ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 26 20:00-Jun 27 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Jack Antonoff
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
Peak net: +12.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +12.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.9c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +11.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 27 20:00-Jun 28 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +37.4c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Kevin McGonigle win AL ROTY?
:: Detroit
Peak net: +11.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +11.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +12.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 28 20:00-Jun 29 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +12.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?
Drake
Peak net: +12.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +10.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur?
Russia
Peak net: +10.8c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 29 20:00-Jun 30 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur?
Russia
Peak net: +12.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +10.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur?
Russia
Peak net: +12.8c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +35.2c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 30 20:00-Jul 1 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +35.2c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur?
Russia
Peak net: +12.9c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +11.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 1 20:00-Jul 2 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Jack Antonoff
Peak net: +18.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Lana Del Rey
Peak net: +14.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Sabrina Carpenter
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +34.5c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Sabrina Carpenter
Peak net: +14.4c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 2 20:00-Jul 3 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +34.5c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Sabrina Carpenter
Peak net: +21.2c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Jack Antonoff
Peak net: +19.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +34.5c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?
:: Director of the FBI
Peak net: +12.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 3 20:00-Jul 4 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Lana Del Rey
Peak net: +21.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Sabrina Carpenter
Peak net: +20.6c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. LoL LCK 2026 Season Winner
Hanwha Life Esports
Peak net: +10.3c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.