Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ |๐Ÿช–
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Forwarded from MAPPING CONFLICT (Juggernaut)
โšก๏ธEncounter started in Cherji Area of Kishtwar (Dachan)
โœ๏ธDifferent Grp (cd be new)
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๐Ÿ”ฅ22โค3๐Ÿ‘3
Forwarded from Archives 2025-2026
Simultaneously 2 grps spotted today in malad and nangala in billawer
๐Ÿ‘18๐Ÿ’ฏ1
Archives 2025-2026
Simultaneously 2 grps spotted today in malad and nangala in billawer
๐Ÿฅฒ: 3 days ago , hope a Permanant CI/CT organisation is assigned asap to this Billawer region, Dont sit on it ; decision makers and all stakeholders๐Ÿ‘

~๐Ÿฆ…
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โค14๐Ÿ‘2๐Ÿ’ฏ1
โšก๏ธโ—๏ธTracking this grp since March , it took them 5 Months to traverse, 3 districts to reach Kishtwar and finally they crossed the river Chenab๐Ÿ’ฆ in this Month

According to Menneti's Equationโœ๏ธ
(Variables modified fr a Tangoo in hinterland) They have A BMR๐Ÿ‰ of a 20-22 year old adult male and an average hiking speed ๐ŸŒฒof 3km/h which can extrapolate to even 8 km/h during and after Encounters ,They carry avg weights๐Ÿฅ of 7-10kgs per head , always move in grps of not less than 3 mostly around 4 and sometimes as large as 8 ,........... sb to nhi bolskte ๐Ÿคง


1๏ธโƒฃSaniyal:
23 March , 5 Man grp escaped before para and army arrived

2๏ธโƒฃSuffain
:30 March, 4 JKP sog martyred 2 tangoos nuetralized

3๏ธโƒฃRui
: 31March Tangoos Snatched Food from villagers


4๏ธโƒฃMajalta
(Khabbal):4 April , 3-4Tangoos stole food and clothes

5๏ธโƒฃJophar
: 9 April, Encounter with 2-3 Trts

6๏ธโƒฃChatergalla
: 23 May, District Administration, restricts Mobile network in upper reaches of Bhaderwah after suspected trt movement
7๏ธโƒฃGandoh
: 19 Jun, Search operation launched after suspected movement

8๏ธโƒฃCherjee
: 20Jul, Encounter with Trts in upper reaches of kishtwar


๐ŸThey are behind u , and they'll get u.....

~๐Ÿฆ…
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โค29๐Ÿ”ฅ4๐Ÿฅฐ2
๐ŸŽบIndia issues a notam โŒonce again extending its airspace closure for Pakistan registered aircraftโœˆ๏ธ, operated/owned or leased by Pakistani airlines/operators including military flights  

โœ๏ธValid 22 July - 23 August 2025 (estimated)
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๐Ÿ”ฅ32โค7๐Ÿ‘2
๐ŸŒฒA Detailed Map of ๐Ÿ‘ฝ infiltration from Poonch-Rajouri-Akhnoor Sectors and โœˆ๏ธtransit to North Kashmir and South Kashmir shall be posted Soon.... , and this map is going to be a ๐Ÿ”ฅ.

~๐Ÿฆ…
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1๐Ÿ”ฅ20โค3๐Ÿ‘3
โ–ถ๏ธWhile the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒU.S. designation of TRF as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) may seem like a diplomatic victoryโ†—๏ธ, it is ultimately toothlessโ†˜๏ธin addressing ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India's security concerns. It neither deters ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐPakistanโ€™s proxy war architecture nor disrupts the strategic utility of such terror proxies.

1๏ธโƒฃ. ๐Ÿ—TRF Is a Disposable Mask,
Not the Face
TRF is a rebranded front for ๐ŸชณLashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), created to escape global scrutiny after LeT was proscribed. These fronts are fungible and easily replaceable.

๐Ÿ” Just like TRF emerged post-2019 to whitewash LeT's image post-26/11 and FATF scrutiny, Pakistan-backed groups will simply create new names.

The U.S. designation is thus akin to shooting the puppet and sparing the puppeteer.


2๏ธโƒฃ. Proxy Ecosystem
Remains Untouched
The ISIโ€™s systemic use of proxies as deniable instruments of warfare continues unabated.

Designating ๐ŸทTRF doesnโ€™t dismantle the ecosystem that recruits, trains, arms, and exports militants across the LoC.

