CRYPTO DOPEMAN
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Author's channel about the cryptocurrency world.
I share important news, my thoughts, not a lot of jokes and irony.

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Yo crypto fam, October Closed Red: What's Next After The Market Reset? πŸ€”πŸ“‰

October started with a bang! We saw a fresh ATH in the first week, and the crypto market cap held above $4 trillion for several days. But then came October 11th, bringing with it a brutal $20 billion in liquidations.

The rest of the month saw the market chopping sideways, ranging between $106,000 and $116,000, where it still sits. As a result, October 2025 became the first October to close in the red since 2018. This happened despite the FED rate cut, impending money printing, and other global and local positives.

What Now? The "End of Cycle" FUD:
Some are hyping the fact that the negative October of 2018 was followed by a 36% drop in November that year, suggesting a similar scenario now. Fear and uncertainty are at maximum levels, with the Fear Index at 33. Many are seriously talking about the "end of the cycle" and a "bear market."

My Market Picture:
October 11th was a force majeure event that significantly drained the market (leaving many participants without funds). The fuel for further growth disappeared, leading to consolidation. Old money enriched exchanges and market makers, but new money hasn't flowed in yet. This isn't a quick process, especially since the market crowd often acts like goldfish. When an asset like Bitcoin is surging past $120K, they'll find any way to get money and jump in (often with leverage).

But when an asset dips (e.g., Bitcoin below $110K), when they should be finding money and entering the market, they get scared, wait for lower prices, only to FOMO back in above $120K because "it's growing." Yet, logic dictates that maximum buying activity should happen when an asset is cheap.

People usually do this with other assetsβ€”if something like real estate or cars drops in price, they typically buy it up. Why haven't real estate and cars seen price drops in 10 years? Those who know the answer understand what to do in the crypto market now, and they understand that what's coming is inevitable.

Consolidation always follows sharp drops. For example, a year ago in early August, Bitcoin fell sharply. After that dip, it took two months (until early November) to break out of its range, start growing, and reach $70K to $107K within 5-6 weeks.

The Bigger Picture: Macro Factors Favoring Growth:
The main factors for Bitcoin's growth (FED policy and actions of large market participants) strongly favor medium-term growth. Government debt and the need to support the labor market (which is losing jobs to AI) leave the FED no choice: they will cut rates quickly and generate money at a frantic pace. There is no other option, especially with elections at the end of 2026. Large market participants understand this, which explains their behaviorβ€”they are accumulating Bitcoin and (to a lesser, more selective extent) top altcoins.

For me, these two factors are enough to understand that there is no alternative to medium-term market growth.

Therefore, my plans for November are: crypto market cap hitting 4 trillion, Bitcoin consolidating above $120K, and Ethereum moving towards $5K.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #MarketAnalysis #OctoberRecap #FED #Altcoins

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Yo crypto fam, BTC Dips Below $106K: Liquidation Cascade Amidst FUD Storm! πŸ“‰

Bitcoin just took another hit, dipping below $106,000 to set a local low of $105,511. The dollar index is pushing towards 100, and the S&P 500 is slightly down. We're seeing another ~$1 billion in liquidations, bringing maximum fear and disappointment back to the market.

Today’s FUD is piling up: The Balancer protocol was exploited, with $120 million stolen. Donald Trump is making headlines again, threatening to attack Venezuela and conduct nuclear tests. On November 5th, the U.S. Supreme Court will review the legality of Trump’s tariffs. If they are overturned, the market reaction is unpredictable, as it would involve returning collected duties, all against the backdrop of a potential government shutdown.

Yet, amidst this chaos, the smart money is silently accumulating: MicroStrategy bought another 397 BTC, bringing their total to an impressive 641,205 BTC on balance. Public companies collectively bought $320 million worth of Bitcoin last week. BitMine acquired an additional 82,353 ETH, now holding 3.4 million ETH in total. Sol Strategies (the MicroStrategy of Solana) announced it bought 526,513 SOL for its balance.

While some are getting liquidated on futures or selling at a loss on spot, others are simply accumulating top assets. When the former feel pain and disappointment, the latter will be counting profits. To each their own.

If Bitcoin doesn't recover above $106,000 within the next 4-8 hours, the next support area will be around $102,000-103,000. Failure to hold that could see it drop to $100,000-98,000.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #MarketDip #Liquidations #Balancer #MicroStrategy

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Yo crypto fam, BTC Briefly Dips Below $100K: Extreme Fear, But Whales Keep Accumulating! πŸ€―πŸ“‰

Bitcoin yesterday had a wild ride, briefly dipping below $100,000 to set a local low at $98,944 just above the June flush when the US bombed Iran. BTC has since rebounded and is currently trading around $103,700.

The market cap sits at 3.41 trillion, Bitcoin dominance is at 60.68%, and the Fear Index is flashing an extreme 20. Despite the dollar index pushing above 100.270, stock indexes are surprisingly up today, with the S&P 500 gaining over 0.30%.

Yesterday, we saw billions more in liquidations. Many didn't even need liquidation, they sold at a loss, convinced by the "bear market" narrative. Deer.

Has Anything Truly Changed for Bitcoin?
Compared to when BTC was at $120K, or even $100K (which was obvious when it was just over $20K), nothing fundamental has changed. In fact, the imminent and inevitable money printing and FED rate cuts have only added to the bullish case.

