GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

Wagnerite rebellion situational update:

Elements of Wagner have left the Highway M-02, 310km from Moscow.

So two big groups, one somewhere in the area there, one in Rostov.
Probably to take some rest before the final push.
Also giving once more the opportunity to the Russian… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1672661742248181761

Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (Twitter)

@Klidumil It’s fake telegram.

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

И что, это всё? Пригожин лох какой-то. Или суицидник, я даже и не знаю https://t.me/concordgroup_official/1303 #мятежПригожина

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

After Prigozhin stated Wagner Forces will stop advancing and retreat back to their bases, this is the furthest extent to which the Wagner PMC had advanced toward Moscow

Wagner Forces advanced about 400km from Ukraine toward Moscow, and were 190km away from entering Moscow Oblast

Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (Twitter)

/2. Just in case. This photo which is circulating on Twitter right now is a fake telegram chanel.

Def Mon (Twitter)

I don't think they can just go on as normal and pretend this never happened. If they do, what is gonna happen the next time Prigo is unhappy?

The Lookout (Twitter)

Sentinel-2 imagery from Kola, at approx 1000z today, shows that 7 SSBNs (1 being the decommissioned Ekaterinburg) were alongside at that time, leaving only 1 at sea pr the criterias outlined in my SSBN article.

This is within normal patterns.

Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (Twitter)

Now seriously, Wagner shot down somewhere around 6 Ru 🚁 and 1 ✈️, killing Ru pilots. Putin called Prigozhin a traitor, and called his actions "a stab in the back of Russia."
And now there are signs that Putin is going to make concessions and a truce with him.
Nice prank, bro👌

GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

Wagnerite rebellion situational update: It seems to be over.

Prighozhin stated in a phone call that his troops will turn around, back to the field camps. (...) He came to an agreement with President Lukashenko, who was the negotiator.

more info:

This… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1672665950355701761
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@wartranslated:
Prigozhin says it's over:

"They were going to dismantle PMC Wagner. We came out on 23 June to the March of Justice. In a day, we walked to nearly 200km away from Moscow. In this time, we did not spill a single drop of blood of our fighters. Now, the moment has come when blood… https://t.co/FCzLBzNmKm

The Lookout (Twitter)

Severomorsk earlier today:

The Slava-class CG Marshal Ustinov is missing, having recently departed. An Udaloy-class DDG is also missing.

This is also within normal patterns.

4emberlen (Twitter)

Коротко про пригожина

‌Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

Due to Prigozhin's decision to stop Wagner Forces from advancing further and attacking Russian Territory:

-There will be major changes in Russia's Defense Ministry leadership, including guaranteeing the security of the Wagner Group

-The Russian Federal Security Service has… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1672671148981510148

‌GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

This thread will be closed.

We will resume with our normal GeoConfirmed posting.

Result: Prighozhin has probably what he wanted.

Thank you for reading our updates.
I want to thank especially all volunteers for helping with the 24/24 reporting and map updates.

THANKS.
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@GeoConfirmed:
Update:
The short version: The Wagner rebellion seems to be real.

Long version: Based on
- the amount of messages from Wagner and Russian sources;
- the activation of the Rosvgardia in Rostov (to stop Wagner);
- the language used by the ministry of Defense;
- the National… https://t.co/Bx9NvQ81HU

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

@TaranAlexius Но не все

The Lookout (Twitter)

I'll do a writeup of the rest.

Zapadnaya Litsa: Both Yasens and 1 Oscar-II missing, presumably at sea.

Olenya Guba: Delta Stretch SSAN Podmoskovye still missing. Yantar also missing, possibly located in Motovsky Bay.

As a reminder, I don't give SSN estimates due to low res.

The Lookout (Twitter)

To sum up: Today's Sentinel-2 pass shows normal Saturday for the Northern Fleet.

Идзанаги 🇺🇦 🇰🇿 (Twitter)

Цікаве інформаційне затишшя від деяких українських бригад. Але робота ведеться. Мені здається, що ось так краще. Суспільство зовсім змістило фокус своєї уваги, поки наші війська активно працюють в зручній тиші. Надіюся на позитивні зрушення на фронті✊🇺🇦

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

This is what searches by the FSB at Prigozhin’s Offices turned up, hundreds of thousands of Russian Rubles, I mean US 🇺🇸 Dollars

‌Rob Lee (Twitter)

I think the catalyst for this was the move by the MoD to force all PMCs to sign contracts with them, which likely had Putin's support. There might be a short-term compromise or truce, but I don't think things can go back to normal after this.
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@wartranslated:
Prigozhin says it's over:

"They were going to dismantle PMC Wagner. We came out on 23 June to the March of Justice. In a day, we walked to nearly 200km away from Moscow. In this time, we did not spill a single drop of blood of our fighters. Now, the moment has come when blood… https://t.co/FCzLBzNmKm

Rob Lee (Twitter)

The timing was as bad as possible for the MoD. They are heavily committed trying to hold back Ukraine's counteroffensive. That's why Wagner could move so fast with a relatively small force, but the optics for Wagner are very bad. Particularly, if Ukraine makes gains this week. 2/