Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
๐จOGW Support was immense.
โGood News:
โญJ&K Police, SOG and Intelligence agencies have been hunting for the Over Ground Workers (OGWs) who voluntarily helped Saifullah Groups in sustaining for couple of or even more years in the mountains and have zeroed-in on half a dozen of them. A couple of Government employees are also on the radar of security agencies for helping the terrorists.
โญThose who gave shelter to the terrorists and helped them sustain even in extreme chill with food, warm clothing etc have been listed as the OGWs and will be treated like the terrorists by booking them under Unlawful Activities Prevention Act (UAPA). Two Government employees are also under scanner and if their role is established in helping the terrorists, they will face termination from the services
โญJ&K Police, SOG and Intelligence agencies have been hunting for the Over Ground Workers (OGWs) who voluntarily helped Saifullah Groups in sustaining for couple of or even more years in the mountains and have zeroed-in on half a dozen of them. A couple of Government employees are also on the radar of security agencies for helping the terrorists.
โญThose who gave shelter to the terrorists and helped them sustain even in extreme chill with food, warm clothing etc have been listed as the OGWs and will be treated like the terrorists by booking them under Unlawful Activities Prevention Act (UAPA). Two Government employees are also under scanner and if their role is established in helping the terrorists, they will face termination from the services
โค41๐ฅ10๐2
Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
๐จ35 civilians confirmed dead after protests erupted in Pakistan to denounce American strikes on neighbouring Iran. โ16 dead in Karachi, 7 in Gilgit, 6 in Skardu and 6 in Islamabad. However, Islamabad hospitals have been prohibited from releasing actual figuresโฆ
๐จUSA Politician ๐บ๐ธ is threatening Slave Asim Munir ๐ต๐ฐ that US Marines Commando will kill more Pakistani without any repurcusion.
๐51๐ฅ10โค1
Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
๐คญ
โDonald Trump won't brag about Fighter Jets anymore. (2 Male +1 Female) ๐บ๐ฒ Pilots ejected today.
1๐ฅ48๐15โค3
Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
๐จUSA Politician ๐บ๐ธ is threatening Slave Asim Munir ๐ต๐ฐ that US Marines Commando will kill more Pakistani without any repurcusion.
โCongressman Randy Fine who is the closest ally of President Donald Trump ๐บ๐ธ is showing who is Owner of Pakistan ๐ต๐ฐ
๐ฅ57๐9โค3
Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
๐คญ
โSituation of US Consulate ๐บ๐ธ in Lahore ๐ต๐ฐ yesterday.
๐43โค5๐2
๐จPakistan ๐ต๐ฐ is actively involved in Iran-Israel War to support Saudi Arabia ๐ธ๐ฆ & USA ๐บ๐ธ.
โญPakistan has already deployed advanced air defence systems, troops, and military personnel to Saudi Arabia to strengthen the kingdomโs defence posture. Pakistani Air Defence Corps units have positioned LY-80, FM-90, and Anza-series medium and short-range missiles under Pakistani command to bolster Saudi Arabiaโs air defence network.
โญPakistan Air Force IL-78MP air tanker and cargo-capable aircraft, registrations R11-003 and R09-001, were moved from Nur Khan Air Base to Karachi on March 1. These aircraft are believed to be transporting reinforcements, including troops, air defence systems, missiles, and other strategic equipment to Saudi Arabia.
โญPakistan has already deployed advanced air defence systems, troops, and military personnel to Saudi Arabia to strengthen the kingdomโs defence posture. Pakistani Air Defence Corps units have positioned LY-80, FM-90, and Anza-series medium and short-range missiles under Pakistani command to bolster Saudi Arabiaโs air defence network.
โญPakistan Air Force IL-78MP air tanker and cargo-capable aircraft, registrations R11-003 and R09-001, were moved from Nur Khan Air Base to Karachi on March 1. These aircraft are believed to be transporting reinforcements, including troops, air defence systems, missiles, and other strategic equipment to Saudi Arabia.
