrubieszów in eastern Poland today were likely the remains of a Russian missile, that was shot down by the Ukrainian air defenses.
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@MariuszGierszew:
Moje źródła w służbach twierdzą, że to co uderzyło w Przewodowo to najprawdopodobniej szczątki rakiety zestrzelonej przez Siły Zbrojne Ukrainy.
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