Necro Mancer (Twitter)

#Попасная, неприятный момент: группа наёмников ЧВК #Вагнер захватывает в плен украинских военных https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TRrSe847yzc #RussianUkrainianWar

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

RT @PloxShakhtar: 14:00-14:10 #Торез пуск восьми ракет со стороны Мануйловки - Терновой #RussiaUkraineWar

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

RT @other331: 14:06 Тимчасово окупований Торез: запуск 3 ракет, з потужним вибухом на старті, що аж сітка москітна слетіла. До цього, протягом 13тої години були чисельні запуски, але без вибухів на старті.

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

RT @other331: приблизно 14:20 ще одна з вибухом, але полетіла кудись у напрямку Савур-Могили

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

@Vivat_Ukraina Нет

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

@6ykcyc По ссылке видео на 20+ минут

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

@alexkl43 @ferro_bum @Vivat_Ukraina Полное видео по ссылке

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

@6ykcyc Конечно знают, БПЛА висит над районом

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

@Serhii826 Сложно сказать точно, деревья уже зеленые, т.е. не март

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

@AlvaroDel_Gado Для красивого кино достаточно было бы 5 минут

🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (Twitter)

#Ukraine: Ukrainian sources claim that a valuable 9S36 low altitude acquisition and engagement radar from the Buk-M2 air defence system was destroyed by Ukrainian artillery in #Kharkiv Oblast.

Two more vehicles can be seen, but neither their condition nor type is known.

IgorGirkin (Twitter)

Оружие пехоты, 🇺🇦
2

🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (Twitter)

#Ukraine: Apparently, the Ukrainian army received Milkor M32A1 40mm multi-shot grenade launchers - and they are already being utilized in combat. The delivery was not announced previously, but likely they were supplied within recent military aid packages from the US.

 The Lookout (Twitter)

1/6

Some good arguments in this thread for why Russia will not conduct mobilization in the near future.

While this is difficult to analyze, I personally am leaning towards that mobilization is coming, because as I see it, it's either that or lose the war for Russia.
-----------
@DAlperovitch:
I am going to go out on a limb here and make a prediction that Putin will not do a full mobilization call on May 9th or anytime in the near future

I could be wrong and I don’t have as much confidence in this call as I did in my invasion prediction back in December 👇 but… 🧵 https://t.co/JN2RXVPWTc

The Lookout (Twitter)

2/6
The Russian Army has taken heavy casualties in both men and materiel.

While most equipment can be replaced by drawing on reserve stocks, Russian attempts to generate manpower-reserves through voluntary measures seems to have faltered.

The Lookout (Twitter)

3/6
I don't think Moscow has lowered it's war-aims despite the setbacks. One pre-war assessment I got wrong, was that I thought long term occupation was unlikely.

There are now many indicators that Russia indeed has no intention of voluntary giving up occupied territory.

The Lookout (Twitter)

4/6
When the current offensive culminates the Russian Army is a spent force.

While Ukrainian losses are unknown, they have no lack of manpower and with increasing Western support, Ukraine will likely be able to conduct serious counter-offensives over the summer.