โค34๐1
Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
๐จUSA Politician ๐บ๐ธ is threatening Slave Asim Munir ๐ต๐ฐ that US Marines Commando will kill more Pakistani without any repurcusion.
โUS Politicians ๐บ๐ธ have already accepted that US Marines Commandos have killed Pakistani Civilians. But Failed Marshal ๐ต๐ฐ is trying to find some R&AW ๐ฎ๐ณ and Mossad angle. Looks like Pakistan is Colony of USA.
๐69โค3
Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
๐จPakistan ๐ต๐ฐ is actively involved in Iran-Israel War to support Saudi Arabia ๐ธ๐ฆ & USA ๐บ๐ธ. โญPakistan has already deployed advanced air defence systems, troops, and military personnel to Saudi Arabia to strengthen the kingdomโs defence posture. Pakistani Airโฆ
๐จTop Saudi Arabia ๐ธ๐ฆ security sources confirmed that Pakistani ๐ต๐ฐ army, air force, and naval personnel are operating in close coordination with Saudi forces. Oversight of these deployments is being carried out under the supervision of former Pakistani Army Chief General Raheel Sharif.
โญ This may also enable forward deployment to support air patrols over the Arabian Sea and could involve JF-17 Thunder fighter jets under the strategic mutual defence framework.
Opinion: Looks like Asim Munir ๐ต๐ฐ wants to enjoy Iranian ๐ฎ๐ท Hypersonic Missiles raining over Rawalpindi & Karachi.
โญ This may also enable forward deployment to support air patrols over the Arabian Sea and could involve JF-17 Thunder fighter jets under the strategic mutual defence framework.
Opinion: Looks like Asim Munir ๐ต๐ฐ wants to enjoy Iranian ๐ฎ๐ท Hypersonic Missiles raining over Rawalpindi & Karachi.
โค39๐ฏ13๐2
Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
โUS Politicians ๐บ๐ธ have already accepted that US Marines Commandos have killed Pakistani Civilians. But Failed Marshal ๐ต๐ฐ is trying to find some R&AW ๐ฎ๐ณ and Mossad angle. Looks like Pakistan is Colony of USA.
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โPaijaans ๐ต๐ฐ are doing this for 75 Years.
๐61
๐ Why Eliminating Iranโs Supreme Leader Was a Strategic Gamble
The reported U.S.โIsrael strike that killed Iranโs Ayatollah has not only been a dramatic battlefield event but has reshaped the geopolitical and economic landscape across the Middle East.
1.Escalation Rather Than Collapse
Instead of collapsing Iranโs ability to retaliate, the strike triggered immediate counter-attacks and a broad regional response, expanding the conflict beyond its original scope.
2. Iranโs Mosaic Defense Structure
Iranโs command and influence are distributed across multiple regional actors, proxy networks, and decentralized chains of control. Removing one leader has not stopped operations - it activated pre-planned responses across many fronts.
3. Asymmetric and Distributed Retaliation
Iran and aligned groups are responding with a mix of missiles, drones, cyber actions, and proxy strikes across multiple countries. These dispersed attacks are harder for the U.S. and Israel to contain without further escalation.
4. Diplomatic and Legitimacy Costs
Killing a sitting supreme leader generated strong global reactions, including condemnation from major powers like China, which accused the strike of violating sovereignty and international norms. This weakens U.S./Israeli diplomatic standing.
5. Global Energy Disruption Already Underway
Iran has effectively shut down traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, proclaiming that any vessel attempting to pass will be attacked. This strait is critical for nearly one-fifth of global oil and gas exports. Shipping has largely halted and insurers have withdrawn coverage, pushing up freight costs and energy prices worldwide.
6. Martyrdom Effect Has Already Appeared
The killing of the Ayatollah during Ramadan has been portrayed by Iranian state media in religious terms, with broadcasters and officials linking his death to martyrdom and revenge. This has triggered demonstrations, increased nationalist sentiment, and reinforced hardline narratives, rather than weakening them.
