Forwarded from Pepe Escobar
IT HAS ALWAYS BEEN NATO VS. RUSSIA ALL ALONG
The - gray - cat is finally out of the bag, appropriately via weapons peddler Lloyd Raytheon: “If Ukraine is defeated, NATO will be at war with Russia.”
Sideshows:
The freakout by Le Petit Warmonger Roi - and his wet dreams of a pink can can Moulin Rouge army parading in the steppes of Novorossiya.
Bundeswehr clowns dreaming of blowing up the Crimean bridge.
Not to mention the astonishing abjectness 24/7 of the Liverwurst Reichskanzler - the one who betrayed his nation by duly accepting the Nord Streams bombing.
The incoming, cosmic humiliation of NATO is one for the ages.
And that inevitably extrapolates to the politico-economic sphere - where the strategic autonomy of the EU, the P.R. arm of NATO, is less than zero.
Enter psycho lowly functionaries of the Janet Yellen type dreaming of stealing Russian assets for good - a sort of financial bombing of the Crimean bridge.
They actually believe the current free lunch system allows for sovereign assets to be simply stolen by the “rules-based international order” - and still they can get away with it because the US dollar won’t be toppled.
It will. It’s just a matter of time. And they know it. De-dollarization is the economic arm of NATO’s cosmic humiliation, with Russia destroying Project Ukraine in the black soil of Novorossiya.
There’s no NATOstan plan B. So back to Plan A: Forever Wars.
Bring it on. Russia is ready.
The - gray - cat is finally out of the bag, appropriately via weapons peddler Lloyd Raytheon: “If Ukraine is defeated, NATO will be at war with Russia.”
Sideshows:
The freakout by Le Petit Warmonger Roi - and his wet dreams of a pink can can Moulin Rouge army parading in the steppes of Novorossiya.
Bundeswehr clowns dreaming of blowing up the Crimean bridge.
Not to mention the astonishing abjectness 24/7 of the Liverwurst Reichskanzler - the one who betrayed his nation by duly accepting the Nord Streams bombing.
The incoming, cosmic humiliation of NATO is one for the ages.
And that inevitably extrapolates to the politico-economic sphere - where the strategic autonomy of the EU, the P.R. arm of NATO, is less than zero.
Enter psycho lowly functionaries of the Janet Yellen type dreaming of stealing Russian assets for good - a sort of financial bombing of the Crimean bridge.
They actually believe the current free lunch system allows for sovereign assets to be simply stolen by the “rules-based international order” - and still they can get away with it because the US dollar won’t be toppled.
It will. It’s just a matter of time. And they know it. De-dollarization is the economic arm of NATO’s cosmic humiliation, with Russia destroying Project Ukraine in the black soil of Novorossiya.
There’s no NATOstan plan B. So back to Plan A: Forever Wars.
Bring it on. Russia is ready.
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The Deepstate has decided to hide one of its faces. Where will the cyborg rear its ugly head next?
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Forwarded from Victor vicktop55 (victor)
"Deputy Secretary of State for Political Affairs Victoria Nuland will leave her post in the coming weeks, Blinken said.
Nuland is known for her visits to the Maidan in 2013-2014, where she distributed cookies to protesters, which became a meme of the "cookies of the State Department".
10 years ago, she also got into a scandal when her phone conversation with the American ambassador to Kiev, Jeffrey Pyatt, was published online.
They discussed in detail the formation of the new government of Ukraine, talked about which of the leaders of the local opposition should be included in its composition.
In May 2019, it became known that Nuland was placed on the "black list" of non-entry in Russia in response to US anti-Russian sanctions.
In 2022, she joked that it would be good if the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline pumped vodka instead of gas,"
🟩 RT in Russian.
It was Victoria Nuland who publicly stated in March 2022 that the United States intended to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia in Ukraine. Something went wrong with their strategic defeat, it seems.
Nuland is known for her visits to the Maidan in 2013-2014, where she distributed cookies to protesters, which became a meme of the "cookies of the State Department".
10 years ago, she also got into a scandal when her phone conversation with the American ambassador to Kiev, Jeffrey Pyatt, was published online.
They discussed in detail the formation of the new government of Ukraine, talked about which of the leaders of the local opposition should be included in its composition.
In May 2019, it became known that Nuland was placed on the "black list" of non-entry in Russia in response to US anti-Russian sanctions.
In 2022, she joked that it would be good if the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline pumped vodka instead of gas,"
🟩 RT in Russian.
It was Victoria Nuland who publicly stated in March 2022 that the United States intended to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia in Ukraine. Something went wrong with their strategic defeat, it seems.
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Forwarded from Мария Захарова
Нуланд уведомила Блинкена о намерении уйти в отставку в ближайшие недели.
Причину вам не скажут. Но она проста - провал антироссийского курса администрации Байдена. Русофобия, предложенная Викторией Нуланд в качестве основной внешнеполитической концепции США, камнем тянет демократов на дно. Чего уж там, не даёт от него оторваться.
Кстати, памятуя о свечах в православных храмах, если вдруг будет желание податься в монастырь для замаливания грехов, замолвим словечко.
Причину вам не скажут. Но она проста - провал антироссийского курса администрации Байдена. Русофобия, предложенная Викторией Нуланд в качестве основной внешнеполитической концепции США, камнем тянет демократов на дно. Чего уж там, не даёт от него оторваться.
Кстати, памятуя о свечах в православных храмах, если вдруг будет желание податься в монастырь для замаливания грехов, замолвим словечко.
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Nuland has notified Blinken of her intention to resign in the coming weeks.
They won't tell you the reason. But it is simple - the failure of the anti-Russian course of the Biden administration. Russophobia, proposed by Victoria Nuland as the main foreign policy concept of the United States, is dragging the Democrats to the bottom like a stone. Whatever it is, it doesn’t let you tear yourself away from it.
By the way, remembering the candles in Orthodox churches, if you suddenly want to go to a monastery to atone for your sins, let’s put in a word.
They won't tell you the reason. But it is simple - the failure of the anti-Russian course of the Biden administration. Russophobia, proposed by Victoria Nuland as the main foreign policy concept of the United States, is dragging the Democrats to the bottom like a stone. Whatever it is, it doesn’t let you tear yourself away from it.
By the way, remembering the candles in Orthodox churches, if you suddenly want to go to a monastery to atone for your sins, let’s put in a word.
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‼️The most important war news you will read today‼️ - A concise summary and analysis of the intercepted conversation between 4 German nazi Generals about the attack on the Crimean bridge. There WAS an attack on the bridge last night, and a Russian Black Sea naval patrol boat WAS sunk. But it was not done with Taurus missiles, and it was not the attack these nazis were talking about. That one is still yet to come.
“Bundeswehr consultation intercepted: Germany plans to destroy the Crimean Bridge
By Anton Gentzen
RT boss Margarita Simonyan detonated the information bomb on Friday: She published alleged recordings of a meeting with four high-ranking officers in the German Air Force, which she said were leaked by Russian secret services. The conversation is said to have taken place on February 19th of the current year.
