Gravitational #Economics: A Field #Theory of Subjective Time Preference in a #Monetarily Curved Spacetime
https://europeanbitcoiners.com/gravitational-economics-a-field-theory-of-subjective-time-preference-in-a-monetarily-curved-spacetime/
https://europeanbitcoiners.com/gravitational-economics-a-field-theory-of-subjective-time-preference-in-a-monetarily-curved-spacetime/
European Bitcoiners
Gravitational Economics: A Field Theory of Subjective Time Preference in a Monetarily Curved Spacetime
How Bitcoin, time preference, and trust are shaping a new structure of reality
CryptoCon #Calendar #Calendário
According to the Halving Cycles Theory, there's a maximum of 4 1/2 months left to go this cycle.
The theory states that cycle tops appear +/- 21 days from November 28th in Red Year, which is only a little over 3 months away.
Opinions on what comes next are divided.
Many people have adopted the #Halving #Cycles #Theory and think the cycle will be over this year.
Some people think the cycle has lots of juice left in the tank and will extend well into 2026.
What do I think?
The theory hasn't let me down yet, and data seems to be aligned with it, showing room for one final major push.
So yes, I do think the cycle will be over by the end of this year, according to the Halving Cycles Theory.
But I'd be willing to bet there will be a major curveball to make everything more difficult. Either a price people don't expect (maybe lower), or slight timing differences.
Almost 3 years of waiting from me! Still holding from 16.5k.
Ago/18/2025 @TutorialBTC
According to the Halving Cycles Theory, there's a maximum of 4 1/2 months left to go this cycle.
The theory states that cycle tops appear +/- 21 days from November 28th in Red Year, which is only a little over 3 months away.
Opinions on what comes next are divided.
Many people have adopted the #Halving #Cycles #Theory and think the cycle will be over this year.
Some people think the cycle has lots of juice left in the tank and will extend well into 2026.
What do I think?
The theory hasn't let me down yet, and data seems to be aligned with it, showing room for one final major push.
So yes, I do think the cycle will be over by the end of this year, according to the Halving Cycles Theory.
But I'd be willing to bet there will be a major curveball to make everything more difficult. Either a price people don't expect (maybe lower), or slight timing differences.
Almost 3 years of waiting from me! Still holding from 16.5k.
Ago/18/2025 @TutorialBTC
CryptoCon #Calendar DEZ/01/2025
It looks like the #Halving #Cycles #Theory has been right after all, completing its first successful cycle after creation.
The Bitcoin cycle top occurring on October 6th, 2025, was within parameters, falling in the 3-month window for the cycle top of October - December in Red Year.
Now that Red Year (the year of the bull market) is over as of November 28th, 2025, the cycle is over, and a new one begins.
Starting with the Orange Year, the year of the #bear market, which is set to last until November 28th, 2026.
No matter how hard people have fought the cycle, and still do, it remains right on track.
I remain out of all of my positions in crypto, with no plans to reenter any time soon.
>> Rota Hodler
It looks like the #Halving #Cycles #Theory has been right after all, completing its first successful cycle after creation.
The Bitcoin cycle top occurring on October 6th, 2025, was within parameters, falling in the 3-month window for the cycle top of October - December in Red Year.
Now that Red Year (the year of the bull market) is over as of November 28th, 2025, the cycle is over, and a new one begins.
Starting with the Orange Year, the year of the #bear market, which is set to last until November 28th, 2026.
No matter how hard people have fought the cycle, and still do, it remains right on track.
I remain out of all of my positions in crypto, with no plans to reenter any time soon.
>> Rota Hodler
CryptoCon JAN/08/2026
The Bitcoin cycle is overheated and due for a bear market.
For any of you who have held Bitcoin or especially Altcoins through a bear market, you know that's not a place where you want to be.
Think of risk/reward when you look at this Monthly Bollinger Band % Channel. Are the odds in favor of holding for a "Bottom is in!" or "business cycle"?
Definitely not.
A business cycle already proves it does not line up, as it claims that the cycle is only just beginning as it is ending.
It can be hard to combat the popular narratives at the highs and lows because they are what everyone wants to believe at the time:
"Recession coming"
"Black Swan Coming"
"ETF Super cycle"
"No More Bear Markets"
It's not #FUD, it's just the way of the traditional 4 year #cycle (#Halving Cycles #Theory).
PS. #ATL NOV/2026 SMA200.
>> FOMO/FUD
The Bitcoin cycle is overheated and due for a bear market.
For any of you who have held Bitcoin or especially Altcoins through a bear market, you know that's not a place where you want to be.
Think of risk/reward when you look at this Monthly Bollinger Band % Channel. Are the odds in favor of holding for a "Bottom is in!" or "business cycle"?
Definitely not.
A business cycle already proves it does not line up, as it claims that the cycle is only just beginning as it is ending.
It can be hard to combat the popular narratives at the highs and lows because they are what everyone wants to believe at the time:
"Recession coming"
"Black Swan Coming"
"ETF Super cycle"
"No More Bear Markets"
It's not #FUD, it's just the way of the traditional 4 year #cycle (#Halving Cycles #Theory).
PS. #ATL NOV/2026 SMA200.
>> FOMO/FUD
CryptoCon #Cycle #4Years JAN/16/2026
If you're waiting on the downfall of the #Halving Cycles #Theory, good luck to you!
Here's HCT reinforced with #Fibonacci zones. All major moves this cycle came in their expected time frames.
Here are the time windows for the upcoming cycle:
👍 Cycle #Bottom: November 2026 - January 2027
First Early Top: June - July 2027
Second Early Top: April - August 2028
First Cycle Top: January - June 2029
Cycle Top: October - December 2029
PS. Focus: #BCA (#DCA) fixed (D, W or M) + #BuyTheDip #Support SMA200.
⚡️ REVIEW
If you're waiting on the downfall of the #Halving Cycles #Theory, good luck to you!
Here's HCT reinforced with #Fibonacci zones. All major moves this cycle came in their expected time frames.
Here are the time windows for the upcoming cycle:
👍 Cycle #Bottom: November 2026 - January 2027
First Early Top: June - July 2027
Second Early Top: April - August 2028
First Cycle Top: January - June 2029
Cycle Top: October - December 2029
PS. Focus: #BCA (#DCA) fixed (D, W or M) + #BuyTheDip #Support SMA200.
⚡️ REVIEW