Rob Lee (Twitter)
Graphs are only as good as the data they use and the pre-war figures are not high confidence assessments (I’ve tried). These kind of graphs often give people a false confidence in their understanding of the situation without mentioning the problems with the data they rely on.
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@Rebel44CZ:
IMO, this article based on the @kielinstitute data that also cites our (@oryxspioenkop ) data is the work of people who are bad at math and missed multiple factors that invalidate their work.
https://t.co/mAA8E4NrOL
Graphs are only as good as the data they use and the pre-war figures are not high confidence assessments (I’ve tried). These kind of graphs often give people a false confidence in their understanding of the situation without mentioning the problems with the data they rely on.
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@Rebel44CZ:
IMO, this article based on the @kielinstitute data that also cites our (@oryxspioenkop ) data is the work of people who are bad at math and missed multiple factors that invalidate their work.
https://t.co/mAA8E4NrOL
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
If you add multiple low-to-medium confidence estimates together, you get an even lower confidence assessment. We can make better estimates of certain tank models but the overall figure will be very rough. Assessing changes in how Russia is using tanks might be a better option.
If you add multiple low-to-medium confidence estimates together, you get an even lower confidence assessment. We can make better estimates of certain tank models but the overall figure will be very rough. Assessing changes in how Russia is using tanks might be a better option.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@BretDevereaux @SashoTodorov1 We often use data sources that are more observable than most relevant to answer questions.
@BretDevereaux @SashoTodorov1 We often use data sources that are more observable than most relevant to answer questions.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
RT @KofmanMichael: A few thoughts on DPICM. Providing cluster munitions to Ukraine, at this stage, could have a significant impact beyond what other capabilities might achieve. Despite the drawbacks, unlocking this stockpile has important implications for the course of Ukraine's offensive. 1/
RT @KofmanMichael: A few thoughts on DPICM. Providing cluster munitions to Ukraine, at this stage, could have a significant impact beyond what other capabilities might achieve. Despite the drawbacks, unlocking this stockpile has important implications for the course of Ukraine's offensive. 1/
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Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
@WarMonitors @russophileLs I knew they were going to be garbage at invading Ukraine 🇺🇦 but most of my friends looking at the news thought Ukraine would lose Kyiv quickly
@WarMonitors @russophileLs I knew they were going to be garbage at invading Ukraine 🇺🇦 but most of my friends looking at the news thought Ukraine would lose Kyiv quickly
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
@AlexHum44243958 @TheLemon747 @sentdefender Just because something looks the same doesn’t mean it’s the same or can function in the same way. In this case, it was a cardboard box that they shot down.
@AlexHum44243958 @TheLemon747 @sentdefender Just because something looks the same doesn’t mean it’s the same or can function in the same way. In this case, it was a cardboard box that they shot down.
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
@mexic0la_ Because WarGonzo died in a trench a couple of weeks ago when he ran up on a Ukrainian Soldier unexpectedly
@mexic0la_ Because WarGonzo died in a trench a couple of weeks ago when he ran up on a Ukrainian Soldier unexpectedly
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Necro Mancer (Twitter)
#Иваново, развлекушки на похоронах экипажа Ил-22, убитого героями РФ https://t.me/fighter_bomber/13075 #вксрф #потерьнет #мятежПригожина
#Иваново, развлекушки на похоронах экипажа Ил-22, убитого героями РФ https://t.me/fighter_bomber/13075 #вксрф #потерьнет #мятежПригожина
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Necro Mancer (Twitter)
Ну и список "везунчиков" из экипажа Ил-22 (Ил-18) номер "RF-75917" с картинками https://vk.com/wall-120452036_15733 #вксрф #потерьнет #груз200 #мятежПригожина
Ну и список "везунчиков" из экипажа Ил-22 (Ил-18) номер "RF-75917" с картинками https://vk.com/wall-120452036_15733 #вксрф #потерьнет #груз200 #мятежПригожина
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Necro Mancer (Twitter)
@Vladymyr4727454 Конкретно эта совсем пустая, там в комментариях к видео это есть
@Vladymyr4727454 Конкретно эта совсем пустая, там в комментариях к видео это есть
Necro Mancer (Twitter)
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@KharkivSector:
@666_mancer @hrw у меня во дворе такое валялось пару дней, пока не забрали ДСНС. и так было по всей Салтовке в Харькове, куда прилетели сотни или тысячи ураганов с кассетами. их разрывы легко определялись на слух. https://t.co/xVjzl7Pvsf
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@KharkivSector:
@666_mancer @hrw у меня во дворе такое валялось пару дней, пока не забрали ДСНС. и так было по всей Салтовке в Харькове, куда прилетели сотни или тысячи ураганов с кассетами. их разрывы легко определялись на слух. https://t.co/xVjzl7Pvsf
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Def Mon (Twitter)
RT @KofmanMichael: A few thoughts on DPICM. Providing cluster munitions to Ukraine, at this stage, could have a significant impact beyond what other capabilities might achieve. Despite the drawbacks, unlocking this stockpile has important implications for the course of Ukraine's offensive. 1/
RT @KofmanMichael: A few thoughts on DPICM. Providing cluster munitions to Ukraine, at this stage, could have a significant impact beyond what other capabilities might achieve. Despite the drawbacks, unlocking this stockpile has important implications for the course of Ukraine's offensive. 1/