๐Ÿ” Thereโ€™s no cost imposed on Pakistanโ€™s state structures, which are responsible for engineering these fronts.


3๏ธโƒฃ. Delayed & Cosmetic Move
The U.S. took years to designate a group that had openly claimed dozens of attacks and had known links to LeT.

๐Ÿ” It suggests that the designation is more about optics and bilateral signaling than real counterterrorism resolve.

๐Ÿ” Had this move come earlierโ€”say, in 2020 or 2021โ€”it could have added pressure. Now, it only recognizes a spent alias, not an active threat.


4๏ธโƒฃ. No Operational Disruption on the Ground
The designation doesnโ€™t degrade TRFโ€™s operational capabilities inside J&K. Their recruits donโ€™t bank in New York or travel to California.

๐Ÿ” Most TRF cadres are locally radicalized or regionally trained, and donโ€™t depend on Western infrastructure the U.S. sanctions can impact.


5๏ธโƒฃ. U.S. Still Avoids Naming the Source: Pakistan
The U.S. continues to tread softly around Pakistan, despite clear proof of its role in enabling TRF, PAFF, and similar groups.

๐Ÿ” By targeting only the proxies and not the sponsor, the move serves as a pressure-release valve for Islamabad, not a punishment.
6๏ธโƒฃ. India Gains No Tactical Leverage
India already knew TRF was LeT. The designation adds no new intelligence, no actionable cooperation, and no strategic advantage.

๐Ÿ” Unless the designation is followed by material actionโ€”like blacklisting ISI-linked officers, banning new LeT aliases, or exposing terror funding trailsโ€”it is a hollow gesture.

7๏ธโƒฃ. Encourages Tactical Churn,
Not Compliance
Such designations incentivize terror groups to rebrand again and become more sophisticated in disguising their origins.

โ€ผ๏ธThe pattern is clear: JeM โ†’๐Ÿ‘ KT; LeT โ†’ ๐ŸทTRF โ†’๐Ÿชณ PAFF โ†’ KRA. Each ban just prompts a name change, not dismantlement.
๏ปฟ
โœ๏ธConclusion:
The U.S. FTO designation of TRF is a symbolic victory with negligible strategic value for India๐Ÿ‘€. It doesnโ€™t address the root problemโ€”Pakistanโ€™s state complicity and the deliberate use of deniable terror outfits as instruments of asymmetric warfare. Until the U.S. begins naming and sanctioning the real sponsorsโ€”the military-jihadi complex of Pakistanโ€”India must treat such gestures as what they are: diplomatic placebos.


~๐Ÿพ
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1๐Ÿ”ฅ16โค7๐Ÿ‘6
โ€ผ๏ธ
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๐Ÿ”ฅ12๐Ÿฅฐ3๐Ÿ˜ˆ2
โ–ถ๏ธโ—๏ธLast Night BSF launched Search๐Ÿ”ฅ Operation in RS Pura and Arnia Sector of Jammu ,
after Intel was relayed to them of a possible infiltration, Most likely preemptive measures, The demographics of some villages ๐Ÿ in RS Pura is almost Clonal to the other side i.e., Narowal.Once some one crosses in, won't be able to distinguish. Last reported incident of infiltration in this sector happened during Ops sindhoor.

~๐Ÿฆ…
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๐Ÿ”ฅ15๐Ÿ˜ˆ4๐Ÿ‘€4
โ—๏ธโšก๏ธThailand-Cambodia Skirmishes 2025

โœ๏ธHistorical Pretext

In 1907, the Thai-Cambodian border was mapped by the French on behalf of a bilateral border commission. According to the 1904 agreement, the border would follow the natural watershed between the countries. However, the resulting map deviated by showing Preah Vihear Temple as being in Cambodia, even though it is on the Thai side of the watershed. Thailand accepted the map for official use. The Thais discovered the error when they made their own survey in the 1930s, but the ICJ ruled that they had waited too long to protest and lost the temple by "acquiescence"
In 1962, the International Court of Justice (ICJ) awarded ownership of Preah Vihear Temple to Cambodia by a nine to three vote, stating the 1907 map clearly showed Preah Vihear as being in Cambodia.[15] Nevertheless, the court had only ruled that the temple belongs to Cambodia, and did not comment on the adjacent land to the north. Thailand reluctantly handed over the temple but continues to claim the surrounding area, insisting the border has never officially been demarcated here.
in June 2008


โœ๏ธOngoing Skirmishes

Prasat Ta Muen Thom:
Cambodian troops open fired. Took control of Ta Muen Thom temple and Krabey Temples

