TonTrader: Investing in Crypto Wisely
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Your reliable guide to crypto trading. Gamified learning, safe practice, and live trading!

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πŸ‘‘ Bitcoin (BTC): Short Squeeze in Action

Today’s high - $79,400. Now seeing a pullback.

⏺️ What happened: the US–Iran truce was extended β†’ $180M in shorts above $78K started getting liquidated. Exchanges are forced to buy BTC to cover short positions β†’ price spikes upward. Classic short squeeze.

⏺️ Context: ETF inflows for the 5th consecutive day $238M on April 20 alone. Institutions are not exiting.

What’s next:
πŸ’¬ Holding above $78,300 β†’ next target $80,000–80,600.
πŸ’¬ Break above $80,600 β†’ $83,800–85,000.
πŸ’¬ Drop below $78,000 β†’ pullback to $74,000.

BTC now: ~$79,000 | Daily high: $79,400.

Key levels:
πŸ“ˆ Above $80,600 β†’ $83,800.
πŸ“‰ Below $78,000 β†’ $74,000.

Conclusion:
The squeeze played out. Now the key is to hold $78,300 as new support.


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πŸ’Ž Stablecoins Are Taking Over the Market - Quietly, but Completely

$315B - and this is no longer just β€œcrypto.”
This is a new payment system that simply works.

In the last 48 hours - three signals you can’t ignore:


⏺️ Pornhub (4.26B monthly visits) dropped USDT and chose USDC.
Not a β€œtechnical update,” but a choice of jurisdiction, transparency, and predictable money.

⏺️ DoorDash - millions of couriers - is moving to stablecoin payouts via Tempo (Stripe + Paradigm).
Behind it: Visa, Mastercard, UBS, Shopify. This is no longer crypto - this is payroll on blockchain.

⏺️ JPMorgan is launching JPMD.
When the largest U.S. bank creates its own token - it’s not hype.
It’s a signal: the system is changing from within.

What’s really happening:
πŸ’¬ Money is becoming programmable.
πŸ’¬ Banks, big tech, and platforms aren’t fighting crypto - they’re absorbing it.

Stablecoins are no longer just a trader’s tool.
They are:
πŸ’¬ Salaries.
πŸ’¬ B2B settlements.
πŸ’¬ Banking liquidity.

Conclusion:
Each new use case = more volume on Ethereum and more pressure on the old financial system.


Mass adoption is already happening.
No one will announce it on TV.

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πŸ”“ Toncoin (TON): Unlock Today

Current price: $1.34 | Market cap: ~$3.3B

Today at 14:30 UTC, TON will unlock ~0.72% of total supply.
πŸ’¬ In numbers: ~17.6M tokens (~$23.6M) entering the market at once.
πŸ’¬ Trading volume is already up 54% in the last 24h - the market is preparing.
πŸ’¬ Technically, TON is weaker than the market: βˆ’4% over the week vs total crypto market +2.7%.

Two scenarios after 14:30:
πŸ“‰ Holders take profits β†’ short-term sell pressure, move toward $1.28–$1.22.
πŸ“ˆ Market absorbs supply β†’ signal of strength, move toward $1.42–$1.45.

Key levels:
πŸ“ˆ Above $1.39 β†’ $1.45.
πŸ“‰ Below $1.28 β†’ $1.19.

Conclusion:

~$24M hitting the market at once is significant with thin liquidity. Watch the reaction at 14:30 UTC. A breakdown with volume is a signal. Holding levels shows strength.


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πŸ“ˆ We saw your interest in the Fibonacci Fan, so we decided to go deeper.
Today we’re talking about the Fibonacci Extension - a simple tool that helps you take profits ❕

πŸ’‘ If you don’t understand:
πŸ’¬ Where to set take-profit.
πŸ’¬ How far the price can go.
πŸ’¬ How to navigate without clear levels.

Watch this video. No complicated theory - just practical insights you can apply immediately in your trades.

πŸ“Š Add the Fibonacci Extension to your toolkit and test it on real setups

And don’t forget to send this video to a friend - let them capture moves the smart way too. πŸš€

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πŸ‘‘ Bitcoin (BTC): Momentum Slowing - Oil and Pentagon in Focus

On April 23, the attempt to break $80,000 stalled. The Pentagon told Congress that clearing the Strait of Hormuz could take at least 6 months oil surged, along with inflation risks.

⏺️ WTI jumped from $79 to ~$95 in a week
10-year Treasury yields rose by 8 bps to 4.32% - putting pressure on all risk assets.

