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Стриминг твитов о российско-украинской войне в ТГ; иногда сообщения также постятся и редактируются вручную
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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

The strikes:

Two different explosions.
We asked some experts what they think this is:

Based on the fact that you see an explosion above the treeline and that it is very precise they think these are HIMARS strike with Tungsten rounds.

5/X
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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

More information:

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@UAWeapons:
#Ukraine: Ukraine received new rockets for HIMARS/M270- here we can see a pod of M30A1 guided rockets.
M30A1 differs from previously seen M31A1/A2 by an alternative warhead with 182000 preformed spheroid steel/tungsten fragments and is designed to be used against soft targets. https://t.co/iAUkjPuaEn
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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

Did the strikes hit the area?

Based on the angle in the video of the explosion from a distance, and the remnants from the explosion visible on the ground(red), at least one of the impacts was near the vehicles.

8/X
GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

Was this the strike the Pro-Russian sources were talking about?

9/X
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@wartranslated:
Russian sources say that the HIMARS strike that led to hundreds of casualties near Kreminna, it took place earlier today. Involved was the 20th Army and its general, Sukhrab "If they die, they die" Akhmedov, known for last year's Vuhledar kamikaze charge. The Delimkhanov incident… https://t.co/J5Qti4jFpI https://t.co/MgQTuk0mJ1
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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

Other source:

"Russian Telegram channels are saying that a Russian unit was struck by HIMARS this morning on the Kreminna front with ~100 KIA and ~100 WIA. They were reportedly waiting near the front for a speech from a commander for hours."

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@RALee85:
Russian Telegram channels are saying that a Russian unit was struck by HIMARS this morning on the Kreminna front with ~100 KIA and ~100 WIA. They were reportedly waiting near the front for a speech from a commander for hours.
https://t.co/Ws4vvZOPNm
https://t.co/HPmoEMdheJ https://t.co/2wlnUveMwN
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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

"near Kreminna"

"hundreds":
based on the amount of troop transport trucks and other vehicles that are visible on the footage:

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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

"hundreds of casualties"

2 strikes: one near the trucks(behind the treeline) and one more to the right in the forest.

Soldiers waiting for hours will be waiting in the shadow in the forest or will be waiting in the trucks.

13/X
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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

In the last frames of the video you see Russian evacuating a soldier all the way on the other side of were the strikes occurred. So if those soldiers, that far, were impacted by the tungsten rounds, the vehicles and the soldiers under the explosion had no chance.

14/X
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GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

Conclusion:

Based on this analysis and the "pro-Russian" complaints:

This could be indeed one of the deadliest strikes since 24 FEB 2022, resulting in the dead of 100+ Russian soldiers while they were waiting for a speech for hours, 10km from the frontline.

15/X
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Rob Lee (Twitter)

RT @GeoConfirmed: GeoConfirmed UKR.

"Shelling of Russian soldiers and trucks in the forest north of Kreminna."

49.11242, 38.18884

GeoLocated by @Deepstate_UA

Is this the strike with over 100+ KIA's and 100+ WIA's according to Pro-Russian sources?

A thread.

1/X
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Media is too big
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Rob Lee (Twitter)

Video of artillery strikes on Russian troops north of Zhytlivka located by Ukraine’s 1st Special Purpose Brigade. Given the scene and the multiple Ural trucks in a clearing, this is likely the mass casualty event described above. (H/t @GeoConfirmed) 4/
https://t.me/DeepStateUA/16861
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Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

What do you think of the effect that Storm Shadow Missiles are having on the war, and whether Ukraine will get ATACMS?
Rob Lee (Twitter)

@GeoConfirmed 5/
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@GeoConfirmed:
GeoConfirmed UKR.

"Shelling of Russian soldiers and trucks in the forest north of Kreminna."

49.11242, 38.18884

GeoLocated by @Deepstate_UA

Is this the strike with over 100+ KIA's and 100+ WIA's according to Pro-Russian sources?

A thread.

1/X https://t.co/LvxQB67WdK
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