The superficially stable job market has been the only thing keeping this ship of fools afloat, but the rise in the conveniently massaged unemployment rate from 4.0% when Donald Copperfield took office to 4.6% today suggests the hull is already leaking—and it’s only a matter of time before millions are submerged by waves of debt, delusion, and disastrously poor decisions.
As Santa warmed up the reindeer and checked his naughty-and-nice list, the U.S. Treasury squeezed in one last act of festive finance, auctioning $44 billion of 7-year notes—the final bond sale of the Jubilee Year. The paper landed with a 3.930% yield, up from November’s 3.781% and the spiciest since July. In a rare holiday miracle, it actually stopped through the when-issued yield by 0.3 bps, snapping a streak of four straight tailing auctions. Ho ho ho—miracles do happen, just not often in bond markets.
The bid-to-cover jumped to a merry 2.509, up from 2.459 last month and the strongest since July—just a hair below the six-auction average of 2.520, because even markets enjoy suspense. Unlike earlier auctions this week, where foreign buyers apparently took an early holiday, Indirects showed up in festive spirit, snapping up 59.04%, up from 56.65% and the strongest since August. Directs joined the party too, grabbing 31.6%, just shy of an all-time record, leaving Dealers holding a skinny 9.34%—their lightest stocking since July. Turns out even in bond land, Santa still rewards good behavior.
Overall, it was a stronger auction than the soggy offerings earlier in the week—but let’s not confuse seasonal cheer with structural sanity. It is only a matter of time before more investors realize that what was once marketed as a risk-free asset has quietly morphed into the riskiest thing in the portfolio, thanks to the tireless efforts of the Educated Yet Idiots and their ever-ripening banana-republic policies running the global show.
The ECB has triumphantly finished all the “technical prep work” for the digital euro, and Christine Lagarde assures us that all that’s left is for the ever-efficient political machinery to wave it through. On December 23, 2025, the Council finally adopted its official negotiating stance—setting the thrilling stage for a potential rollout by 2029, assuming the regulators remember to pass the rules by 2026. The digital euro will feature online and offline payments, because nothing says “progress” like peer-to-peer transfers between certified devices that are almost as private as actual cash… for low-value purchases, of course.
Naturally, the ECB insists the digital euro isn’t here to banish cash—fear not, you can still hoard your coins and paper bills. And don’t worry, it’s all perfectly “safe”: holding limits and fancy safeguards are in place to stop anyone from actually moving big piles of money out of commercial banks. Stability guaranteed… or so they say.
https://cryptonews.com/news/eu-digital-euro-offline-digital-euro-payments/
https://cryptonews.com/news/eu-digital-euro-offline-digital-euro-payments/
In a nutshell, while Europeans were feasting, the ECB and Council quietly greenlit the digital euro’s “offline privacy mode” and set the stage for a 2029 rollout of its CBDC.
While Wall Street diligently rehearsed its favorite bedtime story about “vanquished inflation”—right on cue with Donald Copperfield’s mid-term spin—the New York Fed governor quietly let the mask slip, admitting what anyone fluent in ‘CPLie’-speak already knew: the November numbers were pure statistical fiction.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/19/ny-fed-president-williams-says-some-technical-factors-distorted-novembers-cpi-reading-downward.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/19/ny-fed-president-williams-says-some-technical-factors-distorted-novembers-cpi-reading-downward.html
Everyone with even a passing acquaintance with finance knows government numbers are about as trustworthy as a politician’s forecast—yet they remain the sacred inputs for monetary policy.
Despite openly admitting the data may be flawed, Williams still voted for a December rate cut, while reassuring us there’s no “urgent need” to keep easing.
In other words, monetary authorities are flying blind, proudly steering an economy they can’t properly measure, juggling a softening labor market against inflation figures they quietly concede might be wrong. The perfect recipe for the upcoming inflationary bust which will be remembered as the ‘Trump Stagflation’
Despite openly admitting the data may be flawed, Williams still voted for a December rate cut, while reassuring us there’s no “urgent need” to keep easing.
In other words, monetary authorities are flying blind, proudly steering an economy they can’t properly measure, juggling a softening labor market against inflation figures they quietly concede might be wrong. The perfect recipe for the upcoming inflationary bust which will be remembered as the ‘Trump Stagflation’
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Your trust, engagement, and intellectual curiosity are what make The Macro Butler more than just another macro voice in a world saturated with noise and narratives.
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Listen to The Month That It Was in December 2025 from The Macro Butler.
You can now also listen to this podcast on YouTube; Rumble & TikTok.
https://themacrobutler.substack.com/p/the-month-that-it-was-december-2025
You can now also listen to this podcast on YouTube; Rumble & TikTok.
https://themacrobutler.substack.com/p/the-month-that-it-was-december-2025
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The Month That It Was : December 2025
Listen to The Month That It Was in November 2025 from The Macro Butler.