In it, the Brigadier General of the Air Force of the Bundeswehr Frank Gräfe, the Inspector of the Air Force, Lieutenant General Ingo Gerhartz, and two employees of the Air Operations Center, Frohstedte (there are doubts about the spelling of this name) and Fenske, will discuss the prospects for the delivery and use of Taurus cruise missiles in Ukraine as well as an operation against prominent targets in Russia planned within a month. In the audio file, which has now been published, voices of men can be heard who could be the four mentioned above.
There are no reasonable doubts about the authenticity of the recording. In response to questions from RT and the RIA Novosti news agency, the Federal Ministry of Defense in Berlin did not deny its authenticity, but rather refused any comment. The conversation ch is so densely packed with verifiable details that a forgery seems very unlikely according to forensic psychological standards. Some details also agree with confirmed information from other sources and other findings.
The people involved are real and act within the scope of their actual competences in the conversation. Of course, there must remain some residual doubt until confirmation, but there is currently no reason to reject the publication outright. The following considerations are of course subject to the authenticity of the recording.
Below are what we consider to be the five most important findings from the published recording.
1. Ukraine is planning a major terrorist act against Russia within a month from February 19
Frohstedte says in the conversation:
"I don't know whether we will be able to prepare the Ukrainians for such a task in a short period of time, we are now talking about a month."
This time limit (this officer previously stated that the planning of an "such" operation usually takes two weeks, but that it can be shortened "if there is interest") is significant in that two important events for Russia are imminent exactly in the period in question: for one is the presidential election, in which voting can take place from March 15th to 17th, and the other is the tenth anniversary of the Crimean referendum on March 16th and the signing of the accession agreements with the Crimean Republic and Sevastopol on March 18th. It has long been suspected that Kiev wants to use these occasions to carry out terrorist attacks with a high symbolic impact.
Frohstedte himself pretends not to know which target Kiev wants to take rocket fire at within the month in question:
"I came to the conclusion that there are two interesting targets. One is a bridge in the east and the other is an ammunition depot that we can get to. The bridge in the east is difficult to reach, it's a pretty small target, but the Taurus can do it create. And the ammunition depots, we can get through that. If you consider all that and compare it with how often Storm Shadow and HIMARS were shot down, we have a good unique selling point. And so the question arises to me: Is our target the bridge or Are they ammunition depots?"
“Bundeswehr consultation intercepted: Germany plans to destroy the Crimean Bridge
By Anton Gentzen
RT boss Margarita Simonyan detonated the information bomb on Friday: She published alleged recordings of a meeting with four high-ranking officers in the German Air Force, which she said were leaked by Russian secret services. The conversation is said to have taken place on February 19th of the current year.
In it, the Brigadier General of the Air Force of the Bundeswehr Frank Gräfe, the Inspector of the Air Force, Lieutenant General Ingo Gerhartz, and two employees of the Air Operations Center, Frohstedte (there are doubts about the spelling of this name) and Fenske, will discuss the prospects for the delivery and use of Taurus cruise missiles in Ukraine as well as an operation against prominent targets in Russia planned within a month. In the audio file, which has now been published, voices of men can be heard who could be the four mentioned above.
There are no reasonable doubts about the authenticity of the recording. In response to questions from RT and the RIA Novosti news agency, the Federal Ministry of Defense in Berlin did not deny its authenticity, but rather refused any comment. The conversation ch is so densely packed with verifiable details that a forgery seems very unlikely according to forensic psychological standards. Some details also agree with confirmed information from other sources and other findings.
The people involved are real and act within the scope of their actual competences in the conversation. Of course, there must remain some residual doubt until confirmation, but there is currently no reason to reject the publication outright. The following considerations are of course subject to the authenticity of the recording.
Below are what we consider to be the five most important findings from the published recording.
1. Ukraine is planning a major terrorist act against Russia within a month from February 19
Frohstedte says in the conversation:
"I don't know whether we will be able to prepare the Ukrainians for such a task in a short period of time, we are now talking about a month."
This time limit (this officer previously stated that the planning of an "such" operation usually takes two weeks, but that it can be shortened "if there is interest") is significant in that two important events for Russia are imminent exactly in the period in question: for one is the presidential election, in which voting can take place from March 15th to 17th, and the other is the tenth anniversary of the Crimean referendum on March 16th and the signing of the accession agreements with the Crimean Republic and Sevastopol on March 18th. It has long been suspected that Kiev wants to use these occasions to carry out terrorist attacks with a high symbolic impact.
Frohstedte himself pretends not to know which target Kiev wants to take rocket fire at within the month in question:
"I came to the conclusion that there are two interesting targets. One is a bridge in the east and the other is an ammunition depot that we can get to. The bridge in the east is difficult to reach, it's a pretty small target, but the Taurus can do it create. And the ammunition depots, we can get through that. If you consider all that and compare it with how often Storm Shadow and HIMARS were shot down, we have a good unique selling point. And so the question arises to me: Is our target the bridge or Are they ammunition depots?"
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It should be clear that ammunition depots do not have the same symbolic power for Crimea and Sevastopol's belonging to Russia as the Crimean Bridge, which is also a prestige project of the Russian President himself.
2. The German military has already planned the attack on the Crimean Bridge
Several people involved in the conversation mentioned this fact. It follows from Frohstedte's quote above that he has already thought about the accessibility of the Crimean Bridge. He follows up and explains why only Taurus cruise missiles are up to the task:
"Taking all of this into account and comparing it to how much Storm Shadow and HIMARS have been deployed, the question arises in my mind: Is our target the bridge or is it military depots? Is that even possible with the current shortcomings that RED and the Patriot have achievable? And I've come to the conclusion that the limiting factor is that they typically only have 24 charges..."
Of course Taurus is only relevant when looking at the bridge, there is no reason why 24 charges shouldn't be enough to hit an ammunition depot.
Fenske also addresses the question of how many missiles are required to successfully bombard the Crimean Bridge. He even expressly emphasizes that his department dealt “intensively” with the shelling of the bridge:
"I would like to quickly add about the bridge, because we have looked at it intensively. And unfortunately the bridge is like an airfield due to its size. Therefore, perhaps more than ten or even 20 rockets are required."
Frohstedte chimes in:
"We just have to hit the pillars where it collapses."
Lieutenant General Gerhartz answers this:
"It is expected that the Taurus will be successful through the use of the French Dassault Rafale fighter aircraft."
In any case, this gentleman is firmly convinced of the effectiveness of his “miracle weapon”:
"We have a super tool, and if we have the exact coordinates (of Russian air defense), we will use it successfully."
3. Germany is aware of the terrorist nature of the planned Taurus operations
The officers involved in the conversation are aware of the fact that Ukraine will also or especially use German Taurus cruise missiles for terrorist purposes and accept this with approval. Gräfe expressly says that without planning and strict control by the Western military, there is a risk that the Ukrainian armed forces could attack and destroy purely civilian objects with a high level of public resonance:
"If there is a false operation and the thing falls on a kindergarten and there are also civilian casualties."
