SATOSHI ° NOSTR ° AI LLM ML RL ° LINUX ° BUSINESS • OSINT | HODLER TUTORIAL
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#DTV Não Confie. Verifique.

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📚DESMISTIFICANDO
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This renewed confidence largely stems from price reclaiming the cost basis of all sub-3-month holders, which ranges between $111.8k and $114.2k. #Support@TutorialBTC

For this momentum to hold, BTC must remain above this range post-#FOMC. Failure to do so could signal a classic “sell the news” market structure.
Bitcoin Vector

Why is $115.2K crucial? #Support

It marks the line above the 95% cost basis. Below it lies a supply cluster down to $105.5K, where forced selling could accelerate.

Combine this with a $110K max pain and the critical zone below, and downside pressure builds.
The short-term holder cost basis is often treated as the key battle line between bulls & bears, and currently sits at $111.4k 🔵. #Support

Sustained trading below this level could signal a shift toward a mid- to long-term bearish market structure.

https://glassno.de/46NvTEt

FOMO or FUD
Swissblock

But before that, we’d need to see destabilization that pushes Risk-Off into a high-risk regime: a transition that would confirm a trend change.

So far, this has not happened.

The Structure Shift is recovering, and once Momentum picks up, a bottom is likely to form. #Support
📈 #BTC #Fibonacci Extension Targets

bitcoin continues to respect the Fibonacci levels from the previous cycle low. Key zones to watch:

• 1.618 → $102,000 (already tested, now #support)

• 2.0 → $122,500

• 2.272 → $137,000

• 3.0 → $176,000

Historically, BTC has often peaked near the upper Fib extensions during cycle tops. If momentum holds, these targets remain in play.

@TutorialBTC
#Indicador bitcoin has crossed $117K, reclaiming the Trader’s Realized Price ($116K).

This shift puts BTC back in the BULL phase of the cycle indicator.

From here, #Q4 targets expand toward $160K–$200K. Link

#Support@TutorialBTC
Swissblock

Bitcoin has fallen to $105K, and is fighting to reclaim its lifeline support.

The Risk Index remains stable, showing no signs of strong-hand panic selling — yet.

With price retesting the $105K–$106K zone and below, watch for signs of destabilization and rising risk. Any stress signal here, just a week after the deleverage event, would be a short-term red flag.

Hint: Longs were wiped out during the deleverage event.

There are few longs liquidation targets left — meaning bears’ next move isn’t to flush leverage, but to shake holders’ conviction. #Support