MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
▫️20:20. The same column was moving along the M14 highway towards the intersection with the M6 highway.
14/27
▫️20:20. The same column was moving along the M14 highway towards the intersection with the M6 highway.
14/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
11) 10:00. Belarusian military vehicles (several tilt-covered Ural trucks (one with a field kitchen), GAZ-66, several KamAZ trucks (KUNG)) were seen in Ros’ (Vaukavysk district, Hrodna region).
15/27
11) 10:00. Belarusian military vehicles (several tilt-covered Ural trucks (one with a field kitchen), GAZ-66, several KamAZ trucks (KUNG)) were seen in Ros’ (Vaukavysk district, Hrodna region).
15/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
12) 10:20. A column of the Russian Armed Forces with about 18 tilt-covered Ural trucks, 5 fuel trucks was moving from Baranavichy towards Liakhavichy along the R4 highway.
16/27
12) 10:20. A column of the Russian Armed Forces with about 18 tilt-covered Ural trucks, 5 fuel trucks was moving from Baranavichy towards Liakhavichy along the R4 highway.
16/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
▫️12:00. The same column was moving from Siniauka (Kletsk district, Minsk region) towards Hantsavichy along the R13 highway.
▫️15:00. The column was seen at the intersection of the M10 and R13 highways, moving back.
17/27
▫️12:00. The same column was moving from Siniauka (Kletsk district, Minsk region) towards Hantsavichy along the R13 highway.
▫️15:00. The column was seen at the intersection of the M10 and R13 highways, moving back.
17/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
▫️17:45. The same column was seen on the R13 highway from Hantsavichy towards Siniauka.
13) 11:30. 2 training dropside Ural trucks and 2 Ural trucks (KUNG) were moving in Minsk towards the M9 highway.
18/27
▫️17:45. The same column was seen on the R13 highway from Hantsavichy towards Siniauka.
13) 11:30. 2 training dropside Ural trucks and 2 Ural trucks (KUNG) were moving in Minsk towards the M9 highway.
18/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
14) 12:03. A-50U AEW&C aircraft (RF-93966) took off from Machulishchy airfield.
▫️12:30. Russian MiG-31K (RF-92215) took off fro Machulishchy airfield. Landed at 14:15.
▫️14:37. A-50U AEW&C aircraft (RF-93966) landed at Machulishchy airfield.
19/27
14) 12:03. A-50U AEW&C aircraft (RF-93966) took off from Machulishchy airfield.
▫️12:30. Russian MiG-31K (RF-92215) took off fro Machulishchy airfield. Landed at 14:15.
▫️14:37. A-50U AEW&C aircraft (RF-93966) landed at Machulishchy airfield.
19/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
15) 12:00-15:00. Training flights were held at Lida airfield.
16) 12:15. A helicopter was spotted over Vialiki Bokau (Mazyr district).
17) 13:00. An Ural truck (KUNG) and Rys’ armored vehicle of the Russian Armed Forces were seen in Vitsebsk.
20/27
15) 12:00-15:00. Training flights were held at Lida airfield.
16) 12:15. A helicopter was spotted over Vialiki Bokau (Mazyr district).
17) 13:00. An Ural truck (KUNG) and Rys’ armored vehicle of the Russian Armed Forces were seen in Vitsebsk.
20/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
18) 15:00. An echelon of the Russian Armed Forces was moving from Luninets station towards Pinsk station. The echelon included about 23 T-80 tanks, 8 fuel trucks, 9 trucks (Ural and KamAZ), 2 passenger cars and 7 freight cars.
21/27
18) 15:00. An echelon of the Russian Armed Forces was moving from Luninets station towards Pinsk station. The echelon included about 23 T-80 tanks, 8 fuel trucks, 9 trucks (Ural and KamAZ), 2 passenger cars and 7 freight cars.
21/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
This echelon arrived in Luninets on December 20 (p. 7 of the report).
19) 15:30. A van of the Belarusian Armed Forces was moving from Cherven (Minsk region) towards Smilavichy (Cherven district) along the M4 highway.
22/27
This echelon arrived in Luninets on December 20 (p. 7 of the report).
19) 15:30. A van of the Belarusian Armed Forces was moving from Cherven (Minsk region) towards Smilavichy (Cherven district) along the M4 highway.
22/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
20) 15:30. A tilt-covered MAZ truck of the Belarusian Armed Forces was moving along the M8 highway towards the intersection with the M10 highway.
21) 15:55. A tilt-covered KamAZ truck and an Ural truck with a trailer-barrel were moving along the M5 highway towards Zhlobin.
23/27
20) 15:30. A tilt-covered MAZ truck of the Belarusian Armed Forces was moving along the M8 highway towards the intersection with the M10 highway.
21) 15:55. A tilt-covered KamAZ truck and an Ural truck with a trailer-barrel were moving along the M5 highway towards Zhlobin.
23/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
22) 16:40. A tilt-covered Ural truck of the Russian Armed Forces was moving from Lahoisk towards Pleshchanitsy along the M3 highway.
24/27
22) 16:40. A tilt-covered Ural truck of the Russian Armed Forces was moving from Lahoisk towards Pleshchanitsy along the M3 highway.
24/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
23) 16:50. UAZ-963 of the Russian Armed Forces was seen in Fanipal.
▫️17:15. 2 Grad MRL and a tilt-covered KamAZ truck of the Russian Armed Forces with soldiers were seen near the military base 30151 in Fanipal.
25/27
23) 16:50. UAZ-963 of the Russian Armed Forces was seen in Fanipal.
▫️17:15. 2 Grad MRL and a tilt-covered KamAZ truck of the Russian Armed Forces with soldiers were seen near the military base 30151 in Fanipal.
