Swissblock

RT bitcoinvector: $BTC boxed in compression with $110K hardening into strong #resistance.

🔸Risk has stabilized; the Risk-Off signal hovers near the regime boundary.
🔸No higher peaks → downside pressure is de-escalating.

Trigger: daily close above $110K = relief and structure repair.

If not, compression likely persists: watch for rising Risk-Off readings as the warning of emerging destabilization. #Support

Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr Set/04/2025

On the #monthly TF, BTC is at $110.7K and holding just above #STH Realized Price $107.6K (key monthly bull #support level).

Overall Realized Price is $52.8K and #LTH RP $35.6K price is significantly above both, confirming the structural uptrend.

#NUPL 0.53 broad profit regime, but below extremes of previous cycles.

Higher TF remains bullish but in repair phase: market is sensitive to profit-taking, key reference point is STH RP $107K.

Holding this zone will support the uptrend continuation scenario; there are no signs of final euphoria in NUPL yet, which leaves room for #cycle continuation after consolidation.

Swissblock

RT bitcoinvector: $BTC broke out of compression but is now retesting $110K.

Risk-Off Signal is drifting back toward high-risk regime—a warning sign as price wavers at key #support. 👇

https://xcancel.com/bitcoinvector/status/1962974811229171975

Bitcoin Vector #Support

Forget the breakout: what matters is what happens after compression breaks.

$BTC is now pushing to reclaim the prior range lows at $112K–$121K. A daily close above $112K would be highly significant.

The real test comes at $113.6K and $115.6K. If BTC establishes in that zone, a bullish reversal could be in play.

The structure favors the bulls: if momentum flips into the positive quadrant, the bulls will have fully regained control.

#KeepStacking Set/09/2025

Consolidation Range

Bitcoin is currently trading at $111.1k, stuck between the 0.85 and 0.94 quantile cost basis band #Support (104.1k–$114.1k).

This range historically marks post-euphoria consolidation. A break below signals further exhaustion, while a reclaim above $114k could mark renewed demand strength.

@TutorialBTC

Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr

When the price falls below the cost basis level of Short-Term Holders #STH, a discount effect is activated in the market - coins become cheaper than their average price and a real incentive to buy appears. #support

Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr

The price is trading with a minimal markup of 4% from the average purchase price of Short-Term Holders. The Fed rate cut itself #support's risk assets, but don't forget about volatility and buy the rumor/sell the news. If the discount becomes obvious, real demand for cheap coins will form in the market.

Currently, at a 15-20% markup, holders start dumping the market, while at the last ATH the markup was only 13%. This isn't January 2023 or 2024 when the markup reached 40% and coins were still being bought, because hodlers understood they could sell higher in the future.

Now when the market is in the mature phase of the bull cycle, obvious discounts are needed to create demand - there are no fools to buy at the very highs and get stuck underwater for 2.5 years.

This renewed confidence largely stems from price reclaiming the cost basis of all sub-3-month holders, which ranges between $111.8k and $114.2k. #Support@TutorialBTC

For this momentum to hold, BTC must remain above this range post-#FOMC. Failure to do so could signal a classic “sell the news” market structure.

Bitcoin Vector

Why is $115.2K crucial? #Support

It marks the line above the 95% cost basis. Below it lies a supply cluster down to $105.5K, where forced selling could accelerate.

Combine this with a $110K max pain and the critical zone below, and downside pressure builds.

#BTCUSD (W) #Indicador

Set/22/2025 16h39 UTC

#BBW #ATL 0.19 🔥
#Bands >> #Support
#ATH: -9.12% | $124.517

#StackSats via #P2P Privacy

#BuyTheDip@TutorialBTC

The short-term holder cost basis is often treated as the key battle line between bulls & bears, and currently sits at $111.4k 🔵. #Support

Sustained trading below this level could signal a shift toward a mid- to long-term bearish market structure.

https://glassno.de/46NvTEt

FOMO or FUD

Bitcoin risks a $105k retest after losing key #support following Fed rate cut
#Analysis #Crypto_News #Derivatives

via Bitcoin (BTC) News | CryptoSlate

#BTCUSD (W) #Indicador

Set/23/2025 18h50 UTC

#BBW #ATL 0.19 🔥
#Bands >> #Support
#ATH: -9.89% | $124.517

#StackSats via #P2P Privacy

#BuyTheDip@TutorialBTC

Wicked > Set/23/2025

#Support
200 #DMA = $103,609
200 #SMA = $ 52,817
https://wickedsmartbitcoin.com/200_dma_200_wma

@TutorialBTC

#BTCUSD (D) #Indicador

Set/25/2025 16h50 UTC

#BBW (W) #ATL 0.19 🔥
#Bands >> #Support
#ATH: -10.41% | $124.517

#StackSats via #P2P Privacy

#BuyTheDip | FOMO or FUD

Swissblock

But before that, we’d need to see destabilization that pushes Risk-Off into a high-risk regime: a transition that would confirm a trend change.

So far, this has not happened.

The Structure Shift is recovering, and once Momentum picks up, a bottom is likely to form. #Support

📈 #BTC #Fibonacci Extension Targets

bitcoin continues to respect the Fibonacci levels from the previous cycle low. Key zones to watch:

• 1.618 → $102,000 (already tested, now #support)

• 2.0 → $122,500

• 2.272 → $137,000

• 3.0 → $176,000

Historically, BTC has often peaked near the upper Fib extensions during cycle tops. If momentum holds, these targets remain in play.

@TutorialBTC

#Indicador bitcoin has crossed $117K, reclaiming the Trader’s Realized Price ($116K).

This shift puts BTC back in the BULL phase of the cycle indicator.

From here, #Q4 targets expand toward $160K–$200K. Link

#Support@TutorialBTC