๐ Assessment
The operation may have delivered tactical satisfaction, but strategically it has created a mosaic battlefield: a broader conflict that is harder to control, generates stronger asymmetric responses, produces global economic shocks, and fuels political narratives that bolster Iranian resistance rather than undermine it.
The reported U.S.โIsrael strike that killed Iranโs Ayatollah has not only been a dramatic battlefield event but has reshaped the geopolitical and economic landscape across the Middle East.
1.Escalation Rather Than Collapse
Instead of collapsing Iranโs ability to retaliate, the strike triggered immediate counter-attacks and a broad regional response, expanding the conflict beyond its original scope.
2. Iranโs Mosaic Defense Structure
Iranโs command and influence are distributed across multiple regional actors, proxy networks, and decentralized chains of control. Removing one leader has not stopped operations - it activated pre-planned responses across many fronts.
3. Asymmetric and Distributed Retaliation
Iran and aligned groups are responding with a mix of missiles, drones, cyber actions, and proxy strikes across multiple countries. These dispersed attacks are harder for the U.S. and Israel to contain without further escalation.
4. Diplomatic and Legitimacy Costs
Killing a sitting supreme leader generated strong global reactions, including condemnation from major powers like China, which accused the strike of violating sovereignty and international norms. This weakens U.S./Israeli diplomatic standing.
5. Global Energy Disruption Already Underway
Iran has effectively shut down traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, proclaiming that any vessel attempting to pass will be attacked. This strait is critical for nearly one-fifth of global oil and gas exports. Shipping has largely halted and insurers have withdrawn coverage, pushing up freight costs and energy prices worldwide.
6. Martyrdom Effect Has Already Appeared
The killing of the Ayatollah during Ramadan has been portrayed by Iranian state media in religious terms, with broadcasters and officials linking his death to martyrdom and revenge. This has triggered demonstrations, increased nationalist sentiment, and reinforced hardline narratives, rather than weakening them.
๐ Assessment
The operation may have delivered tactical satisfaction, but strategically it has created a mosaic battlefield: a broader conflict that is harder to control, generates stronger asymmetric responses, produces global economic shocks, and fuels political narratives that bolster Iranian resistance rather than undermine it.
โค27
โ ๏ธ The narrative circulating in parts of Western media, that Iranโs actions are random or desperate, reflects a fundamental misunderstanding of Tehranโs long-term strategic doctrine.
For decades, the Islamic Republic has openly discussed scenarios including the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz. What we are witnessing is not improvisation. It is the activation of contingencies embedded within Iranian military planning over years.
The retaliation pattern is deliberate. ๐ฏ
Iranian drones and missiles have not been scattered blindly. They have focused on infrastructure underpinning US military operations in the region:
โข Air bases
โข Naval facilities
โข Diplomatic sites
But beneath the visible layer lies something more structural.
There appears to be a correlation between targeted (or threatened) locations and sites where the US Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) maintains fuel storage and supply contracts.
Key nodes include:
โข Bahrain
โข Duqm (Oman)
โข Jebel Ali (UAE)
โข Mesaieed (Qatar)
โข Ras Tanura (Saudi Arabia) - supplying fuel to King Abdulaziz & Prince Sultan Air Bases, where US aircraft operate
Until recently, Fujairah stood as a critical outlier.
Fujairah is one of the worldโs most significant oil and refined product storage hubs, comparable to ARA, Singapore, and the US Gulf Coast. It holds nearly 18 million cubic metres of crude storage, much of it under commercial contracts.
More importantly:
It serves as the outlet for a major pipeline enabling roughly 1.8 million barrels per day of Emirati crude exports to bypass the Strait of Hormuz.
Today:
๐ A drone was intercepted over Fujairah.
๐ฅ A fire broke out in the Oil Industry Zone.
โ ๏ธ VTTI declared force majeure at its facility.