But it also dawns on those involved in the intercepted conversation that the Crimean Bridge is not a legitimate military target. Gerhatz says:
"We all know that they (the Ukrainians) want to take out the bridge. That's clear, we also know what it ultimately means. Then the supply is at risk, the good island there, yes the heart of it, it's not just military important, also politically. Now it's no longer quite so fatal, now that they have their land bridge more or less there. And then you're afraid if the direct link of our armed forces goes into the Ukraine. And then there would always be that "Question, can we pull the war by sending our people to the MBDA. That there is only a direct line between the MBDA and the Ukraine. Then it is less bad than if the direct line of our air force can be found."
In plain language: The man knows that the Crimean Bridge no longer has any strategic importance for the Russian military since there is a direct land route to the peninsula. On the other hand, he also knows that the bridge is used by tens of thousands of civilians in cars and trains every day and that an attack has the potential to kill hundreds of civilians.
2. The German military has already planned the attack on the Crimean Bridge
Several people involved in the conversation mentioned this fact. It follows from Frohstedte's quote above that he has already thought about the accessibility of the Crimean Bridge. He follows up and explains why only Taurus cruise missiles are up to the task:
"Taking all of this into account and comparing it to how much Storm Shadow and HIMARS have been deployed, the question arises in my mind: Is our target the bridge or is it military depots? Is that even possible with the current shortcomings that RED and the Patriot have achievable? And I've come to the conclusion that the limiting factor is that they typically only have 24 charges..."
Of course Taurus is only relevant when looking at the bridge, there is no reason why 24 charges shouldn't be enough to hit an ammunition depot.
Fenske also addresses the question of how many missiles are required to successfully bombard the Crimean Bridge. He even expressly emphasizes that his department dealt “intensively” with the shelling of the bridge:
"I would like to quickly add about the bridge, because we have looked at it intensively. And unfortunately the bridge is like an airfield due to its size. Therefore, perhaps more than ten or even 20 rockets are required."
Frohstedte chimes in:
"We just have to hit the pillars where it collapses."
Lieutenant General Gerhartz answers this:
"It is expected that the Taurus will be successful through the use of the French Dassault Rafale fighter aircraft."
In any case, this gentleman is firmly convinced of the effectiveness of his “miracle weapon”:
"We have a super tool, and if we have the exact coordinates (of Russian air defense), we will use it successfully."
3. Germany is aware of the terrorist nature of the planned Taurus operations
The officers involved in the conversation are aware of the fact that Ukraine will also or especially use German Taurus cruise missiles for terrorist purposes and accept this with approval. Gräfe expressly says that without planning and strict control by the Western military, there is a risk that the Ukrainian armed forces could attack and destroy purely civilian objects with a high level of public resonance:
"If there is a false operation and the thing falls on a kindergarten and there are also civilian casualties."
But it also dawns on those involved in the intercepted conversation that the Crimean Bridge is not a legitimate military target. Gerhatz says:
"We all know that they (the Ukrainians) want to take out the bridge. That's clear, we also know what it ultimately means. Then the supply is at risk, the good island there, yes the heart of it, it's not just military important, also politically. Now it's no longer quite so fatal, now that they have their land bridge more or less there. And then you're afraid if the direct link of our armed forces goes into the Ukraine. And then there would always be that "Question, can we pull the war by sending our people to the MBDA. That there is only a direct line between the MBDA and the Ukraine. Then it is less bad than if the direct line of our air force can be found."
In plain language: The man knows that the Crimean Bridge no longer has any strategic importance for the Russian military since there is a direct land route to the peninsula. On the other hand, he also knows that the bridge is used by tens of thousands of civilians in cars and trains every day and that an attack has the potential to kill hundreds of civilians.
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This results in concerns that he addresses. But there are no concerns about whether Germany can take part in the planning and execution of a clear act of terror. The officer fears that the open connection to the Ukrainian military will expose him, the Bundeswehr and Germany to accusations of terrorism and, like a full-fledged professional criminal, is thinking about how best to cover up German involvement.
The rulers are also well aware that Taurus deliveries will not change the basic course of the war. Gerhartz:
"That won't change the war."
4. British and US military are already deployed in Ukraine
However, Luftwaffe Brigadier General Gräfe has a different idea: The German Air Force will train Ukrainians in a two-week crash course in order to meet the monthly target, and the British, who are apparently already on site, will then take over further control and supervision.
People are now talking about a two-track program. The long training program will last four months and the Ukrainians will be thoroughly trained, including for the “bridge option”. The short training program will last a fortnight so that the missiles can be used as early as possible. In the meantime between the short and long courses, people in London want to ask whether the British are prepared to use the Taurus in this phase.
At another point, Gerhartz reveals the secret of another ally, the USA:
"We also know that there are a lot of people with American accents walking around in civilian clothes."
5. Are Taurus already in Ukraine?
Much of the conversation addresses the issue of future Taurus deliveries, the manufacturer's capabilities in this regard, the time frame required for manufacturer adjustments, and similar topics. However, when reading the protocol in its entirety, one cannot help but feel that at least one batch of German cruise missiles is already in Ukraine.
On the one hand, this results from the specifically discussed deployment within a month, which only depends on the rapid training of Ukrainian personnel or the deployment of British people on site.
Second: Ukrainian aircraft are apparently already equipped for the Taurus mission. Gerhartz:
"We always have to remember: They have aircraft from which they use the Storm Shadow. The British were there and wired the aircraft. So they are not that far away from being able to use the Taurus."
The entire statements about the fact that the manufacturer MBDA will need six months to establish compatibility are basically invalid.
Third: One of those involved in the intercepted conversation, Fenske, speaks of very detailed planning and very specific operational questions:
"In order to be able to assert myself with the necessary skill, I have to assert myself against the air defense. We can do that very well, I assume, because we can of course work in low-level flight and have our NDK data from the IABG for this. We have to They definitely provide them so that I can fly under a 21. So that I can get the most out of my planning and don't have to plan using waypoints like with Storm Shadow."
You don't deal with something that is directly operational when the delivery is still uncertain. Then it is also clear why the Bundestag created a legal basis that can be interpreted in the sense of the Taurus provision on February 22nd, three days after the intercepted conversation. The political decision that the four Air Force officers were waiting for in their conversation has practically already been made.
We cannot currently claim that Kiev has already received German Taurus. But the question has enough substance behind it to be asked with all the emphasis.”
The rulers are also well aware that Taurus deliveries will not change the basic course of the war. Gerhartz:
"That won't change the war."
4. British and US military are already deployed in Ukraine
However, Luftwaffe Brigadier General Gräfe has a different idea: The German Air Force will train Ukrainians in a two-week crash course in order to meet the monthly target, and the British, who are apparently already on site, will then take over further control and supervision.
People are now talking about a two-track program. The long training program will last four months and the Ukrainians will be thoroughly trained, including for the “bridge option”. The short training program will last a fortnight so that the missiles can be used as early as possible. In the meantime between the short and long courses, people in London want to ask whether the British are prepared to use the Taurus in this phase.
