The Venus Project
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Catastrophic shocks to the global system remain the persistent blindspot excluded from all sustainability models. Such shocks could follow from an object impact event, solar event, geological event, anthropogenic event (technological, nuclear war), biological event (pandemic, superbug), or unknown ‘black swans.’ Such an event striking in the next two decades will severely setback the capacity for the global system to undergo an already daunting energy, materials, and climate transition. How does The Venus Project mitigate these risks?

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/problems-predicaments/
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Issues of Global Catastrophic Risk now constitutes an entire field of inquiry consisting of scientists and engineers who develop stategies to prevent, intervene, and adapt to the collapse of civilization. This presentation, primarily given by David Denkenberger, reveals how humanity might remain resilient in the event of catastrophic events. Do watch if you wish to understand the additional layers added to The Venus Project's design priorities.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gbYWHBoQ9gM
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Growing global complexity introduces rapid change and information overload, including waves of disinformation and misinformation and many communication and sense-making challenges. The emergence of a time window for the energy, materials, and climate transition further increases the difficulty of accomplishing effective change. How does The Venus Project meet this challenge?

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/problems-predicaments/
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"Anything explicit will be gamed" according to Dave Snowden who in this short clip highlights some of the challenges of navigating complexity.

https://youtu.be/a2aoonjxbVY
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In this presentation, Dave Snowden unpacks the dynamics of complexity as part of his widely acclaimed Cynefin model. He shows that complexity is not what most people think it is and distinguishes it from the more familiar realm of 'complicatedness'. Such has vast ramification for how to think about the design of systems.

https://youtu.be/N7oz366X0-8
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Which problems and predicaments facing the world are most daunting? Read more about the fundamental issues that The Venus Project is tasked with addressing, such as:
• The Human Condition
• Moloch
• Polycrisis / Metacrisis
• Energy Contraction
• Minerals Shortfall
• Global Catastrophic Risk
• Complexity

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/problems-predicaments/
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Are you familiar with The Venus Project's design methodology? If not, read more about:

• Designing for a global context
• Designing according to local constraints
• Layering the functionality of design
• Developing mulitple hypotheses in parallel
• Biomiimicry, Ecomimicry, and Evomimicry
• Growing or shrinking a system according to fractal scaling
• Vertical integration of functions and processes
• Incremental improvement
• Minimum viable system

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/approaches-responses/
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The global context shapes what solutions we can put on the ground today. A general survey of global conditions, constraints, and capacities enables us to discern a trajectory of risks and opportunities. Shifting trends in energy, minerals, climate, and geopolitics can radically alter the design decisions that affect both today and tomorrow. Seeing ahead by extrapolating trends helps prevent solutions that either won't last or won't be relevant to the future.

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/approaches-responses/
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Local constraints place a final edit on all plans and designs. What is available and appropriate to the region constrains or enables what is possible for a design. Exact accounting of context-specific conditions enables us to discern preexisting system structure and functions to be harnessed and accommodated. Respecting the local constraints assures the design is a good fit where it is applied.

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/approaches-responses/
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Multiple levels of functionality through a complex integration of supply chains that coexist interoperable but not interdependent. This assures system stability despite fluctuations in climate or energy and materials throughput, including backup and fallback capacities. Layered design is vital for assuring that the systems 'works no matter what'.

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/approaches-responses/
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To mitigate risk of 'all eggs in one basket' and consistent with diversifying investments, multiple isolated lines of development are permitted to proceed in parallel, each of which may be based on different assumptions.

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/approaches-responses/
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Studying the form and function of systems in nature reveals much about what can be innovated in other contexts. Nature has already done all the hard work and research. Let's use it!

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/approaches-responses/
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An ecological system exists in a constant state of tension between its parts. The tension is healthy and integral for the whole system to thrive. Instead of trying to eliminate tension, we see where it can be made useful through complementarity and opponent processing. The optimal balance of tension assures the syntegrity and syntropy of the whole.

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/approaches-responses/
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Variation is a necessary condition for evolution to occur. Excessive uniformity or replication can stifle a systems ability to find the optimum. Permitting variation across designs and ideas assures that the system will find better operating conditions to stay viable.

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/approaches-responses/
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The gold standard of optimal design. Often the basis of both resilient and robust structures, fractal organization efficiently enables a simultaneously scalable and shrinkable system. Scale invariant solutions that can expand and contract as if breathing are what assures a system's longevity.

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/approaches-responses/
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We learned in 2017 that the aerodynamic shape of buildings at the Venus Center in Florida easily withstand major hurricanes and tornadoes. Hurricane Irma was the most damaging to the local area to date. We are relieved to announce that hurricane Milton shifted North and passed by the Venus Center. We are sorry to hear others did not fare as well. We experienced a moderate windstorm and light rain but still have electricity. However, past experience shows that flood waters come in the few days after the hurricane. Most buildings were either out of reach of the more severe hurricane Irma floodwaters or were only minimally affected. We await what the next few days may bring after the latest hurricane Milton.
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The process by which modular parts interact with standards and protocol to enable smooth communication, all brought under one ultimate purpose, enables a system to flow. Functions and processes of the supply chain are made an integral part of the system, reducing externalities and reliance on outsourcing.

https://www.thevenusproject.com/concepts/knowledge/approaches-responses/
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