The current situation regarding Russian Strategic Bombers:
At Olenya Air Base in Murmansk Oblast, there are currently:
2 Tu-95MS (Both of which are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles, previously three equipped aircraft before redeployments were carried out - this will be important later).
32 Tu-22M3 (most are not operational)
At Engels-2 Air Base in Saratov Oblast there are currently:
2 Tu-95MS
3 Tu-160 (two of which have been conducting regular training)
Another IL-76MS military transport aircraft landed there, presumably carrying Kh-101 cruise missiles for the Tu-95MS and Tu-160s.
At Belaya Air Base in Irkutsk Oblast, there are currently:
8 Tu-95MS (two new ones flew here from Olenya following the first five that flew there around 6 days ago. The other aircraft is based there for training purposes)
7 Tu-160
1 IL-76MD landed at the air base (likely carrying Kh-101 missiles - I will address this later).
At Diaghilev Air Base in Ryazan Oblast, there are currently:
3 Tu-95MS
Interestingly, 1-2 Tu-95s "disappeared" from Olenya, redeploying to another Air Base. This mystery Air Base isn't Belaya or Engels, and likely isn't Diaghilev, which could suggest that Russia is basing their Tu-95s at a new air base.
Additionally, Belaya is probably being used to equip the bombers with Kh-101 missiles considering the sudden IL-76MD activity coinciding with the large-scale deployments to the air base, the first of which occurred shortly before the most recent large-scale missile attack (keep in mind, this does not necessarily mean that another large-scale missile attack will happen in the next few days).
Remember how I said three Tu-95s were equipped at Olenya before the redeployments? Considering this likelihood of Belaya being used for equipment of missiles, it means that none of the 2 new aircraft that redeployed from Olenya to Belaya was equipped with missiles, meaning that one of the 1-2 Tu-95s which redeployed to this "mystery base" was equipped with Kh-101 missiles. This could significantly alter the relatively consistent patterns observed during the large-scale missile strikes on Ukraine, as Russia only ever uses one (rarely two) air bases for basing equipped aircraft.
At Olenya Air Base in Murmansk Oblast, there are currently:
2 Tu-95MS (Both of which are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles, previously three equipped aircraft before redeployments were carried out - this will be important later).
32 Tu-22M3 (most are not operational)
At Engels-2 Air Base in Saratov Oblast there are currently:
2 Tu-95MS
3 Tu-160 (two of which have been conducting regular training)
Another IL-76MS military transport aircraft landed there, presumably carrying Kh-101 cruise missiles for the Tu-95MS and Tu-160s.
At Belaya Air Base in Irkutsk Oblast, there are currently:
8 Tu-95MS (two new ones flew here from Olenya following the first five that flew there around 6 days ago. The other aircraft is based there for training purposes)
7 Tu-160
1 IL-76MD landed at the air base (likely carrying Kh-101 missiles - I will address this later).
At Diaghilev Air Base in Ryazan Oblast, there are currently:
3 Tu-95MS
Interestingly, 1-2 Tu-95s "disappeared" from Olenya, redeploying to another Air Base. This mystery Air Base isn't Belaya or Engels, and likely isn't Diaghilev, which could suggest that Russia is basing their Tu-95s at a new air base.
Additionally, Belaya is probably being used to equip the bombers with Kh-101 missiles considering the sudden IL-76MD activity coinciding with the large-scale deployments to the air base, the first of which occurred shortly before the most recent large-scale missile attack (keep in mind, this does not necessarily mean that another large-scale missile attack will happen in the next few days).
Remember how I said three Tu-95s were equipped at Olenya before the redeployments? Considering this likelihood of Belaya being used for equipment of missiles, it means that none of the 2 new aircraft that redeployed from Olenya to Belaya was equipped with missiles, meaning that one of the 1-2 Tu-95s which redeployed to this "mystery base" was equipped with Kh-101 missiles. This could significantly alter the relatively consistent patterns observed during the large-scale missile strikes on Ukraine, as Russia only ever uses one (rarely two) air bases for basing equipped aircraft.
