🔄 Update: #Support
With the spot price trading around $89.9K, the key on-chain price models have now shifted slightly:
🔴 STH Cost Basis: $98.9K
--- Spot Price: $89.9K ---
🟡 Active Investors Mean: $87.7k
🟢True Market Mean: $81.0K
🔵 Realized Price: $56.2K

📊 http://glassno.de/3XDy2xe

>> Rota Hodler

#MA #Dialy #Weekly

2026-01-12

200 DMA = $106k
200 WMA = $57k #Support

>>> SECRET

#Bear market rally?

Price is nearing the 365-day MA, where the last bear market rally was rejected in 2022.

#Sentiment feels euphoric, but indicators still point to a bear market. 👉 Latest report.

PS. Focus: #BCA (#DCA) fixed (D, W or M) + #BuyTheDip #Support

>> Rota Hodler

CryptoCon #Cycle #4Years JAN/16/2026

If you're waiting on the downfall of the #Halving Cycles #Theory, good luck to you!

Here's HCT reinforced with #Fibonacci zones. All major moves this cycle came in their expected time frames.

Here are the time windows for the upcoming cycle:

👍 Cycle #Bottom: November 2026 - January 2027

First Early Top: June - July 2027

Second Early Top: April - August 2028

First Cycle Top: January - June 2029

Cycle Top: October - December 2029


PS. Focus: #BCA (#DCA) fixed (D, W or M) + #BuyTheDip #Support SMA200.

⚡️ REVIEW

Axel #Support

The market needs a reset after three years of growth - and it has already begun.

Today we break down #MVRV - the key on-chain metric that reveals the market’s true state: overheated, fair value, or opportunity #zone.

This is the foundation for understanding the cycle and making informed decisions on entries and profit-taking.

On-Chain Fundamentals for Humans | Part 5 👇

https://substack.com/@adlerscryptoinsights/note/c-203359336

>> F/F

apsk32 JAN/23/2026

The #narrative was that governments, corporations, and all your cousins were going to pile into Bitcoin because of global #debt and to take back control from the banks.

Instead, everyone bought paper #gold.

It's going to be some time before people start to believe the old narrative again. #Support


>> Rota Hodler

apsk32 #PowerCurve

86,000 United States Dollars for one Bitcoin is a neutral price.

Fear (#BuyTheDip) $70k-$80k.

#Support $55,000 is in the set of possible outcomes. But we'd have to get there quickly because the levels are ever rising.

>> F/F

CryptoCon JAN/26/2026

There are some dense liquidity pockets that line up close with the Bear Bands.

Next areas of interest:

First Low: 69 - 74k

Cycle Bottom: 27 - 32k

PS.
- ETFs USA JAN/11/2024 $38K-$49K.
- #Support SMA200 $55K
- Focus: #BCA (#DCA) fixed (W or M) + #BuyTheDip on the supports.

>> Exit Fiat

#BTCUSD (D)  32%OFF 🎉

JAN/29/26 17h20 UTC

#ATH: -32.84% | $126,272

#Support Band's (D): $84.4K

1 BTC priced in dollar

》P2P Privacy | #BuyTheDip

#BTCUSD (W)  32%OFF 🎉

JAN/29/26 17h20 UTC

#ATH: -32.84% | $126,272

#Support Band's (W): $74.5K

>> FOMO/FUD | #DCA #BCA

apsk32 JAN/29/26

The absolute best deal I think we could get is ~$55K (SMA 200). #Support

I'd like to see it, but I'm not holding my breath. I have a plan in case we do.

If we do crash to $55k in the near-term, that would be >50% cagr over three years, trough to trough, which is fantastic.

>> FOMO/FUD

🎉🎉🎉 ⚠️ #Liquidation Nearly $1,000,000,000 liquidated from the crypto market in the past 24 hours.

PS. Focus: #BCA (#DCA) fixed (W or M) + #BuyTheDip on the #support's.

👇👇👇
>> FOMO/FUD

#Bear This chart perfectly called the recent market crash.

If the 4-year pattern is still in play, $BTC will dump to ≈$30,000.

Position accordingly.


PS.
- ETFs USA JAN/11/2024 $38K-$49K.

- #Support SMA200 $55K

- Focus: #BCA (#DCA) fixed (W or M) + #BuyTheDip on the supports.


>> Rota Hodler   #Share

#BTCUSD (W) Now

FEB/02/26 03h40 UTC

#Support Band's $70.1K

》P2P Privacy | #BuyTheDip

CryptoCon FEB/02/26

A near pinpoint touch of the first heavy liquidity level at 74.5k.

The next is just below that at 69k, and the First Low Bear Band #support is at 62k.

Bearish sentiment has seen a huge uptick. Here's what I've noticed:

- Bear market experts appearing at the lows
- Flips from those advocating for new ATHs since August 2025
- Calls for precious metal buys vanish after parabolic top

Regaurdless of sentiment, the cycle keeps on pushing forward.

>> FOMO/FUD

Realized Price our SMA200 $55K

FEV/01/2026 $BTC 78K

#StackHarder 😎 #Support

#PlanB #Bear 2026

https://fxtwitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/2019056958481866861

PS.
- #Support #Opportunidy's #Gerational
- Focus: #BCA + #BuyTheDip

>> F/F