Def Mon (Twitter)
RT @RALee85: I agree. I think Russia is approaching an inflection point in the coming months about whether to continue the war. In order to capture all of the Donetsk region (which is of questionable actual strategic value for Russia), Moscow may need to conduct another mobilization or otherwise change its current approach, which has not achieved a breakthrough despite Ukrainian manpower issues. Infiltration tactics will likely be less effective over the winter as well. Ukrainian deep strikes are increasing the costs of the war for Russia, and increased support from the US could further strain Russia's ability to sustain the war. If Moscow decides to continue the war well into 2026, it will be demonstrating that it is willing to accept growing risks of lasting damage for questionable strategic gains. With such a cost-benefit analysis, we should not be surprised to see further risky and aggressive moves by Russia intended to deter or compel reduced support to Ukraine.
RT @RALee85: I agree. I think Russia is approaching an inflection point in the coming months about whether to continue the war. In order to capture all of the Donetsk region (which is of questionable actual strategic value for Russia), Moscow may need to conduct another mobilization or otherwise change its current approach, which has not achieved a breakthrough despite Ukrainian manpower issues. Infiltration tactics will likely be less effective over the winter as well. Ukrainian deep strikes are increasing the costs of the war for Russia, and increased support from the US could further strain Russia's ability to sustain the war. If Moscow decides to continue the war well into 2026, it will be demonstrating that it is willing to accept growing risks of lasting damage for questionable strategic gains. With such a cost-benefit analysis, we should not be surprised to see further risky and aggressive moves by Russia intended to deter or compel reduced support to Ukraine.
vxTwitter / fixvx
Rob Lee (@RALee85)
Senior Fellow @FPRI. Previously @USMC, @ColumbiaSIPA, @CentreAST. Focused on Russian defense policy.
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Necro Mancer (Twitter)
Рафкат из Кумертау после попадания в плен 8 месяцев прожил на украинской позиции, пока его смогли вывести в тыл
t.me/ok_pivnich1/16380 #всрф #потерьнет
Рафкат из Кумертау после попадания в плен 8 месяцев прожил на украинской позиции, пока его смогли вывести в тыл
t.me/ok_pivnich1/16380 #всрф #потерьнет
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Necro Mancer (Twitter)
Мастер-класс для НАТО (1е видео смотреть со звуком)
t.me/savelifeua/3977 t.me/wild_hornets/3540 t.me/fpvredrone/307 t.me/ssternenko/50289 #дроноцид
Мастер-класс для НАТО (1е видео смотреть со звуком)
t.me/savelifeua/3977 t.me/wild_hornets/3540 t.me/fpvredrone/307 t.me/ssternenko/50289 #дроноцид
❤1
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Updated map from the past few days showing Russian advances in Sumy oblast, west of Velyka Novosilka, and southeast of Kostiantynivka.
https://deepstatemap.live/en#12/47.9002325/36.5522003 https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1972762056727367763#m
Updated map from the past few days showing Russian advances in Sumy oblast, west of Velyka Novosilka, and southeast of Kostiantynivka.
https://deepstatemap.live/en#12/47.9002325/36.5522003 https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1972762056727367763#m
Necro Mancer (Twitter)
RT @donikroman: Сама велика проблема більшості МВГ в тому що вони:
Не вміють стріляти. Не вміють стріляти з кулемета. Не вміють стріляти з кулемета з прицілом. Не розуміють зв'язку між обладнанням конструкції автомобіль-кулемет і влучним пострілом.
RT @donikroman: Сама велика проблема більшості МВГ в тому що вони:
Не вміють стріляти. Не вміють стріляти з кулемета. Не вміють стріляти з кулемета з прицілом. Не розуміють зв'язку між обладнанням конструкції автомобіль-кулемет і влучним пострілом.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
RT @WinterPolitics1: The Oregon national guard general says if the Oregon National guard were to be deployed they would be instructed under his leadership to protect the protesters not ICE.
😆
RT @WinterPolitics1: The Oregon national guard general says if the Oregon National guard were to be deployed they would be instructed under his leadership to protect the protesters not ICE.
😆
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Def Mon (Twitter)
RT @Tatarigami_UA: Preliminarily, a factory called “Zavod Pripoev” in Novosibirsk has caught fire. The cause, or any connection to other incidents, remains uncertain. On a positive note, the firefighters are enjoying the heat and glow of the embers from the comfort of their vehicles
RT @Tatarigami_UA: Preliminarily, a factory called “Zavod Pripoev” in Novosibirsk has caught fire. The cause, or any connection to other incidents, remains uncertain. On a positive note, the firefighters are enjoying the heat and glow of the embers from the comfort of their vehicles