The Macro Butler
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The Macro Butler aims to deliver concise yet comprehensive macroeconomic insights that impact global and regional markets. We analyze key indicators, trends to provide actionable & timely investment recommendations to all kind of investors.
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In the latest episode of Progress Is Freedom, OpenAI has unveiled ChatGPT Health—a “secure” space where you can generously connect your medical records, smartwatch data, diet apps, workouts, and presumably your pulse of existential dread. Apple Health, Peloton, MyFitnessPal, Weight Watchers—because nothing says wellness like centralizing your biology in one convenient place.

We’re told this is about empowerment: understanding test results, preparing for doctor visits, optimizing diet and exercise. History, however, gently clears its throat and reminds us that every centralized database eventually finds a second career—as leverage. Political, financial, legal—pick your dystopia.

Of course, we’re reassured the data won’t be used for training. Privacy will be respected. Safeguards are in place.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpqy29d0yjgo
Governments and institutions always say this at the beginning of the movie, never at the end. The real question isn’t what the system promises today—it’s what it will quietly require tomorrow.

Health data isn’t just personal; it’s power. Once digitized and centralized, it becomes subpoena-ready, hackable, and irresistibly interesting to regulators with “good intentions.” HIPAA won’t save you from the state, and no database in history has remained untouched forever.

But don’t worry—this is all for your own good.

After all, Big Brother doesn’t want to control you. He just wants you healthy.
In today’s episode of Freedom Is Rate Cuts, Donald Copperfield—never shy of exporting the Don-Roe Doctrine even domestically—has reportedly invited the ‘Department of Just-Us’ to consider a criminal investigation into Fed Chair. Weaponizing justice to block political rivals was yesterday’s outrage; weaponizing it to bully interest rates lower is the bold new innovation. Powell, committing the ultimate thoughtcrime, replied that these were mere “pretexts” and reminded the Party that the Fed sets rates based on what serves the public—not presidential preference. In Orwellian terms: independence is obstruction, pressure is policy, and coercion is now monetary easing.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20260111a.htm
Seventy-five years ago, President Truman tried to strong-arm the Fed into capping rates so he could fund the Korean War. It didn’t work then, and history suggests it won’t work now. If Donald Copperfield believes he can swap the “Central Banker-in-Chief” for a compliant chimpanzee with a rate-cut button, the United Socialist America may be in for a spectacular post-2027 hangover.

https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/treasury-fed-accord
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A sharp surge in volatility is forming on the horizon, and the Manipulator-in-Chief is about to collide with the one force he cannot bully: the free market. As confidence erodes, investors will increasingly treat the U.S. like a Banana Republic—ditching promises and paper contracts in favour of stocks and gold, the few assets that tend to thrive when chaos becomes policy.
While still angling for a Nobel Peace Prize, the Warmonger-in-Chief has unveiled plans for a $1.5 trillion “Dream Military” by 2027—a tidy 50% jump from today—sold as prudence in “dangerous times” and conveniently funded by magical tariff revenues that also, somehow, reduce debt. Washington’s sudden enthusiasm for defence spending is less about peace and more about preparation, with the timing lining up neatly with reality: a U.S. increasingly on its own, footing the bill, while allies hesitate and enthusiasm for new adventures quietly evaporates.
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An extra $500 billion is meant to preserve America’s “most advanced military” status—just as China accelerates its war footing and Russia tests doomsday weapons designed to erase cities by radioactive tide. As confidence slips, capital flees to private assets and politicians rediscover the timeless cure for fiscal failure: foreign enemies. The 2026 panic cycle fits the pattern perfectly—debt stress meets geopolitics, distraction replaces discipline, and what’s coming isn’t the start of war, but its predictable escalation.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ifiGDrsO14I
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Returning to his core competency, Donald Copperfield—also known as Tariff Man, now rebranded as Tariff Is Peace—has once again reached for tariffs to advance the Don-Roe Doctrine. This time, not to “liberate” a Latin American nation, but to generously “help” his Zionist supporters in the Middle East. In classic Orwellian fashion, protection is declared free trade, coercion is called diplomacy, and tariffs are lovingly reintroduced as an act of benevolence—for the greater good, of course.
In this context, the real bargain today is volatility: with the geopolitical Pandora’s box now wide open, chaos is the only export likely to grow—making higher volatility less a risk and more an inevitability.
The Treasury rang in the new year with a $58 billion 3-year note auction that squeaked through with a yield of 3.609% versus a 3.610% when-issued—technically a win, practically a shrug. Demand was just good enough to avoid embarrassment, markets barely blinked, 3-year yields drifted about 1.5bp higher on the day, and the curve obligingly steepened, as if on autopilot.
Buyback-access volatility resurfaced, with direct bidders grabbing a record 29.5% of the issue. Primary dealers absorbed 14%—their largest share since August 2025 and above the recent six-auction average—though their $87.4 billion in bids (up from $82.9 billion previously) helped soften the impact of the heavier takedown.
In short, January’s 3-year Treasury auction opened the 2026 supply cycle on reasonably solid footing despite recent fiscal-driven volatility. A “B” grade feels appropriate, as investors increasingly recognize that the asset once marketed as “risk-free” is becoming one of the most geopolitically exposed holdings in a world where Pandora’s box is wide open.
Fresh off a politely acceptable B-grade 3-year auction, the Treasury followed up with a 10-year sale—$39bn priced at 4.173%, essentially unchanged from December, confirming that duration remains firmly frozen in place. Stopping 0.7bp through the WI, the strongest result since September, the auction suggests demand is alive and well—at least as long as yields go nowhere and everyone pretends that paralysis is stability.
More proof that the Treasury market is running on autopilot: the bid-to-cover came in at 2.554, essentially unchanged from December’s 2.550 and right in line with the long-running 2.50–2.60 comfort zone that has defined the past decade. Internals told the same story—Indirects took a hefty 69.7%, Directs jumped to 24.5% (the highest since 2014), and Dealers were left holding just 5.8%, one of the lowest shares on record—confirming strong end-user demand and a market perfectly content to drift, confidently paralyzed.
Overall, this was a relatively strong auction, suggesting that many investors may not yet have received the memo that the once “risk-free” asset is no longer free of risk in a world where the rule of law is increasingly eroding.
As the North Atlantic Terror Organization better known as NATO quietly auditions for irrelevance, Brussels has unveiled its latest blockbuster idea: replace 100,000 U.S. troops with a “unified” European army, complete with a shiny European Security Council and—naturally—no seat for post-Brexit Britain. European Defence Commissioner Andrius Kubilius assures us this can work, despite Europe’s inability to agree on debt rules, defence budgets, or even lunch menus. The plan assumes 27 sovereign nations will magically think, spend, and fight as one—something NATO existed precisely because Europe never could.



https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/eu-weighs-replacing-us-troops-with-unified-1768168275.html
European defence would require unanimous agreement among 27 countries with radically different geographies, trade links, and threat perceptions—because what worries Spain today is obviously identical to what keeps Poland awake at night. Brussels continues to issue one-size-fits-all policies that reliably help some members while disadvantaging others, whether on trade, migration, or war. The idea that such a system could function in a real military crisis ignores political reality: effective defence demands centralized command, unilateral decision-making, and unquestioned obedience—none of which coexist comfortably with 27 sovereign states pretending to be one. This contradiction is precisely why the euro was flawed by design and why the EU’s push toward deeper centralization is not fixing the problem but accelerating it. Europe is not integrating further—it is slowly, and inevitably, pulling apart.