Rob Lee (Twitter)
@John_A_Ridge @AlbertoNardelli: Are there any confirmed uses of Iranian ballistic missiles in Ukraine? I may have missed it.
@John_A_Ridge @AlbertoNardelli: Are there any confirmed uses of Iranian ballistic missiles in Ukraine? I may have missed it.
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
I think Biddle is right that authorizing the use of longer-range strikes into Russia wouldn't be decisive on its own, but I also think this is an unfair burden to apply to the delivery of weapons or restrictions. People often say sanctions are ineffective if they fail to deter or stop a war, but they can still make it more difficult for the target to wage that war.
I think Biddle is right that authorizing the use of longer-range strikes into Russia wouldn't be decisive on its own, but I also think this is an unfair burden to apply to the delivery of weapons or restrictions. People often say sanctions are ineffective if they fail to deter or stop a war, but they can still make it more difficult for the target to wage that war.
vxTwitter / fixvx
Foreign Affairs (@ForeignAffairs)
The West is currently restricting Ukraine’s ability to hit targets far behind the front, fearing that deep strikes would be unduly escalatory, writes Stephen Biddle. What would happen if Kyiv could conduct more extensive deep strikes?
https://www.foreig…
https://www.foreig…
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Most of Russia's Su-34 glide bomb carriers are no longer operated from airbases within ATACMS or Storm Shadow range; however, the S-300/S-400 that struck Kharkiv yesterday would be within range of ATACMS, and air defenses have a priority ATACMS target in occupied areas. One of the main benefits of allowing HIMARS' GMLRS strikes into Russian territory after the Kharkiv offensive began was that Kharkiv gained a reprieve from S-300/S-400 strikes. It seems that is no longer the case.
Most of Russia's Su-34 glide bomb carriers are no longer operated from airbases within ATACMS or Storm Shadow range; however, the S-300/S-400 that struck Kharkiv yesterday would be within range of ATACMS, and air defenses have a priority ATACMS target in occupied areas. One of the main benefits of allowing HIMARS' GMLRS strikes into Russian territory after the Kharkiv offensive began was that Kharkiv gained a reprieve from S-300/S-400 strikes. It seems that is no longer the case.
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
Of course, allowing these strikes would help Ukraine hold the buffer zone in Kursk, which could become more difficult this winter. It's also worth noting that Ukraine's campaign of targeting Russian infrastructure is being accomplished with Ukrainian-built UAVs and missiles.
Of course, allowing these strikes would help Ukraine hold the buffer zone in Kursk, which could become more difficult this winter. It's also worth noting that Ukraine's campaign of targeting Russian infrastructure is being accomplished with Ukrainian-built UAVs and missiles.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
There likely isn't a single silver bullet that will prove decisive, but new capabilities can be additive, which, when employed together effectively, can achieve greater effects. It is also critical for Ukraine's supporters to look for options to help Ukraine compensate for Russia's advantages.
There likely isn't a single silver bullet that will prove decisive, but new capabilities can be additive, which, when employed together effectively, can achieve greater effects. It is also critical for Ukraine's supporters to look for options to help Ukraine compensate for Russia's advantages.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Russian forces are attacking from both flanks of Vuhledar. https://twitter.com/Deepstate_UA/status/1830657321812574291#m
Russian forces are attacking from both flanks of Vuhledar. https://twitter.com/Deepstate_UA/status/1830657321812574291#m
Rob Lee (Twitter)
RT @kromark: The fire at the Proletarsk oil depot finally extinguished on the 16th day, as shown by a @planet sat image taken today. Local authorities have confirmed. Although the low-res image is not ideal for damage assessment, I would estimate that 30+ tanks have been damaged or destroyed.
RT @kromark: The fire at the Proletarsk oil depot finally extinguished on the 16th day, as shown by a @planet sat image taken today. Local authorities have confirmed. Although the low-res image is not ideal for damage assessment, I would estimate that 30+ tanks have been damaged or destroyed.
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Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (Twitter)
/17. Final satellite images of the aftermath of the drone attack on the Russian oil depot in Proletarsk.
Only this morning Russians officially said that the fire was extinguished.
t.me/radiosvoboda/67620
/17. Final satellite images of the aftermath of the drone attack on the Russian oil depot in Proletarsk.
Only this morning Russians officially said that the fire was extinguished.
t.me/radiosvoboda/67620
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tom (Twitter)
@aaronbateman22: 1980s spy satellite vs. Modern day commercial imagery.
Modern day spy satellites are probably being used to count the freckles on the sub commander’s head https://twitter.com/CORONAGAMBIT/status/1830611054399013058#m
@aaronbateman22: 1980s spy satellite vs. Modern day commercial imagery.
Modern day spy satellites are probably being used to count the freckles on the sub commander’s head https://twitter.com/CORONAGAMBIT/status/1830611054399013058#m
The Lookout (Twitter)
RT @kromark: The fire at the Proletarsk oil depot finally extinguished on the 16th day, as shown by a @planet sat image taken today. Local authorities have confirmed. Although the low-res image is not ideal for damage assessment, I would estimate that 30+ tanks have been damaged or destroyed.
RT @kromark: The fire at the Proletarsk oil depot finally extinguished on the 16th day, as shown by a @planet sat image taken today. Local authorities have confirmed. Although the low-res image is not ideal for damage assessment, I would estimate that 30+ tanks have been damaged or destroyed.
The Lookout (Twitter)
@vpkivimaki: I think it's natural that they update their chart to match the new terrain, with stoking nuclear anxiety as an intentional side effect.
@vpkivimaki: I think it's natural that they update their chart to match the new terrain, with stoking nuclear anxiety as an intentional side effect.
Belarusian Hajun project (Twitter)
What is known about the redeployment of Belarusian military equipment with the “B” symbol to the border area? Commentary by Belarusian Hajun
1/6
What is known about the redeployment of Belarusian military equipment with the “B” symbol to the border area? Commentary by Belarusian Hajun
1/6
Belarusian Hajun project (Twitter)
Last week, a number of Telegram channels (mostly Russian) published photos of military equipment of the Belarusian Armed Forces with the “B” tactical symbol on it – tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers, artillery systems, etc.
2/6
Last week, a number of Telegram channels (mostly Russian) published photos of military equipment of the Belarusian Armed Forces with the “B” tactical symbol on it – tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers, artillery systems, etc.
2/6
Belarusian Hajun project (Twitter)
Many resources noted that the equipment was being redeployed to the border with Ukraine, while others linked the “B” on the equipment to PMC Wagner.
3/6
Many resources noted that the equipment was being redeployed to the border with Ukraine, while others linked the “B” on the equipment to PMC Wagner.
3/6
Belarusian Hajun project (Twitter)
The source of the photos was one of the Telegram channels linked to the Belarusian military. However, the channel’s publications didn’t mention the redeployment of equipment with the “B” symbol to the border with Ukraine.
4/6
The source of the photos was one of the Telegram channels linked to the Belarusian military. However, the channel’s publications didn’t mention the redeployment of equipment with the “B” symbol to the border with Ukraine.
4/6
Belarusian Hajun project (Twitter)
According to @Hajun_BY, the photos of the equipment with “B” are not related to the group of the Belarusian Armed Forces stationed in the area bordering Ukraine. The vast majority of equipment belongs to the 6th Mechanized Brigade (military unit 05733, Hrodna).
5/6
According to @Hajun_BY, the photos of the equipment with “B” are not related to the group of the Belarusian Armed Forces stationed in the area bordering Ukraine. The vast majority of equipment belongs to the 6th Mechanized Brigade (military unit 05733, Hrodna).
5/6
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