ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: May 13 20:00-May 14 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Detroit
Peak net / contract: +1.2c
Total profit: $7,844 at May 13 22:22 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=016a7d1f0a9b&open=1
2. Hike 0bps
Peak net / contract: +0.5c
Total profit: $2,682 at May 14 10:47 PT
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=11ff1b9324c4&open=1
3. Elise Stefanik
Peak net / contract: +0.5c
Total profit: $1,270 at May 14 02:38 PT
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=1c296185da89&open=1

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

Big Polymarket print: Hike 0bps
Board: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting?
Side: BUY
Notional: $52,852
Price: 97.6c
Time: May 14 20:38 PT

Context: large public tape print on Polymarket.

Verify live depth before routing; prints are not execution advice.

Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?market=567a642b4492&open=1

Arb opportunity: Detroit
Board: Will the Detroit win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Current net: $3333.71
Peak net (tracked 116m): $3333.71 at 2026-05-16 01:47
ROI: 1.52%
Capital: $218913.92
Size: 222248
Per contract: gross 1.50c / fees 0.00c / net 1.50c

Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=9f9c9a5b1b00&open=1

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: May 14 20:00-May 15 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Hike 0bps
Peak net / contract: +1.0c
Total profit: $5,137 at May 15 09:09 PT
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=11ff1b9324c4&open=1
2. Detroit
Peak net / contract: +1.9c
Total profit: $3,565 at May 15 19:12 PT
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=9f9c9a5b1b00&open=1
3. Elise Stefanik
Peak net / contract: +0.5c
Total profit: $1,270 at May 15 04:28 PT
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=1c296185da89&open=1

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

Arb opportunity: San Antonio
Board: Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Current net: $1140.11
Peak net (tracked 285m): $1140.11 at 2026-05-16 04:19
ROI: 1.94%
Capital: $58865.89
Size: 60006
Per contract: gross 1.90c / fees 0.00c / net 1.90c

Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=7422a3e1e65e&open=1

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: May 15 20:00-May 16 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Hike 0bps
Peak net / contract: +1.0c
Total profit: $5,137 at May 15 20:20 PT
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=11ff1b9324c4&open=1
2. Detroit
Peak net / contract: +1.9c
Total profit: $3,505 at May 16 02:38 PT
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=9f9c9a5b1b00&open=1
3. Cleveland
Peak net / contract: +1.1c
Total profit: $2,582 at May 15 23:26 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=63d2baecbdbd&open=1

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

Arb opportunity: Detroit
Board: Will the Detroit win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Current net: $3229.29
Peak net (tracked 86m): $3229.29 at 2026-05-18 02:12
ROI: 2.99%
Capital: $108125.67
Size: 111355
Per contract: gross 2.90c / fees 0.00c / net 2.90c

Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=016a7d1f0a9b&open=1

Arb opportunity: Cleveland
Board: Will the Cleveland win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Current net: $2710.55
Peak net (tracked 112m): $2710.55 at 2026-05-18 02:37
ROI: 2.88%
Capital: $94094.97
Size: 96806
Per contract: gross 2.80c / fees 0.00c / net 2.80c

Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=b73d5ca8327d&open=1

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: May 16 20:00-May 17 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Detroit
Peak net / contract: +2.9c
Total profit: $11,306 at May 17 19:57 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=016a7d1f0a9b&open=1
2. Hike 0bps
Peak net / contract: +1.0c
Total profit: $5,114 at May 17 03:54 PT
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=11ff1b9324c4&open=1
3. Cleveland
Peak net / contract: +2.8c
Total profit: $2,548 at May 17 19:51 PT
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=b73d5ca8327d&open=1

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: May 17 20:00-May 18 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Anthropic
Peak net / contract: +14.0c
Total profit: $1 at May 18 09:50 PT
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=a69d5c91d004&open=1
2. Naftali Bennett
Peak net / contract: +12.0c
Total profit: $4 at May 18 05:58 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=fa16faf0669f&open=1
3. Above 4%
Peak net / contract: +11.7c
Total profit: $0 at May 18 10:48 PT
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=4d4df52634d7&open=1

