🎪 Politics, Crypto, and a Bit of Circus

Donald Trump gathered the largest holders of his memecoin for a private event at Mar-a-Lago.
Among the guests - Mike Tyson and the head of Tether.

⏺️ On stage - bold statements:
Crypto has gone mainstream, and banks should “step aside.”

⏺️ Behind the scenes - a less shiny reality:
The memecoin itself has lost most of its value in recent months.

Market irony:
Holders came with losses - and left with photos with Tyson.

Conclusion:

Memecoins are about attention, not fundamentals.
While some buy the narrative, others sell the liquidity.

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🔝 Litecoin (LTC): blockchain attack, 13 blocks wiped

Market cap: $4.2B

Attackers exploited a vulnerability in the MWEB (MimbleWimble Extension Block) privacy protocol, triggering a DoS attack on mining pools and causing a 13-block reorg — rolling back roughly 32 minutes of network activity.

⏺ Important: the bug had been privately patched by the team between March 19–26 - 37 days before the attack. The patch wasn’t made mandatory, which created the window for exploitation.

⏺ NEAR Intents estimated its exposure at around $600K. However, after the reorg, actual losses may be lower, as invalid transactions were removed from the main chain.

⏺ The Litecoin team released patch v0.21.5.4. The network is operating normally.

Historical impact:

Attacks on PoW networks (reorgs, 51% attacks) have typically caused short-term price drops of 10–20% and waves of exchange delistings. Similar cases occurred with Ethereum Classic, Bitcoin Gold, and Monero.

Potential impact now:

A hit to the reputation of the MWEB layer. Trust in LTC’s privacy features is weakened. Possible delistings on exchanges that do not support confidential transactions.

🟡 When it starts affecting: already impacting the market. Reaction window: 24–72 hours after the news.

🟡 Price pressure duration: 1–2 weeks. Reputation recovery will likely take longer - until the team publicly explains how this was possible.

Key levels:
📉 Below $56 → $51.
📈 Above $57 → $59.

📈 Trade LTCUSDT on TonTrader 🚀

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🏛 New Fed Chair. The market is pricing the decision

As soon as tomorrow - April 29 - the Senate Banking Committee will vote on Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Federal Reserve Chair.
If approved, the full Senate could confirm him by May 15 - the day Jerome Powell’s term ends.

⏺️ Timing matters: the committee vote is at 17:00 MSK.
This coincides with the end of the Fed’s rate decision meeting led by the current chair, Powell.

Key dates:
⏺ April 29 - committee vote.
⏺ ~May 1–10 - full Senate vote.
⏺ May 15 - possible start in office.

What the market is pricing:
⏺ Warsh is seen as supportive of faster rate cuts.
⏺ The logic: AI-driven productivity growth → lower inflation pressure → room to cut rates.
⏺ Cheap money = a direct catalyst for risk assets.

However, there’s no full consensus inside the FOMC - rising energy prices keep some members hawkish.

Two scenarios:

Scenario A - confirmation + dovish tone:
💬 BTC tests $80,000–83,000.
💬 Altcoins gain momentum +15–25%.

Scenario B - hawkish stance on rates:
💬 BTC pulls back to $72,000–74,000.
💬 Market remains under pressure.

What history tells us:
Every Fed chair transition brings volatility in the first weeks.

Day one performance:
🟡 Powell → S&P −4.1%.
🟡 Yellen → −0.9%.
🟡 Bernanke → −2.2%.

Conclusion:

The market trades the rate path, not the personality.
If the rate-cut scenario is confirmed - it strengthens the bullish structure for BTC.

📈 Track the charts on TonTrader 🚀

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🏦 BTC vs Fed: the market isn’t waiting for the rate - it’s waiting for the words

Bitcoin is currently around $77,000 - and the entire market is focused on one event.

Today, April 29, the Federal Reserve concludes its meeting:
💬 Rate decision: 18:00 UTC.
💬 Press conference (Jerome Powell): 18:30 UTC.

⏺ According to CME Group (FedWatch):
Probability of holding rates ≈ 99%.
No surprise is expected on the rate itself.

But that’s not the main story.

⏺ No dot plot, no forecasts - today it’s all about the statement and Powell’s tone.
The key question:
Is inflation a temporary spike, or a reason to keep rates higher for longer?

⏺ Geopolitics is adding pressure:
Statements from Donald Trump about a potentially tougher stance on Iran → oil risk → inflation factor → impacts the Fed’s tone.

