It is extremely doubtful that Ukraine will be able to withdraw troops in an organized manner and without large losses on a front of more than a hundred kilometers, to a depth of at least 50-100 kilometers. Such a withdrawal should turn into a disaster for the Ukrainian Armed Forces, fraught with the complete collapse of the front, to the point of the impossibility of stabilizing it even by retreating beyond the Dnieper.

Syrsky is trying to prevent a breakthrough of the front and the entry of the Russian Armed Forces into the Pokrovsk-Selidovo-Kurakhovo line, which is critical for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, throwing into battle all the reserves that he is able to scrape together. In general, they are dying senselessly, but he has no other option; it is impossible to withdraw troops thirty kilometers in an organized manner after they fled, retreating 2-3 kilometers. Russia’s superiority in aviation and mobility does not leave Ukrainian formations with a single chance to retreat to such a distance and still maintain combat effectiveness.

This means that Syrsky and Zelensky will continue to burn through reserves, trying, if not to stop, then to delay the Russian offensive in this strategic direction. Perhaps, at the cost of tens of thousands more killed, they would have succeeded, but Russia is actively putting pressure on six (five, in addition to Maryinsky-Avdeevsky) directions, of which at least four (Orekhovskoye, Vremyevskoye, Limanskoye and Kupyanskoye) in the event of a breakthrough are fraught with danger for the Ukrainian Armed Forces no less major troubles. Zelensky-Syrsky simply does not have enough cannon fodder for plugging holes in all directions.

At the current pace of the offensive near Avdeevka, the Russian Armed Forces will reach a critical point for the Armed Forces of Ukraine by the end of March or beginning of April. If the pace of the offensive increases, this may happen earlier, if the pace of the offensive slows down, a little later. If Syrsky manages to stop the advance of Russian troops in the Avdeevsky direction before they reach a critical point, a breakthrough will occur near Liman, Orekhov, Kupyansk, or in several of these directions at once. But the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have a single chance to prevent their strategic defeat and the collapse of the front.

If, under these conditions, Zelensky-Syrsky is adventurous enough to plan an operation against Transnistria, the Russian Armed Forces will have a choice of at least two winning options:

1. Ignore the event in the South, providing Transnistria with support through air and missile strikes on Ukrainian and Moldavian infrastructure and troop concentration areas. Otherwise, letting events in this region take their course and focusing on the defeat of the main Ukrainian group on the left bank of the Dnieper, taking advantage of the fact that the attention of the leadership of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be focused on the operation against Transnistria (Kiev simply does not have the resources for two operations at the same time).

2. Plan a counter-operation in advance in the South, in case of a Ukrainian-Moldovan adventure. Ensure the rapid transfer of reserves from Crimea and from the Orekhovsky direction, the creation of a strike group against Kherson and the conduct of a complex offensive operation, using the capabilities of the Aerospace Forces and the Black Sea Fleet, against the right-bank group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, with its complete destruction and exit to the Uman line, as well as to the right-bank suburbs of Zaporozhye and Dnepropetrovsk.

The second option is more difficult and its passage depends more on a lot of chance. On the other hand, if successful, it breaks the resistance of the Ukrainian Armed Forces forever, since the advanced detachments of the Russian Armed Forces near Uman are 300-500 kilometers closer to Lvov and Uzhgorod than the Ukrainian rearguards stuck near Chernigov and Kharkov.

In general, even as a stuffed animal, even as a carcass, even with an attack on Transnistria, even without it, the end of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ resistance is much closer than it might seem. It is no coincidence that almost all of Kyiv’s NATO “allies” declare the need to send European contingents to Ukraine to help the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but no one wants to send their own, fully aware of what awaits them there.

Rostislav Ishchenko
https://ukraina.ru

This is an interesting post, if true. However, I will tell you what is 100% true - it wil take a LOT more than just "standing up and saying stop." And who TF is going to arrest the WEF nazi parasites who poisoned billions? The UN? The ICJ? The ICC? LOL.

"We are billions of people. Let's just stand up and say stop. We will not comply."