Now Fujairah, and Omanโs Salalah, another DLA-linked supply node appear to be entering the targeting calculus.
Damage so far appears limited.
But the signal is unmistakable.
Iranโs approach is not symbolic. It is structural.
The apparent objective:
To disrupt US operational depth by targeting the industrial and logistical backbone sustaining air and naval deployments.
Grounding US aircraft entirely may be ambitious.
But:
โข Increasing friction
โข Raising operational costs
โข Complicating fuel logistics
โข Forcing redistribution of supply chains
- are all rational military strategies.
This is not about spectacle. It is about logistics. ๐ข
And in modern warfare, logistics decide endurance.
Watch Djibouti closely. ๐
For decades, the Islamic Republic has openly discussed scenarios including the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz. What we are witnessing is not improvisation. It is the activation of contingencies embedded within Iranian military planning over years.
The retaliation pattern is deliberate. ๐ฏ
Iranian drones and missiles have not been scattered blindly. They have focused on infrastructure underpinning US military operations in the region:
โข Air bases
โข Naval facilities
โข Diplomatic sites
But beneath the visible layer lies something more structural.
There appears to be a correlation between targeted (or threatened) locations and sites where the US Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) maintains fuel storage and supply contracts.
Key nodes include:
โข Bahrain
โข Duqm (Oman)
โข Jebel Ali (UAE)
โข Mesaieed (Qatar)
โข Ras Tanura (Saudi Arabia) - supplying fuel to King Abdulaziz & Prince Sultan Air Bases, where US aircraft operate
Until recently, Fujairah stood as a critical outlier.
Fujairah is one of the worldโs most significant oil and refined product storage hubs, comparable to ARA, Singapore, and the US Gulf Coast. It holds nearly 18 million cubic metres of crude storage, much of it under commercial contracts.
More importantly:
It serves as the outlet for a major pipeline enabling roughly 1.8 million barrels per day of Emirati crude exports to bypass the Strait of Hormuz.
Today:
๐ A drone was intercepted over Fujairah.
๐ฅ A fire broke out in the Oil Industry Zone.
โ ๏ธ VTTI declared force majeure at its facility.
Now Fujairah, and Omanโs Salalah, another DLA-linked supply node appear to be entering the targeting calculus.
Damage so far appears limited.
But the signal is unmistakable.
Iranโs approach is not symbolic. It is structural.
The apparent objective:
To disrupt US operational depth by targeting the industrial and logistical backbone sustaining air and naval deployments.
Grounding US aircraft entirely may be ambitious.
But:
โข Increasing friction
โข Raising operational costs
โข Complicating fuel logistics
โข Forcing redistribution of supply chains
- are all rational military strategies.
This is not about spectacle. It is about logistics. ๐ข
And in modern warfare, logistics decide endurance.
Watch Djibouti closely. ๐
โก31โค11๐2
Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
๐จThe Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) station at the U.S. Embassy ๐บ๐ธ in โSaudi Arabia ๐ธ๐ฆ was hit on Monday by โa Iranian drone. โญMeanwhile, Pakistani Deputy PM & ISPR ๐ต๐ฐ were claiming that Iranians๐ฎ๐ท stopped attacking Saudis as per their request.
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โBad day for Failed Marshal ๐ต๐ฐ & his Sugar Daddy Saudi Arabia ๐ธ๐ฆ
โPaijaans ๐ต๐ฐ will be forced to send more Pak Army soldiers in Riyadh.
โPaijaans ๐ต๐ฐ will be forced to send more Pak Army soldiers in Riyadh.
๐52โค1
Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
๐จMeet Junaid Mukhtar who runs Tactical Tipu account on X. He is spreading too much propaganda against India this month. He works with ISPR Propaganda Cell. โญHe is owner of Crafts n Creation, Shop # 39 Mini Plaza Kamra Cantt, MRF Colony, Attock, Pakistan.โฆ
โISPR asset Tactical Tipu is back after 4 months and started spreading misinformation.