Large market participants are significantly accelerating this process. Haven't we seen BTC drop 20-30% before? In the last cycle, it fell from $60K in April 2021 to $31K in July. That's like falling from $126K to $60K today. In this cycle, we saw drops from $70K to $50K (March-August 2024) and from $104K to $77-78K (December 2024-April 2025).

It's clear that this cycle's dips are more modest, precisely because large players are accumulating Bitcoin from the weak and fearful during these corrections. So, Bitcoin falling from $126K to just under $100K is nothing unusual, a 25-30% correction is well within this cycle's norms, and it could even have gone to $96K.

A year ago, when Trump came to power, Bitcoin hit $70K on November 5th, and everyone rejoiced after it had been stuck between $50,000 and $70,000 for most of 2024. Now, a dip to $98K triggers extreme fear, billions in liquidations, and massive spot selling at a loss. We'll find out how many shorted the bottom when BTC returns to $110-112K (by the number of liquidations).

The Path of the Crowd vs. The Path to Profits:
Right now, the market is in an extreme fear stage, even worse than just disbelief in growth. Most people are waiting to see what happens, hoping to buy when things are clearer. But the path of the crowd never leads to money. To be a counter-party to the crowd, you need to be maximally aggressive in buying now.

It seems simple, yet most won't do it. They'll only become aggressive buyers when Bitcoin is above $110K. Such are the mysteries of the human mind.

Today, Trump is expected to deliver an important speech, likely supporting markets. We'll see how that plays out, and we're also waiting for news on the Supreme Court's review of his tariffs.

For the crypto market, it's crucial to reclaim a market cap above 3.55 trillion by the end of the week, and for Bitcoin to return above $106,000-107,000. The chances are there. If not this week, it will return later.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #MarketCorrection #FearIndex #Trump #SmartMoney

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Yo crypto fam, BTC Holds Ground as Altcoins EXPLODE Amidst Shutdown Chaos! πŸš€πŸ’₯

Bitcoin is holding its own, moving between $101,900 and $104,534 yesterday. The market is still buzzing after Trump's recent speech, which, to put it mildly, didn't offer much in the way of concrete surprises.

Trump's "Golden Age of America" Speech : Biden = schmuck, Obama = schmuck, Powell = idiot, egg prices fell under me, gas prices fell under me, US economy will skyrocket, South Africa shouldn't be in the G20, I freed crypto, the US will be the crypto capital of the world, crypto relieves pressure on the dollar (whatever that means), the "Golden Age of America" is coming. His only practical call was to immediately end the government shutdown, without detailing how. The market, predictably, didn't react much.

The US Supreme Court's decision on Trump's tariffs might not come until year-end, so that's a slow burn. The only real positive is the dollar index, which has started to trend down (though not significantly). Everything else, from ending the shutdown to officially starting money generation, is still ahead.

With growing uncertainty (shutdown, geopolitics, record US market growth), the market is facing a liquidity crunch. But this is temporary. Everything will normalize. Record national debt and accelerating job losses (over 1.1 million since early 2025) leave the FED no choice.

Bitcoin dipped to the lower end of its range today, but didn't break its November 4th low, hitting $99,260. Currently, BTC is around $102,000. The market cap is 3.42 trillion, dominance is 59.8%, and the Fear Index is 21.

The external factors are mixed: a falling dollar index is good, but the S&P 500 continues to drop, down 0.70%. The main culprit is the shutdown. Kevin Hassett, head of the White House National Economic Council, admits the shutdown's economic impact is worse than expected, forecasting a very modest Q4 GDP. Practical consequences are already visible: reduced flights and US soldiers in Germany are struggling for food. (Maybe they didn't learn that if you have ammo, food will follow. Anyway, they deserve it.)

The shutdown is preventing liquidity issues from being resolved, affecting almost everyone given the US stock market's reach. After recent election losses, Trump and Republicans are keen to end this quickly. The shutdown stems from a dispute over government spending that Republicans and Democrats can't agree on. Democrats are in opposition, so the worse things get, the better for them, as the current administration takes the blame.

Therefore, Trump will likely back down soon. Firstly, he's used to it, doing so throughout 2025. Secondly, Republicans stand to lose more than Democrats. I expect a resolution within 7-10 days, which will be a huge positive for all markets.

Bitcoin is now approaching intermediate resistance at $103,500-104,500. Breaking this will be tough amidst a falling stock market (unless Trump drops another bomb after market close). But altcoins are pleasantly surprising!

If Bitcoin closes the weekend above $103K, the local altseason will continue.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #Altcoins #Shutdown #Trump #CryptoNews

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Yo crypto fam, Bitcoin Breaks $106K and Liquidates Shorts! πŸ”₯

Bitcoin was hovering around $101K over the weekend, but shifted into growth overnight, hitting $106,670 and causing a bit of a short-seller genocide. Right now, Bitcoin is trading near $106,000.

The external environment is favorable: stock indices are rising, with the S&P 500 up by more than 1%. The reason for the positive sentiment is the expected end of the government shutdown on the horizon. The Senate has approved the first stage of an agreement that could bring the shutdown to a close.

But that's not allβ€”Trump promised to give everyone (except those who are already wealthy) $2,000. Those are the helicopter money drops that the market loves (especially crypto!). Obviously, the path from a social media announcement to actual money distribution is a long one, and the shutdown story isn't quite over yet.

In the last post, I said the shutdown issue would be resolved within 7–10 days. Only 3 have passed so far, so we're on schedule.

