🍾 The midterm dump is gone.
BTC bounced off the 50-week MA and ran to around $80K. ETH is knocking on $2,400. Reported short liquidations are in the hundreds of millions. That part came from aggregators, so treat the exact number loosely.
The real headline isn't the candle. Decrypt reports the Dems are already talking compromise on the Clarity Act. A market structure bill that looked dead now has a pulse. That's the kind of thing that moves money for years, not hours.
My read: part of this move was shorts getting squeezed, not fresh buyers. US spot demand was soft all October. I want to see it come back before I call this anything more than relief.
What I'm watching:
- $80K holding as support, not just a wick
- $77.6K (365-day MA) and $74K (avg trader cost basis) as the floors if it fails
- Actual Clarity Act text or a committee date, not just talk
Cigar's lit. I'll tell you when the bill moves.
NFA. DYOR.
BTC bounced off the 50-week MA and ran to around $80K. ETH is knocking on $2,400. Reported short liquidations are in the hundreds of millions. That part came from aggregators, so treat the exact number loosely.
The real headline isn't the candle. Decrypt reports the Dems are already talking compromise on the Clarity Act. A market structure bill that looked dead now has a pulse. That's the kind of thing that moves money for years, not hours.
My read: part of this move was shorts getting squeezed, not fresh buyers. US spot demand was soft all October. I want to see it come back before I call this anything more than relief.
What I'm watching:
- $80K holding as support, not just a wick
- $77.6K (365-day MA) and $74K (avg trader cost basis) as the floors if it fails
- Actual Clarity Act text or a committee date, not just talk
Cigar's lit. I'll tell you when the bill moves.
NFA. DYOR.
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The attackers have spread across 20,000+ wallets on 16 chains, but the bulk of the stolen ETH and BTC hasn't moved. Security Alliance estimates they had about 8 weeks inside before the $6.3B exploit.
Why I care: that's a loaded gun pointed at the market. When a pile that size starts moving, it goes through bridges, mixers and OTC desks. That's supply hitting the tape.
Other exchanges are nervous too. South Korea's GOPAX just halted trading, deposits and standard withdrawals over a hacking threat and is moving everything to cold storage. Withdrawals are manual only, through support.
What I'm watching: the first big outflow from the hacker wallets, more exchange freezes, and which venues publish real cold-storage numbers. Coinbase says 99%+ offline. Ask yours what theirs is.
Not your keys, not your bananas. Stay sharp, apes.🍾
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🐋 Strive stacked 15,124 BTC in October
Bitcoin treasury company Strive bought 15,124 BTC last month, taking its stack to 43,124 BTC. It also reported $509M in Q3 net income and is closing in on the top corporate holders.
🧠 Why I care: While the ETFs bled, a corporate treasury kept buying. That kind of bid doesn't flinch at a jobs print.
👀 What I'm watching: Whether Strive keeps buying below $80K, and how it funds the next round.
⚠️ Risk: Treasury companies buying is not a floor. If their stock struggles, the buying can stop.
Respect the stack. 🍾
Bitcoin treasury company Strive bought 15,124 BTC last month, taking its stack to 43,124 BTC. It also reported $509M in Q3 net income and is closing in on the top corporate holders.
🧠 Why I care: While the ETFs bled, a corporate treasury kept buying. That kind of bid doesn't flinch at a jobs print.
👀 What I'm watching: Whether Strive keeps buying below $80K, and how it funds the next round.
⚠️ Risk: Treasury companies buying is not a floor. If their stock struggles, the buying can stop.
Respect the stack. 🍾
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🏛️ Russia opens the door: retail crypto trading rules land Nov 17
Russia finalised rules that let retail investors trade BTC, ETH and USDT through regulated intermediaries. The rollout starts Nov 17, and Moscow Exchange plans to launch crypto trading in December.
🧠 Why I care: A major economy under sanctions is building regulated on-ramps for BTC, ETH and USDT. That's a new demand channel, and a new headache for Western compliance teams.
👀 What I'm watching: The Nov 17 start, which intermediaries get approved, and the MOEX launch in December. USDT making the list is the detail I'd underline.
⚠️ Risk: Rules on paper aren't volume. Watch whether retail actually shows up.
The bears in Moscow want a bottle too. 🍾
Russia finalised rules that let retail investors trade BTC, ETH and USDT through regulated intermediaries. The rollout starts Nov 17, and Moscow Exchange plans to launch crypto trading in December.
🧠 Why I care: A major economy under sanctions is building regulated on-ramps for BTC, ETH and USDT. That's a new demand channel, and a new headache for Western compliance teams.
👀 What I'm watching: The Nov 17 start, which intermediaries get approved, and the MOEX launch in December. USDT making the list is the detail I'd underline.
⚠️ Risk: Rules on paper aren't volume. Watch whether retail actually shows up.
