Rob Lee (Twitter)
RT @KevinRothrock: Fascinating essay by analyst @baunov, who argues that military failures in Ukraine have turbo-charged anti-elite sentiment inside Russia, fueling demands for the USSR 3.0, forcing Putin into a vulnerable position of defending the elites & market economy. https://carnegieendowment.org/politika/90036
RT @KevinRothrock: Fascinating essay by analyst @baunov, who argues that military failures in Ukraine have turbo-charged anti-elite sentiment inside Russia, fueling demands for the USSR 3.0, forcing Putin into a vulnerable position of defending the elites & market economy. https://carnegieendowment.org/politika/90036
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Война вовнутрь. На что рассчитывает Пригожин
После начала вооруженного мятежа задачу Пригожина можно сформулировать так: стать вторым не после Путина, а вместо Путина — не сместить, а заместить его собой
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@DAlperovitch Agreed, and I don't think those terms are tenable. Wagner depends on Russian government support. Would they allow it to keep operating in Africa if the leadership moved to Belarus?
@DAlperovitch Agreed, and I don't think those terms are tenable. Wagner depends on Russian government support. Would they allow it to keep operating in Africa if the leadership moved to Belarus?
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@DAlperovitch Well, I think it was possible that Wagner would simply refocus on Africa after Bakhmut. Their role in Ukraine wasn't completely clear, particularly after the MoD took over most of the recruitment of convicts. But the move to subordinate them threatened everything.
@DAlperovitch Well, I think it was possible that Wagner would simply refocus on Africa after Bakhmut. Their role in Ukraine wasn't completely clear, particularly after the MoD took over most of the recruitment of convicts. But the move to subordinate them threatened everything.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Some people disagreed about whether "coup" is the right term. This wasn't an attempt at overthrowing Putin. I think the main goal was to prevent Wagner from losing its independence and keeping the status quo. It was coercive. Mutiny seems to fit better. 6/
-----------
@RALee85:
I wouldn't call this a coup because the purpose was not to replace Putin. It was an attempt to prevent Wagner from being subordinated to the MoD and Prigozhin from losing his position of power. It was a means of forcing Putin to cave on this issue and to get his attention. 6/
Some people disagreed about whether "coup" is the right term. This wasn't an attempt at overthrowing Putin. I think the main goal was to prevent Wagner from losing its independence and keeping the status quo. It was coercive. Mutiny seems to fit better. 6/
-----------
@RALee85:
I wouldn't call this a coup because the purpose was not to replace Putin. It was an attempt to prevent Wagner from being subordinated to the MoD and Prigozhin from losing his position of power. It was a means of forcing Putin to cave on this issue and to get his attention. 6/
Twitter
I wouldn't call this a coup because the purpose was not to replace Putin. It was an attempt to prevent Wagner from being subordinated to the MoD and Prigozhin from losing his position of power. It was a means of forcing Putin to cave on this issue and to…
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@BO3673 Why call it off so early, especially if the concessions achieved were so limited? Why go to Rostov first and divide your forces?
@BO3673 Why call it off so early, especially if the concessions achieved were so limited? Why go to Rostov first and divide your forces?
IgorGirkin (Twitter)
RT @dw_russian: Германия поставит Украине еще 45 ЗСУ "Гепард" до конца года в дополнение к 34 уже переданным зенитным самоходным установкам. Об этом, как пишет Die Welt, сообщили в Минобороны ФРГ. Там назвали систему ПВО ключевым звеном в нынешнем контрнаступлении украинской армии https://twitter.com/dw_russian/status/1672840224487997441/photo/1
RT @dw_russian: Германия поставит Украине еще 45 ЗСУ "Гепард" до конца года в дополнение к 34 уже переданным зенитным самоходным установкам. Об этом, как пишет Die Welt, сообщили в Минобороны ФРГ. Там назвали систему ПВО ключевым звеном в нынешнем контрнаступлении украинской армии https://twitter.com/dw_russian/status/1672840224487997441/photo/1
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@BO3673 There have been some pretty bloody mutinies, and this was basically a response to an order they didn't like.
@BO3673 There have been some pretty bloody mutinies, and this was basically a response to an order they didn't like.
Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (Twitter)
Comparison of the audience reaction to the statements of
Wagner commander, Prigogine.
