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Nuestra Ira No Tiene Limites
There is No Limit to Our Anger
V. M. Molotov
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The Northern Front Update

The redeployment of troops to Belorussia is still underway.

According to my information, the opening of the northern direction has been postponed until December—the grouping is being accumulated to the required number.

— Romanov Lite


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Vladislav Ugolny writes: If someone claims to have accurate information about Kherson, send him away. I do not mean the battles near some Davydov Brod, but operational plans and the future of the city.

The evacuation of Kherson was announced on October 18, and more than a week has passed. The Khokhol not only did not go to Kherson, but has been resisting the invitation in every way possible. Following Budanov, Arestovich has already announced the deterioration of the situation for Ukraine near Kherson.

Meanwhile, time is ticking, the window of opportunity for the Ukrainian armed forces will close between November 10 and 20. Moreover, the redeployment of units requires additional time. Accordingly, if the Kherson attack does not begin by the end of October, its likelihood begins to fall with each subsequent day.

And this is very bad for us, in fact. The idea of forcing the Ukrainians to waste their troops in an assault on the city was a good one.

— Vladislav Ugolny

PS: I kept telling you and telling you… it won’t be Kherson, look elsewhere. But not a day passed that someone did not start a lament about the loss of the city that was—in my considered opinion—never in as much danger as other locales.

Last time this happened I pondered whether redeploying troops to Kherson was a mistake on the Russian army’s part. I expected an attack on the Zaporozhye front, but the Ukrainian intelligence correctly pointed their troops at Balakleya instead.

This time, the possibility of similar mistakes has been minimized. The front lines are far more solid and compact than before. Both weak spots—with rarified defensive lines—in east Kharkov region (up to the Oskol line) and and he Krivoy Rog direction
have already been resolved. The Ukrainian chances in the Zaporozhye direction have been reduced substantially, with timely reinforcements. The chance of successful attack there is far less than it ever has been.

So, the deployment of reserves to Kherson was a smart trap by Russia to waste Ukrainian offensive potential. It was not a relative blunder (in my opinion) as it was the last time. The Ukrainians did not take the bait. Something tells me an attack elsewhere is still being considered.

I would keep watching Zaporozhye: Vasilyevka-Orekhov-Gulayi Pole-Velikaya Novoselka-Ugledar line, particularly as my reports indicate that the Ukrainian forces have been growing their strike grouping in the western part of that sector.

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Ukrainian insiders report that the damage to Ukraine's energy system is already at 40 percent.

The Ukrainian media are wringing their hands over the fact that the unified energy system faces the risk of total collapse. If the Russian Army keeps hitting non-stop, there will be nothing left in a week.

Add to that a shortage of spare parts and components, and you realize that Ukraine will soon be in a "total blackout.”

That's when the hardest times will begin. This also applies to western Ukraine, which hoped that they would be forgiven and all the misfortunes would fall on southeast Ukraine as usual.

— Polk 105

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The New Defensive Line in Kherson and the Ukrainian “Toad Leap” at Dudchany

(in response to a Chat question)

This is where Ugolny and I completely agree. The Berislav direction—the breakthrough at Dudchany—was the repetition of the exact same scenario as at Balakleya-Kupyansk. Same rarified defensive lines, same lack of staffing. The exact same problems.

Ugolny, at the time, called it a “toad leap”—Russian military terminology—where the Ukrainians simply punched through, reached the natural defensive line in Dudchany, and thereby endangered the entire salient that was now pressed from both sides, the Aleksandrovka bridgehead and Dudchany.

To be completely fair, the problems started with the loss of Vysokopolye, which was the linchpin holding up the defense of the Krivoy Rog direction. Once Vysokopolye was lost, the flanking threat to a potential rapid offensive toward Dudchany was eliminated.

So, the decision made—to withdraw from the salient and avoid operational encirclement—was completely natural.

Not only natural—there weren’t that many troops to withdraw. The Krivoy Rog direction was poorly defended, because the entire effort was focused on the Aleksandrovka bridgehead. In fact, at the time Ugolny wondered what the point of holding the Krivoy Rog direction was—Russia seemed in no hurry to attack north, toward Krivoy Rog, and had no troops for such an offensive in any event. Perhaps the withdrawal should have been more planned, but then we are dealing with morale and such issues, and that’s always a concern. Nonetheless, the withdrawal was textbook.

