Rob Lee (Twitter)

It was always going to be difficult for Russia to translate military force into achieving ambitious political goals. Its best hope was that there would be little resistance and it could achieve a fait accompli. Tenacious Ukrainian resistance has made those goals hard to achieve.

 Rob Lee (Twitter)

566/
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@idreesali114:
Visa suspends all Russia operations- Reuters.

Rob Lee (Twitter)

Russian soldiers in Vasylivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast with a BMP-3 and supplies taken from a store. Reportedly from March 2.
https://t.me/Ugolok_Sitha/4727

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Rob Lee (Twitter)

567/
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@RALee85:
Russian soldiers in Vasylivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast with a BMP-3 and supplies taken from a store. Reportedly from March 2.
https://t.co/EPZVnTOQlw https://t.co/h4dpKtvZtL

Идзанаги 🇺🇦 🇰🇿 (Twitter)

@RuslanLeviev @michaelnacke Ладно.

Идзанаги 🇺🇦 🇰🇿 (Twitter)

RT @UAWeapons: #Ukraine: We can give the correct ID for this helicopter: an Mi-8AMTSh with tail number "RF-91165"

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1500215230093217799/photo/1

Rob Lee (Twitter)

A destroyed/abandoned Rosgvardia column in Kharkiv with OMON riot gear.
https://t.me/KharkivPolitics/7000

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Rob Lee (Twitter)

151/
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@RALee85:
A destroyed/abandoned Rosgvardia column in Kharkiv with OMON riot gear.
https://t.co/hEYlFqpter https://t.co/odCBz71eNW

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Dan (Twitter)

59. In addition to new lost RU vehicles on route of destroyed Rosgvardia column in tweet 57-8, some previously abandoned may now be captured as UAF now seem in control (2 films in link). Corresponds to reports of a UAF advance to east of Kharkiv last week.
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@RALee85:
A destroyed/abandoned Rosgvardia column in Kharkiv with OMON riot gear.
https://t.co/hEYlFqpter https://t.co/odCBz71eNW

Dan (Twitter)

45. Also on the Sumy Axis as described. REM-KL repair and recovery vehicle, three Ural 4320 trucks and another unclear truck in the distance. Date and location not known.
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@UAWeapons:
#Ukraine: The Russian Army lost another convoy to Territorial Defence Forces in #Sumy, with 3 supply trucks captured as well as a REM-KL repair and recovery vehicle. Notice how tyres are shot out. https://t.co/r8xnV5K62d

Rob Lee (Twitter)

Ukrainian soldiers watching artillery strikes on Russian forces.
https://t.me/milinfolive/77995

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Rob Lee (Twitter)

569/
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@RALee85:
Ukrainian soldiers watching artillery strikes on Russian forces.
https://t.co/2fEtrj6IYw https://t.co/nYuy7uKRSj

Rob Lee (Twitter)

Russian paratroopers with BMD-2 and BTR-D vehicles in Bucha with grocery bags. The video was posted yesterday.
https://t.me/rybar/27241

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Rob Lee (Twitter)

570/
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@RALee85:
Russian paratroopers with BMD-2 and BTR-D vehicles in Bucha with grocery bags. The video was posted yesterday.
https://t.co/0NDNObOefa https://t.co/rVwemSphVG

Dan (Twitter)

46. In twt 30-33 we saw losses of 2nd Gds Motor Rifle Div in Sumy Obl. Here 2 more abandoned T-72B3M at 50.787116, 35.222078 h/t @azyakancokkacan+@khalfaguliyev. IMO from same unit as other B3M unit in area has clear unit symbols + is without ERA side bags
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@UAWeapons:
#Ukraine: The Russian Army lost 2 more T-72B3(M), with location so far unknown to us.

Note that once again the HMG have been stripped, probably for local use. https://t.co/TowZw5MMDm

 Rob Lee (Twitter)

I think the question is whether they can take Kyiv before there is a domestic backlash to casualties and economic disruptions. Putin clearly wants to take Kyiv before conducting serious negotiations, but it isn't clear Russia can do so fast enough, especially if Kharkiv holds out
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@jaylyall_red5:
I don't see how Russia has enough troops to encircle Kyiv effectively, lock down the other major cities, and fight an insurgency all at once. It has no operational reserves, Belarus and CSTO states aren't coming, & mass mobilization of reserves is politically risky (+low quality)

Rob Lee (Twitter)

I think Moscow underestimated the amount of resistance they would face, the casualties they would sustain, the amount of time this would take, the response from foreign governments and corporations, and how much their soldiers would need to be informed of what they were doing. 2/

MotolkoHelp (Twitter)

02:15 (Minsk time). A fighter took off from the airfield in Baranavichy.

Rob Lee (Twitter)

The irony is that Russian officials have long (correctly) thought the US was crazy for invading Iraq. And Putin has a fairly successful record in employing military force, but he decided to pursue maximalist political objectives this time based on poor assumptions. 3/

Rob Lee (Twitter)

@alin_baraitaru Agreed, @Nrg8000 's map is very good, and I think it gives a better indication of control.

Rob Lee (Twitter)

@jaylyall_red5 And the farther the Russian military moves into Ukraine, the more extended its supply lines become.

Идзанаги 🇺🇦 🇰🇿 (Twitter)

@Nain_Portekoi @UAWeapons

Danvan (Twitter)

RT @IKoshiw: Kyivans are posting their last photos of peaceful Kyiv on Instagram. Here's a throwback that my parents just sent me from 2000 taken in Kyiv's Botanical Garden.

Thinking about the children I saw crying at Kyiv's main station and sad that they can't enjoy this winter at home. https://twitter.com/IKoshiw/status/1500161070941540353/photo/1