Bitcoin has secured its position above $104K. The next target is the resistance area at $106,000–$107,000. After a solid consolidation above $107K, the next goal for Bitcoin will be the $110,000–$112,000 range. This forecast remains valid.

Alts are slightly lagging behind Bitcoin; the dominance index is approaching 60%. But those who weren't fumbling last week, waiting for Bitcoin at $80K or Ethereum at $2K, and instead bought Bitcoin and TOP alts, are already seeing decent profits.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #Crypto #MarketUpdate #Liquidation #Altcoins

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Yo crypto fam, Bitcoin Plummets Below $99K: Extreme Fear as LTHs Take Profits! πŸ“‰πŸ˜”

The moment we hoped to avoid is here: Bitcoin just crashed below $99,000, despite showing stubborn resistance all week. As of writing, BTC is trading around $98,400, having lost 3% in 24 hours.

Bitcoin started showing weakness on November 11th, dropping from $107,000 to $102,000. After a recovery to $105,000 on November 12th, it corrected again to $101,000 but couldn't hold the psychological 100K mark. Even the end of the US government shutdown couldn't save BTC from this drop.

Why the Plunge? LTHs Taking Profits!
Just before today's crash, Glassnode analysts noted that Long-Term Holders (LTHs) accelerated profit-taking as "bulls actively defended the $100,000 mark." CryptoQuant confirmed this, reporting that LTHs realized around 815,000 BTC in the past 30 daysβ€”a record since January 2024!

Arkham researchers also flagged that early Bitcoin whale Owen Ganden sold $290 million worth of coins today, leaving $250 million in his wallets. This whale action clearly added significant selling pressure.

Liquidation Cascade & Market Sentiment:
The volume of liquidations in the past 24 hours hit a staggering $500 million, with the vast majority ($411 million) coming from leveraged longs. Unsurprisingly, other top-10 crypto assets also turned red, with the exception of XRP, which saw its decline softened by the positive news of an ETF launch.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plummeted to 15 pointsβ€”signaling "extreme fear."

This is a classic washout event, driven by profit-taking from long-term holders and exacerbated by leverage.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #MarketCrash #Liquidations #FearAndGreed #LTH

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Yo crypto fam, Bitcoin Battles Support at $96K as Market Fears Deepen! πŸ“‰πŸ¦Œ

Bitcoin just capitulated, hitting a local low of $98,944 (just above June’s flush when the US bombed Iran) before briefly dipping below $96,000. Currently, BTC is battling for support around $98,400.

The Fear & Greed Index remains at an extreme 15, meaning extreme fear. Who’s selling? Those panicking, convinced it will drop even further.

Why the Market is Crashing:
⏺ Inflation Data Delay: Yesterday's crucial inflation data, despite the shutdown ending, wasn't released. This terrifies markets, as inflation directly dictates FED actions, which are the primary market driver. The probability of a December FED rate cut has plummeted from 62% to 45%, with even less belief in a January cut. This is the main reason stock markets are reeling.
⏺ Venezuela War Drums: The market is also heavily weighed down by the looming threat of a US attack on Venezuela. Venezuela has announced mobilization, and the US Secretary of War declared the start of "Operation Southern Spear." Oil prices are spiking, while everything else is crashingβ€”a clear sign markets are taking this threat seriously.
⏺ Where's Trump?: Trump has gone silent. No comments on Venezuela, the shutdown's end, or the market collapse. This is strange. Rumors of serious health issues are circulating, which only Trump himself can disprove.

Bitcoin's Battle for Support:
Bitcoin has reached the 96,000-94,000 support area (its lowest since May). If this fails to hold, the next support zone is around $93,000.

What's Next? My Outlook Remains Bullish:
⏺ Eventually, the FED will prioritize saving the labor market and the economy (there's no alternative).
⏺ Trump or his team will appear with verbal intervention for market support.
⏺ Bitcoin will quickly return above $100,000, and then it's back to our original plan.

Today's price action depends on the stock market. S&P 500 futures are down over 0.6%, and the dollar index is around 99.4.

I believe Bitcoin is either at or very near its bottom. The extreme fear has flushed out the "deer," improving the quality of market participants. A 30% correction from recent highs is completely normal for Bitcoin.

Today, I expect Bitcoin to trade in a range with a lower bound of $93,000-95,000 and an upper bound of $100,000-102,000.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #MarketCrash #FED #Venezuela #Trump

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Yo crypto fam, Bitcoin Dips Below $87K as FED Rate Cut Hopes Fade! πŸ˜¬πŸ“‰

Bitcoin just hit a new low, dipping below $87,000! This comes as analysts from XWIN Research warn that BTC could be "squeezed" into a $60,000-$80,000 range until year-end if the FED holds off on a December rate cut.

The preconditions for this grim forecast are emerging. Employment reports from the US Department of Labor for last month won't be published due to the ongoing shutdown. Experts believe this absence of crucial data could influence the FED's decision, prompting a more cautious approach.

The market is already pricing in this scenario. According to Fedwatch, the probability of a December rate cut has plummeted to just 32% from its peak just a month ago. This makes a December cut seem increasingly unlikely, pushing market sentiment into a deeper spiral.

This is an unpleasant forecast, and it's even more unpleasant to see Bitcoin moving directly towards it. The Fear & Greed Index has once again fallen to 11β€”signaling "extreme fear." It has been in this zone of extreme fear for five consecutive days.

The market is showing clear signs of capitulation, driven by uncertainty over FED policy and the lack of key economic data. Stay vigilant and manage your risks!