A Russian Su-30 is airborne over the Sea of Azov. Threat of Kh-31P/59 missile launches for the southern regions of Ukraine.
AMK Mapping
A Russian Su-30 is airborne over the Sea of Azov. Threat of Kh-31P/59 missile launches for the southern regions of Ukraine.
Correction: It hasn't reached the Sea of Azov yet and is flying west near Novocherkassk, Krasnodar Krai.
There is also a Su-30/35 airborne over Kursk Oblast. Threat of Kh-31P/59 missiles for Sumy Oblast.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts
🇮🇳🇵🇰⚡- BREAKING: India has officially placed the blame on Pakistan over the Pahalgam terror attack.
A preliminary report by India's National Investigation Agency, NIA, in its probe into the Kashmir terror attack has pointed to 'operational links' between Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence, ISI, and the Lashkar-e-Taiba, LeT. The NIA believes the LeT to have 'masterminded' the attack.
The NIA report states the 'plot was hatched by LeT militants', allegedly under the 'directives of senior ISI officials'. NIA sources claim that the plan was hatched at LeT headquarters in Pakistan. Two of the 6-7 suspects were Pakistani nationals and were in 'constant contact' with their ISI handlers, receiving 'specific instructions on the timing, logistics and execution of the attack'.
NIA says the gunmen entered India weeks before the attack.
A preliminary report by India's National Investigation Agency, NIA, in its probe into the Kashmir terror attack has pointed to 'operational links' between Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence, ISI, and the Lashkar-e-Taiba, LeT. The NIA believes the LeT to have 'masterminded' the attack.
The NIA report states the 'plot was hatched by LeT militants', allegedly under the 'directives of senior ISI officials'. NIA sources claim that the plan was hatched at LeT headquarters in Pakistan. Two of the 6-7 suspects were Pakistani nationals and were in 'constant contact' with their ISI handlers, receiving 'specific instructions on the timing, logistics and execution of the attack'.
NIA says the gunmen entered India weeks before the attack.
AMK Mapping
Flying to Haifa, Northern Israel
Flies over Saudi Arabia towards Jordan. It will arrive in 3-4 minutes
The interceptor missile flew north from the Jerusalem area towards the northern West Bank.
The ballistic missile was likely intercepted. No explosions have been heard in northern Israel.
The Ballistic missile is now confirmed to have been intercepted by the THAAD air defence missile
A fire has broken out in Tamra, northern Israel. This is likely from falling debris as the ballistic missile's target was the Ramat David Air Base.
However, it seems that the missile was very close to impacting the air base and was intercepted by the THAAD missile right before it reached it.
However, it seems that the missile was very close to impacting the air base and was intercepted by the THAAD missile right before it reached it.
AMK Mapping
The current situation regarding Russian Strategic Bombers: At Olenya Air Base in Murmansk Oblast, there are currently: 2 Tu-95MS (Both of which are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles, previously three equipped aircraft before redeployments were carried…
The other two Russian Tu-95MS strategic bombers have "disappeared" from Olenya Air Base in Murmansk Oblast, likely flying to this "Mystery Air Base" I talked about in this post below.
This means that 3-4 Tu-95s are now unaccounted for, and for the first time since I've started covering the war, there are no Tu-95s stationed at Olenya Air Base.
The numbers of Tu-95s and Tu-160s at Engels-2 Air Base in Saratov Oblast and Diaghilev Air Base in Ryazan Oblast remain unchanged, however interestingly two Tu-160s carried out a night training exercise from Engels-2, rather than the usual one aircraft that does it.
This means that 3-4 Tu-95s are now unaccounted for, and for the first time since I've started covering the war, there are no Tu-95s stationed at Olenya Air Base.
The numbers of Tu-95s and Tu-160s at Engels-2 Air Base in Saratov Oblast and Diaghilev Air Base in Ryazan Oblast remain unchanged, however interestingly two Tu-160s carried out a night training exercise from Engels-2, rather than the usual one aircraft that does it.