The withdrawal and the establishment of shorter, more compact, and denser defenses along Kalinovskoye-Belogoroka-Pyatikhatka-Dudchany line, anchored on Bruskinskoye, remove all the weaknesses that were present in east Kharkov region and in the Krivoy Rog direction.

Hold Bruskinskoye, and the Ukrainians will find it exceedingly difficult to exploit any junctures between defending Russian units—which was exactly the tactic at Balakleya-Kupyansk—because the defensive line is far more continuous, not broken. This is the very reason why things worked in the two earlier offensives and no longer work for Ukraine now in the Kherson Oblast.

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0224 am air raid alerts. Alerts have been active in Kherson and Nikolaev for almost 5 and 8 hours, respectively!
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Zaporozhye direction: Russian artillery conducted strikes at the warehouses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, causing ammunition to detonate as a result.

— Polk 105

PS: Oh Rose, give me the will to live! Machine IPhone translation is now transliterating Zaporozhye and some other Russian cities of the former Ukraine properly. I could not believe my eyes. A tectonic shift in this conflict. A harbinger of things to come?

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A blaze from a fire at a facility on the outskirts of Kramatorsk. Earlier there had been a strike there.

— NE.SAKHAR

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Zin Note: I wrote about this subject a month ago (two weeks ago, actually), and it's interesting to note the impossible yet irresistible nature of this "price ceiling" proposal from the West. It's a classic example of the "non-proposal proposal" for you "Yes, Minister!" fans. It's reminiscent of the "no-fly zone over Ukraine." Western politicians can pretend they're doing something while knowing that what they are supposedly pushing for will never happen in any reality.

🇺🇸The Biden administration is forced to revise the price ceiling for Russian oil

That ill-fated oil price ceiling that has been talked about so much and still hasn't been put in place is going up again.

Bloomberg reports that the US has not agreed on an implementation mechanism.

-Ostashko

My earlier post on the price-ceiling:

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/13830

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The fire on the territory of the railway station in the Shakhtersky district of the DPR was eliminated

-RIA news

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🔥 #Shakhtyorsk in DPR on Fire⚡️

Employees of the Ministry of Emergency Situations localize the fire in #Shakhtyorsk, where earlier tanks with gasoline exploded as a result of a missile hit.

The AFU have once again struck a civilian facility. Why a civilian? Because military vehicles are NOT fuelled by gasoline!

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Forwarded from Д///ИХАД
Тем временем в иранском Твиттере.
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🔥 Tankers at Railway Station caught Fire in DPR after AFU Strike on #Shakhtyorsk⚡️

Our correspondent from the scene did not confirm the information of some media that the flames had allegedly spread to residential buildings.

According to the latest reports, the open burning of the tanks was quickly extinguished and rescuers have started to spill.

-zvezdanews

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A Government laboratory in Maryland plans to make the circulating monkeypox strain more lethal in highly controversial research in mice.

The team wants to equip the dominant clade - which mostly causes a rash and flu-like symptoms - with genes from another strain that causes severe disease.

They hope the experiment will reveal how different genes make monkeypox more deadly, and spur the development of better drugs and vaccines for humans.

It comes just a week after DailyMail.com revealed a similar experiment involving a hybrid Covid strain was conducted at Boston University.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-11349241/Lab-Maryland-plans-create-hybrid-monkeypox-strain-contagious-lethal.html

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Zin Note: There is no scenario where Europe can break away from Russian hydrocarbons without becoming totally dependent on the USA. Even if they increase use of middle eastern oil and gas, the ME nations will simply mix Russian fuels with their own or use Russian fuel to supply their domestic markets while exporting their own production to Europe. Either way, Europe would still be utilizing Russian supplies directly or indirectly.

European productivity growth, if you exclude Eastern Europe, has been flat or negative for years. Real GDP growth in Europe has been dependent on both the expansion if the EU eastward, which creates the opportunity for expansion of credit and expansion of labor markets, and cheap Russian fuel, which may not be available to them moving forward. Europe is essentially becoming a government housing project within the US empire.


TASS:

The rejection of European countries from Russian energy carriers is not painless, the US will do everything possible to help them survive the winter, said Anthony Blinken.

According to the US Secretary of State, "Europe, and in particular its leading countries, have done more to break dependence [on Russian energy] over the past nine months than in many years." “But like any transition, especially a transition from what has been established for many years, this is difficult, it is difficult, it is not painless, and Europeans understand this,” he said in an interview with Bloomberg.