Historical pattern:
💬 In 2025, BTC dropped after 7 out of 8 FOMC meetings — classic “sell the news”.
💬 But in most cases, the dip was bought within 24–48 hours.

Key levels:
📈 Dovish tone → $79,000–80,000.
📉 “Higher for longer” → $74,000–75,000.

Conclusion:

The rate is a formality.
The real move comes from the rhetoric after 18:30 UTC.

📈 Open BTCUSDT 🚀

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☺️ SOL: Western Union enters via Solana

SOL is holding around $84.5 - and getting a strong institutional signal.

Western Union has confirmed the launch of its USD stablecoin (USDPT) on Solana - expected to go live in May 2026.
The issuer is Anchorage Digital Bank.

What matters ❕

⏺ USDPT is more than just a token. It’s an attempt to replace SWIFT within Western Union’s network:
💬 500,000 locations.
💬 200+ countries.
💬 ~4.5 billion transactions per year.

The first partner of the Digital Asset Network was already launched during the week of April 27.

⏺ Why Solana:
💬 $650B in stablecoin volume in February 2026 (record).
💬 Fees under $0.001.
💬 Previously chosen by PayPal and Fiserv.

Historical pattern:
Similar news has led to +5–15% moves within 3–7 days, followed by a pullback.

Key levels:
📈 Above $85 → $89–$92.
📉 Below $84 → $79–$80.

Conclusion:

A strong fundamental trigger.
But part of the move is already priced in- the main momentum may come closer to the May launch.

📈 Open SOLUSDT on TonTrader 🚀

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🏠 Sold an apartment for 2,900 BTC. Bought it back for 7

F2Pool co-founder Wang Chun posted on X:
“In 2015, I bought an apartment in Pattaya for 2,900 BTC. Yesterday, I sold it for 7.”

⏺ At the 2025 peak, those 2,900 BTC would have been worth $365M. The apartment’s fiat price barely changed - but in BTC terms, it dropped by 99.76%.

Laszlo spent 10,000 BTC on pizza. Wang Chun spent 2,900 BTC on real estate.

The tradition lives on. 🍕🏠

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Thanks for responding to our call for trade submissions. One of our users asked us to review
🖥 Internet Computer (ICP) - let’s do it❕

Market cap: ~$1.34B
Price: $2.41

⏺ Mission 70 - ICP inflation is expected to drop from 9.72% to ~2.92% by the end of 2026. Lower inflation + demand = growth potential.

⏺ Caffeine AI - AI running directly on-chain, without AWS or OpenAI. Strong narrative.

Technical setup:

💬 On 4H, the 50MA is declining - local weakness.
On the daily, the 50MA is below price and rising - a bullish signal.

💬 On 1H, price is approaching the lower boundary of the channel. If a reversal candle pattern forms, it’s a potential long entry.

💬 Stop below the level, take profit near the upper boundary. R:R above 2:1. If price breaks down, the setup is invalidated.

Key levels:
📈 Above $2.47 → $2.56.
📉 Below $2.38 → $2.28.

Conclusion:

Clear levels and strong fundamentals. Wait for confirmation and enter with a disciplined approach.

📈 Open ICPUSDT 🚀

This is not individual investment advice, financial guidance, or a guarantee of returns.

The market is volatile - only invest what you can afford to lose and always do your own research. TonTrader is not responsible for your decisions.

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🏛 Bitcoin (BTC): Fed exits amid tension - market not in the mood for upside

Price: ~$75,800 | Market cap: $1.51T

On April 29, Jerome Powell held his final press conference - and it felt more political than economic.

What happened:

⏺ Rates were left unchanged — 3.50–3.75%.
Asset purchases were reduced: now $25B per month (down from $40B).

⏺ Internal split within the Fed: 8 vs 4.
That’s rare. Some members pushed for a more hawkish stance with no signals of rate cuts..

⏺ The loudest moment: Powell openly stated that the Fed is defending its independence through the courts.
Essentially - an open conflict with political pressure.

⏺ On the horizon - Kevin Warsh.
A more hawkish approach to rates → markets are already pricing this in.

Why it matters for crypto ❔

The connection is direct:

💬 Rates → dollar → liquidity → BTC.
💬 The more hawkish the Fed tone - the lower the risk appetite.
💬 Which means pressure across the entire market, including BTC.

