The Macro Butler
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The Macro Butler aims to deliver concise yet comprehensive macroeconomic insights that impact global and regional markets. We analyze key indicators, trends to provide actionable & timely investment recommendations to all kind of investors.
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On the sidelines of the globalist circus in New York, the self-styled “Peace Maker-in-Chief”—better known as the “Warmonger-in-Chief” and puppet of the Malthusian deep state—seems to have greenlit World War III. In a tweet that flips his 2024 campaign stance on its head, Donald Copperfield criticized Moscow as a “paper tiger” and warned the Dancer on High Heels from Kyiv the war “looks like it’s not going to end anytime soon.” Reality check: Ukraine lacks the manpower, and a protracted conflict would require NATO boots—WWIII territory. Who 47 is listening to remains a mystery, but it’s clearly pure neocon noise.
Just as the ‘Tel Aviv’ Butcher’s misstep against Qatar united the Arab world—including Saudi Arabia—against it, Donald Copperfield has just handed a similar gift to Russia, China, North Korea, and India. By signalling support for a prolonged conflict, he’s effectively endorsed a broader confrontation. If he believes this will pressure Russia, he is gravely mistaken: Russian leaders see this not as a war with Ukraine, but a direct challenge to NATO—and now the United States.

https://news-pravda.com/world/2025/09/13/1682668.html
Ukraine should have been sliced and diced like the rest of the Balkans, neat little ethnic parcels. But no—decades of neocon daydreams have turned this into their wet dream: not just pushing Russia out of Ukraine, but gutting it entirely, looting its assets, and divvying the spoils among Europe’s power brokers. Who needs diplomacy when you have grand strategy and empire-building fantasies?
Nothing has changed. Bismarck warned in 1888 that Europe’s next major conflict would erupt in the Balkans—World War I proved him right. World War III has started in February 2022 in Ukraine and will lead to the inevitable decline of the western civilization.
While the “Manipulator-in-Chief” casually sowed the seeds of World War III on Truth Social, the U.S. Treasury quietly auctioned $69 billion in 2-year bonds at 3.571%—down from 3.641% last month and the lowest since September 2024’s growth scare. Oh, and it managed to through the 3.572% When-Issued by a mere 0.1 bps—smaller than last month’s 1.5 bps. Because nothing says calm markets like tiny technical victories while the world tweets itself toward chaos.
The bid-to-cover ratio fell to 2.513, down from 2.691 and the lowest since October 2024, well below the six-auction average of 2.605.

Auction internals were equally underwhelming. Indirect bidders took 57.8% of the issue—slightly up from 57.1% last month but below the recent average of 61.4%. Direct bidders again captured a near-record 30.8% (the highest was 34.4% in July), leaving dealers with 11.5%, the largest share since June.
Overall, the auction was entirely unremarkable, as some investors are finally realizing that the looming global conflict will push the U.S. sooner rather than later into an inflationary bust—proving that the once “risk-free” asset is no longer free of risk.
At dawn, The Macro Butler joined BFM 89.9 to dissect the latest musings from the “Central Banker-in-Chief,” give a quick health check on the US economy, and explain why, as trust in the Fed and Washington wanes, investors will keep chasing quality companies with pricing power—valuations be damned.

He also dropped some wisdom on ASEAN, arguing its future rides with Russia, China, and India—not the West—though the new Eurozone trade deal at least means cheaper French cheese and Italian wine for consumers.

https://themacrobutler.substack.com/p/interview-with-bfm-899-malaysia-24092025
Last week, the march toward a centrally controlled payment-and-identity grid crept forward under the radar: Visa quietly struck a seven-year pact with TECH5 to accelerate “Digital Public Infrastructure” — a phrase as harmless-sounding as it is authoritarian.



https://www.biometricupdate.com/202509/tech5-and-visa-to-integrate-biometrics-digital-wallets-and-payments-for-dpi
Visa’s new partnership with TECH5 fuses global payments with biometric surveillance—faces, fingerprints, and irises—all sold as “convenience.” Their integrated “identity wallets” promise frictionless access to services, but in reality, they create a centralized system where every credential and payment can be monitored, controlled, and exploited, with privacy protections trailing far behind.



https://reclaimthenet.org/visa-enters-the-digital-id-race
Let’s not mince words: merging biometric ID systems with Visa’s global payment network is a step toward a digital gulag, where dissenters risk being locked out of economic life. For anyone determined to remain financially independent and outside this tightening net, the case for holding physical gold has never been clearer.
The ECB, poised to roll out the first G7 CBDC, tells citizens to “keep calm and carry cash”—a warning that chaos looms. Bank runs, defaults, wars, grid failures: the system is fragile, and cash is the last line of defence. But make no mistake, governments want it gone. Cash is anonymous and free; CBDCs will be traceable, taxable at will, and revocable. The war on “money laundering” is really a war on privacy—soon, every transaction will be watched, and dissenters can be silenced with a keystroke.

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/economic-bulletin/articles/2025/html/ecb.ebart202506_02~1a773e2ca3.en.html
The ECB admits that every major crisis—from Greece’s 2014-15 debt meltdown to COVID and the Russia-Ukraine war—triggered surges in cash withdrawals, proving the irreplaceable role of physical currency. But it also quietly acknowledges the system’s weakness: banks simply don’t have enough liquidity to meet a real bank run. In other words, your “money” is mostly digital promises—until it isn’t.
Central banks are quietly telling citizens to prep for crisis — literally. The Netherlands, Austria, and Finland now advise keeping €70–€100 per person on hand, enough for 72 hours of survival spending. Finland is even testing “disruption-proof” ATMs, a clear sign that the ECB sees turbulence ahead.
Keep cash for emergencies, but don’t be fooled — its use will shrink, and crossing borders with it will be nearly impossible. The true safeguard is in tangible assets that can’t be frozen or deleted with a keystroke. Forget stuffing a suitcase with euros — most countries will confiscate it under civil forfeiture, and you may never see it again even if you’re innocent.

In the end, money is just what someone agrees to accept — which is why gold and silver coins, portable and universally recognizable, remain one of the most practical hedges when fiat inevitably falters.
With World War 3 warming up on the runway for its grand debut, the US Treasury just unloaded $70B in a lackluster 5Y auction. The high yield landed at 3.710% — the lowest since last September — tailing the WI by a microscopic 0.1bps, making it the fourth straight 5Y snoozefest in a row.
Bid-to-cover limped in at 2.34, just under last month’s 2.36 and the recent average — hardly inspiring. Indirects grabbed 59.4%, also below par, while Directs strutted in with a hefty 28.6% (still on a post–Liberation Day sugar high), leaving Dealers stuck with a meager 11.9% — one of their lowest scraps ever.
In short: after a weak 2Y auction, the 5Y followed suit — another forgettable sale as investors keep bailing on what was once the “risk-free” asset, now looking like the riskiest ticket to ride in the looming Trump Stagflation.
As the “Malthusian” West frets about sanctions, China is busy finding creative detours — like suddenly importing record volumes of “Indonesian” crude from a country that barely produces enough for itself. In August alone, Beijing hauled in 2.7 million tons — 630,000 barrels a day — a curious feat given Indonesia’s domestic demand is triple its output. Translation: China just turned sanction-dodging into an Olympic sport.