ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +60.2c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Peak net: +14.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 23 20:00-Aug 24 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +60.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +18.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?
Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
Peak net: +18.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?
Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
Peak net: +19.1c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +60.7c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 24 20:00-Aug 25 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?
2:: 50 bps
Peak net: +86.6c
Route: Kalshi YES / Opinion NO
Open
2. Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?
2:: 50 bps
Peak net: +86.5c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +60.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?
Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
Peak net: +20.0c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Peak net: +16.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 25 20:00-Aug 26 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +61.6c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +19.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Peak net: +16.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will the Fed cut rates 3 times?
3:: 75 bps
Peak net: +17.5c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Opinion
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +62.4c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 26 20:00-Aug 27 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +62.4c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Democrats win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
Peak net: +61.2c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +21.3c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Peak net: +16.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?
Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
Peak net: +18.0c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 27 20:00-Aug 28 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +62.9c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Democrats win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
Peak net: +61.2c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +21.7c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Peak net: +17.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?
Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
Peak net: +14.2c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 28 20:00-Aug 29 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +18.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Peak net: +17.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. IPOs Before 2027
Discord
Peak net: +16.6c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Peak net: +17.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?
Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
Peak net: +15.2c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 29 20:00-Aug 30 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?
Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
Peak net: +23.8c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +20.1c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. IPOs Before 2027
Discord
Peak net: +18.2c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.