Hi Everyone,
Today, our markets held steady and didn't fall further. This was helped by the ISM data, which eased recession fears.
In the US market:
* Dow Jones is up by 1.25%
* Nasdaq is up by 1.76%
* VIX has dropped from 38 to 26 (lower VIX means less fear in the market)
While the markets seem to be recovering, top investors like Warren Buffet are still holding a lot of cash.
I believe we'll see the next major trend in the markets in September, after the US FED meeting and their decision on interest rates.
I will keep you updated on new developments. Take Care and Good Night.
Today, our markets held steady and didn't fall further. This was helped by the ISM data, which eased recession fears.
In the US market:
* Dow Jones is up by 1.25%
* Nasdaq is up by 1.76%
* VIX has dropped from 38 to 26 (lower VIX means less fear in the market)
While the markets seem to be recovering, top investors like Warren Buffet are still holding a lot of cash.
I believe we'll see the next major trend in the markets in September, after the US FED meeting and their decision on interest rates.
I will keep you updated on new developments. Take Care and Good Night.
Hey everyone, Another quick update before we call it a night.
I hope you have seen today’s video on the Bangladesh crisis and its mixed impact on the Indian textile sector.
Here is a quick summary of the discussion:
Negative impact on textile segments:
* Cotton Yarn Players
* Fabric Players
* Synthetic Yarn
Positive impact on textile segments:
* Ready-made Garments
* Apparel
Mixed impact on Home Textiles:
* Limited presence of Bangladesh in this segment in the export market
* India exports 7% of its total home textiles exports to Bangladesh
If the Bangladesh crisis deepens, EPS expansion can be seen in the positively impacted textile segments. So, keep a very close watch on the textile sector.
Also, a very important video has been released in the member community. You can watch that video before tomorrow's market opens.
I hope you have seen today’s video on the Bangladesh crisis and its mixed impact on the Indian textile sector.
Here is a quick summary of the discussion:
Negative impact on textile segments:
* Cotton Yarn Players
* Fabric Players
* Synthetic Yarn
Positive impact on textile segments:
* Ready-made Garments
* Apparel
Mixed impact on Home Textiles:
* Limited presence of Bangladesh in this segment in the export market
* India exports 7% of its total home textiles exports to Bangladesh
If the Bangladesh crisis deepens, EPS expansion can be seen in the positively impacted textile segments. So, keep a very close watch on the textile sector.
Also, a very important video has been released in the member community. You can watch that video before tomorrow's market opens.
What is Volatility Index or VIX ?
- The Volatility Index (VIX), often called the "fear gauge," measures market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices.
- When the VIX is high, it indicates that investors expect significant market volatility in the near future.
- Conversely, a low VIX suggests that investors anticipate stable market conditions.
* High VIX: Indicates fear and uncertainty in the market.
* Low VIX: Suggests investor confidence and market stability.
In essence, the VIX provides insight into investor sentiment and potential market fluctuations.
- The Volatility Index (VIX), often called the "fear gauge," measures market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices.
- When the VIX is high, it indicates that investors expect significant market volatility in the near future.
- Conversely, a low VIX suggests that investors anticipate stable market conditions.
* High VIX: Indicates fear and uncertainty in the market.
* Low VIX: Suggests investor confidence and market stability.
In essence, the VIX provides insight into investor sentiment and potential market fluctuations.
Hey Everyone,
You all know what's happening in the market for the past 3-4 days - it's been quite unpredictable.
But some sectors already in a downtrend might not be affected as much now. Let's look at the chemical sector:
* It has fallen and consolidated for a long time.
* The main reason for the fall was "DESTOCKING."
DESTOCKING: What happened?
* Chemical companies expanded capacity after Chinese restrictions.
* Demand fell after 2021.
* Bulk sales slowed down.
* This caused excessive inventory stocking.
* Companies had to sell inventory at high discounts.
* This severely impacted their margins.
Now, the DESTOCKING trend might subside soon:
* Indian chemical companies have reduced inventory levels.
* Expected interest rate cuts could boost demand.
There are more factors affecting the chemical business margins, which I'll cover in an upcoming post.
For now, the market sentiment is mixed, so keep an eye on the chemical sector.
You all know what's happening in the market for the past 3-4 days - it's been quite unpredictable.
But some sectors already in a downtrend might not be affected as much now. Let's look at the chemical sector:
* It has fallen and consolidated for a long time.
* The main reason for the fall was "DESTOCKING."
DESTOCKING: What happened?
* Chemical companies expanded capacity after Chinese restrictions.
* Demand fell after 2021.
* Bulk sales slowed down.