The bears in Moscow want a bottle too. 🍾
📉 Jobs blowout puts a December hike on the table, BTC slips under $75K
US payrolls came in at +165,000 for October versus a 65,000 estimate, and bets on a December rate hike went up. BTC dipped under $75K and missed the tech-stock rebound. Bitcoin ETFs bled $430M on Thursday, led by Fidelity and BlackRock.
🧠 Why I care: Hot jobs mean the Fed isn't coming to rescue anyone. And crypto not bouncing when tech does tells me spot buyers are on strike, not just scared.
🎯 Levels: The weekly MA50 around $75,500 is the line. Lose it on a weekly close and the weekly MA200 near $67,800 is the next real floor. Reclaim $82K and the story changes.
👀 What I'm watching: The next inflation print, daily ETF flows, and where the weekly candle closes against $75.5K.
I don't catch knives with my good hand. NFA. DYOR. 🍾
US payrolls came in at +165,000 for October versus a 65,000 estimate, and bets on a December rate hike went up. BTC dipped under $75K and missed the tech-stock rebound. Bitcoin ETFs bled $430M on Thursday, led by Fidelity and BlackRock.
🧠 Why I care: Hot jobs mean the Fed isn't coming to rescue anyone. And crypto not bouncing when tech does tells me spot buyers are on strike, not just scared.
🎯 Levels: The weekly MA50 around $75,500 is the line. Lose it on a weekly close and the weekly MA200 near $67,800 is the next real floor. Reclaim $82K and the story changes.
👀 What I'm watching: The next inflation print, daily ETF flows, and where the weekly candle closes against $75.5K.
I don't catch knives with my good hand. NFA. DYOR. 🍾
🚨 BINANCE IS CLOSING SOME EUROPEAN ACCOUNTS BY DEC 31
Per CoinDesk, some Binance users in Europe have been told to pull their crypto before fees kick in. Affected accounts are reportedly set to close on Dec 31. Users in Spain, France and Poland say they got similar notices.
🧠 Why I care: when an exchange gives you a deadline, take it seriously. I've seen what happens to people who wait for the last week. Also on the wire: Binance CFO Kaiser Ng is reportedly leaving, and ex-Airwallex Justin Yek is stepping in.
👀 What I'm watching: an official Binance list of affected countries and the actual fee schedule. Neither is public in what I've seen yet.
⚠️ Scammers love a deadline. Fake 'withdraw now' emails will be everywhere. Only act on what you see inside the official Binance app or site. Never click email links and never share codes.
Check your inbox, check your app, plan your exit early. 🍾
Per CoinDesk, some Binance users in Europe have been told to pull their crypto before fees kick in. Affected accounts are reportedly set to close on Dec 31. Users in Spain, France and Poland say they got similar notices.
🧠 Why I care: when an exchange gives you a deadline, take it seriously. I've seen what happens to people who wait for the last week. Also on the wire: Binance CFO Kaiser Ng is reportedly leaving, and ex-Airwallex Justin Yek is stepping in.
Not your keys, not your coins. Never truer than when the exchange is the one showing you the door.
👀 What I'm watching: an official Binance list of affected countries and the actual fee schedule. Neither is public in what I've seen yet.
⚠️ Scammers love a deadline. Fake 'withdraw now' emails will be everywhere. Only act on what you see inside the official Binance app or site. Never click email links and never share codes.
Check your inbox, check your app, plan your exit early. 🍾
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🍾 Tonight, I’ll share my TOP 5 crypto picks that I believe belong in every portfolio. 👀🚀
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🥂 CHIMPAGNE POSITION UPDATE | BTC & ETH
We've officially started opening LONG positions on $BTC and $ETH.
While the market is filled with fear and uncertainty, we're positioning for what could come next.
We're not here to chase green candles. We're here to identify opportunities before the crowd catches on.
Conviction over noise. Patience over FOMO.
The champagne is on ice. 🍾
We've officially started opening LONG positions on $BTC and $ETH.
While the market is filled with fear and uncertainty, we're positioning for what could come next.
We're not here to chase green candles. We're here to identify opportunities before the crowd catches on.
Conviction over noise. Patience over FOMO.
The champagne is on ice. 🍾
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CHIMPAGNE | TOP CRYPTO PICKS 🍸
Here's what we're watching:
OUR TOP 5📊
1. $BTC — The king of crypto.
2. $ETH — The backbone of DeFi.
3. $SOL — A leading high-growth ecosystem.
4. $LINK — Critical blockchain infrastructure.
5. $HYPE — Decentralized trading exposure.
BONUS PICKS: HIGHER RISK, HIGHER VOLATILITY
🐧 $PENGU — Strong community, recognizable brand, and meme culture.
$USELESS — Pure meme speculation. Attention is the narrative.
$ONDO — Our RWA narrative pick. Exposure to the tokenization trend.
