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π NHL
Vegas Golden Knights - Vancouver Canucks
Pick - Over 6.5 (OT incl.)
Odds - 1.94 (-106)
Stake - 2.5% /u
This is a spot where Vegas needs to respond and push hard after some chaotic performances. A coaching change should eventually stabilize things, but for now it can still lead to open hockey. The Canucks are out of the race, so they can play freely. I see good value on goals here.
LET'S GO! β‘οΈβοΈπ₯
Vegas Golden Knights - Vancouver Canucks
Pick - Over 6.5 (OT incl.)
Odds - 1.94 (-106)
Stake - 2.5% /u
This is a spot where Vegas needs to respond and push hard after some chaotic performances. A coaching change should eventually stabilize things, but for now it can still lead to open hockey. The Canucks are out of the race, so they can play freely. I see good value on goals here.
LET'S GO! β‘οΈβοΈπ₯
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Arvis P plays
βΎοΈ MLB Royals - Twins Pick: Under 10 Odds: 1.88 Stake: 3 units A lower-scoring game is likely here because the Royals have struggled to produce runs, especially at home. The Royals bring strong and efficient pitching, while on the other, the Twins have aβ¦
Cheers! π₯π₯π₯
π₯7π7π2
Arvis P plays
π NBA Jazz - Cavaliers Pick: James Harden under 20.5 points Odds: 1.90 Stake: 2.5 units As a Cavalier, James Harden is averaging 20.8 points, but this matchup comes with clear blowout risk, with the spread set at 17.5. In games where Cleveland wins by atβ¦
Cheers! β‘οΈβ‘οΈβ‘οΈ
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π DEL
Bremerhaven - Adler Mannheim
Pick - Bremerhaven ML
Odds - 2.36 (+136)
Stake - 1.5% /u
I donβt think this series ends 0-4. Adler are the better team and should advance, but Bremerhaven deserve at least one win here. The odds on the home side should be lower, so I see great value.
LET'S GO! π€π§π§³
Bremerhaven - Adler Mannheim
Pick - Bremerhaven ML
Odds - 2.36 (+136)
Stake - 1.5% /u
I donβt think this series ends 0-4. Adler are the better team and should advance, but Bremerhaven deserve at least one win here. The odds on the home side should be lower, so I see great value.
LET'S GO! π€π§π§³
π₯7π3β€2π1
π NBA
Rockets - Knicks
Pick: Jabari Smith Jr. over 14.5 points
Odds: 1.90
Stake: 2.5 units
The Rockets are facing the Knicks, a team against which Smith already scored 21 points about a month ago. New York limits scoring in the paint, which should push more opportunities to the perimeter - a good setup for Smith. When factoring in all current Rockets starters, his expected minutes, and matchups against teams that allow a high volume of threes and catch-and-shoot looks, he has gone over this line in 9 of 12 games, averaging 18.2 points. In one of the unders, he still scored 12 points despite shooting just 1 of 6 from three.
LET'S GO! ππ€ π€
Rockets - Knicks
Pick: Jabari Smith Jr. over 14.5 points
Odds: 1.90
Stake: 2.5 units
The Rockets are facing the Knicks, a team against which Smith already scored 21 points about a month ago. New York limits scoring in the paint, which should push more opportunities to the perimeter - a good setup for Smith. When factoring in all current Rockets starters, his expected minutes, and matchups against teams that allow a high volume of threes and catch-and-shoot looks, he has gone over this line in 9 of 12 games, averaging 18.2 points. In one of the unders, he still scored 12 points despite shooting just 1 of 6 from three.
LET'S GO! ππ€ π€
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βΎοΈ MLB
Diamondbacks - Tigers
Pick: Tigers ML
Odds: 1.99
Stake: 2.5 units
The Tigers are in a strong position to win because they have the edge on the mound and a favorable matchup for their offense. Arizonaβs starter struggled last season, allowing a lot of runs and not generating many strikeouts, which can create scoring chances. On top of that, the Diamondbacks have one of the weaker bullpens, so Detroit should have opportunities to produce runs throughout the game.
LET'S GO! π₯π·π₯
Diamondbacks - Tigers
Pick: Tigers ML
Odds: 1.99
Stake: 2.5 units
The Tigers are in a strong position to win because they have the edge on the mound and a favorable matchup for their offense. Arizonaβs starter struggled last season, allowing a lot of runs and not generating many strikeouts, which can create scoring chances. On top of that, the Diamondbacks have one of the weaker bullpens, so Detroit should have opportunities to produce runs throughout the game.
LET'S GO! π₯π·π₯
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π NHL
Washington Capitals - Philadelphia Flyers
Pick - Philadelphia Flyers ML
Odds - 2.14 (+114)
Stake - 2% /u
The Capitals are coming off a three-game road trip, while the Flyers are in very solid form right now. In my opinion, Philly should be favorites here, so getting plus money is definitely value.