⏺️ CryptoQuant analysts warn: BTC’s growth is driven mainly by perpetual futures demand, not spot similar to January before the correction from $98K.

BTC now: ~$77,700 on TonTrader.

Key levels:
πŸ“ˆ Above $80,000 β†’ $83,000.
πŸ“‰ Below $75,500 β†’ $73,000.

Conclusion:
Bulls are facing pressure from oil and geopolitics. Until the strait situation improves, $80K may remain out of reach.


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πŸ–₯ ICP (Internet Computer): Korean Listing Creates Momentum

ICP is reacting to its listing on Upbit - one of South Korea’s largest exchanges.
Over the past 24 hours, the token posted a double-digit gain and moved into a high-volume zone.

What’s behind it❔

πŸ’¬ The South Korean market traditionally boosts short-term demand.
πŸ’¬ Upbit often brings a sharp liquidity inflow in the first 24–72 hours.
πŸ’¬ ICP is also supported by the AI narrative and growing developer activity.

Key levels:
πŸ“ˆ Above $2.50 β†’ $2.70.
πŸ“‰ Below $2.40 β†’ $2.20.

πŸ“ˆ Open ICPUSDT in TonTrader πŸ“ˆ

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⛏️ Mined at Home - Got a $170,000 Tax Bill

A man from St. Petersburg mined crypto worth β‚½181,000 (~$2,000).
πŸ’¬ Paid β‚½81,000 (~$900) for electricity.

Net profit - about β‚½100,000 (~$1,100).
πŸ’¬ The tax service then issued a bill for β‚½17,000,000 (~$190,000).

⏺️ How did this happen❔
He had a registered sole proprietorship - but in a completely unrelated business.
The tax authority decided: if you have entrepreneur status, then all your income is business income - including mining done at home.

⏺️ Now he’s going to court.
The entire Russian crypto market is watching, because if the tax authority wins, any entrepreneur who ever mined β€œfor themselves” could be at risk.

πŸ’¬ One tax status. One coincidence.

🟑 And β‚½100K in profit turns into β‚½17M in debt.

πŸ’¬ Crypto is legalized. The rules - still aren’t.

While miners deal with tax risks, in TonTrader you can earn DOLLR without hardware, electricity, or tax surprises.


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πŸ’­ Ever caught yourself opening trades not by plan… but to β€œwin it back”❔

It happens faster than you think: one mistake - another - and suddenly you’re in a loss instead of control.

πŸ€‘ In this video - a simple checklist that actually stops you in the moment:

⏺ No complicated theory, just what works when emotions take over.

If you’ve ever thought β€œI’ll make it back now” - you need to watch this.

Send it to a friend who sometimes trades on emotions. πŸ‘€

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πŸ“ˆ Crypto Digest

The market is at a point where further movement depends on the balance of liquidity. Capital is present, but not enough to push the market higher.

Top 5 news of the week

1️⃣ Strategy bought 34,164 BTC for ~$2.54B
Average price ~$74,400. Total holdings now around 815,000 BTC.

πŸ—£ This is one of the largest purchases in recent times, and it was made on a pullback, not at the highs. Big money continues to enter when the market offers price.

2️⃣ Bitcoin failed to hold above $79K
High ~$79,400 β†’ followed by a pullback.

The $78–80K zone remains key resistance.

πŸ—£ Momentum is there, but liquidity above is still stronger. The market showed strength, but the ceiling hasn’t been broken yet.

3️⃣ BTC ETF inflows ~$1.8B in April
Around $1B just in the past week.

πŸ—£ This isn’t a one-off spike, but a steady flow. The market is holding even without major news, driven by systematic demand.

4️⃣ Crypto is rising through equities: Coinbase and Strategy in the green
Strategy +8%, Coinbase +4–5% alongside BTC and macro moves.

πŸ—£ Part of the capital is entering crypto not directly, but via the stock market. These are slower, but more stable flows of capital.

5️⃣ A BTC strategy targeting ~10,000 BTC is launching in Hong Kong
The Alpha BTC project targets ~$700M+ AUM, operating via derivatives and ETFs.

πŸ—£ This is no longer just about buying BTC. Structures are emerging that will actively manage positions.

❓ Why this matters

⏺ Large purchases are happening on pullbacks the market is being accumulated systematically.
⏺ The $78–80K level is becoming a decision zone, not just a number.
⏺ ETF inflows create a base level of demand supporting the market.
⏺ Capital is entering via equities and strategies infrastructure is becoming more complex.