* This caused excessive inventory stocking.
* Companies had to sell inventory at high discounts.
* This severely impacted their margins.
Now, the DESTOCKING trend might subside soon:
* Indian chemical companies have reduced inventory levels.
* Expected interest rate cuts could boost demand.
There are more factors affecting the chemical business margins, which I'll cover in an upcoming post.
For now, the market sentiment is mixed, so keep an eye on the chemical sector.
Hi Everyone,
Market will recover or fall further? The honest answer is, no one knows for sure.
But I know you're worried. What if you bulk buy and the market nosedives? What if you don't and it skyrockets?
Here's a simple approach:
[1] Historically, the market tends to rise in the long term. Staying invested with 60-70% of your portfolio makes sense.
[2] Hold 30-40% in cash, just like Warren Buffett. If the market dives, you can then invest your cash along with Warren Buffett.
Hope this will give you some mental peace.
Market will recover or fall further? The honest answer is, no one knows for sure.
But I know you're worried. What if you bulk buy and the market nosedives? What if you don't and it skyrockets?
Here's a simple approach:
[1] Historically, the market tends to rise in the long term. Staying invested with 60-70% of your portfolio makes sense.
[2] Hold 30-40% in cash, just like Warren Buffett. If the market dives, you can then invest your cash along with Warren Buffett.
Hope this will give you some mental peace.
Hi Everyone,
Sometimes, I feel the best strategy in the stock market is to do nothing and take a break. I say this from my personal experience.
Because taking a break could actually be very profitable because it stops you from panic selling good stocks from your portfolio.
There are times when all you can do is wait patiently for the right opportunity.
Good night everyone. Don't panic and stay strong.
Take Care.
Sometimes, I feel the best strategy in the stock market is to do nothing and take a break. I say this from my personal experience.
Because taking a break could actually be very profitable because it stops you from panic selling good stocks from your portfolio.
There are times when all you can do is wait patiently for the right opportunity.
Good night everyone. Don't panic and stay strong.
Take Care.
Recession: The Ultimate Hide-and-Seek Champion!🏆
[ Monday ] : Recession says, “I’m here!”
[ Tuesday ] : Just kidding, I’m not.
[ Wednesday ] : Recession is hiding in the morning, but comes back by lunch.
[ Thursday ] : Recession’s gone again, but who knows? It might show up tomorrow or on Monday!
[ Monday ] : Recession says, “I’m here!”
[ Tuesday ] : Just kidding, I’m not.
[ Wednesday ] : Recession is hiding in the morning, but comes back by lunch.
[ Thursday ] : Recession’s gone again, but who knows? It might show up tomorrow or on Monday!
ACEink Official
Hey friends, There’s some exciting news about the US Biosecure Act and what it means for the Indian pharma world. Let me break it down for you: US Biosecure Act: * It’s all about the US government stopping their purchases from Chinese pharma companies.…
Hey Everyone,
A few days back, I posted about the US Biosecure Act and how it could offer significant growth opportunities for Indian pharmaceutical and chemical companies.
I also promised to make a YouTube video on this topic, and today, I’ve kept that promise!
I've just released a detailed study video on YouTube where you can explore the Pharma sector in-depth.
Hope our efforts in finance education are helpful.
Take care, everyone!
A few days back, I posted about the US Biosecure Act and how it could offer significant growth opportunities for Indian pharmaceutical and chemical companies.
I also promised to make a YouTube video on this topic, and today, I’ve kept that promise!
I've just released a detailed study video on YouTube where you can explore the Pharma sector in-depth.
Hope our efforts in finance education are helpful.
Take care, everyone!
Hi Folks,
Just a quick thought before bed… I know I repeat myself, and I can be boring, but “Out of sight is out of mind.”
Private Banking STOCKS might seem boring because they're undervalued, just like IT and FMCG were a few months ago. Now, they’re hitting all-time highs and suddenly exciting!
So, hang in there—your patience could pay off when these banks finally take off!
Good night, everyone! 🌙
Just a quick thought before bed… I know I repeat myself, and I can be boring, but “Out of sight is out of mind.”
Private Banking STOCKS might seem boring because they're undervalued, just like IT and FMCG were a few months ago. Now, they’re hitting all-time highs and suddenly exciting!
So, hang in there—your patience could pay off when these banks finally take off!
Good night, everyone! 🌙
Hi Folks,
I noticed some comments asking how to learn investing and the stock market.
My answer?
Don’t focus on reading and watching too much information.
Instead, whatever you do read or watch, make sure you understand it deeply.
Help your mind turn that information into practical knowledge and wisdom.
Quality over quantity always wins!