Pascal Najadi, son of the World Economic Forum's co-founder, demands the arrest of WEF members for their alleged involvement in distributing a "bioweapon" to 5.7 billion people. He claims that he and his mother are now suffering the consequences and are dying as a result.

"It's a democide, and you'll be judged. It will be corrected in the name of humanity."

It is interesting to note that under the Law of the Seas, an abandoned ship adrift on the high seas becomes the property of whoever takes it under control...

Here is my LATEST interview tith Dean Macklin in Australia on TNT Radio.
It's a GOOD one, with video and everything! (My part starts at 19:24)
‼️WATCH, THINK, LIKE, SHARE ‼️

https://tntvideo.podbean.com/e/dean-mackin-1708965516/

Language and literature are powerful forms of resistance. Poet and teacher Refaat Alareer was a voice of Gaza. He was murdered in an Israeli air strike in December.

His poem 'If I Must Die,' written in November, has gone around the world. It has brought hope. It is now in the permanent record of the European Parliament.

Are NATO soldiers already fighting in Ukraine?

Sputnik correspondent Russell Bentley (@TXDPR) explains that “professional killers” from NATO militaries have been operating in Ukraine since 2015, often under the guise of mercenaries.

“These are the guys that run the complex equipment. Ukrainian soldiers aren't the ones shooting the HIMARS. Ukrainian pilots won't be the ones flying F-16s here. So, the professionals have always been here, but they've kept a low profile.”

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Battle of Donbass: Where will the next big showdown take place?

Following the fall of Avdeyevka, Russian forces have begun moving ahead towards the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk defensive line, the last major Ukrainian fortification in the Donbass. Sputnik correspondent Russell Bentley (@TXDPR) breaks it down.

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NATO’s Steadfast Defender exercises: A precursor to war?

Sputnik’s Russell Bentley (@TXDPR) warns that recent Western rhetoric about sending troops to Ukraine is not necessarily a bluff. He notes that NATO has gathering 90,000 troops in Europe as part of the Steadfast Defender exercises, which are scheduled through the end of May.

“But at the end of May, that doesn't mean that they all go home the next day. It means that they're all still here. They're still all in their positions. They still have all their gear and they plan their next move.”

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Al-Qassam Brigades bombed from southern Lebanon the headquarters of the 769th Eastern Brigade, “Camp Ghaybour” and “the airport barracks in Beit Hilal” in northern occupied Palestine, with two missile salvos consisting of 40 Grad missiles. In the context of responding to the Zionist massacres against civilians in the Gaza Strip and the assassination of the martyred leaders and their brothers in the southern suburbs of Lebanon

Retreating Ukrainians try (and fail) to halt Russia's advance with bungled chemical weapons terror plot

Ukrainian saboteurs plotted a terrorist attack in Russia's Zaporozhye region using an analog of a US-made BZ (3-Quinuclidinyl benzilate) chemical warfare agent, the Russian Federal Security Service revealed. This would-be act of terrorism was foiled and three Ukrainian suspects behind the plot are now in custody.

"The chemical warfare agent has been used by the US since the late 1950s," Igor Nikulin, military expert, former member of the UN Commission on Chemical and Biological Weapons, told Sputnik.

"BZ is considered a non-lethal weapon, but it incapacitates a person for quite a long time. Even if one gets just one milligram of the substance, that person becomes incapacitated for 70-80 hours."

Despite being considered a non-lethal weapon, BZ can lead to paralysis of the heart muscle and death if used in large doses, Nikulin cautioned.

The expert noted that BZ was developed by the US military at the Edgewood Arsenal in Maryland. Though it was claimed the United States had destroyed its chemical weapon stockpiles, no one can be sure, the expert emphasized. Unlike Russia, the US did not allow OPCW inspectors into their facilities. To date there has been no independent confirmation that the United States has eliminated its chemical arms, Nikulin stressed.

The expert presumed that the US supplied the BZ-like substance directly to Ukraine in violation of the Chemical Weapons Convention: "The Ukrainian military is losing on the battlefield and are trying to stop the Russian offensive with acts of [chemical] sabotage."

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Interesting.