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Стриминг твитов о российско-украинской войне в ТГ; иногда сообщения также постятся и редактируются вручную
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Def Mon (Twitter)

Weather by @davidhelms570
Continued temperatures above 0 in the south this week, but it looks like temperatures will drop in the beginning of next week.
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@davidhelms570:
November 30, 2022: #NAFO #NAFOWeather next 24 hours-Dry. Mostly Cloudy to Cloudy, low temperature -6C (northeast) to -1C (south), winds from northeast-east 6-12 m/s.
Fri-Tue: Dry and colder, temperatures: high 2C to -5C, low 0C to -10C (coldest in northeast, warmest in south) https://t.co/l4d23vff7J
Def Mon (Twitter)

14 day weather for the Kreminna area show sub 0 temperatures both day and night for the next two weeks. I believe this will be enough to freeze the ground enough to allow for easier movement in terrain.
Def Mon (Twitter)

Siversk-Kreminna
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Stel'makhivka. AFU reported a shelling in the area of Chervonopopivka and Wargonzo reported an AFU attack in that area. Outcome unclear.
Def Mon (Twitter)

Siversk
There were no reports from the ukrainian side, but the russian side claimed attacks around Verkhn'okam'yans'ke, Serebryanka and Bilohorivka. I'm not sure if these are from today or yesterday. But fighting is most likely going on in the area.
Def Mon (Twitter)

Bakhmut-North
The AFU repulsed attacks around Bakhmuts'ke and Bilohorivka. Wargonzo reported an attack from the Russian side around Yakovlivka. I mapped out some newly built defensive lines around Popasna. It's a mix between man trenches, vehicle ditches and dragons teeth.
Def Mon (Twitter)

Old post discussing defensive lines
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@DefMon3:
Russian forces continue to build defensive lines around Svatove. I have been able to identify over 50km of defensive lines north and south of Svatove and they are still expanding it. https://t.co/mrK8lLD72A
Def Mon (Twitter)

Bakhmut-south
I don't have any new info in this area since yesterday, rumors are AFU might have evacuated Kurdyumivka and Zelenopillya, but I have not yet seen any confirmation.
Def Mon (Twitter)

Donetsk
The RU side has started to talk a lot about Marinka, it might be because of the last few weeks astounding progress of several blocks in the town. But it might also be "hyping" a future RU offensive which I believe is coming.
Def Mon (Twitter)

The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Mar'inka, Pervomais'ke and Nevel's'ke.
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Def Mon (Twitter)

I'm keeping the remaining frontline as is, I have no credible information of change in this area.
Def Mon (Twitter)

The offensive units from Kherson have not made an appearance on the battlefield yet. It does not seems like the Donetsk-Bakhmut area as gotten significant reinforcements. This makes me draw the conclusions the AFU is accumulating forces for further offensive actions.
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Def Mon (Twitter)

I see two options for the AFU.

1. Svatove-Kreminna front, high risk and high reward. Try to advance enough to get within HIMARS range of Luhansk and RU railway logistics
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Def Mon (Twitter)

Polohy-Tokmak, lower risk and lower reward. Try to capture Polohy and surroundings and get barrel artillery range on the Railroad. This would leave 200km of frontline without a railroad connection for the Russians and more or less divide the southern front with HIMARS control.
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Def Mon (Twitter)

Some bridges etc could possibly be reached by the road along the coast line too.

No need to comment about HIMARS range, I'm not trying to give suggestions of firing locations, this is to give a rough idea of coverage.
Def Mon (Twitter)

RT @bradyafr: Damage to a site used by Russian forces in occupied Polohy, Zaporizhzhia Oblast is visible in recent satellite imagery. This site is near the front lines in Ukraine and has been damaged repeatedly in recent months. https://twitter.com/bradyafr/status/1598029096092520448/photo/1
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