I noticed some comments asking how to learn investing and the stock market.
My answer?
Don’t focus on reading and watching too much information.
Instead, whatever you do read or watch, make sure you understand it deeply.
Help your mind turn that information into practical knowledge and wisdom.
Quality over quantity always wins!
Hey everyone,
Tomorrow, the market might get a little upset because of the Hindenburg-SEBI-Adani drama.
Even though it's mostly Adani's problem, sometimes the whole market gets punished because of one "naughty kid" in the class.
But don’t worry! These things happen, and they pass. It might mess with market moods a bit, but it's nothing to panic about.
So, just relax, watch the market, and let it pass.
And who knows? If the market goes up instead of down, Hindenburg might end up losing money on their short position! That would be like planning to win a cricket match, but then getting bowled out for a duck.
Let's hope they get bowled out!
Tomorrow, the market might get a little upset because of the Hindenburg-SEBI-Adani drama.
Even though it's mostly Adani's problem, sometimes the whole market gets punished because of one "naughty kid" in the class.
But don’t worry! These things happen, and they pass. It might mess with market moods a bit, but it's nothing to panic about.
So, just relax, watch the market, and let it pass.
And who knows? If the market goes up instead of down, Hindenburg might end up losing money on their short position! That would be like planning to win a cricket match, but then getting bowled out for a duck.
Let's hope they get bowled out!
Hi Everyone,
In the face of the Hindenburg-SEBI-Adani drama, the market is holding tight. Looks like Hindenburg might have trouble getting a good night’s sleep tonight!
But jokes aside, remember my earlier post about keeping an eye on:
* Private Banking
* Ethanol
* FMCG
* IT
With the Fed meeting coming up in September, and a possible interest rate cut on the horizon, it’s going to be interesting!
In the face of the Hindenburg-SEBI-Adani drama, the market is holding tight. Looks like Hindenburg might have trouble getting a good night’s sleep tonight!
But jokes aside, remember my earlier post about keeping an eye on:
* Private Banking
* Ethanol
* FMCG
* IT
With the Fed meeting coming up in September, and a possible interest rate cut on the horizon, it’s going to be interesting!
Two Important things for Navigating the Current Market
Protect Your Funds From:
1. Overvalued stocks
2. Stocks with poor fundamentals
Focus On:
1. Beaten down stocks due to temporary reasons
2. Stocks with strong fundamentals and growth prospects
3. Sectors with favorable long-term trends
4. Undervalued stocks in strong sectors
Remember: Stay informed and focus on long-term growth.
Protect Your Funds From:
1. Overvalued stocks
2. Stocks with poor fundamentals
Focus On:
1. Beaten down stocks due to temporary reasons
2. Stocks with strong fundamentals and growth prospects
3. Sectors with favorable long-term trends
4. Undervalued stocks in strong sectors
Remember: Stay informed and focus on long-term growth.
Hey Everyone,
Quick Update on the SC Ruling on the Mining Sector ⚖️
What Happened?
The Supreme Court says states can charge extra mining taxes dating back to 2005. Stocks like Coal India, Tata Steel, and JSW Steel dropped after the news.
What We Need to Understand:
Companies should share how much they’ll owe in taxes since 2005, so we know what to expect.
The Good Part:
1. Companies have 12 years to pay, starting from 2026.
2. No penalties or interest will be added, which is a relief.
The Bad Part:
1. Future mining costs might rise with new state fees.
I’ll keep you updated on new information and developments.
Quick Update on the SC Ruling on the Mining Sector ⚖️
What Happened?
The Supreme Court says states can charge extra mining taxes dating back to 2005. Stocks like Coal India, Tata Steel, and JSW Steel dropped after the news.
What We Need to Understand:
Companies should share how much they’ll owe in taxes since 2005, so we know what to expect.
The Good Part:
1. Companies have 12 years to pay, starting from 2026.
2. No penalties or interest will be added, which is a relief.
The Bad Part:
1. Future mining costs might rise with new state fees.
I’ll keep you updated on new information and developments.
Hi folks,
Many ask me how to succeed in the stock market.
The answer is simple: in the market, we exchange patience for profits.
So, patience combined with strategy can make you successful.
How to develop patience with strategy?
* Set the Right Expectations: Expecting 10X returns from a blue-chip stock might be unrealistic.
* Be Strategic: Exiting a small-cap growth stock at just 50% returns could be short-sighted or idiotic.
* Stay Focused: Understand the market cycles and be prepared for the long game.
Patience with the right strategy is a powerful tool for a successful investor.
Hope this helps. Happy Independence Day 🇮🇳
Many ask me how to succeed in the stock market.
