ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 6 20:00-Jun 7 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Will Alexander Zverev win the French Open?
Alexander Zverev
Peak net: +26.1c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +15.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Alexander Zverev win the French Open?
Alexander Zverev
Peak net: +13.9c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 6 20:00-Jun 7 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Will Alexander Zverev win the French Open?
Alexander Zverev
Peak net: +26.1c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +15.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Alexander Zverev win the French Open?
Alexander Zverev
Peak net: +13.9c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 7 20:00-Jun 8 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
<500B
Peak net: +50.3c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
2. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +15.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
San Antonio
Peak net: +11.2c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 7 20:00-Jun 8 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
<500B
Peak net: +50.3c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
2. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +15.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
San Antonio
Peak net: +11.2c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 8 20:00-Jun 9 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. US Inflation in 2026
Above 4%
Peak net: +74.2c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +28.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +17.2c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 8 20:00-Jun 9 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. US Inflation in 2026
Above 4%
Peak net: +74.2c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +28.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +17.2c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 9 20:00-Jun 10 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. US Inflation in 2026
Above 4%
Peak net: +74.1c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +57.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +46.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 9 20:00-Jun 10 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. US Inflation in 2026
Above 4%
Peak net: +74.1c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +57.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 2 cuts
Peak net: +46.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 10 20:00-Jun 11 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
New York
Peak net: +43.7c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
San Antonio
Peak net: +43.2c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +28.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 10 20:00-Jun 11 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
New York
Peak net: +43.7c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
San Antonio
Peak net: +43.2c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +28.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 11 20:00-Jun 12 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. NHL Stanley Cup Champion 2026
Carolina Hurricanes
Peak net: +39.6c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +28.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +21.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 11 20:00-Jun 12 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. NHL Stanley Cup Champion 2026
Carolina Hurricanes
Peak net: +39.6c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +28.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +21.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 12 20:00-Jun 13 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +28.8c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +15.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 12 20:00-Jun 13 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +28.8c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +15.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.