1) Announcement of the uprising.
2) The decision to end the uprising.
Comparison of the audience reaction to the statements of
Wagner commander, Prigogine.
1) Announcement of the uprising.
2) The decision to end the uprising.
Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (Twitter)
🇩🇪, in cooperation with 🇺🇸 , intends to transfer ~45 Gepard self-propelled anti-aircraft systems to 🇺🇦 by the end of the year. 15 Gepards will be delivered in the coming weeks and up to 30 more by the end of the year in cooperation with 🇺🇸- Welt.
https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/plus246031950/Deutscher-Brigadegeneral-Die-Russen-haben-dazugelernt.html
🇩🇪, in cooperation with 🇺🇸 , intends to transfer ~45 Gepard self-propelled anti-aircraft systems to 🇺🇦 by the end of the year. 15 Gepards will be delivered in the coming weeks and up to 30 more by the end of the year in cooperation with 🇺🇸- Welt.
https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/plus246031950/Deutscher-Brigadegeneral-Die-Russen-haben-dazugelernt.html
Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (Twitter)
/2. At the moment, Germany has already transferred 34 Gepards to Ukraine.
The publication also reminded that Germany will transfer two more IRIS-T SLM anti-aircraft missile systems to Ukraine by the end of 2023, and four more next year.
/2. At the moment, Germany has already transferred 34 Gepards to Ukraine.
The publication also reminded that Germany will transfer two more IRIS-T SLM anti-aircraft missile systems to Ukraine by the end of 2023, and four more next year.
The Lookout (Twitter)
RT @RALee85: Some early thoughts:
-More questions than answers
-Short-term compromise ≠ long-term solution
-This was a mutiny not a coup
-Too soon to say Putin will fall anytime soon
-Not clear this will affect Ukraine's offensive
-The previous Kremlin-Wagner relationship is over
RT @RALee85: Some early thoughts:
-More questions than answers
-Short-term compromise ≠ long-term solution
-This was a mutiny not a coup
-Too soon to say Putin will fall anytime soon
-Not clear this will affect Ukraine's offensive
-The previous Kremlin-Wagner relationship is over
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@buileshuibhne @DAlperovitch And Belarus arrested Wagner members a few years ago. I don't think the terms Peskov laid out are how this will turn out, and I'm not sure that was what Prigozhin agreed to.
@buileshuibhne @DAlperovitch And Belarus arrested Wagner members a few years ago. I don't think the terms Peskov laid out are how this will turn out, and I'm not sure that was what Prigozhin agreed to.
Necro Mancer (Twitter)
Вот тебе и вторая выгода (с)
#мятежПригожина
-----------
@the_ins_ru:
Пожар на воронежской нефтебазе, в которую «вагнеровцы» попали из ПЗРК, удалось потушить через 12 часов https://t.co/G7tY7E3MFj
Вот тебе и вторая выгода (с)
#мятежПригожина
-----------
@the_ins_ru:
Пожар на воронежской нефтебазе, в которую «вагнеровцы» попали из ПЗРК, удалось потушить через 12 часов https://t.co/G7tY7E3MFj
Twitter
Пожар на воронежской нефтебазе, в которую «вагнеровцы» попали из ПЗРК, удалось потушить через 12 часов https://t.co/G7tY7E3MFj
Necro Mancer (Twitter)
Страна 404, как она есть. Или как просрать 2 военных аэродрома кучке уголовников.
ЗЫ: ФБ, ты чо, обиделся, что ли?
https://t.me/fighter_bomber/12908 https://t.me/fighter_bomber/12909 #мятежПригожина
Страна 404, как она есть. Или как просрать 2 военных аэродрома кучке уголовников.
ЗЫ: ФБ, ты чо, обиделся, что ли?
https://t.me/fighter_bomber/12908 https://t.me/fighter_bomber/12909 #мятежПригожина
Necro Mancer (Twitter)
Просто мимо летели, никого не трогали (с)
https://t.me/milhelipilot/1283 #вксрф #потерьнет #мятежПригожина #Вагнер
Просто мимо летели, никого не трогали (с)
https://t.me/milhelipilot/1283 #вксрф #потерьнет #мятежПригожина #Вагнер