The answer is simple: in the market, we exchange patience for profits.
So, patience combined with strategy can make you successful.
How to develop patience with strategy?
* Set the Right Expectations: Expecting 10X returns from a blue-chip stock might be unrealistic.
* Be Strategic: Exiting a small-cap growth stock at just 50% returns could be short-sighted or idiotic.
* Stay Focused: Understand the market cycles and be prepared for the long game.
Patience with the right strategy is a powerful tool for a successful investor.
Hope this helps. Happy Independence Day 🇮🇳
Hi everyone,
Many of you have been asking, "When will FIIs start buying in the Indian stock market?"
Honestly, I'm not sure. But hopefully, once the interest rate cuts start.
When will the rate cut happen?
* Likely in the September FED meeting.
* But FII buying might not be immediate—it could take a few rate cuts and inflation stability.
When FIIs do start buying, expect undervalued blue-chip stocks to rally first.
We discussed one such blue-chip in a recent community video. Check it out!
Many of you have been asking, "When will FIIs start buying in the Indian stock market?"
Honestly, I'm not sure. But hopefully, once the interest rate cuts start.
When will the rate cut happen?
* Likely in the September FED meeting.
* But FII buying might not be immediate—it could take a few rate cuts and inflation stability.
When FIIs do start buying, expect undervalued blue-chip stocks to rally first.
We discussed one such blue-chip in a recent community video. Check it out!
Here's why I generally avoid new IPOs, like OLA Electric:
When companies go for an IPO, they often show their best side, almost like a job interview!
Plus, early investors might sell their shares to cash out, which creates a lot of hype.
I like to wait a few quarters to see the real picture—how the company is actually doing after the buzz fades.
In simple words: I prefer to wait until the dust settles, and then decide if it's worth jumping in.
IPO’s might be shiny and new, but I’m all about keeping my money safe.
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice or a recommendation!
When companies go for an IPO, they often show their best side, almost like a job interview!
Plus, early investors might sell their shares to cash out, which creates a lot of hype.
I like to wait a few quarters to see the real picture—how the company is actually doing after the buzz fades.
In simple words: I prefer to wait until the dust settles, and then decide if it's worth jumping in.
IPO’s might be shiny and new, but I’m all about keeping my money safe.
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice or a recommendation!
Hi Everyone, Good Morning.
Markets are still waiting for a trigger to find direction, which could come from the FED meeting in September if they announce “interest rate cuts.”
After the recent “Japan Carry-Trade Crash” drama and the looming fears of a slowdown and recession, there’s a strong possibility we might see interest rate cuts starting from September.
Let’s hope for the best.
In the meantime, remember: boring times and bad times are the best opportunities to accumulate good stocks at lower valuations.
Just stay away from expensive and hyped stocks; focus on companies with solid business fundamentals at decent valuations.
And now, to lighten the mood in these boring times, here’s a quick joke:
Once upon a time, life was simple and stress-free for a guy. 😌
Then one day, he opened a Demat account, and suddenly... 🧐
He started worrying about:
* Global wars
* World markets
* Whether Adani will buy the moon next
* Will Ratan Tata adopt him
* If he’s ready to explain to his parents that yes, stock market is a real job!
Basically, a stress free person is one demat account away from stress levels shot through the roof!
Keep it relaxed, Keep smiling and take care.
Markets are still waiting for a trigger to find direction, which could come from the FED meeting in September if they announce “interest rate cuts.”
After the recent “Japan Carry-Trade Crash” drama and the looming fears of a slowdown and recession, there’s a strong possibility we might see interest rate cuts starting from September.
Let’s hope for the best.
In the meantime, remember: boring times and bad times are the best opportunities to accumulate good stocks at lower valuations.
Just stay away from expensive and hyped stocks; focus on companies with solid business fundamentals at decent valuations.
And now, to lighten the mood in these boring times, here’s a quick joke:
Once upon a time, life was simple and stress-free for a guy. 😌
Then one day, he opened a Demat account, and suddenly... 🧐
He started worrying about:
* Global wars
* World markets
* Whether Adani will buy the moon next
* Will Ratan Tata adopt him
* If he’s ready to explain to his parents that yes, stock market is a real job!
Basically, a stress free person is one demat account away from stress levels shot through the roof!
Keep it relaxed, Keep smiling and take care.
ACEink Official
Hi Everyone, Good Morning. Markets are still waiting for a trigger to find direction, which could come from the FED meeting in September if they announce “interest rate cuts.” After the recent “Japan Carry-Trade Crash” drama and the looming fears of a slowdown…
Hi Everyone,
As a follow-up to my post from yesterday, what might happen if the FED starts cutting interest rates from September??!!
