The Macro Butler
304 subscribers
670 photos
3 videos
445 links
The Macro Butler aims to deliver concise yet comprehensive macroeconomic insights that impact global and regional markets. We analyze key indicators, trends to provide actionable & timely investment recommendations to all kind of investors.
Download Telegram
In true BOJ style, they spiced things up by unveiling a “bold” plan to sell off their ¥75 trillion ($508 billion) ETF hoard — at a pace so slow it would take more than 100 years to complete. Yes, the BOJ has essentially promised to be in the market longer than most of us will be alive. Governor Ueda reassured everyone that, while none of us will be around in 2125, the BOJ will nobly keep selling — very, very carefully — to avoid upsetting Japan’s “slightly overheated” stock market, which is up 26% this fiscal year. In other words, normalization is coming… at a pace only a bonsai tree could respect.
👍1
In a nutshell, BOJ promises to “normalize” by selling its ETF mountain over the next century — because nothing says urgency like a 100-year exit plan.
🤣1
🤵 The Macro Butler Weekly Digest 🤵

🌐 Trust Bonds… At Your Own Peril—because ‘risk-free’ is really just Wall Street’s favourite fairy tale… with a side of risk-y. 🌐

Read more here: https://themacrobutler.substack.com/p/trust-bonds-at-your-own-peril
In eternally blue New Jersey, where Green zealotry reigns supreme, Governor Phil Murphy just signed a bill turning the dearly departed into fertilizer — literally. The state is now the 14th to legalize “human composting,” all in the name of saving space. Because nothing says climate action like turning Grandma into garden mulch.

https://legiscan.com/NJ/bill/A4085/2024
New Jersey just legalized turning people into compost — literally. Bodies are sealed in steel drums with straw and wood chips, slow-cooked for 45–60 days, and handed back as “nutrient-rich soil” for your garden. Politicians call it “eco-friendly,” funeral homes market it as carbon-guilt relief, and climate activists cheer. Strip away the green PR, though, and it’s not reverence — it’s death industrialized.

https://nypost.com/2025/09/16/us-news/new-jersey-legalizes-human-composting-as-eco-friendly-burial-alternative/
Bottom Line:

Beneath the feel-good slogans, New Jersey’s law turns death into just another climate initiative. Wrapped in words like “eco-friendly” and “gentle,” it conditions us to see human remains as fertilizer for the green agenda. In the Garden State, going green is now mandatory — even after you’re gone.
👎1🔥1
Oil Shocks, Stagflation, and Why Bonds Can't Save You

https://www.tiktok.com/@the.macro.butler/video/7552473875422989569
In the glorious Socialist Republic of France, where Malthusian Keynesians work overtime to enslave citizens into their paychecks, it’s hardly shocking that pensioners now out-earn the workers funding their retirements. With a jaw-dropping 74% replacement rate — among the highest in the OECD — and 14% of GDP poured into pensions, France has turned retirement into a state-sponsored luxury. The average French retiree collects €1,626 a month, roughly 2% more than the poor souls still working. Meanwhile, American, British, and Australian retirees politely settle for less than their workers. Naturally, rising retiree demands mean rising taxes, with workers now forced to tithe 8.55% of their income to keep the system afloat.

Vive la redistribution!

https://fortune.com/2025/09/16/france-retirees-higher-income-workers-american-pensioners-cost-of-living-crisis/
France’s pension deficit is on track to hit €15 billion by 2035 and double shortly after, but don’t worry — Paris has a plan: pretend everything’s fine until 2029, when the deficit will magically shrink to the EU’s arbitrary 3% cap. With public debt already at 5.8% of GDP and rising, the government’s “solution” is the usual: tax more, trim spending just enough to look busy, and hope no one notices that growth is being strangled. History suggests they won’t actually cut anything — just shuffle the bill from one pocket to another while the private sector pays the price.
France and much of the Western world are teetering on the edge of a fiscal cliff. Politicians, desperate to distract from a crumbling monetary system, toy with war as a convenient diversion—Macro-Leon aligning with Brussels to stoke conflict in Ukraine—while government debt goes unsold. Aging populations, plummeting birth rates, and the cost of integrating new arrivals only add to the fiscal strain. Robbing pension funds to cover expenses might seem like a “solution,” but it will erode confidence, spark civil unrest, and accelerate the EU’s financial unraveling.

Reform is overdue, but history shows governments delay until forced; in France’s case, the reckoning is inevitable—and looming.
The UK is proudly lining up with France and Japan in the G7 Sovereign Debt Olympics, and its latest 30-year gilt sale just reminded everyone why. Demand hit the weakest since 2022 — even with a tiny £1.5B auction — as pension funds lose their appetite for locking in generational pain. The DMO calls this “smart issuance strategy,” markets call it “nice try,” and 30-year yields just keep screaming, courtesy of Rachel Reeves’ fiscal fairy tales.
In a nutshell, Britain just sold 30-year debt to a half-empty room, proving even pension funds won’t buy Rachel Reeves’ fiscal fairy tale.
After August’s “bounce like a caffeinated kangaroo,” September’s US flash PMI data limped back to reality — Services fell to 53.9, Manufacturing to 52.0 — still in expansion but clearly catching its breath. Companies are hiring less, demand is softening, and pricing power is fading faster than campaign promises, hinting at squeezed margins but cooler inflation. Inventory piles are growing like unwanted laundry, threatening future production if sales don’t pick up.
In a nutshell, US businesses are perking up, praying for rate cuts — but don’t expect a full-on dance party like pre-‘Liberation Day’ just yet.
The Macro Butler sat down again with Discourse With Christian ( Christian E. White) to dissect why social unrest is flaring worldwide — and how governments are busy inventing bogeymen to justify wars and tighten control.

All this comes as power shifts from the fading, Malthusian West to a resurgent mercantilist Asia, where the Russia-China-India axis is laying the groundwork for a new era of prosperity.

https://themacrobutler.substack.com/p/interview-with-discourse-with-christian-0f6
On the sidelines of the globalist circus in New York, the self-styled “Peace Maker-in-Chief”—better known as the “Warmonger-in-Chief” and puppet of the Malthusian deep state—seems to have greenlit World War III. In a tweet that flips his 2024 campaign stance on its head, Donald Copperfield criticized Moscow as a “paper tiger” and warned the Dancer on High Heels from Kyiv the war “looks like it’s not going to end anytime soon.” Reality check: Ukraine lacks the manpower, and a protracted conflict would require NATO boots—WWIII territory. Who 47 is listening to remains a mystery, but it’s clearly pure neocon noise.
Just as the ‘Tel Aviv’ Butcher’s misstep against Qatar united the Arab world—including Saudi Arabia—against it, Donald Copperfield has just handed a similar gift to Russia, China, North Korea, and India. By signalling support for a prolonged conflict, he’s effectively endorsed a broader confrontation. If he believes this will pressure Russia, he is gravely mistaken: Russian leaders see this not as a war with Ukraine, but a direct challenge to NATO—and now the United States.

https://news-pravda.com/world/2025/09/13/1682668.html
Ukraine should have been sliced and diced like the rest of the Balkans, neat little ethnic parcels. But no—decades of neocon daydreams have turned this into their wet dream: not just pushing Russia out of Ukraine, but gutting it entirely, looting its assets, and divvying the spoils among Europe’s power brokers. Who needs diplomacy when you have grand strategy and empire-building fantasies?
Nothing has changed. Bismarck warned in 1888 that Europe’s next major conflict would erupt in the Balkans—World War I proved him right. World War III has started in February 2022 in Ukraine and will lead to the inevitable decline of the western civilization.