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #FED #RateCut #MarketDIP #ExtremeFear

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Yo crypto fam, BTC Battling Resistance at $88K, Whales vs. JPMorgan Drama Unfolds! πŸ₯Š

Bitcoin has been ranging between $85,272 and $89,228 over the past 24 hours. There was an attempt to break through the $88,000-$92,000 resistance, but it hasn't succeeded yet. We're heading for a second attempt. BTC is currently trading around $87,500.

Market capitalization is trying to breach $3 trillion, dominance is 58.72%, and the Fear Index is at 15.

Macro Headlines & Tech Drama:
The S&P 500 closed strong yesterday and is showing good growth today after an early dip. PPI came in as expected, with core PPI even slightly better (lower) than forecasted. However, Nvidia took a hitβ€”its stock fell 5% on news that Meta will now buy AI chips from Google instead of Nvidia, though it's now recovering. Alphabet (Google) stock isn't showing any significant gains either. Markets are tense ahead of a slew of economic data releases tomorrow.

If Bitcoin can consolidate above $92K before tomorrow's market close, we could see some interesting surprises on Thursday when the US market is closed.

My forecast for the next 24 hours: Bitcoin in a range with a lower bound of $84,000-85,000 and an upper bound of $90,000-92,000 is the priority. Consolidating above $92K is an alternative scenario.

MicroStrategy vs. JPMorgan & More:
There's brewing drama with MicroStrategy and other companies: JPMorgan, through MSCI USA and Nasdaq 100 indices, is trying to kick them out. JPMorgan is now facing an attack from the US crypto community, urging people to sell their stock and withdraw funds from the bank. So far, this hasn't had a strong impact, as JPMorgan's stock is up today.

How dangerous is this?
1. Firstly, a decision on exclusion won't come until January 15th.
2. Secondly, it's not a done deal. By then, Bitcoin will be at completely different levels, the situation will look different, and with the US President keen on crypto growth, index operators are unlikely to stir up trouble.

Good News on the Horizon:
1. A basic income program in USDC has launched in New York, albeit for only 160 people. But the implications for future expansion are clear.
2. Bessent suggests Trump might announce a new FED chair this year, before December's Christmas.
3. A proposal is being considered in Congress to pay taxes in Bitcoin and direct it to a crypto reserve.
4. James Wynn (yes, that James Wynn) predicted Bitcoin's imminent fall to $67K. Given his predictions usually work in reverse, we're expecting $100K soon.

The market is coiled, and catalysts are lining up.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #MicroStrategy #JPMorgan #FED #CryptoNews

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Yo crypto fam, BTC Crawls Back to $95K: Extreme Fear Fuels the Next Leg Up! πŸš€πŸ’°

Yesterday, instead of the expected flood of economic data, only employment figures were released. GDP and inflation reportsβ€”though announcedβ€”did not come out, with no reasons given.

The stock market is currently positive. The S&P 500 is nearing 6800, the dollar index is falling, and the probability of a December FED rate cut is now over 80% (which is the primary driver of market growth).

For context, JPMorgan forecasts the S&P 500 around 8000 by the end of 2026, provided the FED aggressively cuts rates.

Bitcoin's Status Quo & The Power of Fear:
For Bitcoin, it's business as usual. It's hovering near the $88,000-$92,000 resistance area but still hasn't broken through. Today and tomorrow, American markets are closed, meaning external macro factors will be minimal. Unless Trump decides to "clean up Washington" after yesterday's events or attack Venezuela, things should be quiet until Monday.

Nothing major happened in crypto either, aside from the Upbit exchange being hacked for $39 million, which is a minor issue for both the exchange and the wider market.

It's been almost a week since Bitcoin's dip towards $80K. The market remains in a state of extreme fear. This sentiment, combined with shorts, is the best fuel for growth, allowing BTC to slowly climb towards $100K.

After the price hits $95K, those who didn't buy below $90K will feel like deer. This is pure psychology: if you missed $85K (hypothetically), it's extremely difficult to buy at $95K. It's easier to console yourself that everything is about to crash. But then, inevitably, it will hit $100K... $107K... $110K... $116K... $120K. The typical crowd will only buy on the last 1/8th of the move. To then sell at a loss on the next dip, or get liquidated on futures, which the typical crowd representative uses to "quickly recoup losses." The predictable outcome is losing money and wondering why Bitcoin is at $200K (entirely possible by mid-2026) while they have no funds, despite being in the market the whole time.

The Inevitable Flood of Liquidity:
Since the Nov 21st "flush," Bitcoin has already risen by over 10%. The market cap has reclaimed the $3 trillion level. Stock indices are rising because the probability of a December rate cut has jumped from 35% last week to 82% now. The dollar index is back below 100.

Ahead of us: the FED rate-cutting cycle and massive money generation.

The sheer scale of this generation is hinted at by the latest figures: the US Treasury recorded a budget deficit of $284.4 billion in October. The previous record of $284.1 billion? That was in October 2020β€”the COVID-19 frenzy when 22% of all existing dollars were generated (9 trillion!). Today's deficit is larger. This is a consequence of the budget we discussed back in the summer. It means at least as much money will have to be generated now. Everyone remembers what happened to crypto after the last generation in 2020-2021?