-TASS

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0300 am, air raids appear to be wrapping up. Reports of explosions in Kiev region, currently!

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PS. Just for clarity, as I realize there may be confusion from time to time: General Zin has the Zin Notes—which I read voraciously, our resident philosopher-strongman Miroslav just speaks directly, and it is unmistakeable, and I have my postscripta.

So, whenever you see a PS. after a translation, I am the one doing the talking, not the source of the translation. I would not presume, for instance, to attribute my postscriptum earlier to Vladislav Ugolny, though I think we agree more than we do not (other than on politics, he is a comradenemy through and through). 😉 #justsayin
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🧯 Great Effort of the Rescue Forces in DPR #Shakhtyorsk⚡️

Rescuers were able to quickly deal with a tanker fire after an AFU strike in #Shakhtyorsk.

-zvezdanews

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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
The explosions were reported in Vyshgorod district by Ukrainian channels.
Intense rains are expected in the Kaluga, Voronezh, Rostov regions, Krasnodar Territory and Crimea in the coming days. There will be strong snowstorms in the Nenets Autonomous Okrug and Komi, said Roman Vilfand, scientific director of the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia.

According to the Hydrometeorological Center, Komi expects heavy snow, ice, a blizzard with winds up to 15-18 m / s on Thursday, Kabardino-Balkaria, North Ossetia, Ingushetia and Chechnya - heavy precipitation on Thursday and Friday.

-TASS

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 26 Oct 2022⚡️

#Starobelsk Direction (MAP):

▪️ In the #Svatovo sector, the Ukrainian BTGr made five attempts to storm Russian positions near the village of #Kuzemovka. Russian Forces repulsed all attacks and the enemy retreated towards #Peschanoye.

▪️ In the #Lyman sector, Russian units of the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Army launched a counteroffensive on the #Zherebets River east bank, and drove the enemy out of #Makeevka and #Novosadovoye. Russian Forces are engaged in fierce fighting with the enemy in #Terny, #Yampolovka, and #Torskoye.

▪️ In the #Lysychansk sector, the AFU went on the defence after failed attempts to storm Russian positions near #Belogorovka.

#Soledar Direction:

▪️ No significant changes on the frontline in the last 24 hours. Wagner PMC asault troops beat back enemy attacks near the asphalt plant on the eastern outskirts of #Bakhmut (#Artemovsk), also fighting near #Opytnoye.

#Donetsk Direction (MAP):

▪️ Russian troops are developing an offensive near the #Peski settlement. Units of the Sparta Battalion have captured enemy strongholds on the #Donetsk Ring Road and also liberated most of #Vodyanoye.

Units of the LPR People's Militia have cleared the advanced AFU positions near #Opytnoye and are also fighting in the western part of #Pervomayskoye and in the fields near #Nevelskoye.

▪️ Ukrainian militants shelled #Donetsk agglomeration again. #Donetsk, #Makeevka, #Golmovsky, #Mikhailovka and other populated areas came under fire. In addition, an oil depot in the town of #Shakhtyorsk was hit. 12 tanks caught fire. The fire, which broke out at the arrival site spread to private houses.

#Zaporozhye Direction:

▪️ No significant changes on the front line. The AFU command is moving additional forces to the #Orekhov and #Gulyaypole areas in preparation for a counteroffensive.

▪️ Both sides are engaged in artillery duels along the line of contact.

▪️ Around midnight, a huge explosion rocked #Zaporozhye, the city was partially blacked out.

#Nikolaev - #Berislav Direction on Southern Front:

▪️ The Ukrainian command continues to prepare for a major offensive along the entire frontline. At the same time, Russian units are strengthening their defences and equipping new positions.

▪️ After regular shelling of a #Dnipro River crossing by the AFU, the passage of civilians by ferries from the right to the left bank was restricted.

▪️ There was a terrorist attack in #Kherson. Unknown persons fired RPGs at the police department building in Dniprovsky district. There were no deaths or injuries.

#Dnipropetrovsk Region:

In the evening hours, Russian Forces carried out a massive Geran-2 Kamikaze UAV strike on enemy targets in certain regions of Ukraine. Explosions were recorded in #Dnipropetrovsk and #Pavlograd.

#Odessa Region:

During evening attacks, UAV kamikaze Geran-2 hit targets in the Ovidiopolsky district of Odessa region.

t.me/sitreports / t.me/rybar/40620 /#SMO/
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