Rob Lee (Twitter)
Reportedly the before and after photos of a Russian tank destroyed by a Javelin ATGM strike.
https://t.me/mysiagin/15874
Reportedly the before and after photos of a Russian tank destroyed by a Javelin ATGM strike.
https://t.me/mysiagin/15874
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
Geran-2 loitering munition wreckage being pulled from the water in Kobleve, Mykolaiv Oblast. 24/
https://t.me/killpukin/11385
Geran-2 loitering munition wreckage being pulled from the water in Kobleve, Mykolaiv Oblast. 24/
https://t.me/killpukin/11385
Def Mon (Twitter)
RT @vcdgf555: For a basis of comparison then.
West half of Oct 5th, 2022, Planet Labs 0.5m res pass via Skywatch of Russian Air Force 🇷🇺 Millerovo AB centered on 48.952924, 40.289874. Presumed Mi-8/17s or Mi-24/35s between runway & taxiway. MiG-29s & Su-30s on west apron.
1/ https://twitter.com/vcdgf555/status/1581762135813939200/photo/1
RT @vcdgf555: For a basis of comparison then.
West half of Oct 5th, 2022, Planet Labs 0.5m res pass via Skywatch of Russian Air Force 🇷🇺 Millerovo AB centered on 48.952924, 40.289874. Presumed Mi-8/17s or Mi-24/35s between runway & taxiway. MiG-29s & Su-30s on west apron.
1/ https://twitter.com/vcdgf555/status/1581762135813939200/photo/1
Dan (Twitter)
RT @DarthPutinKGB: OTD in 2016 Gorbachev told a Russian state media outlet that no promise was made to him by NATO about allowing Eastern European countries into the alliance.
Which is awkward as fuck & triggers my trolls.
RT @DarthPutinKGB: OTD in 2016 Gorbachev told a Russian state media outlet that no promise was made to him by NATO about allowing Eastern European countries into the alliance.
Which is awkward as fuck & triggers my trolls.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
4/
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@COUPSURE:
Based on recent satellite images of the airfield, the air defense system firing in this video may be a Pantsir. https://t.co/Pgo0oHULlS
4/
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@COUPSURE:
Based on recent satellite images of the airfield, the air defense system firing in this video may be a Pantsir. https://t.co/Pgo0oHULlS
Rob Lee (Twitter)
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@EerikMatero:
@RALee85 Filmed at Novoselivka, Donetsk oblast. 48.26837, 37.8507760
@GeoConfirmed https://t.co/KjR8c7e55P
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@EerikMatero:
@RALee85 Filmed at Novoselivka, Donetsk oblast. 48.26837, 37.8507760
@GeoConfirmed https://t.co/KjR8c7e55P
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Dan (Twitter)
Revealing. When an Russian officer is finally found at 1:35 he is derided and jeered by his men.
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@wartranslated:
Random chaos in a mobik unit: dead drunk mobik received a weapon and alarmed other soldiers, meanwhile all officers disappeared, nowhere to be found. No one knows what's going on. https://t.co/qPQk4BE1DN
Revealing. When an Russian officer is finally found at 1:35 he is derided and jeered by his men.
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@wartranslated:
Random chaos in a mobik unit: dead drunk mobik received a weapon and alarmed other soldiers, meanwhile all officers disappeared, nowhere to be found. No one knows what's going on. https://t.co/qPQk4BE1DN
Rob Lee (Twitter)
4457/
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@wartranslated:
Grey Zone publishes a short Q&A with Wagners' Prigozhyn who says that Ukrainians are not running from Bakhmut as it's being claimed. Also briefly throws shade at "allies", which are likely to be L/DPR forces, he doesn't seem to like them.
https://t.co/IFsSlO5BBB https://t.co/V9ffRKqkhX
4457/
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@wartranslated:
Grey Zone publishes a short Q&A with Wagners' Prigozhyn who says that Ukrainians are not running from Bakhmut as it's being claimed. Also briefly throws shade at "allies", which are likely to be L/DPR forces, he doesn't seem to like them.
https://t.co/IFsSlO5BBB https://t.co/V9ffRKqkhX
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Good points. I considered these examples and concluded he would most likely pursue more limited objectives in this invasion. Instead, he pursued maximalist goals and didn't reduce his aims once regime change failed. The pattern has changed which makes predictions more difficult.
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@McFaul:
We keep hearing from self-described Putin experts that Putin will never back down, will never surrender, will only double down. What is the historical record to support this hypothesis? 1/ THREAD.
Good points. I considered these examples and concluded he would most likely pursue more limited objectives in this invasion. Instead, he pursued maximalist goals and didn't reduce his aims once regime change failed. The pattern has changed which makes predictions more difficult.
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@McFaul:
We keep hearing from self-described Putin experts that Putin will never back down, will never surrender, will only double down. What is the historical record to support this hypothesis? 1/ THREAD.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@APHClarkson But he probably could have walked away with some limited concessions in mid-March when it was clear his initial maximalist goals were out of reach and didn't. He was ok with accepting more limited, achievable goals in previous conflict, but not in this case.
@APHClarkson But he probably could have walked away with some limited concessions in mid-March when it was clear his initial maximalist goals were out of reach and didn't. He was ok with accepting more limited, achievable goals in previous conflict, but not in this case.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
The mobilization decision, which was one of the riskiest political decisions of his career, clearly suggests that Putin thinks losing this war is an even greater threat. Hard to know which previous conflict/example is best for understanding how Putin will respond at this point.
The mobilization decision, which was one of the riskiest political decisions of his career, clearly suggests that Putin thinks losing this war is an even greater threat. Hard to know which previous conflict/example is best for understanding how Putin will respond at this point.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
4458/
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@MotolkoHelp:
According to our information, the first echelon with the Russian military of the regional group of troops arrived at Losvida railway station (Vitsebsk region). This is the north of Belarus, the area does not border with Ukraine.
1/5 https://t.co/frBRJEz3k8
4458/
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@MotolkoHelp:
According to our information, the first echelon with the Russian military of the regional group of troops arrived at Losvida railway station (Vitsebsk region). This is the north of Belarus, the area does not border with Ukraine.
1/5 https://t.co/frBRJEz3k8
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
4459/
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@MotolkoHelp:
Have the Belarusian Armed Forces started another rotation?
2 echelons of the Belarusian Armed Forces returned to Hrodna and Vitsebsk region.
Today, October 16, a large echelon with the equipment of the 6th Mechanized Brigade of the Belarusian Armed Forces arrived in Hrodna.
1/6 https://t.co/2RGuKiENIs
4459/
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@MotolkoHelp:
Have the Belarusian Armed Forces started another rotation?
2 echelons of the Belarusian Armed Forces returned to Hrodna and Vitsebsk region.
Today, October 16, a large echelon with the equipment of the 6th Mechanized Brigade of the Belarusian Armed Forces arrived in Hrodna.
1/6 https://t.co/2RGuKiENIs
Rob Lee (Twitter)
4460/
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@MotolkoHelp:
3-4 MiG-31 fighters (empty with no missiles) have been spotted over Minsk in the past 30 minutes. https://t.co/mTixHFX3Ae
4460/
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@MotolkoHelp:
3-4 MiG-31 fighters (empty with no missiles) have been spotted over Minsk in the past 30 minutes. https://t.co/mTixHFX3Ae