At another point, Gerhartz reveals the secret of another ally, the USA:
"We also know that there are a lot of people with American accents walking around in civilian clothes."
5. Are Taurus already in Ukraine?
Much of the conversation addresses the issue of future Taurus deliveries, the manufacturer's capabilities in this regard, the time frame required for manufacturer adjustments, and similar topics. However, when reading the protocol in its entirety, one cannot help but feel that at least one batch of German cruise missiles is already in Ukraine.
On the one hand, this results from the specifically discussed deployment within a month, which only depends on the rapid training of Ukrainian personnel or the deployment of British people on site.
Second: Ukrainian aircraft are apparently already equipped for the Taurus mission. Gerhartz:
"We always have to remember: They have aircraft from which they use the Storm Shadow. The British were there and wired the aircraft. So they are not that far away from being able to use the Taurus."
The entire statements about the fact that the manufacturer MBDA will need six months to establish compatibility are basically invalid.
Third: One of those involved in the intercepted conversation, Fenske, speaks of very detailed planning and very specific operational questions:
"In order to be able to assert myself with the necessary skill, I have to assert myself against the air defense. We can do that very well, I assume, because we can of course work in low-level flight and have our NDK data from the IABG for this. We have to They definitely provide them so that I can fly under a 21. So that I can get the most out of my planning and don't have to plan using waypoints like with Storm Shadow."
You don't deal with something that is directly operational when the delivery is still uncertain. Then it is also clear why the Bundestag created a legal basis that can be interpreted in the sense of the Taurus provision on February 22nd, three days after the intercepted conversation. The political decision that the four Air Force officers were waiting for in their conversation has practically already been made.
We cannot currently claim that Kiev has already received German Taurus. But the question has enough substance behind it to be asked with all the emphasis.”
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Forwarded from ДОКТОР СОСНОВСКИЙ (Alexander Sosnowski)
☄️ОПЕРАЦИЯ ТАУРУС. Полный расклад. Мы расшифровали всю аудиозапись, с привлечением экспертов по языку, ментальности разговора, фоноскопии и нашли целый ряд важнейших пунктов. По результатам анализа, сегодня на нашем ресурсе World Economy опубликована статья Ханса-Георга Мюнстера.
Перечислим самые важные моменты:
1. Руководство Люфтваффе готовит атаку на территорию России с помощью крылатых ракет Taurus и считает, что операция с участием солдат бундесвера будет более эффективной.
2. Целями атаки являются Крымский мост, а также подземные склады боеприпасов на территории России.
3. Это можно рассматривать как планирование агрессивной войны в смысле Статьи 26 Конституции Германии и П.13 УК Германии, которая предусматривает до десяти лет тюремного заключения или пожизненное.
4. Генерал Герхарц призывает к быстрому решению. Он указывает, что у британцев и американцев уже есть войска на Украине
5. Инспектор демонстративно просит "не быть как шоу-стоппер" в предстоящем разговоре с Писториусом. ВВС хотят дать Писториусу выигрышную карту, чтобы министр обороны мог сменить канцлера, если он и дальше будет против поставок.
6. Британцы должны помочь интегрировать систему Taurus в существующий украинский истребитель SU или F16, обещанный Западом.
7. Предполагается шесть месяцев для интеграции ракеты на самолетах, от трех до четырех месяцев для обучения пилотов. Первые миссии с Таурусом должны быть выполнены "с поддержкой нами", говорит участник.
8. Создание и эксплуатация боевого центра, откуда можно запрограммировать и контролировать Taurus во время полета к месту назначения.
9. Авиабаза Бюхель в Рейнланд-Пфальце упоминается как место, где это можно сделать.
10. В разговоре обсуждается, что ВВС отправят "несколько человек" (то есть экипаж боевого центра) в Шробенхаузен.
11. Инспектор Герхарц прямо описывает переезд в Шробенхаузен как "трюк". Еще одно соображение заключается в том, чтобы построить боевой центр в Польше, создать там целевую программу
12. По-видимому, запланирована поставка 100 крылатых ракет Taurus в двух траншах по 50 штук каждый
Все подробности в указанной статье и в нашем фильме-разъяснении - тут👉 https://youtu.be/e5Isro3vC-c?si=XR64LBoAO2yYo2Yg
Перечислим самые важные моменты:
1. Руководство Люфтваффе готовит атаку на территорию России с помощью крылатых ракет Taurus и считает, что операция с участием солдат бундесвера будет более эффективной.
2. Целями атаки являются Крымский мост, а также подземные склады боеприпасов на территории России.
3. Это можно рассматривать как планирование агрессивной войны в смысле Статьи 26 Конституции Германии и П.13 УК Германии, которая предусматривает до десяти лет тюремного заключения или пожизненное.
4. Генерал Герхарц призывает к быстрому решению. Он указывает, что у британцев и американцев уже есть войска на Украине
5. Инспектор демонстративно просит "не быть как шоу-стоппер" в предстоящем разговоре с Писториусом. ВВС хотят дать Писториусу выигрышную карту, чтобы министр обороны мог сменить канцлера, если он и дальше будет против поставок.
6. Британцы должны помочь интегрировать систему Taurus в существующий украинский истребитель SU или F16, обещанный Западом.
7. Предполагается шесть месяцев для интеграции ракеты на самолетах, от трех до четырех месяцев для обучения пилотов. Первые миссии с Таурусом должны быть выполнены "с поддержкой нами", говорит участник.
8. Создание и эксплуатация боевого центра, откуда можно запрограммировать и контролировать Taurus во время полета к месту назначения.
9. Авиабаза Бюхель в Рейнланд-Пфальце упоминается как место, где это можно сделать.
10. В разговоре обсуждается, что ВВС отправят "несколько человек" (то есть экипаж боевого центра) в Шробенхаузен.
11. Инспектор Герхарц прямо описывает переезд в Шробенхаузен как "трюк". Еще одно соображение заключается в том, чтобы построить боевой центр в Польше, создать там целевую программу
12. По-видимому, запланирована поставка 100 крылатых ракет Taurus в двух траншах по 50 штук каждый
Все подробности в указанной статье и в нашем фильме-разъяснении - тут👉 https://youtu.be/e5Isro3vC-c?si=XR64LBoAO2yYo2Yg
YouTube
ДОКТОР СОСНОВСКИЙ - Атака Таурус на Кремль?
Руководство ВВС Германии готовит атаку на территорию России с помощью крылатых ракет Taurus и считает, что операция с участием солдат бундесвера будет более эффективной, чем если бы украинские солдаты делали это сами.
Целями атаки являются Крымский мост…
Целями атаки являются Крымский мост…
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Forwarded from Irina
OPERATION TAURUS. Full alignment. We decoded the entire audio recording, with the involvement of experts in language, conversation mentality, phonoscopy, and found a number of important points. According to the results of the analysis, an article by Hans-Georg Munster has been published today on our World Economy resource.
