CryptoCon
This probably feels like the most boring cycle ever.
But that's not just a feeling, it's a fact!
Bitcoin has entered critically low #volatility on historical volatility more times than any other cycle.
No cycle has visited critically low volatility at #ATH's.
But this boring is good. All moves to low volatility here have been bullish, no exceptions.
There have also been no moves to high volatility this entire cycle, not even close.
Everything about this screams potential!
» Farce of Volatility
#StudyBitcoin@TutorialBTC
This probably feels like the most boring cycle ever.
But that's not just a feeling, it's a fact!
Bitcoin has entered critically low #volatility on historical volatility more times than any other cycle.
No cycle has visited critically low volatility at #ATH's.
But this boring is good. All moves to low volatility here have been bullish, no exceptions.
There have also been no moves to high volatility this entire cycle, not even close.
Everything about this screams potential!
» Farce of Volatility
#StudyBitcoin@TutorialBTC
SATOSHI ° NOSTR ° AI LLM ML ° LINUX ° MESH ° BUSINESS ° OFFGRID | HODLER TUTORIAL
#LIQUIDEZ $120K #Liquidity 14/07/2025 03h49 UTC #Map $121K Liquidado! $130K Próximo Alvo! PS. Comentário anterior ↪️ FOMO
#LIQUIDEZ $107K #Liquidity
25/08/2025 18h49 UTC #Map
$107K Liquidação #Suporte
$130K Próximo Alvo! #ATH
PS. Comentário anterior
↪️ FOMO / FUD
25/08/2025 18h49 UTC #Map
$107K Liquidação #Suporte
$130K Próximo Alvo! #ATH
PS. Comentário anterior
↪️ FOMO / FUD
Trending Bitcoin #Calendar Ago/27/2025
Buying 1 #Bitcoin at the top of every cycle would have turned $90,000 into $470,000
420% gain despite poor timing.
#ATH@TutorialBTC
Buying 1 #Bitcoin at the top of every cycle would have turned $90,000 into $470,000
420% gain despite poor timing.
#ATH@TutorialBTC
apsk32
In past cycles, Bitcoin marked a major low in September and then rallied for 2-3 months in Q4. #ATH@TutorialBTC
In past cycles, Bitcoin marked a major low in September and then rallied for 2-3 months in Q4. #ATH@TutorialBTC
#Bitcoin #ATH #Cycle
Bottom to Top vs. 4 & 8 Years Ago
Current Price: $108,536
Price 4 Years Ago: $48,809
(Scaled: $241,486)
Price 8 Years Ago: $4,579
(Scaled: $409,977)
08/30/2025 19H UTC
PS. 500 - 550 Days Pos-#Halving?
#ATH@TutorialBTC
Bottom to Top vs. 4 & 8 Years Ago
Current Price: $108,536
Price 4 Years Ago: $48,809
(Scaled: $241,486)
Price 8 Years Ago: $4,579
(Scaled: $409,977)
08/30/2025 19H UTC
PS. 500 - 550 Days Pos-#Halving?
#ATH@TutorialBTC
Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr
The current BTC #drawdown is −12.8% from the #ATH.
In this bull cycle, #pullback's after local peaks have mostly clustered in the −10% to −18% range, while deeper corrections have typically extended to −20% to −30%. At −12.8%, we’re closer to the moderate zone, consistent with a repair/consolidation phase rather than a full-scale sell-off.
The current BTC #drawdown is −12.8% from the #ATH.
In this bull cycle, #pullback's after local peaks have mostly clustered in the −10% to −18% range, while deeper corrections have typically extended to −20% to −30%. At −12.8%, we’re closer to the moderate zone, consistent with a repair/consolidation phase rather than a full-scale sell-off.
Swissblock
The Regime Shift #Indicator flagged a structural change ahead.
It happened when Bitcoin corrected quickly after printing a new #ATH at $124.5K.
The correction’s low came after losing $110K.
After consolidating, the indicator has turned #bullish, and the key zone remains $110K: a daily close above it would be the first step to confirm the structural shift.
The Regime Shift #Indicator flagged a structural change ahead.
It happened when Bitcoin corrected quickly after printing a new #ATH at $124.5K.
The correction’s low came after losing $110K.
After consolidating, the indicator has turned #bullish, and the key zone remains $110K: a daily close above it would be the first step to confirm the structural shift.
Bitcoin #Monthly #Returns: (Uptober Loading) #ROI
•October: +ve in 10/12 years; average +21.89%
•November: +ve in 8/12 years; average +46.02%
•December: +ve in only 5/12 years; average +4.75%
#Q4 tends to be front‑loaded (Oct–Nov strength), with December the most fragile month.
#ATH@TutorialBTC
•October: +ve in 10/12 years; average +21.89%
•November: +ve in 8/12 years; average +46.02%
•December: +ve in only 5/12 years; average +4.75%
#Q4 tends to be front‑loaded (Oct–Nov strength), with December the most fragile month.
#ATH@TutorialBTC
Bitcoin will likely #bottom
in September.
I’m expecting BTC to form
a low between $94k-$100k,
making everyone believe
that $124k was the top and
then a massive breakout in
October #Q4 and $150k-$180k
by December 2025.
#ATH@TutorialBTC
in September.
I’m expecting BTC to form
a low between $94k-$100k,
making everyone believe
that $124k was the top and
then a massive breakout in
October #Q4 and $150k-$180k
by December 2025.
#ATH@TutorialBTC
Raicher
Atualização #Indicador 7 Fases do #PiCycle.
Aproveitei e reajustei a posição dos números.
Vejam como estamos imitando a fase 4 Perfeitamente com esse dip Sub-média Inferior (Flechas Azuis).
Será que estamos caminhando para a fase 5, com rompimento da linha Verde (PiCycle #Bottom Average) e em seguida testaremos a resistência da média Superior?
#log
#ATH@TutorialBTC
Atualização #Indicador 7 Fases do #PiCycle.
Aproveitei e reajustei a posição dos números.
Vejam como estamos imitando a fase 4 Perfeitamente com esse dip Sub-média Inferior (Flechas Azuis).
Será que estamos caminhando para a fase 5, com rompimento da linha Verde (PiCycle #Bottom Average) e em seguida testaremos a resistência da média Superior?
#log
Por fim, numerei cada fase do comportamento do preço durante o PiCycle.
1 - Fundo abaixo da média Inferior
2 - Teste na média Superior acima da linha verde (fake out)
3 - Dip abaixo da média inferior (desespero)
4 - 2ª tentativa de ganhar a linha Verde (fake out)
5 - Ganhamos a linha Verde
6 - Ganhamos a média Superior
7 - PiCycle Top
Atualmente estamos na fase 4 tentando ganhar a linha Verde para subir pra fase 5. Não sei quando vamos chegar nela, nem quando vamos para a fase 6 e 7.
Temos um espaço enorme entre a média Inferior e Superior do PiCycle Top (58%), sugerindo que o topo ainda está LONGE daqui.
- Raicher | tweet#ATH@TutorialBTC
#Cycle #Fractal Today is a day to share analyses about Bitcoin’s future! Here’s a personal opinion: https://xcancel.com/joao_wedson/status/1963243995804352669
Set/03/2025 #Calendar
#ATH@TutorialBTC
#ATL@TutorialBTC
Set/03/2025 #Calendar
#ATH@TutorialBTC
#ATL@TutorialBTC