Northern Arc posted great numbers, holding a small qty from lower levels, didn't get the chance to add more.
β€4
Petrol prices at pumps are steady.
People are happy π
OMCs are crying π
IOCL, BPCL, HPCL are absorbing Rs. 30,000 crore losses monthly as crude spikes past $100/bbl due to Middle East disruptions.
They are losing:
β’ Rs. 14 per litre on petrol.
β’ Rs. 18 per litre on diesel.
If retail prices aren't hiked soon, govt may force ONGC & Oil India to share the subsidy burden.
This creates an immediate valuation overhang for upstream players, neutralising the benefit of high oil prices.
Consumers are being protected.
But OMC shareholders are f*cked.
What's next?
People are happy π
OMCs are crying π
IOCL, BPCL, HPCL are absorbing Rs. 30,000 crore losses monthly as crude spikes past $100/bbl due to Middle East disruptions.
They are losing:
β’ Rs. 14 per litre on petrol.
β’ Rs. 18 per litre on diesel.
If retail prices aren't hiked soon, govt may force ONGC & Oil India to share the subsidy burden.
This creates an immediate valuation overhang for upstream players, neutralising the benefit of high oil prices.
Consumers are being protected.
But OMC shareholders are f*cked.
What's next?
β€3
Zeptoβs Rs. 11,000 crore IPO is on.
The final boss of quick commerce.
Zeptoβs burn >>>> Blinkit.
And the main issue?
They are a pure-play bet.
Zomato profits from food delivery.
Swiggy profits from food delivery.
Zepto does not.
It can't fund its losses like that.
For them, its either qcom or bust.
Will be interesting to watch.
The final boss of quick commerce.
Zeptoβs burn >>>> Blinkit.
And the main issue?
They are a pure-play bet.
Zomato profits from food delivery.
Swiggy profits from food delivery.
Zepto does not.
It can't fund its losses like that.
For them, its either qcom or bust.
Will be interesting to watch.
π1
Jupiter Wagons is not just a "railway order book" story.
They are transitioning.
A cyclical to structural pivot.
How?
1β£ Solving the Industry Bottleneck
There's a shortage of wheel sets.
No wheel sets = No wagons.
Wagon makers are in a bad spot.
Not just here, but globally.
So, JWL acquired Bonatrans & is building a massive Rs. 2,500 crore facility in Odisha.
Not just to secure their own supply chain, but to export to Europe as well.
And this will be high-margin.
2β£ The BESS Call Option
They have Jupiter Electric Mobility.
Which is into renewables business.
A fully integrated 5 GWh BESS.
From bending metal for govt tenders.
To energy storage for commercial sector.
This changes the entire economics.
Revenue mix shifts from domestic public tenders to global component exports & renewable energy storage, improving the earnings quality.
The key now is monitoring the execution of the Odisha plant.
3β£ Charts
Currently down 60% from ATH.
Bounced from historic support zone.
Is it still expensive?
They are transitioning.
A cyclical to structural pivot.
How?
1β£ Solving the Industry Bottleneck
There's a shortage of wheel sets.
No wheel sets = No wagons.
Wagon makers are in a bad spot.
Not just here, but globally.
So, JWL acquired Bonatrans & is building a massive Rs. 2,500 crore facility in Odisha.
Not just to secure their own supply chain, but to export to Europe as well.
And this will be high-margin.
2β£ The BESS Call Option
They have Jupiter Electric Mobility.
Which is into renewables business.
A fully integrated 5 GWh BESS.
From bending metal for govt tenders.
To energy storage for commercial sector.
This changes the entire economics.
Revenue mix shifts from domestic public tenders to global component exports & renewable energy storage, improving the earnings quality.
The key now is monitoring the execution of the Odisha plant.
3β£ Charts
Currently down 60% from ATH.
Bounced from historic support zone.
Is it still expensive?
β€3π1
Stocks Royale
Northern Arc posted great numbers, holding a small qty from lower levels, didn't get the chance to add more.
Good biz + Good mgmt is a killer combo.
π1π1
Stocks Royale
Advent Hotels, seems to be another nice value play. Sharing the key trigger which led me to this stock. Detailed study coming soon.
Up 6% today for some reason, couldn't much research last weekend, will probably try to finish this week.
Stocks Royale
Added a few
Still awaiting more details on the company.. kinda hard to find.. trying to talk to a few people.
Thanks to PM jewellery companies have fallen well, if Gadgil falls more it will be a great opportunity to add more.
β€4
MTAR used to be such a hated company once... I don't remember exactly but I think kuch to corporate governance issues the... now everything ignored... but I feel a top is soon, itni dramatic expectations match karna is very very tough.
β€1
Gadgil hits LC... probably time to add some today & more tomorrow. Will have to read a bit more cause this reaction seems too intense vs what I was expecting tbh. Gotta study.