Name: Junaid Mukhtar
CNIC Number: 37101280071รร
Mobile Number: +923335932539 & +923365505504
Address:
House No. 1834 CBK, Madani Street, Near Qutba Mor, Kamra Cantt Tehsil / District Attock.
PS: Paaijan has shifted to new House.
Name: Junaid Mukhtar
CNIC Number: 37101280071รร
Mobile Number: +923335932539 & +923365505504
Address:
House No. 1834 CBK, Madani Street, Near Qutba Mor, Kamra Cantt Tehsil / District Attock.
PS: Paaijan has shifted to new House.
๐ฅ57โค8๐ฏ4
โHumble Request ๐
โญGuys, never get emotional during War. Both sides (USA, Israel & Iran) are fighting war ruthlessly. No one is showing mercy to anyone. Why some Indian Defence Journalist were silent when USA killed 167 school girls in Iran during initial wave of attack?
โญIranian Ship incident happened near Sri Lankan Waters. Iran has treaty with China for defence & oil supply. What is China doing to save them for last 10 days? Both Iran & Venezuela bought Chinese Air Defence system, which failed miserably.
โญYou should remember proxies of Iran, Houthis were firing missiles on Merchant Navy Ships for last 3 years. Many innocent civilians were killed. They never thought that people who were not even fighting wars will get killed. Indian Navy had to deploy more than 10+ Warships to save innocent civilians on those merchant ships.
PS: IT'S NOT OUR WAR, WE SHOULD STAY NEUTRAL.
โญGuys, never get emotional during War. Both sides (USA, Israel & Iran) are fighting war ruthlessly. No one is showing mercy to anyone. Why some Indian Defence Journalist were silent when USA killed 167 school girls in Iran during initial wave of attack?
โญIranian Ship incident happened near Sri Lankan Waters. Iran has treaty with China for defence & oil supply. What is China doing to save them for last 10 days? Both Iran & Venezuela bought Chinese Air Defence system, which failed miserably.
โญYou should remember proxies of Iran, Houthis were firing missiles on Merchant Navy Ships for last 3 years. Many innocent civilians were killed. They never thought that people who were not even fighting wars will get killed. Indian Navy had to deploy more than 10+ Warships to save innocent civilians on those merchant ships.
PS: IT'S NOT OUR WAR, WE SHOULD STAY NEUTRAL.
๐ฏ100โค8๐ฅ2
๐จ Al-Qaeda-Linked โCyber Jihad Movementโ Calls for Global Cyber Attacks
๐ A statement released by the Cyber Jihad Movement (CJM), an IT group linked to the al-Qaeda ecosystem, calls on Muslims worldwide to join a so-called โglobal cyber jihad.โ
๐ฏ Targets named:
๐บ๐ธ United States โข ๐ฎ๐ฑ Israel โข ๐ต๐ฐ Pakistan โข ๐ฎ๐ณ India โข Several Arab governments
๐ป The group urges cyber operations aimed at financial disruption and attacks on government institutions, financial systems, and businesses.
โ๏ธ The statement also claims support for the Pakistani Taliban (TTP) and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan, while indicating potential cooperation with pro-Iranian hacker groups amid the ongoing IranโUS tensions.
๐ Statement dated: March 4, 2026
๐ A statement released by the Cyber Jihad Movement (CJM), an IT group linked to the al-Qaeda ecosystem, calls on Muslims worldwide to join a so-called โglobal cyber jihad.โ
๐ฏ Targets named:
๐บ๐ธ United States โข ๐ฎ๐ฑ Israel โข ๐ต๐ฐ Pakistan โข ๐ฎ๐ณ India โข Several Arab governments
๐ป The group urges cyber operations aimed at financial disruption and attacks on government institutions, financial systems, and businesses.
โ๏ธ The statement also claims support for the Pakistani Taliban (TTP) and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan, while indicating potential cooperation with pro-Iranian hacker groups amid the ongoing IranโUS tensions.