Key levels:
📈 Above $77,500 → $80,000 → $84,000.
📉 Below $75,600 → $73,500 → $72,100.

📈 Open BTCUSDT on TonTrader 🚀

Conclusion:

This is no longer just another Fed meeting.
It’s about trust in the system.

While the market digests the leadership transition (through May 15), a strong upside trend is unlikely.

Current scenario: consolidation or gradual downside pressure.

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☺️ Solana (SOL): AI boom = new risk

Price: ~$83 | Market cap: ~$47B

In short:

💬 AI is already overheated: top 10 companies = ~41% of the S&P 500 (similar to the dot-com peak).

⏺ The connection to SOL is getting stronger.
Miners are moving into AI with ~$70B → more leverage in the system.

⏺ Meta Platforms is paying in USDC on Solana → real demand, but growing dependence on Big Tech.

⏺ Up to $700B in AI investments, but according to MIT - up to 95% may not deliver returns.

💬 Paolo Ardoino (Tether): AI correction is the key risk for 2026.

Key levels:
📈 Above $84 → $87 → $90.
📉 Below $82 → $77 → $72.

📈 Open SOLUSDT on TonTrader 🚀

Conclusion:

SOL is rising on the AI narrative - but also depends on it.
If Big Tech cools off → SOL could be among the first altcoins to face pressure.

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Have you ever closed your terminal thinking: “That’s it. Never again”❔

In this new video, Oleg breaks down a moment people rarely talk about - when a trader decides to leave the market.

1️⃣ Why does this happen?

2️⃣ Is it weakness or a normal reaction?

3️⃣ And most importantly - should you come back?

⏺ Real reasons why traders quit.
⏺ 3 signs you may have left too early.
⏺ And how to return without repeating the same mistakes.

If this feels familiar - you should definitely watch.

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🕵🏻‍♂️ Drift Protocol: this is no longer about code
A month ago, the headline was: $285M hack.

Now, a full report from TRM Labs is out and the picture looks much worse.
The breach didn’t start in the code. It started with people.

Fall 2025. A group linked to UNC4736 enters through offline channels:
conferences, networking, personal interactions.

💬 For months meetings across countries, Telegram conversations, deep product questions at an engineering level.
To build trust, they even deposited $1M of their own funds onto the platform.

💬 Important: these weren’t “hackers in a basement.”
These were intermediaries with real CVs, credible identities, and deep immersion in the industry.

Then - a familiar playbook, but on a new level:
⏺ 31 delayed transactions.
⏺ Signed by employees as part of routine operations.
⏺ April 1 - execution.
⏺ 12 minutes - and $285M is gone.

💬 The scale goes beyond a single case:
According to the same report, structures linked to North Korea have stolen over $6B in crypto since 2017.

Conclusion:

They’re not hacking protocols - they’re hacking trust.
And that’s the most expensive vulnerability.

What do you think is the weaker point right now - code or people❔

👍 - Code.
🔥 - People.

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👑 Bitcoin (BTC): $490M outflow from ETFs
Market cap: $1.55T

Major U.S. investment funds - BlackRock, Fidelity, Ark - have been pulling money out of Bitcoin ETFs for three consecutive days.
Total outflows: $490M.

⏺ These funds are key vehicles for institutional investors to gain BTC exposure without buying the asset directly.

🟡 Important: the trigger was the Fed’s decision - the U.S. central bank once again kept rates unchanged and gave no signals of near-term cuts. Expensive money = negative for risk assets.

🟡 Context: before this, there were nine consecutive days of inflows into the same funds, totaling $2.1B. The reversal came sharply.

Key levels:
📈 Above $78,000 → $80,500
📉 Below $75,500 → $74,000

Conclusion:

Large players are slowing down. Until the Fed shifts to a more dovish stance, pressure on price is likely to persist.

📈 Open BTCUSDT 📈

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👀 XRP: XRP Las Vegas 2026 conference
Market cap: ~$84.6B

The largest XRP conference took place in Las Vegas. Ripple - the company behind the coin - gathered thousands of participants, covered the Strip with billboards, and announced new partnerships with banks and exchanges worldwide.

🟡 Important: historically, major XRP events follow the same pattern - price rises into the conference and drops after, once the news is priced in.

🟡 Watch: on May 11, the U.S. Senate will vote on a crypto regulation bill. If passed, XRP could be one of the main beneficiaries.