❗️ What to watch next

⏺ Whether BTC breaks the $80K zone or falls back into a range.
⏺ Whether ETF inflows continue next week.
⏺ Whether new large purchases from public companies appear.
⏺ Whether the trend of managing BTC via funds and strategies accelerates.

πŸ”₯ Weekly takeaway: the market is being supported, but not allowed higher a battle is underway at this level, where it will be decided whether real demand exists or if this is just inertia.

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🦍 ApeCoin (APE): +92% Overnight - Whale Drops $1M and Wins

Market cap: ~$1.3B

While the rest of the market was flat, APE exploded +92% in a single day.
Let’s break down what happened.

1️⃣ Trigger - Whale with insider timing.
A new wallet sold 75 ETH (~$174K) and opened a 5x long on 9.19M APE (~$1.03M) via Hyperliquid - right before the rally.
The position was built during consolidation, not hype.

2️⃣ Trigger - CEO change.
Yuga Labs confirmed Michael Figge as the new CEO on the 5th anniversary of Bored Ape Yacht Club.
A community hungry for positive news took it as a reversal signal.

⏺ Structural breakout.APE broke out of a downtrend channel that had held since October 2025.
At the same time, volume surged by 2130%.

🟑 Now the price is pulling back after the sharp move - the market is digesting the impulse.
🟑 But the fundamentals remain: if it holds above $0.16, momentum could continue.

Key levels:

πŸ“ˆ Above $0.22 β†’ $0.30.
πŸ“‰ Below $0.16 β†’ $0.11.

Conclusion:
The first move is done. A pullback is not a reversal. Watch $0.16 - it’s the key level for continuation.


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πŸ’Ž The market looked ready to break out… but hit pause at the last moment.
Momentum is there, capital is flowing in but direction is still undecided.


⏺️ BTC - failed attempt to break $80K, macro pressure (oil, yields) is holding it back.

⏺️ ETH - outperforming, supported by steady institutional demand.

⏺️ Altcoins - isolated spikes (APE, ICP), but no broad rally.

Weekly backdrop:

🟑 Institutions continue accumulating BTC and ETH.
πŸ’¬ Geopolitics and inflation risks are pressuring the market.
πŸ’¬ DeFi is facing issues and liquidity outflows.
🟑 Stablecoins are strengthening their role in the real economy.

Conclusion:
The market is pausing before the next move. Capital is selective - this is the time for discipline, precise entries, and trading with a system.


Focus of the week:

⏺️ Morning News: Market Under Pressure After the Weekend.

⏺️Evening News: Institutions Accumulate, DeFi Under Pressure.

⏺️Toncoin (TON): Unlock Today.

⏺️ Dash (DASH): Trade Breakdown.

Useful video lessons:
⏺️ We saw your interest in the Fibonacci Fan, so we decided to go deeper.

⏺️ Ever caught yourself opening trades not by plan… but to β€œwin it back”

Market news:

πŸ—£BTC ETF inflows ~$1.8B in April
Around $1B just in the past week.
This isn’t a one-off spike, but a steady flow. The market is holding even without major news, driven by systematic demand.

πŸ—£A BTC strategy targeting ~10,000 BTC is launching in Hong Kong
The Alpha BTC project targets ~$700M+ AUM, operating via derivatives and ETFs.
This is no longer just about buying BTC. Structures are emerging that will actively manage positions.

Top-5 interesting news in our Crypto-Digest❕

⏺ Mined at Home - Got a $170,000 Tax Bill.

⏺ ICP (Internet Computer): Korean Listing Creates Momentum.

⏺ Stablecoins Are Taking Over the Market - Quietly, but Completely.

πŸ“ˆ Patience in the market pays better than rushing. πŸ“ˆ

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πŸ€– + 🐳 The Market Everyone Is Underestimating

While the news feed is filled with β€œBitcoin hacks,” big money is doing the opposite - quietly accumulating.

What happened:

⏺️ Independent researcher Giancarlo Lelli received 1 BTC for cracking a 15-bit key using a quantum computer - a loud headline, but not a real threat.

⏺️ BTC wallets are protected by 256-bit encryption - the difference is like 1 meter vs the distance to the Moon.

⏺️ Even estimates from Google suggest ~500,000 qubits are needed for a real attack β€” still far from practical reality.

Simple conclusion:
This is not a β€œtoday” risk - it’s a β€œsomeday” risk.


