Def Mon (Twitter)
The two most likely scenarios for Bakhmut at this point is:
1. The RU offensive comes to a halt due to attrition and Bakhmut becomes the new Marinka.
2. RuAF rotate forces and manage to do one last push forcing the AFU to withdraw.
The two most likely scenarios for Bakhmut at this point is:
1. The RU offensive comes to a halt due to attrition and Bakhmut becomes the new Marinka.
2. RuAF rotate forces and manage to do one last push forcing the AFU to withdraw.
Def Mon (Twitter)
I still believe the UA position in Bakhmut is favorable. The attrition ratio is not nearly as favorable as it was in December, I'm hearing numbers much lower than those which circulate in western media. However, I believe the ratio have turned slightly in UA favor the last weeks.
I still believe the UA position in Bakhmut is favorable. The attrition ratio is not nearly as favorable as it was in December, I'm hearing numbers much lower than those which circulate in western media. However, I believe the ratio have turned slightly in UA favor the last weeks.
Def Mon (Twitter)
It's pretty simple, when you are being shot at from 3 directions and the enemy are shooting at your GLOC, you are not in a good position. This is still true even if the RU advance have stopped. This is why I've been saying it might be time to leave Bakhmut.
It's pretty simple, when you are being shot at from 3 directions and the enemy are shooting at your GLOC, you are not in a good position. This is still true even if the RU advance have stopped. This is why I've been saying it might be time to leave Bakhmut.
Def Mon (Twitter)
Hopefully UA have a long term plan for Bakhmut and have done the math on the subject. It's possible they see it as a Kursk scenario, and if they have a plan for an upcoming offensive, the math might tell them it's worth it.
Hopefully UA have a long term plan for Bakhmut and have done the math on the subject. It's possible they see it as a Kursk scenario, and if they have a plan for an upcoming offensive, the math might tell them it's worth it.
Def Mon (Twitter)
Geolocated points in Bakhmut used to assess the situation. These are available on the map with links to original post.
Geolocated points in Bakhmut used to assess the situation. These are available on the map with links to original post.
Def Mon (Twitter)
Avdiivka
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Novokalynove, Keramik, Avdiivka, Tonenke, Severne, Vodyane and Pervomaiske. Continued heavy fighting around Avdiivka. https://t.co/LPjVj11xVJ
Avdiivka
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Novokalynove, Keramik, Avdiivka, Tonenke, Severne, Vodyane and Pervomaiske. Continued heavy fighting around Avdiivka. https://t.co/LPjVj11xVJ
Twitter
Avdiivka
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Novokalynove, Keramik, Avdiivka, Tonenke, Severne, Vodyane and Pervomaiske. Continued heavy fighting around Avdiivka.
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Novokalynove, Keramik, Avdiivka, Tonenke, Severne, Vodyane and Pervomaiske. Continued heavy fighting around Avdiivka.
Def Mon (Twitter)
According to RUMINT, UA lost SAM capabilities in the Avdiivka area and it has allowed the Russians to use attack aircraft on medium to high altitude in the area, out of range for MANPADS. This might explain why RuAF have had success.
According to RUMINT, UA lost SAM capabilities in the Avdiivka area and it has allowed the Russians to use attack aircraft on medium to high altitude in the area, out of range for MANPADS. This might explain why RuAF have had success.
Def Mon (Twitter)
It's very likely RuAF will continue to reinforce their success in Avdiivka and it might even be a good excuse for not taking Bakhmut. Remember these words:
"Bakhmut was just a feint"
It's very likely RuAF will continue to reinforce their success in Avdiivka and it might even be a good excuse for not taking Bakhmut. Remember these words:
"Bakhmut was just a feint"
Def Mon (Twitter)
Weekly progress in the Avdiivka area. Kamyanka has most likely been lost, but I do not have visual evidence. Heavy fighting around Stepove and Sjeverne direction. https://t.co/xzYzc1U7CP
Weekly progress in the Avdiivka area. Kamyanka has most likely been lost, but I do not have visual evidence. Heavy fighting around Stepove and Sjeverne direction. https://t.co/xzYzc1U7CP
Twitter
Weekly progress in the Avdiivka area. Kamyanka has most likely been lost, but I do not have visual evidence. Heavy fighting around Stepove and Sjeverne direction.
Def Mon (Twitter)
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Maryinka and Novomykhailivka. According to Crybar AFU have reinforced Pobjeda. https://t.co/SjP82osKa6
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Maryinka and Novomykhailivka. According to Crybar AFU have reinforced Pobjeda. https://t.co/SjP82osKa6
Twitter
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Maryinka and Novomykhailivka. According to Crybar AFU have reinforced Pobjeda.
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Maryinka and Novomykhailivka. According to Crybar AFU have reinforced Pobjeda.
Necro Mancer (Twitter)
@artem_toretskiy Вряд ли сами ракеты тут так сильно отличаются, я просто не уверен, что С-200 в РФ используют ещё
@artem_toretskiy Вряд ли сами ракеты тут так сильно отличаются, я просто не уверен, что С-200 в РФ используют ещё
The Lookout (Twitter)
RT @HoansSolo: The question is not whether Ukraine can hold Bakhmut. Rather whether Ukraine can hold Bakhmut while achieving a favorable ratio of attrition plus expend fewer munitions than it has over the past two months.
RT @HoansSolo: The question is not whether Ukraine can hold Bakhmut. Rather whether Ukraine can hold Bakhmut while achieving a favorable ratio of attrition plus expend fewer munitions than it has over the past two months.
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Necro Mancer (Twitter)
#Новомихайловка, Марьинский р-н, Донецкая обл., рашисты атакуют https://t.me/operativnoZSU/87274 #RussianUkrainianWar
#Новомихайловка, Марьинский р-н, Донецкая обл., рашисты атакуют https://t.me/operativnoZSU/87274 #RussianUkrainianWar
Necro Mancer (Twitter)
Локация: Новомихайловка (https://goo.gl/maps/CnKZjmZ6UxoHhmMS9), Марьинский р-н, Донецкая обл. https://t.me/creamy_caprice/436
Локация: Новомихайловка (https://goo.gl/maps/CnKZjmZ6UxoHhmMS9), Марьинский р-н, Донецкая обл. https://t.me/creamy_caprice/436