25/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
24) 17:40. ZiL-131 (KUNG) with a trailer of the Belarusian Armed Forces was moving along the R85 highway from Pruzhany towards the intersection with the R7 highway.
26/27
24) 17:40. ZiL-131 (KUNG) with a trailer of the Belarusian Armed Forces was moving along the R85 highway from Pruzhany towards the intersection with the R7 highway.
26/27
MotolkoHelp (Twitter)
25) 17:40. A MAZ bus of the Belarusian Armed Forces was moving from Slonim towards Ruzhany along the R85 highway.
27/27
25) 17:40. A MAZ bus of the Belarusian Armed Forces was moving from Slonim towards Ruzhany along the R85 highway.
27/27
The Lookout (Twitter)
1/4
Good thread by @MassDara on Shoigu's speech yesterday.
The expansion of the ground forces does seem overly optimistic, but my first thoughts was to view this in light of the mobilization. Both on those already called up, and with future rounds of mobilization.
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@MassDara:
1: with Sweden and Finland joining NATO, the Western Military District will revert back into the Moscow and Leningrad Military Districts – like before 2010, as well as an Army Corps HQ in Karelia. This makes sense with NATO expansion, so this change checks out /3
1/4
Good thread by @MassDara on Shoigu's speech yesterday.
The expansion of the ground forces does seem overly optimistic, but my first thoughts was to view this in light of the mobilization. Both on those already called up, and with future rounds of mobilization.
-----------
@MassDara:
1: with Sweden and Finland joining NATO, the Western Military District will revert back into the Moscow and Leningrad Military Districts – like before 2010, as well as an Army Corps HQ in Karelia. This makes sense with NATO expansion, so this change checks out /3
Twitter
1: with Sweden and Finland joining NATO, the Western Military District will revert back into the Moscow and Leningrad Military Districts – like before 2010, as well as an Army Corps HQ in Karelia. This makes sense with NATO expansion, so this change checks…
The Lookout (Twitter)
2/4
If Moscow prepares for a long war, and prolonged confrontation with NATO, more mass is needed. With the mobilization, expansion no longer hinges on voluntary measures.
Yes, both training and equipment would likely leave much to be desired.
2/4
If Moscow prepares for a long war, and prolonged confrontation with NATO, more mass is needed. With the mobilization, expansion no longer hinges on voluntary measures.
Yes, both training and equipment would likely leave much to be desired.
The Lookout (Twitter)
3/4
Both Naval Infantry and the VDV now likely churns out infantry replacements, and due to casualties, these formations will eventually resemble the pre-war units in name only.
3/4
Both Naval Infantry and the VDV now likely churns out infantry replacements, and due to casualties, these formations will eventually resemble the pre-war units in name only.
The Lookout (Twitter)
4/4
I'm not saying this process will be pretty, it will likely be a mess, but "don't underestimate Russia" rings in the back of my head.
A caveat: These are initial impressions, and will likely change over time, as we get a sense of how they actually intend to do this.
4/4
I'm not saying this process will be pretty, it will likely be a mess, but "don't underestimate Russia" rings in the back of my head.
A caveat: These are initial impressions, and will likely change over time, as we get a sense of how they actually intend to do this.
The Lookout (Twitter)
@walberque Remains to be seen, but think conscription likely will play a bigger role than they stated. Summed up some initial overall thoughts here. I sense a combination of "back to the future" and a Russia at war.
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@The_Lookout_N:
1/4
Good thread by @MassDara on Shoigu's speech yesterday.
The expansion of the ground forces does seem overly optimistic, but my first thoughts was to view this in light of the mobilization. Both on those already called up, and with future rounds of mobilization. https://t.co/kENKfufFeo
@walberque Remains to be seen, but think conscription likely will play a bigger role than they stated. Summed up some initial overall thoughts here. I sense a combination of "back to the future" and a Russia at war.
-----------
@The_Lookout_N:
1/4
Good thread by @MassDara on Shoigu's speech yesterday.
The expansion of the ground forces does seem overly optimistic, but my first thoughts was to view this in light of the mobilization. Both on those already called up, and with future rounds of mobilization. https://t.co/kENKfufFeo
Twitter
1/4
Good thread by @MassDara on Shoigu's speech yesterday.
The expansion of the ground forces does seem overly optimistic, but my first thoughts was to view this in light of the mobilization. Both on those already called up, and with future rounds of mobilization.
Good thread by @MassDara on Shoigu's speech yesterday.
The expansion of the ground forces does seem overly optimistic, but my first thoughts was to view this in light of the mobilization. Both on those already called up, and with future rounds of mobilization.
The Lookout (Twitter)
RT @ryankakiuchan: Russia Navy Pacific Fleet cruiser Varyag and China PLA Navy Type 052D destroyer Baotou (133) sail in formation during Exercise Joint Sea 2022 in East China Sea. The joint exercise will hold from December 21 to 27. https://twitter.com/ryankakiuchan/status/1605890942308753409/photo/1
RT @ryankakiuchan: Russia Navy Pacific Fleet cruiser Varyag and China PLA Navy Type 052D destroyer Baotou (133) sail in formation during Exercise Joint Sea 2022 in East China Sea. The joint exercise will hold from December 21 to 27. https://twitter.com/ryankakiuchan/status/1605890942308753409/photo/1
The Lookout (Twitter)
@rossin2 @MassDara That is an important question and I'm no economist, but here is my take: If they intend to continue the war, sticking to their original war-aims, they have no choice but to go down this route.
@rossin2 @MassDara That is an important question and I'm no economist, but here is my take: If they intend to continue the war, sticking to their original war-aims, they have no choice but to go down this route.