Now - what’s happening right now:

🐳 Whales are buying while the market hesitates

🟑 BTC reserves on exchanges: 2.21M (7-year low).
πŸ’¬ +270,000 BTC accumulated by large players in 30 days - highest since 2013.
πŸ’¬ ETF inflows: 8 consecutive days.
🟑 Fear & Greed Index: 39/100 (fear).

Classic cycle:
Big players buy β†’ retail fears β†’ market prepares for a reversal.

Additional factor:

⏺ In derivatives, 59.9% of positions are shorts.
This is unusual with BTC above $78K and creates fuel for a potential sharp move upward

Key levels:

πŸ“ˆ Above $80,100 with volume β†’ $84–85K.
πŸ“‰ Below $75K β†’ $72–73K.

Conclusion:
The market feels quiet right now - and that’s exactly when strong moves are formed.


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πŸŽͺ Politics, Crypto, and a Bit of Circus

Donald Trump gathered the largest holders of his memecoin for a private event at Mar-a-Lago.
Among the guests - Mike Tyson and the head of Tether.

⏺️ On stage - bold statements:
Crypto has gone mainstream, and banks should β€œstep aside.”

⏺️ Behind the scenes - a less shiny reality:
The memecoin itself has lost most of its value in recent months.

Market irony:
Holders came with losses - and left with photos with Tyson.

Conclusion:
Memecoins are about attention, not fundamentals.
While some buy the narrative, others sell the liquidity.


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πŸ” Litecoin (LTC): blockchain attack, 13 blocks wiped

Market cap: $4.2B

Attackers exploited a vulnerability in the MWEB (MimbleWimble Extension Block) privacy protocol, triggering a DoS attack on mining pools and causing a 13-block reorg β€” rolling back roughly 32 minutes of network activity.

⏺ Important: the bug had been privately patched by the team between March 19–26 - 37 days before the attack. The patch wasn’t made mandatory, which created the window for exploitation.

⏺ NEAR Intents estimated its exposure at around $600K. However, after the reorg, actual losses may be lower, as invalid transactions were removed from the main chain.

⏺ The Litecoin team released patch v0.21.5.4. The network is operating normally.

Historical impact:
Attacks on PoW networks (reorgs, 51% attacks) have typically caused short-term price drops of 10–20% and waves of exchange delistings. Similar cases occurred with Ethereum Classic, Bitcoin Gold, and Monero.


Potential impact now:
A hit to the reputation of the MWEB layer. Trust in LTC’s privacy features is weakened. Possible delistings on exchanges that do not support confidential transactions.


🟑 When it starts affecting: already impacting the market. Reaction window: 24–72 hours after the news.

🟑 Price pressure duration: 1–2 weeks. Reputation recovery will likely take longer - until the team publicly explains how this was possible.

Key levels:
πŸ“‰ Below $56 β†’ $51.
πŸ“ˆ Above $57 β†’ $59.

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πŸ› New Fed Chair. The market is pricing the decision

As soon as tomorrow - April 29 - the Senate Banking Committee will vote on Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Federal Reserve Chair.
If approved, the full Senate could confirm him by May 15 - the day Jerome Powell’s term ends.


⏺️ Timing matters: the committee vote is at 17:00 MSK.
This coincides with the end of the Fed’s rate decision meeting led by the current chair, Powell.

Key dates:
⏺ April 29 - committee vote.
⏺ ~May 1–10 - full Senate vote.
⏺ May 15 - possible start in office.

What the market is pricing:
⏺ Warsh is seen as supportive of faster rate cuts.
⏺ The logic: AI-driven productivity growth β†’ lower inflation pressure β†’ room to cut rates.
⏺ Cheap money = a direct catalyst for risk assets.

However, there’s no full consensus inside the FOMC - rising energy prices keep some members hawkish.

Two scenarios:

Scenario A - confirmation + dovish tone:
πŸ’¬ BTC tests $80,000–83,000.
πŸ’¬ Altcoins gain momentum +15–25%.

Scenario B - hawkish stance on rates:
πŸ’¬ BTC pulls back to $72,000–74,000.
πŸ’¬ Market remains under pressure.

What history tells us:
Every Fed chair transition brings volatility in the first weeks.

Day one performance:
🟑 Powell β†’ S&P βˆ’4.1%.
🟑 Yellen β†’ βˆ’0.9%.
🟑 Bernanke β†’ βˆ’2.2%.

Conclusion:
The market trades the rate path, not the personality.
If the rate-cut scenario is confirmed - it strengthens the bullish structure for BTC.


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