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Stormy Prospects for Islamabad & Asim Munir - Latest commentary on internal situation in Pakistan and how it might try to externalise this situation by 'yours truly' 🕵🏻‍♂️:

Pakistan’s militant threat has heated up markedly in 2025, not just in the last week. The TTP ambush on October 7 that killed 11 soldiers near the Afghan border, followed by Pakistan’s claim of killing 30 militants in raids, shows a confident insurgency testing army mobility and ISR in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa’s border belt. The Baloch insurgency has sustained a brutal tempo all year, with the Jaffar Express hijacking in March and the May 6 IED that killed seven soldiers, while this week saw fresh separatist incidents and clashes in Balochistan, underscoring persistence even when the BLA has not claimed a marquee attack in the past few days.

Politically, the state is under pressure on two fronts. In Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK), violent protests forced Islamabad into a hurried deal last weekend after ten deaths, an unusual show of assertiveness by AJK civil society against Islamabad-Muzaffarabad governance. That agreement may buy calm, not legitimacy. In Lahore, the TLP-led mobilization morphed into pitched battles with police, closures, and communication curbs, classic indicators of fragility and shrinking state bandwidth to manage mass Islamist street power.

Regionally, the October 9–10 Kabul explosions, with the Taliban publicly blaming Pakistan for an airstrike in Kabul, signal a risky escalation ladder. If Islamabad is crossing borders to hit TTP nodes, expect reciprocity via sanctuaries, propaganda wins for TTP, and a sharper Pak-Afghan confrontation that bleeds back into KP and Balochistan.

From an Indian perspective, this convergence of heightened TTP and Baloch attacks, PoK unrest, and Islamist street agitation narrows Islamabad’s room to show control. Historically, Pakistan’s establishment externalizes pressure, and a diversionary limited misadventure along the LoC or via proxy activation in J&K is a known playbook. The risk is higher now because Islamabad’s strategic confidence is being shored up by two tailwinds: a visible reset with Washington under President Donald Trump, including high-profile Sharif and General Asim Munir engagements and a pitch to deepen U.S. economic and strategic stakes, which Pakistan will read as diplomatic space, and the Saudi–Pakistan Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement signed on September 17, which projects added deterrent depth and potential funding to ride out crises.

Bottom line: tough months lie ahead for Islamabad and General Munir. A multi-front insurgency, urban agitation, and tense ties with Kabul create incentives to change the narrative externally. India should assume elevated trigger discipline requirements on the LoC, sharpen counter-infiltration and information operations, and maintain calibrated escalation control while leveraging PoK unrest diplomatically to spotlight Pakistan’s governance deficit.

🚨 Dera Ismail Khan, KP – Police Training Center under attack. After a powerful blast, heavy firing is ongoing near the site.

Update – Dera Ismail Khan, KP
TTP has claimed responsibility for the Police Training Center attack. Militants used a suicide car bomb to breach the gate, followed by armed assault. Heavy clashes ongoing inside the camp.

Unconfirmed - Heavy clashes reported across multiple sectors between Pakistani security forces and Afghan Taliban fighters.

Emerging reports indicate cross border clashes between Afghan and Pakistani forces across Durrand Line in Nangarhar and Kunar province.

🚨 UPDATE 🇵🇰🔥🇦🇫


Heavy clashes continue along the Pak-Afghan border.

📍Afghan sources report intense fighting in Dand Patan, Paktia, and nearby areas.

📍Afghan forces reportedly hit Pak posts and installations, forcing some Pakistani troops to retreat.

📍Reports say drone surveillance and radar systems were damaged, and a heavy vehicle destroyed border gates in Dand Patan.

📍No statement yet from Pak officials. Tension rising on the border.

PAK-AFG update 🚨.

Attacks on Pakistan Halted — Zabihullah Mujahid

The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan has decided to stop attacks on Pakistan. However, spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid warned that any future attack on Afghan soil will be met with a strong response.

🚨Faces of 🇵🇰 PA to Asim Munir & Home Minister Naqvi says it All.
⭐No comments from our side.

🚨Military Dictator of Pakistan 🇵🇰 Asim Munir is doing everything to save his power.

⭐Videos coming out of Lahore and Muridke is really heartwrenching.

⭐Pakistani Rangers & Police are burning people alive. Many injured TLP were burnt alive to hide actual casualties among protesters.

⭐ Dead bodies of TLP workers are scattered all over the streets. Pakistani Paramilitary are walking over those dead bodies and filming it.

⭐ Asim Munir might do another mis-adventure in Jammu & Kashmir to hide his brutality on Pakistani civilians.

🚨Situation in Muridke, Pakistan.

🚨🚨 Jaish-e-Mohammed is organizing Training Session for their Women Cadre in Rawalakot, POK.

🗓Date: 19th October, 2025
🕙Timings: 10 AM to 2 PM
📍Location: Opposite Hilltop Hotel, Rawalakot, POK

🚨Jaish-e-Mohammed is doing everything to increase their women cadre recruitment in Pakistan 🇵🇰

⭐They are paying Women in Gaza to make propaganda videos praising Jaish Terrorists for their charity.

🚨🚨 Western Army Commander 🇮🇳 is also cautioning about another mis-adventure by Asim Munir 🇵🇰.

Credits: Gursimran Singh

🚨Update about Lashkar Leaders.

⭐Since past 2 weeks, Top Lashkar-e-Tayyiba Leaders & Commanders are meeting with mainstream Pakistani Politicians & Pakistani Media Company Owners.

⭐Some of the Lashkar Commander like Abdul Rahman who ran Lashkar Muridke HQ till 2025 is also involved in those meetings.

⭐ISI sponsored Political parties are involved in those meetings with Lashkar Commanders.

PS: We are posting just Open Source info.