✖️ Necro Mancer

#Олешки (в/о), Херсонская обл.: по словам корреспондента "Newsmax" Алекса Салви в сторону Украины выехали 11 автобусов, с желающими остаться в РФ было 4 автобуса (точные цифры эвакуируемых его попросили не называть)
https://t.me/milinfolive/182430

✖️ kriegsforscher

I know I can be wrong and that I don’t see the whole picture (obviously). But I’m sick of what I see on Twitter, where people just repost news and question nothing for a pathetic reason: they’re afraid of being wrong and of having an opinion. Well, I don’t care. So here is my take on a few things:

- I don’t believe in the effectiveness of .50 cal turrets against Geran-4/5. In April 2026, one private Ukrainian company had 50 .50 cal turrets across Eastern Ukraine. In a whole month they managed to shoot down... 6(!) Geran-2s(!). Now we regularly see news stories (likely planted by the turret manufacturers) about how effective this is. It isn’t. 20–30 mm guns perform better, but even they are far from “effective”.

- Interceptor drones against Geran-4/5 are a dead end in counter-drone development. Cruise missiles should be shot down by cheap interceptor missiles. The Russians can raise the speed of their Geran-4/5 by 15% (and they will), and we’re losing again. News that some company got a drone up to, say, 700 km/h says nothing about how effective it is against cruise missiles. It doesn’t work as primitively as we’d like to think.

- An incredible number of companies around the world are making copies of primitive interceptors aimed at Geran-2-type drones (although the future belongs to jet-powered ones). Nobody talks about the fact that, in Ukraine, the success of intercepting any threat is determined mostly by building out the radar field, integrating software, and managing the crews on the ground. There are no miracle technologies.

- The most overrated technology direction in Ukraine is UGVs. Of course it’s still a young field, but it is extremely primitive, and it hurts to watch those batteries on wheels crawling along at 12 km/h.

See you sometime in the indefinite future✌️