➡️ We've already started building LONG positions in $BTC and $ETH... We're watching the others for attractive entries, not blindly chasing pumps.
Fear is high. Sentiment is weak. Opportunities are starting to look interesting.
Here's what we're watching:
OUR TOP 5
1. $BTC — The king of crypto.
2. $ETH — The backbone of DeFi.
3. $SOL — A leading high-growth ecosystem.
4. $LINK — Critical blockchain infrastructure.
5. $HYPE — Decentralized trading exposure.
BONUS PICKS: HIGHER RISK, HIGHER VOLATILITY
$USELESS — Pure meme speculation. Attention is the narrative.
$ONDO — Our RWA narrative pick. Exposure to the tokenization trend.
Buy the opportunity. Don't chase the hype.⚠️
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Sellers in Control, Recent Buyers Underwater 📉
When recent buyers are underwater, some may sell when price comes back to their cost, just to break even. That can make the $79K area harder to break.🕯️
When recent buyers are underwater, some may sell when price comes back to their cost, just to break even. That can make the $79K area harder to break.
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#BITCOIN JUST LOST THE 50-WEEK MA! 💰
$BTC closed the weekly candle below the 50-week moving average for the first time in 2 months. It's sitting near $74,000, the lowest since mid-August.🕯
The push didn't even come from crypto. Nvidia's board is investigating Jensen Huang, the stock dropped almost 5% premarket, and all of tech dragged us down with it.📉
➖ $700 million in longs wiped in 15 minutes on Sunday night as $BTC slipped under $75K and $ETH hit $2,100
➖ Bitcoin ETFs bled $1.3 billion last week, $1.21 billion of it from BlackRock's IBIT
➖ CryptoQuant: recent buyers are underwater, so the $79K area turns into a wall of break-even sellers 📌
But why does this matter to us❓
Because the next levels are clear. The daily MA200 sits near $73,240, then the weekly MA200 around $67,760. Ash Crypto warns that a second weekly close under the 50W opens the low $60K zone.⚠️
🕯
US inflation data lands this week too. I'm not catching knives with leverage. Bulls need a weekly reclaim of the 50W, or this was no fakeout.👀
NFA. DYOR.🍸
$BTC closed the weekly candle below the 50-week moving average for the first time in 2 months. It's sitting near $74,000, the lowest since mid-August.
The push didn't even come from crypto. Nvidia's board is investigating Jensen Huang, the stock dropped almost 5% premarket, and all of tech dragged us down with it.
But why does this matter to us
Because the next levels are clear. The daily MA200 sits near $73,240, then the weekly MA200 around $67,760. Ash Crypto warns that a second weekly close under the 50W opens the low $60K zone.
A chip CEO's private life moving my Bitcoin... the jungle gets stranger every cycle.
US inflation data lands this week too. I'm not catching knives with leverage. Bulls need a weekly reclaim of the 50W, or this was no fakeout.
NFA. DYOR.
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$USELESS Analysis: The price has reached critical support levels. 🕯️
From a technical perspective, a particularly interesting situation has emerged, as several key support levels converge at the same price point:📌
➖ $0.13–$0.14: The primary support zone
It is evident from the chart that this region has previously functioned as a significant support and resistance level. Additionally, the daily EMA200 and the weekly EMA50 moving averages are located at this level, while the ascending trendline established since September also aligns here.📈
The convergence of these4️⃣ technical factors renders the current level particularly significant. If support is maintained from this point and a strong rebound occurs, it will reinforce the long-term bullish structure. 📈
➡️ If support is successfully held, the initial focus should be on the recovery of the region around $0.19. In the longer term, the $0.35 level and the all-time high region between $0.44 and $0.45 remain the most significant resistance levels.
However, what occurs if this support is lost❓
In such a scenario, a more cautious approach would be advisable, as the simultaneous loss of the $0.13 region, the moving averages, and the ascending trendline would constitute a significant negative technical signal.👀
Following such a breakdown, the price of $USELESS could potentially decline to levels around $0.07.
Over the past few weeks, $USELESS has undergone a significant correction, declining from its September peak of approximately $0.355 to the $0.13 region.
From a technical perspective, a particularly interesting situation has emerged, as several key support levels converge at the same price point:
It is evident from the chart that this region has previously functioned as a significant support and resistance level. Additionally, the daily EMA200 and the weekly EMA50 moving averages are located at this level, while the ascending trendline established since September also aligns here.
The convergence of these
However, what occurs if this support is lost
In such a scenario, a more cautious approach would be advisable, as the simultaneous loss of the $0.13 region, the moving averages, and the ascending trendline would constitute a significant negative technical signal.
Following such a breakdown, the price of $USELESS could potentially decline to levels around $0.07.
In the long term, the token continues to exhibit substantial potential; however, a further significant increase will first require the maintenance of current support and the reclamation of the $0.19 level.✔️
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