Arblense
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ArbLense Opportunity

1. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.9c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 24 20:00-Jun 25 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.9c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +10.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +9.0c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.9c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 25 20:00-Jun 26 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +29.0c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
Peak net: +12.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Jack Antonoff
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
Peak net: +12.1c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 26 20:00-Jun 27 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?
Jack Antonoff
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
Peak net: +12.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +12.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.9c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +11.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 27 20:00-Jun 28 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +37.4c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Kevin McGonigle win AL ROTY?
:: Detroit
Peak net: +11.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +11.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +12.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 28 20:00-Jun 29 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +12.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?
Drake
Peak net: +12.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +10.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur?
Russia
Peak net: +10.8c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 29 20:00-Jun 30 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur?
Russia
Peak net: +12.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +10.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur?
Russia
Peak net: +12.8c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +35.2c
Route: Buy YES on Opinion / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 30 20:00-Jul 1 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +35.2c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur?
Russia
Peak net: +12.9c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open
ArbLense Opportunity

1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +11.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open