SATOSHI • NOSTR • AI CLAW • LINUX • ₿2B • OSINT | HODLER ∞/21M
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According to the Halving Cycles Theory, there's a maximum of 4 1/2 months left to go this cycle.

The theory states that cycle tops appear +/- 21 days from November 28th in Red Year, which is only a little over 3 months away.

Opinions on what comes next are divided.

Many people have adopted the #Halving #Cycles #Theory and think the cycle will be over this year.

Some people think the cycle has lots of juice left in the tank and will extend well into 2026.

What do I think?

The theory hasn't let me down yet, and data seems to be aligned with it, showing room for one final major push.

So yes, I do think the cycle will be over by the end of this year, according to the Halving Cycles Theory.

But I'd be willing to bet there will be a major curveball to make everything more difficult. Either a price people don't expect (maybe lower), or slight timing differences.

Almost 3 years of waiting from me! Still holding from 16.5k.

Ago/18/2025 @TutorialBTC
Trending Bitcoin #Calendar Ago/27/2025

Buying 1 #Bitcoin at the top of every cycle would have turned $90,000 into $470,000

420% gain despite poor timing.

#ATH@TutorialBTC
📊👀 #BTC X #liquidez (#M2)

Set/01/2025

PS.
- Com esta base histórica M2,
#ATH será em nov/2025.
- Conforme o calendário do ciclo
de 4 anos #Halving.

#Calendar@TutorialBTC
CryptoCon #Calendar DEZ/01/2025

It looks like the #Halving #Cycles #Theory has been right after all, completing its first successful cycle after creation.

The Bitcoin cycle top occurring on October 6th, 2025, was within parameters, falling in the 3-month window for the cycle top of October - December in Red Year.

Now that Red Year (the year of the bull market) is over as of November 28th, 2025, the cycle is over, and a new one begins.

Starting with the Orange Year, the year of the #bear market, which is set to last until November 28th, 2026.

No matter how hard people have fought the cycle, and still do, it remains right on track.

I remain out of all of my positions in crypto, with no plans to reenter any time soon.

>> Rota Hodler
Approximately 36 weeks remain until the Bitcoin Fractal #Cycle concludes. | JAN/25/2026

Intriguingly, the cycles continue to repeat, defying the narrative of many analysts who no longer believe Bitcoin follows a predictable #fractal structure.

Markets change. Participants change.
Yet human behavior and cyclical market structure continue to leave clear signals for those who focus on data, not just narratives.

📊 Cycles are not guarantees — but historically, ignoring them has been a costly mistake.

We continue to monitor closely. #Bear 2026 #Calendar

>> 3.125
CryptoCon MAY/28/2026 #Calendar

Lots of discussion on the Halving Cycle lately...

Love it or hate it, the Halving Cycles Theory is one of the only models made for Bitcoin that has actually worked.

People doubted the cycle all the way up from November 2022 to October 2025, and they're doing it again on the way down.

The Halving Cycles Theory doesn't view cycles as 4 data points; it's 11 different points per cycle for a total of 45 data points that have each come within their 3 month windows.

The bear market is what makes the opportunity. Can't buy at great prices without it.
CryptoCon JUN/15/2026

#Calendar The collective consensus amongst crypto X seems to be that the #cycle #bottom is in. That alone gets me pretty disinterested in looking for the low here.

Of course, the bear market according to the Havling Cycles Theory is not over until November 2026 - January 2027.

It is no surprise that "this time is different" is coming back up. This time, the plausible story is data interpretation.

A potential bullish divergence is forming on Weekly RSI, just like November 2022. Some metrics are bottoming out. From my perspective, most have not.

So, I will once again take the contrarian position during this bounce and say the cycle bottom is not in.

The opportunity I'm looking for is the trifecta of psychology, data positioning, and cycle position.