Many are pushing the narrative of an "end of the cycle" and the start of a "bear market." Why this is wrong, and why a lot is just beginning in the market, will be covered on the channel soon.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #MarketPsychology #FED #Liquidity #MoneyPrinter

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Yo crypto fam, BTC Quietly Rises Towards $92K, FED Pumps $125B: Don't Miss the Next Leg! πŸ’°

Bitcoin is making a steady, unhurried climb. Today it refreshed local highs above $93K before pulling back to $90,400-90,600, where it currently sits.

The external environment is favorable: The S&P 500 is growing, up over 0.40%, and the dollar index is at 99.40.

Just a week ago, Bitcoin dipped to $80K. At that time, and for several days after, panic was at its peak in the market. Even now, the Fear Index remains close to extreme levels.

Bitcoin is showing gradual, organic growth. Market capitalization has confidently reclaimed the $3 trillion level. Ethereum is approaching $3100 (after it solidifies above $3100, I'll explain what that means and why it's important). Meanwhile, BitMine continues to scoop up Ethereum.

I discussed the scale of the expected money generation in the previous post. Today, I'll add that the FED injected $125 billion into the banking system. This is the largest injection since the "corona psychosis." This further confirms the inevitability of medium-term growth.

This also means that those currently missing out on these prices for Bitcoin and top crypto assets are making a huge mistake. Some are waiting for lower prices (even though they didn't buy when it was lower a week ago, waiting for $75K). Now they'd be happy with $80K, but it's no longer available. In a couple of weeks, anything below $100K will be a blessingβ€”but alas... Classic.

But this isn't what's surprising. Markets, after all, are designed to take money from the weak and uncertain. What's truly surprising is that the people who sold assets in March-April 2025, only to buy at highs in July-August and then sell at a loss in November, are the same people. For some reason, they refuse to buy low and sell high, instead doing the exact opposite.

The US market closes in less than half an hour. If we close the weekend with Bitcoin above $92K, we'll see strong growth across the board. If we stay in the current range ($89,000-90,000 on the low end and $92,000-92,500 on the high end), that's also good, and we'll continue next week.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #FED #MoneyPrinter #MarketPsychology #Altcoins

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Yo crypto fam, Bitcoin Starts December with a Dip Below $90K: All According to Plan! πŸ“‰

Bitcoin started the first day of December falling below $90K. A local low was set at $83,822, and the main cryptocurrency is now trading around $85,700. The dominance index is at 59.31%; altcoins fell slightly harder than Bitcoin, but there is no panic selling.

This is nothing surprising or canceling previous forecasts. Last week I talked about the support area at $84,000-86,000, and now we have arrived here after several unsuccessful attempts to consolidate above $92Kβ€”the upper boundary of the range. We are already slightly below $86K. If the $84K support doesn't hold, the next support is the $82,000-80,000 area.

Why is this happening? First, stock indices are falling; the S&P 500 has currently lost approximately 0.5%. Second, there's another tightening on the crypto market in China following an unscheduled Bank of China meeting. It's nothing special compared to past events, but it serves as an additional excuse for a dump. Third, I already mentioned on the channel that this story with the drop below $90K on November 21st is very similar to the drop in March-April of this year. Back then, we hung below $90K for over a month, after which there were several ATH updates. The general situation then was much gloomierβ€”trade wars, steadily falling stocks, and hawkish Powell rhetoric. Now everything is much clearer, so I expect the situation to resolve much faster. The dollar index tried to go below 99 but hasn't succeeded yet. If it can, it will be positive for all markets.

Of the important data this week, the main ones will be inflation data (PCE Price index and inflation expectations), released on Friday. Their importance lies in the fact that the November CPI will only be released on December 18th (after the FED meeting). Therefore, in its rhetoric, the FED will be guided specifically by the inflation data released this Friday, December 5th.

In other news, the big players keep accumulating. Strategy bought 130 BTC last week. They also announced the formation of a $1.44 billion reserve to cover at least 12 months of dividends on preferred shares and interest on debt. This is the answer to the question "what will they do if Bitcoin falls." Meanwhile, Bitmine bought 96,798 ETH last week.

Everything is going according to plan. Even if Bitcoin tests $80,000-82,000 again and even goes slightly below $80K, it changes nothing. It was exactly like this in March-Aprilβ€”the second minimum on April 9th was lower than the March one. Now everything is maximally similar. Only ahead lie rate cuts and money generation. Easy money. But not for everyone. Why growth in the near future has no alternativeβ€”read the information in the previous two posts. Soon I will talk about scenarios for the next couple of months.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #MarketAnalysis #FED #InstitutionalMoney #CryptoPlan

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Yo crypto fam, BTC Hits Range Limit as DXY Dips: The Altcoin Truth Bomb! πŸ’£

Bitcoin went precisely to the range boundary mentioned yesterday. The price of the main cryptocurrency is currently around $92,500, with a local high set at $93,958. Market capitalization is 3.12 trillion, the dominance index is 59.60%, and the fear index is at 22.

The external background is neutral. The Dollar Index is below 99 for the first time since October. It's too early to talk about consolidation, but I like the direction. Today saw weak US labor market data. This favors a more dynamic FED rate cut. But these are medium-importance data points; Friday's inflation data will be more decisive. The stock market opened with a slight decline, but so far, it's all within white noise.

Nothing has changed for the marketβ€”Bitcoin is in the same range. The first goal is to consolidate above $93,500-94,000. After this consolidation, the next target is $95,000-96,000.

