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Стриминг твитов о российско-украинской войне в ТГ; иногда сообщения также постятся и редактируются вручную
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The Lookout (Twitter)

RT @DefMon3: 🇺🇦 Update🧵December 18th

This thread is brought to you by the red nose of Russian Santa.

Visit interactive map for more details and explanations:
https://scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Operational%20Map%20Ukraine/nBT8ffpeGH https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1604521013873475584/photo/1
Def Mon (Twitter)

🇺🇦 Update🧵December 18th

This thread is brought to you by the red nose of Russian Santa.

Visit interactive map for more details and explanations:
https://scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Operational%20Map%20Ukraine/nBT8ffpeGH
Def Mon (Twitter)

Yesterdays thread:
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@DefMon3:
🇺🇦 Update🧵December 17th

This thread is brought to you by a pole dancing Igor Girkin. Who doesn't love a pole dancer with a moustache?

Visit interactive map for more details and explanations:
https://t.co/qln6YDzoYV
Def Mon (Twitter)

Shelling locations reported by UA general staff today
Def Mon (Twitter)

Weather
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@davidhelms570:
December 18, 2022: #NAFO #NAFOWeather next 24 hours-Dry, Cloudy then Partly Cloudy late PM, Low Temps -6C (northeast) to -4C (south), winds from northwest 5-10 m/s
TUE-WED (DEC 20-21) Colder, low temps -3C to -7C, Dry, Partly Cloudy
THU-SAT (DEC 22-24) Slow warming (>0C), Cloudy https://t.co/xBYZmpG14S
Def Mon (Twitter)

Ground temperature analysis by @davidhelms570
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@davidhelms570:
DEC 18, 2022: Ground Temperature Conditions (Kreminna region)
No snow causes top soil layer to be responsive to air temps. Mean daily air temps >0C since DEC 9 (except DEC 13-14) with 5-day cumulative temp remaining >8C. As such, with recent 50 mm precip, ground is unfrozen/muddy https://t.co/AiNPg8APG7
Def Mon (Twitter)

Kupyansk-Svatove
The RU struggle for "lebensraum" continues in the Svatove area.
The AFU repulsed an attack around Stel'makhivka. I belive this is an effort to try to keep the AFU away from the P-66 and attacking the last line of towns before Svatove.
Def Mon (Twitter)

Kreminna
The AFU repulsed an attack around Serebryansʹke. Wargonzo reported RU attacks around Makiivka and Chervonopopivka. I asses the AFU are making incremental progress in this area. Smaller positional battles are taking place in preparation for better weather.
Def Mon (Twitter)

Siversk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the direction of Verkhn'okam'yans'ke, Vesele and Vyimka. I believe attacks in the direction of Vesele and Vyimka comes from the Bilohorivka area. I consider the town a grey zone.
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Def Mon (Twitter)

UA counter attack with HMMWV geolocated to the forest north of Bilohorivka by @EerikMatero
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@markito0171:
🇺🇦HMMWV hunting 🇷🇺 https://t.co/hfLIWwqVuS
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Def Mon (Twitter)

Bakhmut
Continued attacks by Wagner in the Bakhmut area. The AFU repulsed attacks around eastern Bakhmut, Optyne and Klishchiivka. I believe RU forces will continue to advance in the areas surrounding Bakhmut at a pace of several meters per day.
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Def Mon (Twitter)

I also believe the AFU will attempt a limited counter attack to reset RU positions. I do not believe Bakhmut is in danger until RU forces can threaten the supply to the city, which I don't believe they are close to doing.
Def Mon (Twitter)

Another thing regarding Bakhmut, even if RU forces enter the city, will have high ground west of the Bakhmutovka river. This is an area with large concrete buildings and industrial areas while the east side is mostly consists of small houses. (Image POV from north looking south)
Def Mon (Twitter)

The river it self might not be a huge obstacle, but if you consider the open space and the elevation differences, it might be hard for the RU dismounted infantry to cross it. It will be even harder to supply units actually managing to cross it.
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