The Lookout (Twitter)
RT @RadioFreeTom: I've been thinking about this article, and have now read the full CSIS report. Eliot and Phillips make some important points about expertise. But the idea that the experts botched this at the beginning seems to me to be some unduly harsh revisionism. /1
Longish🧵
RT @RadioFreeTom: I've been thinking about this article, and have now read the full CSIS report. Eliot and Phillips make some important points about expertise. But the idea that the experts botched this at the beginning seems to me to be some unduly harsh revisionism. /1
Longish🧵
vxTwitter / fixvx
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💖 477 🔁 140
Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom)
"The analytic failure in Ukraine makes a strong case for something so often lacking in military analysis and the academic world more generally: intellectual humility," @EliotACohen and @PhillipsPOBrien write: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/09/how…
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The Lookout (Twitter)
RT @DefMon3: @RadioFreeTom: There's so much talk about "Western experts got it wrong". Yes sometimes you are wrong. What most people dont understand is that it's OK to be wrong, if you are wrong for the right reason.
RT @DefMon3: @RadioFreeTom: There's so much talk about "Western experts got it wrong". Yes sometimes you are wrong. What most people dont understand is that it's OK to be wrong, if you are wrong for the right reason.
vxTwitter / fixvx
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💖 91 🔁 4
Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom)
It would have been irresponsible to predict that the Russians would act like morons and ignore their own training and doctrine. And yet, that happened - but no one should have bet on it.
And it might not have gone that way. But the CSIS paper just waves away…
And it might not have gone that way. But the CSIS paper just waves away…
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IgorGirkin (Twitter)
"Відбивали повітряний напад авіація, зенітні ракетні війська, підрозділи РЕБ та мобільні вогневі групи Повітряних Сил та Сил оборони України."
"Відбивали повітряний напад авіація, зенітні ракетні війська, підрозділи РЕБ та мобільні вогневі групи Повітряних Сил та Сил оборони України."
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Necro Mancer (Twitter)
Работают "Птахи Мадяра", 24/09/24
(видео без разрезов тут t.me/robert_magyar/924 или тут https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=djnBg4wi560?si=GtC8ewlUTj-bBMuo) #Мадяр #RussianUkrainianWar
Работают "Птахи Мадяра", 24/09/24
(видео без разрезов тут t.me/robert_magyar/924 или тут https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=djnBg4wi560?si=GtC8ewlUTj-bBMuo) #Мадяр #RussianUkrainianWar
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The Lookout (Twitter)
One doesn't have to like it and I don't necessarily agree myself, but I do understand the US position and this assessment
The point about limited quantities of missiles is valid
Problem is, without accepting a bit more risk it will be hard to change the trajectory of the war
One doesn't have to like it and I don't necessarily agree myself, but I do understand the US position and this assessment
The point about limited quantities of missiles is valid
Problem is, without accepting a bit more risk it will be hard to change the trajectory of the war
vxTwitter / fixvx
💖 265 🔁 83
💖 265 🔁 83
The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent)
⚡US intelligence warns of risks in permitting Ukraine's long-range strikes, NYT reports.
The New York Times cited a previously unreported assessment that downplays the strategic impact the long-range missiles might have on the war.
https://kyivindependent.com/us…
The New York Times cited a previously unreported assessment that downplays the strategic impact the long-range missiles might have on the war.
https://kyivindependent.com/us…
The Lookout (Twitter)
I think the risk of relaxing restrictions on long range strikes is manageable, but that doesn't mean there's no risk at all, as many seem to think.
I think the risk of relaxing restrictions on long range strikes is manageable, but that doesn't mean there's no risk at all, as many seem to think.
Belarusian Hajun project (Twitter)
Yesterday, the media published a news under the headline “Belavia auctions its last Canadian-made plane.” It's about Bombardier CRJ-100 (EW-100PJ), which was put up for auction with a starting bid of $909,000. But is it really the last one?
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Yesterday, the media published a news under the headline “Belavia auctions its last Canadian-made plane.” It's about Bombardier CRJ-100 (EW-100PJ), which was put up for auction with a starting bid of $909,000. But is it really the last one?
1/4
Belarusian Hajun project (Twitter)
The plane is 25+ years old and was regularly operated by Belavia until 2018. Previously, they had 4 more Canadian planes, 2 of which were returned to the lessor, one crashed in Armenia, and one was given to the Belarus State Aviation Academy.
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The plane is 25+ years old and was regularly operated by Belavia until 2018. Previously, they had 4 more Canadian planes, 2 of which were returned to the lessor, one crashed in Armenia, and one was given to the Belarus State Aviation Academy.
2/4
Belarusian Hajun project (Twitter)
But is it correct to call the EW-100PJ the last “Canadian” plane of Belavia? Not really. They forgot that Belavia is the operator (= owner) of another Bombardier plane – Challenger 850 (EW-301PJ).
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But is it correct to call the EW-100PJ the last “Canadian” plane of Belavia? Not really. They forgot that Belavia is the operator (= owner) of another Bombardier plane – Challenger 850 (EW-301PJ).
3/4