Now, a few words about altcoins. It might seemβ€”why talk about alts? Some "deer" here have been burying Bitcoin and Ethereum for a week already, so what's there to say about alts? But there are many people who use their brains for their intended purpose. And they have questions: why do altcoins that look completely dead suddenly do 5-10X? Why do I still expect something similar from most of the TOP ones, even though the market has changed significantly? Why hasn't this happened for several years? Read below:

Even in the TOP-200, there are very few altcoins that have practical application and are needed for anything other than speculation. Not even 10%, but much less. Nevertheless, we count on growth, X's, altseason, and all that. And often these expectations are justified. In 2021, it was already completely obvious that EOS or BCH were totally useless, had no practical use, and never would. But this did not prevent these assets from growing more than 3 times and almost 5 times, respectively, in 2021. This year, from September to early November, ZEC did X15, and from the bottomβ€”significantly more. Even now, it is 6 times more expensive than it was in September.

When the issue of cheap money is resolved, then the time for altcoins will come. It will also push Bitcoin to new highs. And this issue will be resolved soon. Considering that there is maximum fear and disbelief in growth in the market, it could turn out beautifully and unexpectedly for the majority. since both Bitcoin and the total crypto market capitalization have been growing since the end of 2022, this bull run could become the longest bull run in history. And the most powerful in terms of capitalization growth. Ethereum, Solana, and TOPs will show decent growth. The rest (non-TOPs) will grow selectively.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #Altcoins #Altseason #MarketAnalysis #Macro

😎 CRYPTO DOPEMAN
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4πŸ‘10πŸ”₯3πŸ’―2πŸ€”1
Yo crypto fam, BTC Holds $90K as FED Looms! Whales Are Apeing In! 🐳πŸ’₯

Bitcoin traded between $87,699 and $90,289 over the weekend and is currently sitting around $90,400. Market cap is holding firm at 3 trillion with dominance at 59.30%.

Until the crucial FED meeting on December 10th, I expect Bitcoin to stay within the range of $84,000-86,000 on the downside and $93,000-94,000 on the upside.

The real movement happens after the FED press conference. If the rhetoric is negative, a retest of the November 21st lows is possible (though less likely). If positive, we likely move towards $95,000-96,000 with a possible consolidation above that level.

Right now, the market has only priced in the December 10th rate cut. It doesn't believe in a January cut yet (only 26.7% probability). Any change in this probability based on the FED's tone on December 10th will dictate the direction. (December 19th is another big day, but we'll talk about that later).

Today's 1-year inflation expectations came in slightly worse than forecast by 0.1%. The S&P 500 didn't like it, dropping over 0.40%. But Bitcoin held above $89K, and Ether held above $3K.

Why? Because supply is crunching! Bitcoin and Ethereum balances on exchanges are at extreme lows. Only 8.7% of all ETH is on exchangesβ€”a record low since the network launched in 2015!

While the crowd is scared, smart money is loading up:

1. MicroStrategy didn't just buy a few hundred; they bought 10,624 BTC last week (almost $1 billion!). Forget their manager's previous FUD about selling; today they claimed they won't sell until 2065.
2. BitMine added another 138,452 ETH to their balance sheet last week.
3. MAJOR NEWS: BLACKROCK FILED FOR AN ETH ETF WITH STAKING. BlackRock doesn't get denied. This means it will be approved. This is huge news for Ethereum that will soon play out in general market growth.
4. Metaplanet (Asia's MicroStrategy) raised $50 million to buy BTC on balance.

The FED meeting is the day after tomorrow. Until then, expect the range mentioned above. But after that, it gets interesting. I think the market will end the year very strongly. Especially Ethereum.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #Ethereum #BlackRock #FED #SmartMoney

😎 CRYPTO DOPEMAN
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Yo crypto fam, FED yesterday dropped the rate cut EXACTLY as planned β€” now at the lowest level in 3 years! πŸ”₯

And guess what? They quietly kicked off QE: $40B treasury buys in the next 30 days. Yeah, that’s money printer go brrr, just the appetizer.

Powell opened with β€œinflation still elevated”… but then admitted labor market is cooling β†’ more cuts justified.
GDP forecast upgraded = strong economy, zero recession vibes.
Most important: only 12 days between end of QT and start of QE. They ain’t playing, liquidity coming in HOT.

Markets reacted instantly:
β€’ Dollar Index dumped under 98.3 (levels from early October when BTC was above 120K 😏)
β€’ S&P 500 up 0.70% yesterday, sniffing 6900
β€’ Crypto cap hit $3.14T, BTC chilling at $92-93K, ETH punched above $3400

Today BTC tagged $94,588 high, wicked down to ~89K, now back around $91,500
External vibe is red β€” Oracle bombed -14%, dragging NVDA -3.5% and whole AI sector.
But that’s just noise. Big picture is insanely bullish.

Probability of January rate cut jumped to ~30% (+5% in 24h)
10-year yields dropping
ETH holding strong above $3100

Alpha dropping:
β€’ New bill in US Congress to let pension funds buy crypto ETFs + possible tax exemption on crypto gains.
Still early, but this sh*t passes = trillions inbound in 2026.

Bitwise says $1.3M BTC by 2035 is the conservative scenario.
I say that’s my 2030 target

Short-term: still chopping in the range
β€’ Support $88,500 - $89,000
β€’ Resistance $94,000 - $94,500
Next touch of 94.5K = breakout & hold above incoming.

