How should we #analyse survey #forecasts of #AI timelines?
Como devemos analisar previsões de #pesquisas sobre cronogramas de #IA?
https://aiimpacts.org/how-should-we-analyse-survey-forecasts-of-ai-timelines/
Como devemos analisar previsões de #pesquisas sobre cronogramas de #IA?
https://aiimpacts.org/how-should-we-analyse-survey-forecasts-of-ai-timelines/
AI Impacts
How should we analyse survey forecasts of AI timelines?
Tom Adamczewski, 2024 The Expert Survey on Progress in AI (ESPAI) is a large survey of AI researchers about the future of AI, conducted in 2016, 2022, and 2023. One main focus of the survey is the timing of progress in AI.1 The timing-related results of the…