Key levels:
📈 Above $1.45 → $1.50.
📉 Below $1.33 → $1.20.

Conclusion:

The conference hype will fade. The real trigger is the May 11 legislation. Until then, pressure on price may persist.

📈 Open XRPUSDT 📈

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💎 Freedom in trading isn’t about being at the charts 24/7.
It’s about controlling your time.

If the market is controlling you - it’s time to change the rules.
Find your rhythm, set boundaries, and trade with intention, not out of fear of missing out.

👀 Watch this video if you want to stop “living between trades” and start using trading as a tool - not an addiction.

Share this with someone who needs it right now.

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📈 Crypto Digest

The market is stuck in a zone where liquidity decides everything. Capital is there, but it’s no longer moving price. The buyer hasn’t disappeared just become more cautious.

Top 6 stories of the week

1️⃣ ETF: strong month → weak finish
April closed with ~$2.4B in inflows, but the last days flipped: ~$490M in outflows.

🗣 This is no longer an impulse driver it’s a baseline. Money comes in, but exits just as fast at key levels.

2️⃣ Bitcoin fails to break $80K
Two tests of the $78–80K zone both rejected.

🗣 This is where profits are taken and real demand gets tested.

3️⃣ Fed holds rates unchanged
3.5–3.75%, no surprises. Focus is on the hawkish tone and no signals of cuts.

🗣 Expensive money remains. That’s pressure across all risk assets.

4️⃣ Bitcoin closes April +12%
Best month in a year. Second green month in a row.

🗣 There is growth, but it’s not broad. Not hype controlled accumulation.

5️⃣ Retail hasn’t returned
Volumes are down, activity is falling (–40–50% across some platforms).

🗣 The market is being driven by funds. That makes it thinner and sharper.

6️⃣ Institutions are slowing down
After an active April, the pace is cooling. Some capital is taking profits.

🗣 The buyer is still there but no longer chasing price.

❓ Why it matters

⏺ ETFs are no longer a catalyst they’re baseline demand
⏺ The $78–80K zone is now a decision point
⏺ Expensive money continues to pressure risk assets
⏺ The market is holding on institutional flows without retail support

❗️ What to watch next

⏺ Whether BTC breaks $80K or falls back into the range.
⏺ Whether ETF inflows return after the outflows.
⏺ New large-scale buys from public companies.
⏺ Any shift in Fed rhetoric in the coming weeks.

🔥 Weekly takeaway: the market is holding, but no longer being pushed higher. What’s being decided now is whether there’s real demand behind the move or just inertia from institutional flows.

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💎 The market reacted more to external factors than internal drivers.

⏺️ The Fed kept rates unchanged - hawkish rhetoric continues to pressure risk assets.

⏺️ XRP played out its Las Vegas conference - classic “buy the rumor, sell the news”.

⏺️ LTC went through an attack and chain reorg - a hit to trust in its privacy features.

Conclusion:

The market is in a waiting phase: pressure remains, but key levels are holding.
Main focus - macro, rates, and liquidity.
There’s no trend - only reactions.
Right now, it’s not the fastest who wins, but the most disciplined.

Focus of the week:

⏺️ The Market Everyone Is Underestimating.

⏺️ Litecoin (LTC): blockchain attack, 13 blocks wiped.

⏺️ New Fed Chair. The market is pricing the decision.

⏺️ BTC vs Fed: the market isn’t waiting for the rate - it’s waiting for the words.

Useful video lessons:
⏺️ Have you ever closed your terminal thinking: “That’s it. Never again”.

⏺️ Freedom in trading isn’t about being at the charts 24/7.

Market news:

🗣Fed holds rates unchanged.
3.5–3.75%, no surprises. Focus is on the hawkish tone and no signals of cuts.
Expensive money remains. That’s pressure across all risk assets.

🗣Retail hasn’t returned.
Volumes are down, activity is falling (–40–50% across some platforms).
The market is being driven by funds. That makes it thinner and sharper.

Top-5 interesting news in our Crypto-Digest❕

⏺ Sold an apartment for 2,900 BTC. Bought it back for 7.

⏺ XRP: XRP Las Vegas 2026 conference Market cap: ~$84.6B.

⏺ One of our users asked us to review: Internet Computer (ICP) - let’s do it.

📈 The market doesn’t pay for being right - it pays for patience. 📈

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