Printer warm. Dollar dying. Institutions loading.
See you at $100K+ real soon.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #Ethereum #FED #QE #MoneyPrinter #PensionFunds

😎 CRYPTO DOPEMAN
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4πŸ‘8πŸ‘3❀2⚑2
Yo crypto fam, Bitcoin broke the lower range over the weekend β€” wicked down toward $84,000 at US open, now bouncing around $86,000. 😐

External vibe neutral-to-red: S&P started green but flipping negative again. Oracle dumping another -4%, NVDA actually holding strong +1% (for now).

Dollar Index keeps sliding to ~98.20 β€” beautiful. If it cracks 97 this week on good data? Pure rocket fuel πŸš€

Big week ahead:

β€’ Tomorrow: November Nonfarm Payrolls + Unemployment β†’ massive impact on January rate cut odds
β€’ Thursday: November CPI β†’ even bigger mover
β€’ Friday: PCE + inflation expectations (less spicy unless surprise)

Current January cut probability: 27.3%
β€’ If it climbs above 40% by Friday β†’ strong year-end pump likely
β€’ Stays here β†’ 50/50 coinflip
β€’ Drops lower β†’ real fireworks shift to 2026

Bonus: Trump guy now runs the stats bureau β†’ data could come in market-friendly πŸ˜‰

Whale watch still loading:
β€’ MicroStrategy aped another 10,645 BTC (~$1B) last week πŸ”₯
β€’ BitMine stacked 102,259 ETH

Potential alpha: CLARITY Act vote possibly this week β€” huge regulatory win for crypto if it passes.

The bad: Hashrate dipped after Xinjiang farms shut down (old May ban resurfacing?).
But power shifting elsewhere fast β€” hashrate rebound incoming.

Plan unchanged. Short-term & long-term targets same.

Expecting BTC this week:
β€’ Support zone $84,000 - $86,000 (only on real negativity)
β€’ Resistance $94,000 - $94,500

Break and hold above 94.5K is inevitable β€” just a matter of when.
Doubters gonna suffer while holders eat 😀

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #Ethereum #FED #NonfarmPayrolls #CPI #MicroStrategy

😎 CRYPTO DOPEMAN
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5πŸ‘8😒3😑2🌚1
Yo crypto fam, been ghost for a week and market's just grinding sideways? Classic. BTC tagged local high at $90,588, now chilling at $89,800-$89,900, crypto cap battling to hold above $3T. 😴

External alpha is green: S&P pumping above 6876.
But heads up β€” Trump dropping bars today with his war ministers. Venezuela buildup? Could spark fireworks, but prolly after the 25th.

Gold & silver smashing ATHs, Dollar Index dumped below 98.3.
Tomorrow's the last full US session: GDP + labor data incoming. Wednesday short day, then zilch till next week.

If BTC locks in above $90,300-$90,500 next 24h, we smash $94,500 this weekend easy.
Fail? Back to the chop zone.

Year-end vibes already hitting:
πŸ“Š 2025 Asset Returns
β€’ Silver: +130%
β€’ Gold: +65%
β€’ Copper: +35%
β€’ Nasdaq: +20%
β€’ S&P 500: +16%
β€’ Russell 2000: +13%
β€’ BTC: -6%
β€’ ETH: -12%
β€’ Altcoins: -42%

Crowd screaming: Crypto dead, scam city, dump for gold while stocks moon?
Nah, that's sheep talk. FUD peddlers pushing it hard.

Real tea:
Metals popping cuz FED rate cuts kicked off, QE loading in 2026, Dollar getting rekt + debt drama eroding trust. Banks ditching treasuries for gold bars.

Stocks? AI hype + everyone front-running Trump’s election pump. Liquidity flood inevitable.
All this was called Jan 2, 2025 β€” rate drops, stock/gold gains, Dollar dump. Spot on.

Crypto? Synced till Oct 10 dump (that mess we covered). Needs time to shake it off.
$94K-$94.5K resistance tough, but once cracked? Moon mode. Could flip BTC's year-end red before NYE. Main leg up: Q1 2026.

Whatever BTC missed in '25? Coming Q1 with interest. BTC never had two red years back-to-back β€” especially not in a QE bonanza.

FUD example: BitMine (Tom Lee's crew) just aped $40.61M ETH at $3K.
But his Fundstrat "analytics" screaming ETH to $1.8K-$2K soon?
Bro's buying while FUDing. Smells like manipulation. Think on that. 😏

Holders win. Doubters NGMI.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #Ethereum #FED #QE #Gold #YearEnd

😎 CRYPTO DOPEMAN
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Yo crypto fam, Merry Christmas to all you degens, holders, and moonboys grinding through the holidays! πŸŽ„πŸš€

Whether you're stacking sats under the tree, watching charts instead of carols, or just HODLing through the family dinner drama β€” respect. You made it through another wild year in this crazy market.

Santa came early with rate cuts, QE whispers, and whales loading up while the crowd FUDs. 2026 about to be legendary β€” bigger pumps, real adoption, and that sweet sweet liquidity flood.

Enjoy the day with your loved ones, recharge those bags (and batteries), and get ready for the next leg up. We eating soon.

Merry Christmas, fam! Stay blessed, stay bullish, and keep building. πŸŽ…πŸ”₯

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #CryptoChristmas #MerryChristmas #HODL #BullRun2026

😎 CRYPTO DOPEMAN
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Yo crypto fam, 2025 is wrapping up β€” and yeah, it wasn't the moonshot year we all dreamed of. 😀

BTC smashed ATH at $126,199 in October... but closing below $90K (started the year ~$94K).
Market cap peaked $4.22T, now fighting to hold $3T.
ETH almost kissed $5K, now grinding $2,900-$3,000 (started $3,300-$3,600).

