Bitcoin supply near total profitability as institutional demand drives value flows
#Alpha #Research #bitcoin #BTC #STH_supply #supply_in_profit
via Bitcoin (BTC) News | CryptoSlate
#Alpha #Research #bitcoin #BTC #STH_supply #supply_in_profit
via Bitcoin (BTC) News | CryptoSlate
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr #Support $105K
The Short-Term Holder #MVRV indicator has dropped to its average levels over the past five years. The spot market is currently in a balanced or neutral state, with no clear signs of overbought or oversold conditions among short-term holders.
The cost basis for short-term holders now stands at $105.7K. This represents the average price at which short-term investors have purchased Bitcoin over the last 155 days. BTC is trading above this level, meaning that most new market participants are currently in profit.
The main area of interest now is the market’s reaction to the #STH Realized Price.
The Short-Term Holder #MVRV indicator has dropped to its average levels over the past five years. The spot market is currently in a balanced or neutral state, with no clear signs of overbought or oversold conditions among short-term holders.
The cost basis for short-term holders now stands at $105.7K. This represents the average price at which short-term investors have purchased Bitcoin over the last 155 days. BTC is trading above this level, meaning that most new market participants are currently in profit.
The main area of interest now is the market’s reaction to the #STH Realized Price.
Spent volume by Bitcoin #STH short-term holders in profit has cooled to 45%, below the neutral threshold. This reflects a balanced market, with modest profit-taking and no clear directional conviction among short-term investors.
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr
During yesterday's #pullback, 16.8K BTC were sent to exchanges at a loss from Short-Term Holders - this is noticeably less than in previous drawdowns.
The chart shows a trend of decreasing amplitude of capitulation selling (blue arrows).
This essentially indicates weakening pressure from #STH. #BuyTheDip
During yesterday's #pullback, 16.8K BTC were sent to exchanges at a loss from Short-Term Holders - this is noticeably less than in previous drawdowns.
The chart shows a trend of decreasing amplitude of capitulation selling (blue arrows).
This essentially indicates weakening pressure from #STH. #BuyTheDip
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr
The nearest strong #support #zone is the 100K–107K range, where the #STH Realized Price and SMA 200D intersect.
Below that is additional support around 92–93K, a deeper support level reflecting the cost basis of short-term investors who held coins for 3 to 6 months.
This will become a key second line of defense if the market loses the 100K–107K level.
@TutorialBTC
The nearest strong #support #zone is the 100K–107K range, where the #STH Realized Price and SMA 200D intersect.
Below that is additional support around 92–93K, a deeper support level reflecting the cost basis of short-term investors who held coins for 3 to 6 months.
This will become a key second line of defense if the market loses the 100K–107K level.
@TutorialBTC
#STH O mercado está em um estado de "#Liquidez Muito Baixa", de acordo com a relação de risco do lado da venda do detentor de curto prazo.
Isso sugere que o preço está hipersensível, dado o perfil de oferta relativamente escasso.
Calma antes da tempestade? Ou mais alguns meses de instabilidade? $BTC
Isso sugere que o preço está hipersensível, dado o perfil de oferta relativamente escasso.
Calma antes da tempestade? Ou mais alguns meses de instabilidade? $BTC
🍿
| Shark #Suporte#STH Bitcoin en #septiembre: ¿el fin de la #corrección antes de la recuperación?
#Analise #Gráfico #Noticias #bitcoin
via BitcoinyCriptos
#Analise #Gráfico #Noticias #bitcoin
via BitcoinyCriptos
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr Set/04/2025
On the #monthly TF, BTC is at $110.7K and holding just above #STH Realized Price $107.6K (key monthly bull #support level).
Overall Realized Price is $52.8K and #LTH RP $35.6K price is significantly above both, confirming the structural uptrend.
#NUPL 0.53 broad profit regime, but below extremes of previous cycles.
Higher TF remains bullish but in repair phase: market is sensitive to profit-taking, key reference point is STH RP $107K.
Holding this zone will support the uptrend continuation scenario; there are no signs of final euphoria in NUPL yet, which leaves room for #cycle continuation after consolidation.
On the #monthly TF, BTC is at $110.7K and holding just above #STH Realized Price $107.6K (key monthly bull #support level).
Overall Realized Price is $52.8K and #LTH RP $35.6K price is significantly above both, confirming the structural uptrend.
#NUPL 0.53 broad profit regime, but below extremes of previous cycles.
Higher TF remains bullish but in repair phase: market is sensitive to profit-taking, key reference point is STH RP $107K.
Holding this zone will support the uptrend continuation scenario; there are no signs of final euphoria in NUPL yet, which leaves room for #cycle continuation after consolidation.
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr
When the price falls below the cost basis level of Short-Term Holders #STH, a discount effect is activated in the market - coins become cheaper than their average price and a real incentive to buy appears. #support
When the price falls below the cost basis level of Short-Term Holders #STH, a discount effect is activated in the market - coins become cheaper than their average price and a real incentive to buy appears. #support
O bitcoin já está mostrando sinais de exaustão do #ciclo — e muito poucos estão percebendo isso.
O sinal de tendência #SOPR é excelente para sinalizar quando a lucratividade do blockchain está diminuindo.
Nunca na história do Bitcoin os investidores acumularam BTC tão tarde e a preços tão altos.
Talvez só agora eles estejam começando a perceber que acumular BTC é importante.
#Suporte » No entanto, o preço realizado do #STH está em US$ 111.400, o que pode ser crítico para instituições que deveriam ter acumulado em níveis muito mais baratos.
O Índice de #Sharpe está mais fraco do que em 2024, o que significa que o risco versus retorno é menor — assim como o potencial de lucro. Isso não atrairá tantas instituições quanto a maioria das pessoas acredita.
Tenha uma ótima semana!🤝
https://fxtwitter.com/joao_wedson/status/1969919569943765024
O sinal de tendência #SOPR é excelente para sinalizar quando a lucratividade do blockchain está diminuindo.
Nunca na história do Bitcoin os investidores acumularam BTC tão tarde e a preços tão altos.
Talvez só agora eles estejam começando a perceber que acumular BTC é importante.
#Suporte » No entanto, o preço realizado do #STH está em US$ 111.400, o que pode ser crítico para instituições que deveriam ter acumulado em níveis muito mais baratos.
O Índice de #Sharpe está mais fraco do que em 2024, o que significa que o risco versus retorno é menor — assim como o potencial de lucro. Isso não atrairá tantas instituições quanto a maioria das pessoas acredita.
Tenha uma ótima semana!🤝
https://fxtwitter.com/joao_wedson/status/1969919569943765024
🧵 Thread • FxTwitter
Joao Wedson (@joao_wedson)
Bitcoin is already showing signs of cycle exhaustion — and very few are seeing it.
The SOPR Trend Signal is excellent at signaling when blockchain profitability is drying up.
Never in Bitcoin’s history have investors accumulated BTC so late and at such high…
The SOPR Trend Signal is excellent at signaling when blockchain profitability is drying up.
Never in Bitcoin’s history have investors accumulated BTC so late and at such high…
Bitcoin’s realized price is the real bull market signal
#Analysis #Market #ATH #cost_basis #LTH #realizedprice #STH
via Bitcoin (BTC) News | CryptoSlate
#Analysis #Market #ATH #cost_basis #LTH #realizedprice #STH
via Bitcoin (BTC) News | CryptoSlate