Let's list the most important points:
1. The Luftwaffe leadership is preparing an attack on Russian territory using Taurus cruise missiles and believes that an operation involving Bundeswehr soldiers will be more effective.
2. The targets of the attack are the Crimean Bridge, as well as underground ammunition depots in Russia.
3. This can be considered as planning an aggressive war in the sense of Article 26 of the German Constitution and Paragraph 13 of the German Criminal Code, which provides for up to ten years in prison or life.
4. General Gerhartz calls for a quick solution. He points out that the British and Americans already have troops in Ukraine
5. The inspector pointedly asks "not to be like a show stopper" in the upcoming conversation with Pistorius. The Air Force wants to give Pistorius a winning card so that the defense minister can replace the chancellor if he continues to be against supplies.
6. The British should help integrate the Taurus system into the existing Ukrainian SU or F16 fighter promised by the West.
7. It is supposed to take six months to integrate the rocket on airplanes, from three to four months for pilot training. The first missions with Taurus should be completed "with the support of us," says the participant.
8. Creation and operation of a combat center from where the Taurus can be programmed and controlled during the flight to its destination.
9. Buchel Air Base in Rhineland-Palatinate is mentioned as a place where this can be done.
10. In the conversation, it is discussed that the Air Force will send "several people" (that is, the crew of the combat center) to Schrobenhausen.
11. Inspector Gerhartz bluntly describes the move to Schrobenhausen as a "trick." Another consideration is to build a combat center in Poland, to create a targeted program there
12. Apparently, it is planned to deliver 100 Taurus cruise missiles in two tranches of 50 each
All the details in this article and in our explanation film are here👉 https://youtu.be/e5Isro3vC-c?si=XR64LBoAO2yYo2Yg
Let's list the most important points:
1. The Luftwaffe leadership is preparing an attack on Russian territory using Taurus cruise missiles and believes that an operation involving Bundeswehr soldiers will be more effective.
2. The targets of the attack are the Crimean Bridge, as well as underground ammunition depots in Russia.
3. This can be considered as planning an aggressive war in the sense of Article 26 of the German Constitution and Paragraph 13 of the German Criminal Code, which provides for up to ten years in prison or life.
4. General Gerhartz calls for a quick solution. He points out that the British and Americans already have troops in Ukraine
5. The inspector pointedly asks "not to be like a show stopper" in the upcoming conversation with Pistorius. The Air Force wants to give Pistorius a winning card so that the defense minister can replace the chancellor if he continues to be against supplies.
6. The British should help integrate the Taurus system into the existing Ukrainian SU or F16 fighter promised by the West.
7. It is supposed to take six months to integrate the rocket on airplanes, from three to four months for pilot training. The first missions with Taurus should be completed "with the support of us," says the participant.
8. Creation and operation of a combat center from where the Taurus can be programmed and controlled during the flight to its destination.
9. Buchel Air Base in Rhineland-Palatinate is mentioned as a place where this can be done.
10. In the conversation, it is discussed that the Air Force will send "several people" (that is, the crew of the combat center) to Schrobenhausen.
11. Inspector Gerhartz bluntly describes the move to Schrobenhausen as a "trick." Another consideration is to build a combat center in Poland, to create a targeted program there
12. Apparently, it is planned to deliver 100 Taurus cruise missiles in two tranches of 50 each
All the details in this article and in our explanation film are here👉 https://youtu.be/e5Isro3vC-c?si=XR64LBoAO2yYo2Yg
YouTube
ДОКТОР СОСНОВСКИЙ - Атака Таурус на Кремль?
Руководство ВВС Германии готовит атаку на территорию России с помощью крылатых ракет Taurus и считает, что операция с участием солдат бундесвера будет более эффективной, чем если бы украинские солдаты делали это сами.
Целями атаки являются Крымский мост…
Целями атаки являются Крымский мост…
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◾️Highly recommend you dive into this channel created by Chay Bowes and Gerry Nolan. Follow The Islander for more than just news: they deliver sharp geopolitical analysis and investigative reports you won't find anywhere else. The Islander transcends mere multipolarity and challenging the MSM narrative; it's about championing a just peace. Join!
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The Islander
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From Oleg Tsarev -
"Digest about Ukraine March 5
The Verkhovna Rada canceled meetings scheduled for March 6, 7 and 8. Why is this so if there were as many as 103 bills in the queue for consideration? There are several options. According to the most official version, the Servants of the People have no time for meetings -they are preparing a report to the US Senate and planning trips to the front, but not as soldiers, of course. According to another version, a number of factions delivered an ultimatum: either they will be allowed to go on business trips abroad, or they will insist on voting for each of the almost 5 thousand amendments to the law on mobilization. There is also an option that the leadership of the Rada approved foreign trips for a number of deputies as a reward for loyalty, and now there are not enough votes to support the laws of Zelensky and the government - all the loyal ones have rushed beyond the border. I wonder if the deputies will return?
The relevant committee of the Rada supported the bill banning religious organizations associated with Russia, which had previously been adopted in the first reading. New persecutions await the canonical Ukrainian Orthodox Church. For example, if they vote in the hall, many churches will be able to be taken away from the UOC. And give them to the schismatics. This will primarily affect Laurus. Our Patriarchy could invite priests to Russia, but many will not be released...
Vladimir Klitschko said that uniting against the president is a mistake for political forces; it is necessary to unite around the head of state. The mayor of Kyiv said that there is no need to hold any elections, and Zelensky will remain legitimate after May 20. At the same time, Klitschko spoke well about Zaluzhny and called for uniting around him too. Perhaps Klitschko fears falling into the same legitimacy trap - his mayoral term expires next year. Well, or he forgot the text of the speech - around whom exactly should we unite, and therefore called for unification around the two main political opponents. I forgot about that - it's a joke. Partly.
Following the Poles, the Hungarians turned Zelensky away from the gate. Foreign Minister Szijjártó said that Orban’s meeting with Zelensky will not take place until the Kiev regime returns the rights to the Hungarian national minority in Transcarpathia. But the Kyiv regime doesn’t care about such national minorities; they have plenty of other things to do. And 11 demands of Hungary to Ukraine on this issue, transferred to Kuleba of Foreign Affairs, lie somewhere.
National contradictions in Poland are intensifying. In Szczecin, a Polish driver drove into a crowd, injuring six people. All six turned out to be Ukrainians. According to police, the driver deliberately drove into the crowd.
Three Ukrainian cities entered the top 5 in the ranking of the thirty most criminal cities in Eastern Europe. Dnepropetrovsk took first place in the ranking, and this merit can be attributed to Mayor Filatov. Odessa is in second place, Kharkov is in fifth place. Still at the top of the ranking are Kyiv in eighth and Lviv in thirteenth. The crime index has increased, the standard of living index has obviously fallen.
In Odessa, a platoon commander of one of the air defense units faces imprisonment for up to eight years. The officer was responsible for fuel and sold 1.4 million hryvnia worth of diesel “outside”. Interestingly, the now rich military man has already been able to reimburse the entire amount of damage. The case has now gone to court.