Prasat Don Tuan:
Cambodia fired two BM-21 missiles, 3 injured

Chong An Ma, Ubon Ratchathani
( Cambodia ):
Cambodia's 9th Infantry Division command posts were destroyed as a result of the strikes by F-16 jets of Thai


Si Saket Province:
A gas station hit by a Cambodian BM-21 missile, many injured, at least 8 fatalities including a child casuality


Phnom Dongrak Hospital:
Cambodian military attacked, few injuries, hospital was evacuated successfully


Khao Sattasom:
Thai Army claimed they destroyed 2 Cambodian tanks


Ta Krabey Temple
, the Mom Bei area, and the Ta Moan Thom Temple:
Got occupied by Cambodia


~๐Ÿฆ…

๐Ÿ“ฑ: https://t.me/mapping_conflict
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1๐Ÿ”ฅ12โค5๐Ÿ˜ˆ3
๐Ÿช”๐Ÿ•Š

โ€ผ๏ธ1 Soldier attained martyrdom๐Ÿ’” and 2 others were injured , during a patrol โ†—๏ธin Salotari area of Tehsil Haveli , District Poonch ๐ŸŒฒ

โ–ถ๏ธPrelude

Landmine Blasts๐Ÿ’ฅ are very commen From Tarkundi to Shahpur sector (including Balnoi,Degwar,Tekri,Balakote Sector)

1๏ธโƒฃSpatial Demographics๐Ÿ 
Pojk Villages are just adjacent to Indian Army posts located uphill them, Occasionally allowed fr cattle grazing๐Ÿ„ and firewood collection๐ŸŒฒ


2๏ธโƒฃTerrain๐ŸŒฒ
The terrain is tough,deeply forested ๐ŸŒณ. Due to this the borders are very challenging For conventional LoS (Line of the sight) or Manual foot patrolling , Sometimes Woman ๐Ÿ‘ปcross Loc in Poonch , to Unite with their Beloveds ๐Ÿ˜ .


3๏ธโƒฃMilitary statergism ๐Ÿ“Œ
Other reason is the other side has logistical ๐Ÿš˜military advantage in case of full scale war their side of border is mostly a flat terrain: The reason They were using SH-15 Truck mounted Howitzers from PoJK. Which have excellent Shoot and scoot Capabilities owing to their wheeled setup.In case of war they can move in Tracked setup like howitzers , Tanks,IFVs with greater ease.



Due to these three factors the area is heavily mined with APMโ€ผ๏ธ mines, to tackle both infiltration of trts and Pak Army in case of a Conventional Warโ†˜๏ธ.

๐ŸพImmediate Cause
Most incidents are accidental due to heavy rainsโ˜‚๏ธ these mines slide beneath the soil due to sharp contours in these areas, and soldiers accidentally step on them , sometimes soldiers during CASOs๐Ÿ‘ and Encounters accidently step on them and sometimes these are BAT actions.

โฌ‡๏ธLast year on 9 December 1 soldier attained martyrdom in adjacent Tekri sector in similar way.

~๐Ÿฆ…
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1๐Ÿ’”18๐Ÿ‘4๐Ÿ‘3
Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
Photo
โš ๏ธThe Pins in these maps are deliberately misplaced for OPSec Purposes , Admins dont have a habit of asphyxiating Critical Opsec. โœ”๏ธ
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โค14๐Ÿ‘5๐Ÿ‘2
๐Ÿ˜ I have come to know that many people dont understand my maps , Basics se strt krenge ๐Ÿ˜‡,I'll cater to both rookies๐Ÿ™‚ and Data sleuths๐Ÿชถ.My 'maqsad' of starting Mapping conflict was to make people know abt J&K, 8/10 'OsintChannel' admins on Indian TG themselves cant annotate a district or a LoC sector or a mountain pass on a map ๐Ÿฅน.Shall start posting Basic maps like districts,LoC sector demarcations, Key Passes๐ŸŒฒ,Regions,Mountain Ranges ๐Ÿ€that are relevant in CI/CT domain; Remember Osint is not abt relaying word from khabris โ›„๏ธ, its abt knowing the place by all means available to u and deriving value out of ur understanding in the form of analysis.
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โค24๐Ÿณ8๐Ÿ’ฏ4
โ—๏ธWhere is Krishnaghati Sector
Anonymous Poll
21%
Nhi pta
59%
Jammu
20%
Kashmir
๐Ÿณ9๐ŸŒš4๐Ÿ‘ป2