Alex Crypto Falcon
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Crazy market swings out there! 😂

Feels like they’re trying to shake every last drop of liquidity out of the markets.
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CNBC: The White House says they’re unaware of any “90-day pause.” 

I’m out — washing my hands of this mess… 😂😂😂
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Got your popcorn ready?
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Alex Crypto Falcon
Got your popcorn ready?
Trump: If China doesn’t roll back its tariffs by April 8, the U.S. will hit back with 50% tariffs the next day.

So yeah… with the existing 20% in place, that’s basically 70% for China. 

Party’s just getting started.

🎉🎉🎉
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Short-term Bitcoin holders sold over 36,000 BTC ($2.8B+) at a loss in the past 24 hours.

Well, at least now I know whose coins I'm buying. Thanks, boys.
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White House Press Secretary: Tariffs of 104% on Chinese goods will take effect starting tomorrow, as China has not lifted its retaliatory measures.

The tariffs will go into effect at 4:01 UTC on April 9.
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What if China, in response, starts massively selling U.S. Treasury bonds?



1. Rising U.S. Treasury yields (and falling bond prices)

How bond pricing works

When people say “bonds are being sold,” it means additional supply is coming to the market.
If demand for these bonds stays the same while supply increases, the price drops.

And bond yields and prices work like a seesaw:
• Price falls → yield rises.
• Price rises → yield falls.

The yield is essentially the percentage you earn from the bond’s coupon plus any change in its market price.



Simple example:

Imagine a bond worth $1,000 with a 3% annual yield.
• Coupon: $30 per year.
• As long as the bond’s price is $1,000, the yield is 3%.

If China starts selling billions of such bonds, the price might drop to, let’s say, $900.
• The coupon remains the same: $30 per year.
• But now the yield is: $30 / $900 = 3.33%

And so on. The more they sell, the higher the yield climbs.



Why this matters:
• All borrowing costs in the U.S. (and beyond) are tied to Treasury yields.
When yields rise, it increases the cost of borrowing for:
• The U.S. government,
• Corporations,
• Households (mortgages, auto loans).
• The stock market suffers as well.
Investors start demanding higher returns from equities to compensate for the rising yield on “risk-free” bonds. This hits tech and high-growth companies the hardest.
• Global impact.
Since U.S. Treasuries are the benchmark for the global financial system, rising U.S. yields push borrowing costs up worldwide. This can trigger a wave of asset sell-offs across global markets.



How much can China sell?

As of early 2025, China holds about $775 billion in U.S. Treasuries (it used to be over a trillion, but they’ve been reducing).
In the grand scheme of things, this is significant but not overwhelming — the total Treasury market exceeds $25 trillion.

A mass sell-off by China could push yields up by around +0.3% to +0.8%, depending on the speed of the sell-off and how other market participants react.



Will there be a shortage of buyers?

The U.S. sells debt through auctions.
And generally, there’s always a buyer — especially in times of crisis: banks, funds, foreign governments, and even the Fed itself can step in.

However, if China dumps a large volume quickly, the market will only be able to “digest” it through falling prices (and rising yields).



Summary of point 1:
• China sells → bond prices fall → yields rise.
• Borrowing becomes more expensive globally.
• Equities lose attractiveness, increasing pressure on stock markets.
• The value of existing bonds in foreign portfolios declines.
• The U.S. will be forced either to raise rates or to start buying back bonds (QE).
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China has announced additional tariffs of 84% on goods from the USA.
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Trump says he will impose 200% tariffs on Chinese goods by April 11.

Total — 304%.

P.S. What a circus! 🤣
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TRUMP: 90-DAY PAUSE APPLIES TO RECIPROCAL AND 10% TARIFFS
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🇺🇸 US Macro Data (CPI):

Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Mar)
ACTUAL: 2.4%
FORECAST: 2.5%
PREVIOUS: 2.8%

Consumer Price Index (MoM) (Mar)
ACTUAL: -0.1%
FORECAST: 0.1%
PREVIOUS: 0.2%

Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Mar)
ACTUAL: 2.8%
FORECAST: 3.0%
PREVIOUS: 3.1%

Core Consumer Price Index (MoM) (Mar)
ACTUAL: 0.1%
FORECAST: 0.3%
PREVIOUS: 0.2%

Initial Jobless Claims
ACTUAL: 223K
FORECAST: 223K
PREVIOUS: 219K
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New episode soon.
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🔴 Market collapse is inevitable!