And the Poltava military commissar was outraged by numerous videos on the Internet in which military registration and enlistment office employees grab and beat people on the streets. He stated that most of these videos are manipulated and do not show the whole story. And those that are still real are grist to the enemy’s mill - they discredit the mobilization and deal a blow to Ukrainian society. Lawlessness and rampant military commissars do not seem to discredit anyone.
"Digest about Ukraine March 5
The Verkhovna Rada canceled meetings scheduled for March 6, 7 and 8. Why is this so if there were as many as 103 bills in the queue for consideration? There are several options. According to the most official version, the Servants of the People have no time for meetings -
The relevant committee of the Rada supported the bill banning religious organizations associated with Russia, which had previously been adopted in the first reading. New persecutions await the canonical Ukrainian Orthodox Church. For example, if they vote in the hall, many churches will be able to be taken away from the UOC. And give them to the schismatics. This will primarily affect Laurus. Our Patriarchy could invite priests to Russia, but many will not be released...
Vladimir Klitschko said that uniting against the president is a mistake for political forces; it is necessary to unite around the head of state. The mayor of Kyiv said that there is no need to hold any elections, and Zelensky will remain legitimate after May 20. At the same time, Klitschko spoke well about Zaluzhny and called for uniting around him too. Perhaps Klitschko fears falling into the same legitimacy trap - his mayoral term expires next year. Well, or he forgot the text of the speech - around whom exactly should we unite, and therefore called for unification around the two main political opponents. I forgot about that - it's a joke. Partly.
Following the Poles, the Hungarians turned Zelensky away from the gate. Foreign Minister Szijjártó said that Orban’s meeting with Zelensky will not take place until the Kiev regime returns the rights to the Hungarian national minority in Transcarpathia. But the Kyiv regime doesn’t care about such national minorities; they have plenty of other things to do. And 11 demands of Hungary to Ukraine on this issue, transferred to Kuleba of Foreign Affairs, lie somewhere.
National contradictions in Poland are intensifying. In Szczecin, a Polish driver drove into a crowd, injuring six people. All six turned out to be Ukrainians. According to police, the driver deliberately drove into the crowd.
Three Ukrainian cities entered the top 5 in the ranking of the thirty most criminal cities in Eastern Europe. Dnepropetrovsk took first place in the ranking, and this merit can be attributed to Mayor Filatov. Odessa is in second place, Kharkov is in fifth place. Still at the top of the ranking are Kyiv in eighth and Lviv in thirteenth. The crime index has increased, the standard of living index has obviously fallen.
In Odessa, a platoon commander of one of the air defense units faces imprisonment for up to eight years. The officer was responsible for fuel and sold 1.4 million hryvnia worth of diesel “outside”. Interestingly, the now rich military man has already been able to reimburse the entire amount of damage. The case has now gone to court.
And the Poltava military commissar was outraged by numerous videos on the Internet in which military registration and enlistment office employees grab and beat people on the streets. He stated that most of these videos are manipulated and do not show the whole story. And those that are still real are grist to the enemy’s mill - they discredit the mobilization and deal a blow to Ukrainian society. Lawlessness and rampant military commissars do not seem to discredit anyone.
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Meanwhile, there are fewer and fewer loopholes for evaders at the border. When leaving Ukraine, border guards check men through the online state register of military personnel, conscripts and reservists “Obereg”. They boast that as a result, 230 attempts at illegal exit were stopped in three weeks.
This is what March 5 became for Ukraine."
This is what March 5 became for Ukraine."
Telegram
Олег Царёв
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FROM OLEG TSAREV -
"The sending of European troops to Ukraine is not a “red line” not only for French President Macron and Estonian Prime Minister Kallas, but for a much wider circle of European politicians.
This conclusion can be drawn on the basis of the resolution adopted by the European Parliament “The need for unwavering support for Ukraine from the EU.”
For example, the European Parliament emphasizes that their goal (the return of Ukraine to internationally recognized territories) “can only be achieved through the continued, sustainable and steadily increasing supply of all types of conventional weapons to Ukraine without exception.” Moreover, this victory must certainly presuppose the reconquest of Crimea. The European Parliament reminds “the importance of the liberation and de-occupation of the Crimean peninsula.”
That is, the victory of Ukraine is elevated to the status of the main goal not only of Kyiv, but also of Europe.
As for weapons themselves, the EP believes that “there should be no voluntary restrictions on military assistance to Ukraine” ... and “emphasizes that Ukraine especially needs modern air defense systems, long-range missiles such as TAURUS, Storm Shadow/SCALP and others, modern combat aviation..." At the same time, the concept of “military assistance” is broader than assistance with arms supplies and may include the military. The EP does not speak directly about Western intervention, but indicates that it will not condemn such actions in any way. On missiles and voluntary restrictions - this is a “hello” to Chancellor Scholz, who is preventing the transfer of Taurus missiles to Kyiv.
The resolution also includes a recommendation to send 0.25% of total GDP to Kyiv for the war. And this is about $48 billion a year from EU countries alone, that is, an amount several times greater than all civil and military support to Kyiv.
It’s good that European Parliament resolutions are not binding. Very often they can pre-empt decisions by the EU and its leading members, as they create an atmosphere in which such decisions become possible. And this option should not be discounted.
Although, in my opinion, the European Parliament is somewhat stuck in time. He acts like it's early 2022. Then these statements and votes would be understandable. The situation has changed a lot since then. More time will pass, and the European Parliament will understand this.
Unfortunately, this is not only a problem in Europe. The public point of view, and the opinion of parliament members to a greater extent reflects it, is inertial. It will take time for it to change. In any case, no matter what the European Parliament says, everything will still be decided at the front."
"The sending of European troops to Ukraine is not a “red line” not only for French President Macron and Estonian Prime Minister Kallas, but for a much wider circle of European politicians.
This conclusion can be drawn on the basis of the resolution adopted by the European Parliament “The need for unwavering support for Ukraine from the EU.”
For example, the European Parliament emphasizes that their goal (the return of Ukraine to internationally recognized territories) “can only be achieved through the continued, sustainable and steadily increasing supply of all types of conventional weapons to Ukraine without exception.” Moreover, this victory must certainly presuppose the reconquest of Crimea. The European Parliament reminds “the importance of the liberation and de-occupation of the Crimean peninsula.”
That is, the victory of Ukraine is elevated to the status of the main goal not only of Kyiv, but also of Europe.
As for weapons themselves, the EP believes that “there should be no voluntary restrictions on military assistance to Ukraine” ... and “emphasizes that Ukraine especially needs modern air defense systems, long-range missiles such as TAURUS, Storm Shadow/SCALP and others, modern combat aviation..." At the same time, the concept of “military assistance” is broader than assistance with arms supplies and may include the military. The EP does not speak directly about Western intervention, but indicates that it will not condemn such actions in any way. On missiles and voluntary restrictions - this is a “hello” to Chancellor Scholz, who is preventing the transfer of Taurus missiles to Kyiv.
