Rob Lee (Twitter)
And there was no Wagner presence down in the south where the heaviest fighting has taken place this month. Wagner is designed for assaults and not for defensive operations. It was never clear what role they would play during Ukraine's counteroffensive.
And there was no Wagner presence down in the south where the heaviest fighting has taken place this month. Wagner is designed for assaults and not for defensive operations. It was never clear what role they would play during Ukraine's counteroffensive.
Def Mon (Twitter)
RT @RALee85: Wagner forces were replaced in Bakhmut at the end of May-early June. I don't think any Wagner troops are currently on the front lines, or were pulled from there for this event. Not clear this event will have any immediate direct effect on the battlefield.
RT @RALee85: Wagner forces were replaced in Bakhmut at the end of May-early June. I don't think any Wagner troops are currently on the front lines, or were pulled from there for this event. Not clear this event will have any immediate direct effect on the battlefield.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
I was trying to find something funny to say, but I don't think I can top the joke this guy is.
I was trying to find something funny to say, but I don't think I can top the joke this guy is.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
RT @KevinRothrock: Hours before this scene, Putin gave a national speech where he called Prigozhin's actions a "stab in the back" that threatened Russia's very statehood. An this is how locals in Rostov saw him off tonight. https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1672743334324973569/photo/1
RT @KevinRothrock: Hours before this scene, Putin gave a national speech where he called Prigozhin's actions a "stab in the back" that threatened Russia's very statehood. An this is how locals in Rostov saw him off tonight. https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1672743334324973569/photo/1
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
Some early thoughts:
-More questions than answers
-Short-term compromise ≠ long-term solution
-This was a mutiny not a coup
-Too soon to say Putin will fall anytime soon
-Not clear this will affect Ukraine's offensive
-The previous Kremlin-Wagner relationship is over
Some early thoughts:
-More questions than answers
-Short-term compromise ≠ long-term solution
-This was a mutiny not a coup
-Too soon to say Putin will fall anytime soon
-Not clear this will affect Ukraine's offensive
-The previous Kremlin-Wagner relationship is over
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
-Likely an attempt by Prigozhin/Wagner to keep their independence and not be subordinated to the MoD
-May have succeeded in the short-term but probably won't in the long-term
-The terms of the agreement aren't clear but these probably aren't a solution
2/
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@maxseddon:
Kremlin spox Dmitry Peskov:
– charges dropped against Prigozhin, who will leave Russia for Belarus
– Wagner fighters who didn't take part in the uprising will sign contracts with the MOD
– Wagner fighters who did take part not charged
– No word on potential MOD leadership changes
-Likely an attempt by Prigozhin/Wagner to keep their independence and not be subordinated to the MoD
-May have succeeded in the short-term but probably won't in the long-term
-The terms of the agreement aren't clear but these probably aren't a solution
2/
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@maxseddon:
Kremlin spox Dmitry Peskov:
– charges dropped against Prigozhin, who will leave Russia for Belarus
– Wagner fighters who didn't take part in the uprising will sign contracts with the MOD
– Wagner fighters who did take part not charged
– No word on potential MOD leadership changes
Twitter
Kremlin spox Dmitry Peskov:
– charges dropped against Prigozhin, who will leave Russia for Belarus
– Wagner fighters who didn't take part in the uprising will sign contracts with the MOD
– Wagner fighters who did take part not charged
– No word on potential…
– charges dropped against Prigozhin, who will leave Russia for Belarus
– Wagner fighters who didn't take part in the uprising will sign contracts with the MOD
– Wagner fighters who did take part not charged
– No word on potential…
Rob Lee (Twitter)
-What started as a factional dispute between powerful Russian figures became a public challenge to Putin
-This event was designed to get Putin's attention
-Possibly one of the worst days in the Russian Air Force's history and caused by Russians
3/