๐ Statement dated: March 4, 2026
๐คฌ56โค2๐2
โ ๏ธ MUST READ | What the War Is Really Showing
A growing body of battlefield assessments suggests that the ongoing IranโUSโIsrael confrontation is producing outcomes that few policymakers anticipated.
In just the first few days of the conflict, Iranian strikes reportedly targeted several major U.S. military facilities across the Gulf region, including installations in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia. These are not ordinary bases. They are among the largest and most expensive military installations ever built, developed over decades at a cost running into hundreds of billions of dollars, forming the backbone of U.S. power projection in West Asia.
Some reports indicate that advanced radar systems worth hundreds of millions of dollars each, missile defense infrastructure, and critical logistical facilities have been damaged or forced offline. Even partial disruption of these systems significantly weakens surveillance and early-warning capabilities across the region.
What makes the situation unusual is the lack of battlefield imagery. Previous wars such as the 1991 Gulf War or the Iraq War were accompanied by constant footage of air operations, precision strikes, and aerial dominance. In the current conflict, there is almost no publicly available footage showing sustained American control of Iranian airspace, which has raised questions among analysts.
At the same time, maritime security in the Persian Gulf has deteriorated sharply. With the Strait of Hormuz effectively under Iranian missile coverage, commercial shipping and naval operations face enormous risk. Nearly 20 percent of global oil trade normally passes through this chokepoint, meaning even temporary disruption sends shockwaves through global energy markets.
Iranโs military doctrine also complicates conventional warfare. Over decades, the country has invested heavily in deep underground missile complexes, storage facilities, and command networks spread across a vast territory. This infrastructure was designed specifically to survive air campaigns and continue operating even during sustained bombardment.
Geography further compounds the challenge. Iran is more than four times the size of Iraq, with mountainous terrain and a population exceeding 85 million, making any ground invasion scenario extremely complex and costly.
Assessment
What began as a high-impact military operation may now be evolving into a protracted and economically disruptive conflict. The costs are not limited to destroyed equipment or damaged bases. They include energy market instability, global trade disruption, and the potential reshaping of military power balances across West Asia.
If the conflict continues to escalate, the strategic consequences could extend far beyond the battlefield.
More analysis to follow.
A growing body of battlefield assessments suggests that the ongoing IranโUSโIsrael confrontation is producing outcomes that few policymakers anticipated.
In just the first few days of the conflict, Iranian strikes reportedly targeted several major U.S. military facilities across the Gulf region, including installations in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia. These are not ordinary bases. They are among the largest and most expensive military installations ever built, developed over decades at a cost running into hundreds of billions of dollars, forming the backbone of U.S. power projection in West Asia.
Some reports indicate that advanced radar systems worth hundreds of millions of dollars each, missile defense infrastructure, and critical logistical facilities have been damaged or forced offline. Even partial disruption of these systems significantly weakens surveillance and early-warning capabilities across the region.
What makes the situation unusual is the lack of battlefield imagery. Previous wars such as the 1991 Gulf War or the Iraq War were accompanied by constant footage of air operations, precision strikes, and aerial dominance. In the current conflict, there is almost no publicly available footage showing sustained American control of Iranian airspace, which has raised questions among analysts.
At the same time, maritime security in the Persian Gulf has deteriorated sharply. With the Strait of Hormuz effectively under Iranian missile coverage, commercial shipping and naval operations face enormous risk. Nearly 20 percent of global oil trade normally passes through this chokepoint, meaning even temporary disruption sends shockwaves through global energy markets.
Iranโs military doctrine also complicates conventional warfare. Over decades, the country has invested heavily in deep underground missile complexes, storage facilities, and command networks spread across a vast territory. This infrastructure was designed specifically to survive air campaigns and continue operating even during sustained bombardment.
Geography further compounds the challenge. Iran is more than four times the size of Iraq, with mountainous terrain and a population exceeding 85 million, making any ground invasion scenario extremely complex and costly.