The resolution also includes a recommendation to send 0.25% of total GDP to Kyiv for the war. And this is about $48 billion a year from EU countries alone, that is, an amount several times greater than all civil and military support to Kyiv.
It’s good that European Parliament resolutions are not binding. Very often they can pre-empt decisions by the EU and its leading members, as they create an atmosphere in which such decisions become possible. And this option should not be discounted.
Although, in my opinion, the European Parliament is somewhat stuck in time. He acts like it's early 2022. Then these statements and votes would be understandable. The situation has changed a lot since then. More time will pass, and the European Parliament will understand this.
Unfortunately, this is not only a problem in Europe. The public point of view, and the opinion of parliament members to a greater extent reflects it, is inertial. It will take time for it to change. In any case, no matter what the European Parliament says, everything will still be decided at the front."
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Forwarded from Олег Царёв
Направление на Украину европейских войск не является «красной линией» не только для президента Франции Макрон и премьера Эстонии Каллас, а для куда более широкого круга европейских политиков.
Такой вывод можно сделать на основании принятой Европарламентом резолюции «Необходимость в неколебимой поддержке Украины со стороны ЕС».
Например, Европейский парламент подчеркивает, что их цель (возвращение Украины на международно-признанные территории) «может быть достигнута только путем продолжения, устойчивых и неуклонно увеличивающихся поставок в Украину всех без исключения видов обычных вооружений». Причем эта победа непременно должна предполагать отвоевание Крыма. Европарламент напоминает «о важности освобождения и деоккупации Крымского полуострова».
То есть, победу Украины возносят в статус главной цели не только Киева, но и Европы.
Что касается непосредственно вооружений, то ЕП считает, что «не должно быть добровольных ограничений на военную помощь Украине» … и «подчеркивает, что Украина особенно нуждается в современных системах ПВО, дальнобойных ракетах, таких как TAURUS, Storm Shadow/SCALP и других, современной боевой авиации…». При этом понятие «военная помощь» шире, чем помощь поставками оружия, и может включать военных. ЕП не говорит о западной интервенции прямо, но обозначает, что он никак не осудит такие действия. По ракетам и добровольным ограничениям — это «привет» канцлеру Шольцу, который препятствует передаче Киеву ракет Taurus.
Есть в резолюции и рекомендация отправлять для войны Киева 0,25% совокупного ВВП. А это порядка $48 млрд. в год только от стран ЕС, то есть сумма, в несколько раз превышающая всю гражданскую и военную поддержку Киеву.
Хорошо, что резолюции Европарламента не являются обязательными к выполнению. Очень часто они могут предвосхищать решения ЕС и его ведущих членов, так как создают атмосферу, в которой такие решения становятся возможными. И такой вариант не стоит сбрасывать со счетов.
Хотя по моему мнению, Европарламент несколько застрял во времени. Он ведет себя так, будто сейчас начало 2022 года. Тогда эти заявления и голосования были бы понятны. Ситуация с тех пор сильно поменялась. Пройдет еще время, и это поймёт и Европарламент.
К сожалению, это проблема не только Европы. Общественная точка зрения, а мнение депутатов парламента в большей степени ее отражает, инерционно. Должно пройти время чтобы оно поменялось. В любом случае, чтобы ни заявлял Европарламент, все все равно будет решаться на фронте.
Такой вывод можно сделать на основании принятой Европарламентом резолюции «Необходимость в неколебимой поддержке Украины со стороны ЕС».
Например, Европейский парламент подчеркивает, что их цель (возвращение Украины на международно-признанные территории) «может быть достигнута только путем продолжения, устойчивых и неуклонно увеличивающихся поставок в Украину всех без исключения видов обычных вооружений». Причем эта победа непременно должна предполагать отвоевание Крыма. Европарламент напоминает «о важности освобождения и деоккупации Крымского полуострова».
То есть, победу Украины возносят в статус главной цели не только Киева, но и Европы.
Что касается непосредственно вооружений, то ЕП считает, что «не должно быть добровольных ограничений на военную помощь Украине» … и «подчеркивает, что Украина особенно нуждается в современных системах ПВО, дальнобойных ракетах, таких как TAURUS, Storm Shadow/SCALP и других, современной боевой авиации…». При этом понятие «военная помощь» шире, чем помощь поставками оружия, и может включать военных. ЕП не говорит о западной интервенции прямо, но обозначает, что он никак не осудит такие действия. По ракетам и добровольным ограничениям — это «привет» канцлеру Шольцу, который препятствует передаче Киеву ракет Taurus.
Есть в резолюции и рекомендация отправлять для войны Киева 0,25% совокупного ВВП. А это порядка $48 млрд. в год только от стран ЕС, то есть сумма, в несколько раз превышающая всю гражданскую и военную поддержку Киеву.
Хорошо, что резолюции Европарламента не являются обязательными к выполнению. Очень часто они могут предвосхищать решения ЕС и его ведущих членов, так как создают атмосферу, в которой такие решения становятся возможными. И такой вариант не стоит сбрасывать со счетов.
Хотя по моему мнению, Европарламент несколько застрял во времени. Он ведет себя так, будто сейчас начало 2022 года. Тогда эти заявления и голосования были бы понятны. Ситуация с тех пор сильно поменялась. Пройдет еще время, и это поймёт и Европарламент.
К сожалению, это проблема не только Европы. Общественная точка зрения, а мнение депутатов парламента в большей степени ее отражает, инерционно. Должно пройти время чтобы оно поменялось. В любом случае, чтобы ни заявлял Европарламент, все все равно будет решаться на фронте.
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SOME VERY INTERESTING HISTORY FROM OLEG TSAREV -
"After Ukraine, which belonged to Poland, wished to reunite with Russia in 1654, a long war began, ending with the victory of the Russian Empire in 1667. As a result of that war, the entire Left Bank Ukraine went “forever” to Russia. But Kyiv is only for a while. Before the signing of the “eternal peace”, for which both sides had been preparing for a long time. It was signed in Moscow on May 6, 1686 and consisted of 33 articles. One of them concerned the “mother of Russian cities”: “On the purchase by Russia of Kyiv from the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth for 146 thousand rubles. out of brotherly friendship and love."
Although the Polish Sejm ratified the document only in 1764, seven tons of silver were paid by the Russians immediately and the deal took place.
De jure, the agreement is still in effect, similar to the US sale of Russian Alaska in 1867."
"After Ukraine, which belonged to Poland, wished to reunite with Russia in 1654, a long war began, ending with the victory of the Russian Empire in 1667. As a result of that war, the entire Left Bank Ukraine went “forever” to Russia. But Kyiv is only for a while. Before the signing of the “eternal peace”, for which both sides had been preparing for a long time. It was signed in Moscow on May 6, 1686 and consisted of 33 articles. One of them concerned the “mother of Russian cities”: “On the purchase by Russia of Kyiv from the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth for 146 thousand rubles. out of brotherly friendship and love."
Although the Polish Sejm ratified the document only in 1764, seven tons of silver were paid by the Russians immediately and the deal took place.