LET'S GO! π«‘π€©π₯³
Washington Capitals - Philadelphia Flyers
Pick - Philadelphia Flyers ML
Odds - 2.14 (+114)
Stake - 2% /u
The Capitals are coming off a three-game road trip, while the Flyers are in very solid form right now. In my opinion, Philly should be favorites here, so getting plus money is definitely value.
LET'S GO! π«‘π€©π₯³
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Arvis P plays
π DEL Bremerhaven - Adler Mannheim Pick - Bremerhaven ML Odds - 2.36 (+136) Stake - 1.5% /u I donβt think this series ends 0-4. Adler are the better team and should advance, but Bremerhaven deserve at least one win here. The odds on the home side shouldβ¦
Cheers! π₯π₯π₯
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Arvis P plays
π NBA Rockets - Knicks Pick: Jabari Smith Jr. over 14.5 points Odds: 1.90 Stake: 2.5 units The Rockets are facing the Knicks, a team against which Smith already scored 21 points about a month ago. New York limits scoring in the paint, which should push moreβ¦
Cheers! π₯π₯π₯
π₯16β€5π3π€―3π1
βΎοΈ MLB
Reds - Pirates
Pick: Andrew Abbott under 5.5 strikeouts
Odds: 1.83
Stake: 3 units
In his career, Abbott has gone under this line in nearly 62% of his starts. He also opened this season with just 4 strikeouts against the Red Sox, and the Pirates profile as a mid-tier team in terms of strikeout rate. When facing teams ranked between 12th and 20th in strikeout percentage, Abbott has stayed under in 13 of 18 games, averaging 4.61 strikeouts. He also recorded 5 strikeouts against the Pirates last season, a lineup that was performing even worse than it is now.
On top of that, the ballpark is more hitter-friendly, which can further reduce strikeout potential and support the under.
LET'S GO! ππΏπ―
Reds - Pirates
Pick: Andrew Abbott under 5.5 strikeouts
Odds: 1.83
Stake: 3 units
In his career, Abbott has gone under this line in nearly 62% of his starts. He also opened this season with just 4 strikeouts against the Red Sox, and the Pirates profile as a mid-tier team in terms of strikeout rate. When facing teams ranked between 12th and 20th in strikeout percentage, Abbott has stayed under in 13 of 18 games, averaging 4.61 strikeouts. He also recorded 5 strikeouts against the Pirates last season, a lineup that was performing even worse than it is now.
On top of that, the ballpark is more hitter-friendly, which can further reduce strikeout potential and support the under.
LET'S GO! ππΏπ―
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π NBA
Rockets - Bucks
Pick: Kevin Durant under 24.5 points
Odds: 1.90
Stake: 2.5 units
I just donβt see Durant playing heavy minutes tonight. The spread is already at 17 points, and thereβs a strong chance Milwaukee rests players like Ryan Rollins, Myles Turner, and Kyle Kuzma as they fall out of playoff contention. If that happens, Houston could take control early and turn this into a blowout. In games where his team wins by at least 15 points against bottom-10 defenses, Durant has gone under in 8 of 9 games, averaging just 20.3 points.
LET'S GO! π₯π€Ώπ£
Rockets - Bucks
Pick: Kevin Durant under 24.5 points
Odds: 1.90
Stake: 2.5 units
I just donβt see Durant playing heavy minutes tonight. The spread is already at 17 points, and thereβs a strong chance Milwaukee rests players like Ryan Rollins, Myles Turner, and Kyle Kuzma as they fall out of playoff contention. If that happens, Houston could take control early and turn this into a blowout. In games where his team wins by at least 15 points against bottom-10 defenses, Durant has gone under in 8 of 9 games, averaging just 20.3 points.
LET'S GO! π₯π€Ώπ£
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π NHL
San Jose Sharks - Anaheim Ducks
Pick - Over 6.5 (OT incl.)
Odds - 1.81 (-123)
Stake - 3% /u
Another good spot for goals in a Ducks game. Their defense hasnβt been great lately, so the Sharksβ offense should be able to take advantage. San Joseβs young talents can generate scoring chances, and I expect a productive game here. Good value on the over.
LET'S GO! π«Έπ«·π€©π₯³
San Jose Sharks - Anaheim Ducks
Pick - Over 6.5 (OT incl.)
Odds - 1.81 (-123)
Stake - 3% /u
Another good spot for goals in a Ducks game. Their defense hasnβt been great lately, so the Sharksβ offense should be able to take advantage. San Joseβs young talents can generate scoring chances, and I expect a productive game here. Good value on the over.
LET'S GO! π«Έπ«·π€©π₯³
π₯9β€3π2π1
Arvis P plays
βΎοΈ MLB Reds - Pirates Pick: Andrew Abbott under 5.5 strikeouts Odds: 1.83 Stake: 3 units In his career, Abbott has gone under this line in nearly 62% of his starts. He also opened this season with just 4 strikeouts against the Red Sox, and the Pirates profileβ¦
Cheers! π₯π₯π₯
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