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

Arb opportunity: Cleveland
Board: Will the Cleveland win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Current net: $7620.60
Peak net (tracked 13m): $7620.60 at 2026-05-20 02:01
ROI: 1.52%
Capital: $500419.08
Size: 508040
Per contract: gross 1.50c / fees 0.00c / net 1.50c

Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=b73d5ca8327d&open=1

Arb opportunity: New York
Board: Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Current net: $1445.98
Peak net (tracked 166m): $1445.98 at 2026-05-20 02:21
ROI: 4.60%
Capital: $31417.21
Size: 32863
Per contract: gross 4.40c / fees 0.00c / net 4.40c

Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=bdf687b2cb8b&open=1

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: May 18 20:00-May 19 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Above 4%
Peak net / contract: +12.0c
Total profit: $0 at May 19 18:20 PT
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=4d4df52634d7&open=1
2. Naftali Bennett
Peak net / contract: +10.0c
Total profit: $20 at May 19 11:35 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=fa16faf0669f&open=1
3. <15B
Peak net / contract: +9.4c
Total profit: $9 at May 19 13:26 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=69ed917cccc2&open=1

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: May 19 20:00-May 20 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Above 4%
Peak net / contract: +47.6c
Total profit: $0 at May 20 07:19 PT
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=4d4df52634d7&open=1
2. Naftali Bennett
Peak net / contract: +13.0c
Total profit: $26 at May 20 16:21 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=fa16faf0669f&open=1
3. <15B
Peak net / contract: +11.4c
Total profit: $3 at May 20 11:07 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=69ed917cccc2&open=1

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: May 20 20:00-May 21 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Bilibili Gaming
Peak net / contract: +34.5c
Total profit: $0 at May 21 00:36 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=6555bb0756de&open=1
2. <15B
Peak net / contract: +16.0c
Total profit: $21 at May 21 14:41 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=69ed917cccc2&open=1
3. Naftali Bennett
Peak net / contract: +13.0c
Total profit: $26 at May 21 02:22 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=fa16faf0669f&open=1

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

Market move: Oh Se-hoon
Board: Seoul Mayor Election Winner 2026
Venue: opinion
Window: 1h
Mid move: +3.20c
Current mid: 17.95c

Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?market=557b62d71b25&open=1

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: May 23 20:00-May 24 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. John Cornyn
Peak net / contract: +12.2c
Total profit: $0 at May 24 14:58 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=30e8d2f00b32&open=1
2. <500B
Peak net / contract: +8.0c
Total profit: $0 at May 24 14:46 PT
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=2ec17b8599f2&open=1
3. Oh Se-hoon
Peak net / contract: +6.5c
Total profit: $0 at May 24 14:50 PT
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?card=2c7d3be97abd&open=1

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

Market move: 44914465637297319816681463234953032477919413063019359633128421605039733545953
Board: 44914465637297319816681463234953032477919413063019359633128421605039733545953
Venue: polymarket
Window: 1h
Mid move: +13.00c
Current mid: 52.50c

Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?market=1aebf5fb44b2&open=1

Market move: Oklahoma City
Board: Will the Oklahoma City win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
Venue: polymarket
Window: 1h
Mid move: -13.00c
Current mid: 47.50c

Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?market=50403b9dd958&open=1

Market move: Oklahoma City
Board: Will the Oklahoma City win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
Venue: kalshi
Window: 1h
Mid move: -12.00c
Current mid: 48.50c

Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?market=50403b9dd958&open=1

Market move: San Antonio
Board: Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?
Venue: kalshi
Window: 1h
Mid move: +11.00c
Current mid: 26.50c

Open: https://arblense.com/arbs?market=4edb906ab3b9&open=1