De jure, the agreement is still in effect, similar to the US sale of Russian Alaska in 1867."
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Forwarded from Олег Царёв
После того как Украина, принадлежавшая Польше, в 1654 г. пожелала воссоединиться с Россией, началась долгая война, окончившаяся победой Русского царства в 1667 г. По итогам той войны к России «навеки» отходила вся Левобережная Украина. А вот Киев — лишь на время. До подписания «вечного мира», к которому обе стороны долго готовились. Он был подписан в Москве 6 мая 1686 г. и состоял из 33 статей. Одна из них касалась «матери городов русских»: «О покупке Россией у Речи Посполитой Киева за 146 тыс. руб. по братской дружбе и любви».
Хоть польский Сейм ратифицировал документ только в 1764 году, семь тонн серебра были уплачены русскими сразу и сделка состоялась.
Де-юре соглашение действует до сих пор, по аналогии с продажей США российской Аляски.
Хоть польский Сейм ратифицировал документ только в 1764 году, семь тонн серебра были уплачены русскими сразу и сделка состоялась.
Де-юре соглашение действует до сих пор, по аналогии с продажей США российской Аляски.
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Serious and sobering (but also encouraging) words from Commander Alexander Khodakovsky -
"If we go into the details of the historical situations in which Russia found itself during the Crimean or Russo-Japanese War, then each situation will have its own set of components. Of those expressed, only the result will be common - we did not win. The reasons why we did not win are detailed in various interpretations and studies - I will not add anything new to this. But I will note one thing: after every defeat, we got up and went to victories.
After Crimea, we returned to the Turkish issue again, and were much more successful. It would be simplistic to say that this became possible only thanks to the growth of our potential - the circumstances of foreign policy also accompanied us until they changed again against us. After the Japanese War, we experienced a surge, and entered the German War with a stronger economy, which allowed us to adapt to a protracted war and increase the pace of military production to the required level.
Why is it different now than it was then? Why don't we have the right not to win? Because, if you don’t go into details, but rely only on the basic reasons, this is the last war. Then we had population growth, which compensated for the losses. At that time, in the field of technology, we had a chance to compete with our opponents, but there were still many unrealized opportunities ahead - we were the first to fly into space.
Not so now. Now we are not multiplying, and the resource spent will be irreplaceable without a demographic revolution. And even if we come up with something technologically breakthrough, without the growth of the Russian population it will not help us much. We won’t be able to handle the next war, and then all we have to do is press the button. If we lose, they won’t let us rise from our knees, because they themselves are dying. But if we win, we will have the opportunity to sit on the shore and watch the decline of Western civilization."
"If we go into the details of the historical situations in which Russia found itself during the Crimean or Russo-Japanese War, then each situation will have its own set of components. Of those expressed, only the result will be common - we did not win. The reasons why we did not win are detailed in various interpretations and studies - I will not add anything new to this. But I will note one thing: after every defeat, we got up and went to victories.
After Crimea, we returned to the Turkish issue again, and were much more successful. It would be simplistic to say that this became possible only thanks to the growth of our potential - the circumstances of foreign policy also accompanied us until they changed again against us. After the Japanese War, we experienced a surge, and entered the German War with a stronger economy, which allowed us to adapt to a protracted war and increase the pace of military production to the required level.
Why is it different now than it was then? Why don't we have the right not to win? Because, if you don’t go into details, but rely only on the basic reasons, this is the last war. Then we had population growth, which compensated for the losses. At that time, in the field of technology, we had a chance to compete with our opponents, but there were still many unrealized opportunities ahead - we were the first to fly into space.
Not so now. Now we are not multiplying, and the resource spent will be irreplaceable without a demographic revolution. And even if we come up with something technologically breakthrough, without the growth of the Russian population it will not help us much. We won’t be able to handle the next war, and then all we have to do is press the button. If we lose, they won’t let us rise from our knees, because they themselves are dying. But if we win, we will have the opportunity to sit on the shore and watch the decline of Western civilization."
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Forwarded from Александр Ходаковский
Если вдаваться в детали исторических ситуаций, в которых оказывалась Россия во время Крымской или Русско-Японской войны, то каждой ситуации будет присущ свой набор компонентов. Из выраженных общим будет только результат - мы не победили. Причины того, почему мы не победили, подробно изложены в разного рода толкованиях и исследованиях - я ничего нового к этому не добавлю. Но замечу одно: после каждого поражения мы вставали и шли к победам.
После Крымской мы снова вернулись к турецкому вопросу, и были не в пример более успешными. Упрощённо было бы говорить, что это стало возможным только благодаря росту нашего потенциала - обстоятельства внешней политики тоже сопутствовали нам, пока снова не изменились не в нашу пользу. После Японской войны мы пережили всплеск, и в Германскую вошли с более крепкой экономикой, которая позволила нам адаптироваться к затяжной войне и нарастить темпы военного производства до необходимого уровня.
Почему сейчас не так, как тогда? Почему мы не имеем права не победить? Потому что, если не вдаваться в детали, а опереться только на базовые причины - эта война последняя. Тогда мы имели рост населения, который компенсировал потери. Тогда в области технологий мы имели шансы составить достойную конкуренцию нашим противникам, а впереди было ещё много нереализованных возможностей - в космос мы полетели первыми.
Сейчас не так. Сейчас мы не приумножаемся, а потраченный ресурс будет невосполнимым без демографической революции. И даже если мы что-то придумаем технологически прорывного - без роста русского населения нам это не сильно поможет. Следующую войну мы уже не потянем, и тогда нам останется только нажать на кнопку. Если мы проиграем - они нам не дадут подняться с колен, потому что сами умирают. Но если победим - у нас будет возможность посидеть на берегу и посмотреть на закат западной цивилизации.
После Крымской мы снова вернулись к турецкому вопросу, и были не в пример более успешными. Упрощённо было бы говорить, что это стало возможным только благодаря росту нашего потенциала - обстоятельства внешней политики тоже сопутствовали нам, пока снова не изменились не в нашу пользу. После Японской войны мы пережили всплеск, и в Германскую вошли с более крепкой экономикой, которая позволила нам адаптироваться к затяжной войне и нарастить темпы военного производства до необходимого уровня.
Почему сейчас не так, как тогда? Почему мы не имеем права не победить? Потому что, если не вдаваться в детали, а опереться только на базовые причины - эта война последняя. Тогда мы имели рост населения, который компенсировал потери. Тогда в области технологий мы имели шансы составить достойную конкуренцию нашим противникам, а впереди было ещё много нереализованных возможностей - в космос мы полетели первыми.
Сейчас не так. Сейчас мы не приумножаемся, а потраченный ресурс будет невосполнимым без демографической революции. И даже если мы что-то придумаем технологически прорывного - без роста русского населения нам это не сильно поможет. Следующую войну мы уже не потянем, и тогда нам останется только нажать на кнопку. Если мы проиграем - они нам не дадут подняться с колен, потому что сами умирают. Но если победим - у нас будет возможность посидеть на берегу и посмотреть на закат западной цивилизации.
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