Assessment
What began as a high-impact military operation may now be evolving into a protracted and economically disruptive conflict. The costs are not limited to destroyed equipment or damaged bases. They include energy market instability, global trade disruption, and the potential reshaping of military power balances across West Asia.
If the conflict continues to escalate, the strategic consequences could extend far beyond the battlefield.
More analysis to follow.
๐ฏ30โค4๐3
๐ Why the U.S. Eased Russian Oil Sanctions for India
The recent U.S. decision to temporarily ease restrictions on Russian oil supplies to India is being interpreted by some analysts not as a geopolitical favor, but as a move driven by immediate military logistics.
With the ongoing war involving Iran, several strategic installations across the Gulf region are either under attack or at risk. Military bases, ports, oil facilities, and refineries in multiple GCC countries have reportedly been targeted or are operating under heightened threat. This situation complicates the ability of U.S. naval and air assets in the region to refuel and sustain operations from their usual logistics hubs.
At the same time, regional instability has expanded beyond the Gulf. Rising tensions and clashes between Afghanistan and Pakistan have created additional uncertainty around military infrastructure in Pakistan. Reports of drone activity targeting facilities linked to Western use have further highlighted the vulnerability of traditional supply points.
In this environment, the U.S. appears to require a large and relatively stable regional partner capable of supporting logistical fuel flows for military operations. India, with its large refining capacity, significant oil imports, and strategic geographic position, fits that role.
When announcing the temporary waiver allowing India to continue purchasing Russian crude, U.S. officials described India as an โessential partner.โ The phrasing suggests a pragmatic, situational arrangement rather than a long-term strategic concession.
The waiver appears structured to ensure supply continuity rather than provide economic advantage. India can maintain access to crude needed for domestic energy security and refining operations, while global market dynamics and price pressures limit the potential for extraordinary financial gains.
In short, the waiver reflects wartime logistics and energy security calculations rather than a shift in broader sanction policy. Its duration will likely depend on how long regional instability continues to disrupt normal energy and military supply chains in the Gulf.
The recent U.S. decision to temporarily ease restrictions on Russian oil supplies to India is being interpreted by some analysts not as a geopolitical favor, but as a move driven by immediate military logistics.
With the ongoing war involving Iran, several strategic installations across the Gulf region are either under attack or at risk. Military bases, ports, oil facilities, and refineries in multiple GCC countries have reportedly been targeted or are operating under heightened threat. This situation complicates the ability of U.S. naval and air assets in the region to refuel and sustain operations from their usual logistics hubs.
At the same time, regional instability has expanded beyond the Gulf. Rising tensions and clashes between Afghanistan and Pakistan have created additional uncertainty around military infrastructure in Pakistan. Reports of drone activity targeting facilities linked to Western use have further highlighted the vulnerability of traditional supply points.
In this environment, the U.S. appears to require a large and relatively stable regional partner capable of supporting logistical fuel flows for military operations. India, with its large refining capacity, significant oil imports, and strategic geographic position, fits that role.
When announcing the temporary waiver allowing India to continue purchasing Russian crude, U.S. officials described India as an โessential partner.โ The phrasing suggests a pragmatic, situational arrangement rather than a long-term strategic concession.
The waiver appears structured to ensure supply continuity rather than provide economic advantage. India can maintain access to crude needed for domestic energy security and refining operations, while global market dynamics and price pressures limit the potential for extraordinary financial gains.
In short, the waiver reflects wartime logistics and energy security calculations rather than a shift in broader sanction policy. Its duration will likely depend on how long regional instability continues to disrupt normal energy and military supply chains in the Gulf.
๐28โค6๐ฏ1
Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
Why some Indian Defence Journalist were silent when USA killed 167 school girls in Iran during initial wave of attack?
๐จUS military investigators believe US Air force was responsible for strikes on an Iranian girlsโ school that killed as many as 165 students and teachers.
๐คฌ65๐5๐ข4