Initially, the market might need some time to adjust, and we could even see a short-term negative reaction.
However, interest rate cuts would likely boost spending from consumers and corporates, which is positive for the stock markets.
Here are some sectors that could benefit from FED interest rate cuts:
1. Banks and NBFCs
2. Textile Exporters to the US
3. IT
4. Auto Components Exporters to the US
5. Chemicals
6. Pharma Exporters to the US
Remember, it doesn’t rain all the time, but when it does, you should be ready with a tanker, not just a bucket.
In the stock market, prices often move based on what people expect to happen in the future. If you wait until those expectations come true, the market will have already adjusted the price.
Think of it like going to a party:
* If you arrive too early, you'll have to wait.
* If you arrive too late, the party might be over.
I usually prefer to arrive early and wait rather than missing out on the fun.
- Focus on beaten-down or boring sectors due to temporary problems
- Accumulate them at lower valuations
- Relax, and wait for the value to be recognized
Think simple, Think clear and Relax 😊
As a follow-up to my post from yesterday, what might happen if the FED starts cutting interest rates from September??!!
Initially, the market might need some time to adjust, and we could even see a short-term negative reaction.
However, interest rate cuts would likely boost spending from consumers and corporates, which is positive for the stock markets.
Here are some sectors that could benefit from FED interest rate cuts:
1. Banks and NBFCs
2. Textile Exporters to the US
3. IT
4. Auto Components Exporters to the US
5. Chemicals
6. Pharma Exporters to the US
Remember, it doesn’t rain all the time, but when it does, you should be ready with a tanker, not just a bucket.
In the stock market, prices often move based on what people expect to happen in the future. If you wait until those expectations come true, the market will have already adjusted the price.
Think of it like going to a party:
* If you arrive too early, you'll have to wait.
* If you arrive too late, the party might be over.
I usually prefer to arrive early and wait rather than missing out on the fun.
- Focus on beaten-down or boring sectors due to temporary problems
- Accumulate them at lower valuations
- Relax, and wait for the value to be recognized
Think simple, Think clear and Relax 😊
ACEink Official
India Cement is up 15% today. Discussed the cement sector and India Cement in yesterday's YouTube video. Trigger: * Focused on improving efficiency through capex to return to profitability. * Expecting savings of ₹150-175 per ton post efficiency improvement…
Hi folks,
India Cements is up 60% since we last talked about it, thanks to UltraTech Cement buying a stake in the company.
Looks like the cement war drama between BIRLA and ADANI is paying off for India Cements!
Here’s the CEMENT DRAMA:
* BIRLA is the cement king 👑
* Now ADANI wants to be the Cement King too
* But there can only be ONE KING!
So, how is it decided who becomes the CEMENT KING?
* The one with the most production capacity will control the price
* And the one who controls the price will be the KING
The race is now about who has the highest capacity and who gets to control the cement price:
* UltraTech bought a stake in India Cements
* Meanwhile, Adani's Ambuja Cement is also making moves by buying Penna Cement
* UltraTech is flexing with massive capacity expansions, aiming to widen the gap with Adani
* They’ve already crossed 150 million tonnes and plan to hit 200 million
* Adani is fighting back but has slowed down a bit due to another battle with Hindenburg
So, the cement sector is heating up, with these giants battling to be the KING.
It’s like a heavyweight boxing match between Adani and Birla, with India Cements benefiting from the action!
Hope my earlier post and this update on India Cements have been helpful.
India Cements is up 60% since we last talked about it, thanks to UltraTech Cement buying a stake in the company.
Looks like the cement war drama between BIRLA and ADANI is paying off for India Cements!
Here’s the CEMENT DRAMA:
* BIRLA is the cement king 👑
* Now ADANI wants to be the Cement King too
* But there can only be ONE KING!
So, how is it decided who becomes the CEMENT KING?
* The one with the most production capacity will control the price
* And the one who controls the price will be the KING
The race is now about who has the highest capacity and who gets to control the cement price:
* UltraTech bought a stake in India Cements
* Meanwhile, Adani's Ambuja Cement is also making moves by buying Penna Cement
* UltraTech is flexing with massive capacity expansions, aiming to widen the gap with Adani
* They’ve already crossed 150 million tonnes and plan to hit 200 million
* Adani is fighting back but has slowed down a bit due to another battle with Hindenburg
So, the cement sector is heating up, with these giants battling to be the KING.
It’s like a heavyweight boxing match between Adani and Birla, with India Cements benefiting from the action!
Hope my earlier post and this update on India Cements have been helpful.