Meanwhile stocks doubled average gains, gold & metals went to Mars, Dollar Index getting wrecked. External vibe? Bullish AF.

Quick 2025 recap:
Started hot β€” Trump in, Gensler out, crypto-friendly USA, state reserve talks. BTC printing highs… then WHAM:
β€’ Trump drops $TRUMP token β†’ billions cap β†’ rug
β€’ Melania token β†’ same script
β€’ Argentina prez + celebs flooding memecoins on Solana β†’ 99% dead, insiders rich

Liquidity already thin from high rates β†’ market got drained hard.

Then Trump tariff threats β†’ stocks -20%, BTC dipped sub-$80K March-April. Two months of pure fear, tears, and that dumb "Sell in May" FUD everywhere.

Summer & early fall? Recovery mode β€” new BTC highs, finally ETH ATH.

October looked golden: rate cuts coming, new FED chair, Christmas rally loading…
Then October 10th hit β€” $20B liquidations. Cascade wipeout. Cap lost 25%+ and never fully recovered.

Crowd screaming BTC to $50K, analysts spreading despair. Classic bottom vibes.

But real talk: Macro plan ON POINT.
Rate cuts βœ“ Dollar dump βœ“ Gold/stocks moon βœ“
Crypto just lagged β€” that's asymmetry, not death. Opportunity for apes with diamond hands.

Asymmetry doesn't last. Catch-up coming Q1 2026 latest.
BTC back over $100K, ETH over $4K can happen in DAYS once it flips.

Key 2025 wins (don't sleep on these):
β€’ BTC in US strategic reserve
β€’ Pro-crypto regulation: no more debanking, SEC anti-crypto unit gone, pensions allowed in
β€’ Stablecoin law passed
β€’ Alt ETFs launched
β€’ Liquid staking TVL exploding

Mid-term rocket fuel + current lag = no alternative but UP.

2026 plan dropping early Jan. Stay ready.

Now β€” real talk: Health, strength, wins, and massive gains to every single one of you in 2026.
May your energy always outrun your to-do list, and your bags outrun your dreams.

Spend time with fam, love the people around you β€” that's worth more than any chart.

Happy New Year, legends. 2026 gonna be the one we deserve. πŸŽ†πŸš€

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto2025 #HappyNewYear #BullRun2026 #DiamondHands

😎 CRYPTO DOPEMAN
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Yo crypto fam, 2026 Plan Dropping β€” Crypto's About to Eat While the Weak Hands Starve! πŸš€πŸ’₯πŸ”₯

We're storming into 2026 with straight fire setups. Here's the alpha on why this year's gonna crush 2025 and print generational wealth for the real degens:

Liquidity Flood Incoming β€” FED's cranking the money printer HARD. They kicked off QE in December cuz liquidity was already drying up. Expect helicopter drops Q2-Q3 to pump those November elections.
Mid-term beast mode: In a QE + rate cut era, crypto has ZERO choice but UP.

Rate cuts locked in β€” January odds low (<15%), but January 9th NFP + 13th CPI could flip that script. Endgame? Rates at 2.5% or LOWER by EOY.
Plus, Powell's out Q1 β€” Trump's installing a 1% rate, weak Dollar puppet. Printer go BRRR.

USA Crypto Paradise β€” World's biggest market just flipped full green for crypto. Q1 seals the deal: CLARITY Act, pension funds aping crypto, tax breaks.
This sparks global dominoes β€” friendly laws everywhere.
Don't sleep on stablecoin law: Long-term rocket fuel for adoption and growth.

Market Asymmetry AF β€” Crypto's lagging gold, stocks, Dollar dump HARD. Blame October 10th bloodbath + liquidity suck, but that's TEMPORARY BS.
Asymmetry ends soon β€” clock's ticking, catch-up pump imminent.

Fear Maxed Out β€” Crowd's pissing pants, zero faith in upside. Classic bottom signal β€” always ends with moonshots for holders.

Strong Hands Only β€” Q4 purged the paper hands. Whales who stacked BTC sub-$90K and ETH sub-$3K ain't selling on 10-15% dips. Quality holders = rocket stability.

Bottom line: Crypto's path in 2026? UP or BUST (unless WW3 nukes everything, but then who cares).
Strategically: Obvious bull. Tactically: Near bottom now β€” downside tiny vs unlimited upside. Longer your horizon, clearer the win.

EOY Targets:
β€’ BTC $140K-$160K
β€’ ETH $9K-$12K
Path? Smooth organic grind with 10-15% corrections... or mega-dump then liquidity flood to the moon. Either way, play smart = you print.

Alts Alpha: DEX sector exploding β€” more apes flooding in post-Jan 1 rules. Wallets too.
Watch HYPE, UNI, CAKE, APEX for surprises. TWT ready to wake TF up.
SOL ecosystem + ETH-linked plays = TOP tier, especially at these prices.
Top 10 alts list dropping soon. Rule: Further from top, higher risk β€” always.

Market Cap EOY: $5-6T
BTC Dominance: Down to 45-50%

2025 built the base β€” 2026 we harvest. If your bags empty? Fix that NOW, degen.

πŸ“Ά Stay tuned for more crypto updates!

#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto2026 #FED #QE #Altseason

😎 CRYPTO DOPEMAN
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