-What started as a factional dispute between powerful Russian figures became a public challenge to Putin
-This event was designed to get Putin's attention
-Possibly one of the worst days in the Russian Air Force's history and caused by Russians
3/
Rob Lee (Twitter)
-Wagner-Russian military cooperation will likely suffer
-Putin and the MoD's leadership look weak
-Prigozhin likely alienated many pro-war figures for doing this while Russian soldiers are defending against an offensive and killing Russian airmen
4/
-Wagner-Russian military cooperation will likely suffer
-Putin and the MoD's leadership look weak
-Prigozhin likely alienated many pro-war figures for doing this while Russian soldiers are defending against an offensive and killing Russian airmen
4/
Rob Lee (Twitter)
-There is a difference between soldiers and police not shooting at Wagner and joining them
-Putin and the security services will likely try to weaken Wagner or remove Prigozhin
-Given Wagner's presence overseas, the greatest effects from this event may be felt in MENA/Africa
5/
-There is a difference between soldiers and police not shooting at Wagner and joining them
-Putin and the security services will likely try to weaken Wagner or remove Prigozhin
-Given Wagner's presence overseas, the greatest effects from this event may be felt in MENA/Africa
5/
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Dan (Twitter)
RT @Tatarigami_UA: The "Fighterbomber" channel, overseen by a former russian Air Force officer, claims that russia has incurred losses during this mutiny, including:
3 х Мi-8 MTPR
1 х Мi-8
1 х Ka-52
1 х Мi-35
1 х IL-18 VZPU
RT @Tatarigami_UA: The "Fighterbomber" channel, overseen by a former russian Air Force officer, claims that russia has incurred losses during this mutiny, including:
3 х Мi-8 MTPR
1 х Мi-8
1 х Ka-52
1 х Мi-35
1 х IL-18 VZPU
Dan (Twitter)
From below:
'Furthermore, this upheaval exposes the inherent weakness within the system itself. Numerous senior officers responsible for decision-making chose to abstain from issuing orders or making decisive moves, opting to wait for the outcome.'
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@Tatarigami_UA:
My thoughts, and brief summary on the situation:
The recent events have sparked contemplation on whether Prigozhin will endure the aftermath or succumb to its consequences. However, there is no doubt that this rebellion carries far-reaching implications.
From both external and… https://t.co/uWI8pn3ZO8 https://t.co/65KRIjYvsY
From below:
'Furthermore, this upheaval exposes the inherent weakness within the system itself. Numerous senior officers responsible for decision-making chose to abstain from issuing orders or making decisive moves, opting to wait for the outcome.'
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@Tatarigami_UA:
My thoughts, and brief summary on the situation:
The recent events have sparked contemplation on whether Prigozhin will endure the aftermath or succumb to its consequences. However, there is no doubt that this rebellion carries far-reaching implications.
From both external and… https://t.co/uWI8pn3ZO8 https://t.co/65KRIjYvsY
👍1
Dan (Twitter)
RT @osint_east: He's the weakest now that he has ever been. The entire state narrative is crushed. Everyone will be expecting gains out of leadership changes in the MoD, 10,000s of Russian soldiers and contractors are disgruntled, or confused. The real picture unfolds as the long cons manifest.
RT @osint_east: He's the weakest now that he has ever been. The entire state narrative is crushed. Everyone will be expecting gains out of leadership changes in the MoD, 10,000s of Russian soldiers and contractors are disgruntled, or confused. The real picture unfolds as the long cons manifest.
Dan (Twitter)
RT @OAlexanderDK: Groundbreaking insight from Geopolitical expert Ian “Malaysian Eunuch” Miles Cheong
RT @OAlexanderDK: Groundbreaking insight from Geopolitical expert Ian “Malaysian Eunuch” Miles Cheong
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@KimberlyMarten @Gerashchenko_en Reportedly from 2017.
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@RALee85:
Photo of Wagner’s Dmitry Utkin.
https://t.co/QtC21FMGiW https://t.co/rP0GD9i51L
@KimberlyMarten @Gerashchenko_en Reportedly from 2017.
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@RALee85:
Photo of Wagner’s Dmitry Utkin.
https://t.co/QtC21FMGiW https://t.co/rP0GD9i51L
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Dan (Twitter)
RT @olliecarroll: That should be the end of that. Putin doesn’t tend to hold grudges. Happy ever after.
RT @olliecarroll: That should be the end of that. Putin doesn’t tend to hold grudges. Happy ever after.