Tariffs on China have come into effect, and Canada has responded with counter-tariffs. Markets are in chaos, and this is just the beginning.

Everyone is shocked by Trump.

What should we do, and how should we act in the current market to avoid losing money?

https://youtu.be/1ZSSU4LGVZE

Enjoy watching! 🤘❤️‍🔥
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❗️China to Raise Tariffs on U.S. Goods to 125%
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❗️China vs. USA — The Trade War Heats Up to the Max. How Will It Affect Us All?

China just fired back with retaliatory tariffs of 125%, after the U.S. imposed its own draconian levies. The trade war has entered a new phase. Let’s break it down — no panic, no hype, just facts.

---

What’s happening?

The U.S. is trying to choke Chinese exports — electronics, cars, chips — everything’s getting taxed. In response, China is hitting back at American goods. This is no longer a tariff skirmish — it’s a full-scale economic showdown.

---

How does this hit both economies?

1. Prices will surge
Tariffs = more expensive imports. Chinese goods in the U.S. will cost more, and so will American products in China. It’s not just about companies — ordinary people will feel it. Phones, computers, cars, appliances — prices are going up.

2. Production cuts & job losses
When supplies become costlier, companies slash orders and scale back production. That leads to layoffs in both countries — the auto and electronics sectors will be hit hardest.

3. Inflation accelerates
Rising prices + falling demand = companies hiking prices even more to cover costs. It’s a vicious cycle.

4. Shockwaves in global markets
The world economy is deeply tied to both China and the U.S. When these giants clash, everyone feels it — raw materials and logistics get more expensive, demand slumps.

---

How does this affect us personally?

- Prices will rise across the board — especially for electronics and vehicles.
- Shipping costs will increase, and delivery times will get longer.
- Investors will flee to “safe havens” — gold, oil, the dollar, and Bitcoin may all rally amid the panic.
- Expect more fear and noise in the media — and with it, higher market volatility.

---

This isn’t just a minor political spat. It’s a battle for control over the future.

These trade wars aren’t about this year’s iPhone — they’re about who leads the next 10–15 years in chips, AI, and next-gen electronics. And while the giants clash, the rest of the world braces for turbulence.

---

Bottom line:

Everyone will take a hit — economies, businesses, ordinary people. But it’s in moments like these that the rules of the game change.
Some will lose everything. Others will build empires on new supply chains and opportunities.

Watch this closely. History is being written in real time.

---

P.S. Join us:

🔹 Free trading community: education, analysis, live trade chat
🔹 Bonus up to $30,000 on Bybit (code: 24676)
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Gold > $3200

A new all-time high
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The prizes have been successfully transferred 🤘
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📣 Highlights of the upcoming week

Monday, April 14
11:00 UTC OPEC Monthly Report
17:00 UTC Fed Waller Speaks
     
Tuesday, April 15
08:00 UTC IEA Monthly Report
12:30 UTC Export Price Index
12:30 UTC Import Price Index
12:30 UTC NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
20:30 UTC API Weekly Crude Oil Stock

Wednesday, April 16
⭐️12:30 UTC Core Retail Sales

12:30 UTC Retail Control
⭐️12:30 UTC Retail Sales
13:15 UTC Industrial Production
14:00 UTC Business Inventories
14:00 UTC Retail Inventories Ex Auto
⭐️14:30 UTC Crude Oil Inventories
14:30 UTC Cushing Crude Oil Inventories
17:00 UTC 20-Year Bond Auction
17:00 UTC Atlanta Fed GDPNow
⭐️17:15 UTC Fed Chair Powell Speaks
20:00 UTC TIC Net Long-Term Transactions

Thursday, April 17
12:30 UTC Building Permits
12:30 UTC Continuing Jobless Claims
12:30 UTC Housing Starts
⭐️12:30 UTC Initial Jobless Claims
⭐️12:30 UTC Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

12:30 UTC Philly Fed Employment
14:30 UTC Atlanta Fed GDPNow
15:45 UTC Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks
17:00 UTC 5-Year TIPS Auction
17:00 UTC U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
17:00 UTC U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count

Friday, April 18
15:00 UTC FOMC Member Daly Speaks
19:30 UTC CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions
19:30 UTC CFTC Gold speculative net positions
19:30 UTC CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions
19:30 UTC CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions
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